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MENLO

VENTURES

2026:TheStateofEnterpriseAl

November3,2026TimTully,offRedfern,DecdyDas,andDerekXiao

KeyFindings

·EnterpriseAIdeploymentspendscaledto$177BbySeptember2026,upfrom$33Blastyear.Growthisaccelerating:5.4xvs.3.9xayearago.Everydollarthatwentintodevelopingmodelsthisyearis

generating$1.70ofrevenue.

·Agentschangedthemath:OpenRouteragenttrafficisup37xsinceovertakinghumantrafficinFebruary,tyingspendtoworkperformedratherthanusers.

·Fornow,moneyfollowscapability:Frontierlabscommand69%ofdeploymentdollars(vs.50%lastyear).Anthropic'sshareofenterpriseAPIspendincreasedfrom40%to55%,OpenAI'sfrom27%to31%,whileGoogle'sfellfrom21%to9%.Open-sourceremains4%ofspenddespite19%ofusage.

·AIspendconcentrateswhereagentsworkbest:Coding($34.0B)andchatbots($25.0B)makeup76%oftheS77.3Bappmarketbecausetheyofferenvironmentsinwhichagentscanact,workflowstheycanlearn,andresultstheycanverify.

·AI-nativesarewinningnewagentcategorieslikecoding,whichis96%AI-native.Comparedtolastyear,incumbentsaregainingshareinIT(91%),datascience(88%),andHR(68%).

·AIisexpandingthesoftwareeconomy:55%ofAIdollarsisfromnetnewspend,ratherthanexistingsoftwareorlaborbudgets.

EnterpriseAIReachesScale

In2026,AIbecameaneconomy-scaleforce.EnterpriseAIdeploymentspendingsurgedfrom$33billiontoS177billioninjustoneyear.That’sover$140billioninnewannualspending,almostfourtimesthesizeoftheentiremarketayearago.

◎2026MenlboVentures

◎2026MenboVentures

ThespeedofAI'srisesetoffalarms.FearsthatAIwouldreplacetraditionalsoftwaretriggereda“SaaSpocalypse”selloffearlierthisyear,whileothersworrieditwouldeatintolaborbudgets.

Butourdatatellsadifferentstory:Farfrombeingazero-sumgame,Aliscreatingnewvalueacrosstheeconomy,expandingmarketsfarmorethanit'sdisplacingexistingrevenue.

·Agentsexpandthesoftwaremarket.Progressinagentsunlockedworksoftwarecouldn’tdobefore,alreadypayingbackmassiveinvestmentsinmodeldevelopment:$1.70ofdeploymentAIrevenueforeveryS1goingtotraining.Newbudgetsfunded55%oftheincrementalAIspend,ratherthanexistingsoftwareorlaborbudgets.

·Open-sourcegainsalongsidefrontiergrowth.Frontierlabshareofdeploymentspendgrewfrom50%to69%,butopen-sourcemodels'shareofusagerosefrom11%to19%aswell.Spendremainssmall,butinterestsuggestssignificantfurthergrowth.

·Independentappsgrowalongsidethelabs.Thelabs'codingagentsgrewfrom$1Bto$24B,yettherestofthecodingmarketstillgrew2.9xtoS10B.Evenexcludingthelabs'ownapps,thelargestappmarketsaretheonesthelabstargetmost:coding,AIassistants($9.5B)andhealthcare($3.7B).

EnterpriseAISpendHit$177Bin2026,UpOver5xinOneYear

USDBiions

GlobalEnterpriseAlDeploymentSpend,2023-2026

S200

$176.8B

$150

$100

$33.0B

2025

$50

$8.5B

2024

+3.9X

$1.7B

2023

2026YTD*

◎

2026MenloVenturesSouce:htps:///perspecfive/2026-the-stae-of-enterprise-ail*2026YTDdataisasofSeptember2026

EnterprisegenerativeAldeploymentspendinghasgrownroughly100xinthreeyears,from$1.7Bin2023toS8.5Bin2024[5.0x]andS33Bin2025[3.9x].BySeptember2026,spendingreached$176.8B,up5.4xfromlastyear.

PartI.TheAgentInflection

AgentsHaveGrownto80%OfAIUsage

ThebiggeststoryofthepastyearhasbeentheriseofAIagents.ThelaunchofAnthropic's*Opus4.5inNovember

2025markedaninflectionpointasthemodel—forthefirsttime—allowedAItomovebeyondansweringquestionsinconversationalturnstoexecutingcomplex,multi-steptaskswithlimitedhumanoversight.

Sincethen,agentshavenowgrowntobecomethebiggestconsumersofAImodels.OnOpenRouter,aplatformthatgivesdevelopersaccesstohundredsofAImodels,theynowaccountfor80%ofalltokens,roughly7xhuman-drivenusage.

Agentvs.HumanTokensonOpenRouter

WeeklyTokenUsage

—Agentic

150

130.9T

Feb5,2026:

Opus4.6andGPT-5.3-Codexreleased

Trilions

100

Feb6,2026:

Nov24,2025:

Opus4.5released

Agenticpasseshuman

50

18.3T

Nov2025Jan2026Mar2026May2026Jul2026

Sep2025

14.9TSep2026

◎

2026MenloVenturesSource:OpenRouter:httos:///berspective/2026-the-state-of-enterorise-ail

AgentshaveovertakenhumansasthedominantconsumersofAl.OnopenRouter,agentsnowgenerate80%ofalltokens-130.9tilionperweek,roughly7xhuman-drivenusage.

AgenttraffictripledtheweekafterOpus4.5'slaunch,thenovertookhumantrafficinearlyFebruaryfollowingthe

launchesofOpus4.6andGPT-5-3-Codex.Sincethen,ithasgrown37x,vs.5xforhuman-drivenusage.OpenRouterisjustonechannel,butitshowshowquicklyAIconsumptionisshiftingfromhumansaskingquestionstomachinesdoingwork.

LeadingAIappsrebuiltaroundthisnewautonomy:HarveyandLegora*eachre-architectedcontractreviewfromafixedworkflowintoamulti-agentsystem,andSierralaunchedHorizon,aplatformforagentsthapursuegoalsoverdaysorweeks,likeoriginatingaloan.Factory*,whoseDroidsalreadyworkedautonomously,alsotookoffwiththenewmodels—doublingrevenuemonthovermonthforsixstraightmonthsthroughApril2026.

◎2026MenboVentures

AILabsCapture69%ofEveryEnterpriseAIDollar

Asagentstakeonmorework,buyersarepayingapremiumforthemostcapablemodels,evenasmuchcheaperoptionshavebecomeavailable.WeestimateAnthropic,OpenAI,andGooglecommand$122.7Bofenterprisespend—69%ofalldeploymentdollars,upfrom50%lastyearand2.3xtherestofthemarketcombined.

ConcentrationisnotjustattheAPIlayer.Thelabs'first-partyappsalsodominatetheapplayerandnowtotal

$40.0B:ClaudeCodeandCodexaccountfor$24.0B(70%)ofcodingspend,whileenterpriseClaude,ChatGPT,andGeminimakeup$15.5B(62%)oftheAIchatbotandproductivityspend.

Fornow,themoneyfollowsmodelprogress.Valueaccruestothelabsthatintroduceanewcapabilitylike

long-horizonagents,andtheinitialappstheybuildaroundit.Overtimethough,weexpectthisconcentrationtoeaseasthecapabilitymaturesandapplicationcompaniesbringittonewmarkets.

FrontierLabsCapture69%ofEveryEnterpriseDollar,UpFrom50%

EnterpriseSpendonFrontierLabsvs.theRestoftheMarket

Frontierlabs

2025S11.2B$16.5B

$33.0B

50%frontierlabs

43.3×

$176.8B

2026

$54.1B

$40.0B

$82.7B

69%frontierlabs

◎2026MenloVenturesSource:

/perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-all

Frontierlabsarepulingawayfromthepack.Anthropic,OpenAl,andGooglecapture69%ofenterpriseAlspending[S122.7B]in2026,upfrom50%lastyear.Theirspendinggrew7.5xYoY,comparedwith3.3xforeveryoneelse.

AnthropicLeadsinanIncreasinglyTwo-HorseRace

IntheracetowinAIbuilders,AnthropicandOpenAInowaccountfor86%ofenterpriseLLMAPIspend,upfrom67%lastyear.Asthemarketconsolidatesaroundthefrontierleaders,modelcapability—notprice—isprovingtobethedecisivecompetitiveadvantage.

◎2026MenboVentures

AnthropicandOpenAINowCommand86%ofEnterpriseLLMAPISpend

EnterpriseLLMAPIMarketSharebySpend

□Anthropic□OpenAl□Google□MetaLlama□Other

100%

75%

50%

25%

0%

15%

16%

7%

50%

12%

2023

14%

16%

12%

34%

24%

2024

8%

21%

27%

40%

2025

9%

31%

55%

2026

86%

ofenterpriseLLMAPlspendbelongsto

AnthropicandOpenAl,inanincreasingly

two-horserace

◎

2026MenloVenturesSource:httos:///perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ail

AnthropicandOpenAlarepulingawayfromthecompeition.Together,theycapture86%ofenterpriseLLMAPlspending,upfrom67%lastyear

·Anthropicwidenedlastyear'slead,growingfrom40%to55%onthestrengthofitsOpusmodels,whichexcelatlong-horizontasksandcodinginparticular.

·OpenAlalsogainedshare,from27%to31%,withaparticularlystrongsecondhalfoftheyeardrivenbythereleaseofitsGPT-5.6models(Sol,Terra,Luna)inJulyandGPT-6inSeptember.

.Googlefellfurthest,from21%to9%.Gemini3ProputthelabatthefrontierinNovember2025,butGooglehasn'tmatchedAnthropic'sandOpenAI'sflagshipmodelssince,anditsAPIspendnowskewstowardcheaperFlashmodels.

●Near-frontiermodelshaven'tbrokenthrough.xAI'sGrok4.7andopen-sourcemodelslikeMoonshot'sKimi

K3,DeepSeek'sV4,andZAI'sGLM-5-3approachfrontierperformanceatafractionoftheprice,yettogetherholdjustunder5%ofLLMAPIspend.

AISpendingBlowsPastBudgetsasAgentsDriveDemand

TheaverageenterpriseplannedtonearlydoubletheirAIspendin2026.Theyendeduppayingfarmore.

Reportedspendingaveraged4.7xlastyear'slevel,againstaplanned1.9x—roughly2.5xplan.Medianspendingalsoexceededexpectations,thoughnotnearlyasdramatically:Spendreached2.2xlastyear'slevelagainsta1.8x

◎2026MenkoVentures

◎2026MenboVentures

expectation.ThedifferencebetweenaverageandmedianreflectsAI's“fathead”:asmallgroupofpowerusersaccountsforadisproportionateshareofAIspendandgrewfarfasterthanmostenterprises.

EnterpriseAISpendIsOutpacingBudgets

Budgetedvs.actual2026spend,asamultipleof2025spend

3

1.9x

Budget

Average

+147%

4.7x

Actual

Lastyear'sspend=1x

Median

1.8x

Budget

+22%

2.2x

Actual

◎2026MenloVenturesSource:

/perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ail

EnterpriseAlspendingblewpastexpectationsin2026:Onaverage,companiesspent4.7xtheir2025levelsagainstaplanned1.9×-

roughly2.5xwhattheybudgeted.Medianspendingalsoexceededexpectations,reaching2.2xlastyearslevelagainstaplanned1.8x.

Asforthedifferencebetweenactualandplannedspend,agentsexplainthegap.Theyworkindependently,runinparallel,andkeepgoingevenafterpeoplestepaway,sospendingscaleswithworkratherthanheadcount.This

growthwasthekeydriveroftheAImarketinflectionthisyear:Spendperenterprisenearlyquintupledwhileadoptionamongenterprisesroseonlyfrom55%to65%.

Lookingforward,wereadthisasanencouragingsignofsustainedfuturedemand:WithsomuchAIspendcomingfrompowerusers,bothadoptionandusagestillhavesignificantroomtogrowacrossthelongtailoftherestoftheeconomy.

AlIsGrowingtheSoftwareMarket,NotEatingIt

At$176.8B,AIdeploymentspendnowequalsmorethan30%ofpubliccloudrevenue,upfromjust6%ayearago.Whereisthatmoneycomingfrom?

Mostlynewbudgets,whichfunded55%ofincrementalAIspend,comparedwith22%fromsoftwarebudgets一

thoughevenwiththat,most(13%)stayedwithincumbentsconvertingSaaSlicensestoAI,likeMicrosoftOffice

toCopilot,whileonly9%($12.6B)movedtoAI-nativevendors,abouta2-pointgrowthheadwindfortheS600B+applicationSaaSmarket(from+13%lastyearto+11%thisyear).

◎2026MenloVentures

OurstudyalsofoundlimitedevidenceofenterprisesreplacingcoresystemssuchasSalesforce'sCRM,Workday'sHRIS,orOracle'sNetSuitewithAI.Inotherwords,AIissignificantlyexpandingtheoverallsoftwaremarketwhilemodestlyslowinggrowthfortraditionalSaaS.ThequestionfortheseincumbentsmovingforwardwillbewhethertheirnewAIproductscanwinenoughincrementalspendtoavoiddeceleratinggrowthalongsidetheSaaSmarket.

MoreMoneyGoesintoUsingAIThanBuildingIt

Forevery$1theindustryspendsbuildingAImodels,enterprisesspendaboutS1.70puttingthemtowork.AsofSeptember2026,weestimateS176.8BinenterprisespendingonusingAI(up5.4x)versusS102.5Bonbuildingmodels(up5.3x).

Thatdemandunderwritesthebuildout.WeestimatethatAnthropicandOpenAIaloneaccountfor25%+ofAWS,Azure,andGoogleCloudrevenue,withmuchofthatspendgoingtotraining.Thatinvestmentonlypaysoffif

enterpriseskeepputtingmodelstowork,whichagentsarenowdriving.

WhereDoestheAIBudgetGo?

USDBillions

EnterpriseAISpendbyCategory:2025vs.2026

□2025□2026

+5

$100$94.2

$87.2

S75

$50

$34.0

4+3.8x

$15.3

$25.0

4+3.0×

$25

+3.5×

$15.3

$18.3

$12.5

$5.3$1.5

Alinfrastructure

S8.4

$4.0

Trainingdata+

$6.1

$4.4

so

Foundationmodels+inference

Alassistants+productivity

Otherapps

Trainingcompute

Coding

INFRASTRUCTURE:$99.5BAPPLICATIONAI:S77.3BMODELDEVELOPMENT:$102.5B

DEPLOYMENT:$176.8B+5.3xYOY

◎2026MenloVenturesSource:

/perspoctlive/2026-the-state-of-enterprlse-all

Spendonbuildingmodelsgrew5.3xto$102.5Bin2026

,

and

spendonusingAlgrew5.4xto$176.8B,1.7xasmuch.

Deployment(usingAl)-$176.8B:

.Infrastructure($99.5B):Thestackthatrunsmodelsandtheagentsbuiltonthem,fromfrontiermodel

inference(Anthropic,OpenAI,Google)andinferenceplatforms(Fireworks⁴,Baseten,Modal*,Gimlet*)toagentinfrastructure(Databricks*,Temporal*).

·Applications($77.3B):AIproductsenterprisesuse,includingcoding($34.0B;ClaudeCode,Codex)andworkplaceassistants($25.0B;MicrosoftCopilot).

Development(buildingAl)-$102.5B:

Trainingcompute(S87.2B):Thecomputethattrainsmodels,fromhyperscalers(AWS,Azure,GoogleCloud)tospecializedclouds(CoreWeave,Together).

Trainingdataandservices($15.3B):Theinputsfortrainingmodels,includingexpertdataandevaluations(Mercor⁴)andreinforcement-learningenvironments(Fleet*).

PartII.ModelUsage

BuyersKeepPayingUpfortheFrontier

FrontierModelsAreGainingShare

11%

5%

20%

29%

17%

18%

19%

12%

13%

13%

42%

4%

15%

4%

13%

63%

6%

23%

9%

24%

35%

Closed-sourceOpen-source

ShareofSpendShareofTokens

100%

75%

50%

25%

0%

Q32025Q32026Q32025Q32026

□Frontier□Mid-tier□Small□Oldermodels□Specialized□Alltiers

◎2026MenloVentures

Frontierandopen-sourcemodelsaregainingground,squeezingsmalleclosedofenterpriseAlspendingrosefrom35%to63%,whiletokenshareclimbedfromshare[11%to19%],whilesmallerclosedmodelsfellfrom29%to13%.

Source:htto///pespeclive/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ai/

models.FromQ32025toQ32026,frontiermodels'share18%to42%.Open-sourcemodelsalsogainedtoken

◎2026MenboVentures

◎2026MenkoVentures

Open-sourceusageisrisingand,inrecentweeks,AnthropicandOpenAIhavestarteddiscountingeventheirflagshipmodels.Theresultissharpercompetitionateveryintelligencetier,butourdatashowbuyerscontinuetoprioritizecapabilityovercostinmodelselection.

·Frontiermodelsaregainingshare.Frontiermodelsmorethandoubledtheirshareoftokens,from18%to42%,outpacingevenopen-sourcegrowth.Theirshareofspendingalsoclimbed,from35%to63%.

·Buyersaretradingupfromlessexpensivemodels.Ayearago,themostpopularmodelswereClaudeSonnet4.5($3permillioninputtokens/$15permillionoutputtokens)andGPT-5($1.25/$10).Today,theyareClaudeOpus5.5($4/$20)andGPT-6Astra($10/$60).Themixshifthaskeptmostofthevaluewiththemostcapablemodels,

evenasindividualmodelfamiliesarediscounted.

·Thepricewarisatthelowend.Frontierlabshavecutsmall-modelpricesby80%ormore,yetsmallclosedmodelslikeHaikuandLunastillsawtheirshareoftokensfallfrom29%to13%asopen-sourcecompetesforthoseworkloads.

Open-SourceIsTakingOffinUsagebutNotSpend-Yet

Open-sourcenowhandlesaboutoneinfivetokensbutaccountsforonlyaboutonein25dollarsofmodelspending,drivenbyasignificantdeltainpricebetweenclosedandopen-sourcemodels.

Open-SourceIsWinningTokensbutNotDollars

15

10

MonthlyTokenVolume[Quadrillions]

+12.1x

12.3

20%

10%

0%

$1.00

Open-SourceShareofAPIUsage+Spend

19%

11%

6%

Sep2025Sep2026

AveragePricePerMillionTokens

1.0

0.1

Sep2025

2.9

Sep2026

$0.92

S0.45

Sep2025

S0.70

$0.13

Sep2026

◎2026MenloVentures

Open-sourceisgaininggroundinusage,butlosingspendingshare.FromSeptember2025toSeptember2026,itsshareoftokensrosefrom11%to19%,whileitsshareofspendingfellfrom6%to4%,drivenbya3.3xdropinaveragetokenprices.

Fourkeytrends:

1.Volumeisupsharply.Open-sourcevolumeisup22.5xtoanestimated2.9quadrilliontokenspermonth,

comfortablyoutpacingclosed-sourcetokengrowthof12.1x.MuchofitrunsoninferencecloudslikeFireworksandModal,bothofwhichpassed$1billioninrevenuerunratethisyear.

2.Butpricesfellevenfaster.Theaverageopen-sourcetokenfell3.3xinpriceto$0.13permillion,whiletheblendedpriceofclosed-modeltokensfell24%to$0.70.Asaresult,open-source’sshareofspenddrifteddownfrom6%to4%,evenasitsshareoftokensnearlydoubled.

3.Chinesemodelsdominateopen-sourcespend.Astheircapabilitieshavedefinedtheopen-sourcefrontier,Chinesemodelsgrewto89%ofopen-sourcespend,ledbyKimi(61%),DeepSeek(15%),GLM(11%),andQwen(3%).Meta’sLlamaisthemostpopularWesternopen-sourcemodelat7%.

4.Agentspullblendedpricesdown,too.Cachereadscanmakeup95%ormoreofanagent’stokens,and

they’recheap:Opus5.5charges$0.20permillionforthem,vs.$4forfreshinputand$20foroutput.Atamixof3%freshinputand2%output,anagentsessioncostsabout$0.70permilliontokens.Asagentsaccountformoreoftheusage,theaveragepricepertokenfalls.

Post-TrainingIsStillEarly(andHard),butanEcosystemIsEmerging

Openweightsgivebuilderssomethingclosedmodelslargelycan’t:controloverthemodelitself.Post-trainingletsthemspecializemodelsfortheirowntaskstolowercostsandreducedependenceonfrontierlabs.Adoptionrosefrom6%ofAIbuildersin2025to10%thisyear,butitremainslimited.

Twothingsholditback:specializedmodelsneedconstantupdatestokeeppacewithafrontierthatmoveseveryfewmonths,andmostapplicationcompanieslacktheexpertisetotrainthemeffectively.Thatcreatesanopportunityforinfrastructureandservicesproviders.Amongbuildersthatpost-train,91%useoutsidepartners,including:

•50%useinfrastructureproviderslikeFireworksandModal

•41%useexpert-dataandevaluationplatformslikeMercor

•30%usespecialistslikeAppliedCompute,Trajectory,andNoeri*

Cursor*builtComposer2onKimiK2.5,withFireworksprovidinginferenceinfrastructureforreinforcement-learningrollouts.HarveydevelopedTenetwithFireworksandMercor,andseparatelypartneredwithAppliedComputeonitsReviewTablemodel.

©2026MenloVentures

◎2026MenloVentures

Only10%ofAIBuildersPost-Train;91%ofThoseRelyonOutsidePartners

Post-trainingadoptionandthepartnersbehindit

AlBuildersThatPost-Train

Ofthe10%ThatPost-Train:PartnersTheyUse

2025

6%

2026

InferenceprovidersExpertdataandevalsPost-trainingvendorsEntirelyin-house

50%

41%

30%

9%

◎2026MenloVenturesMulipleresponsesallowed;partnerpercentagessumtomorethan100%.Source:hltos://menlovcs

Post-trainingadoptionamongAlbuildersrosefrom6%in2025to10%in2026,with91%ofthosewhopost-trainrelyingonoutside

partners.

PartIⅢI.AgentsinProduction

AISpendConcentratesWhereAgentsWorkBest

ThetotalAIapplicationmarketisnowS77.3B,upfrom$19Blastyear.Butjusttwomarketsaccountfor76%ofallappspend:coding($34.0B,up7.7x)andenterprisechatbots($25.0B,up3.0x).Toputthatinperspective,healthcare—oneoftheworld'slargestindustries—ranksadistantthirdatjustS3.7B.

Agentshavedrivenmuchofthegrowthinthesetwomarkets,asbothprovidekeyconditionsthathelpagentssucceed:

1.Environmentsagentscanactin.Agentsneedconnectionstothesystemswhereworkhappenssotheycanretrievecontextandtakeaction.Coderepositoriesandconnectedappslikeemail,Slack,anddriveprovidethataccess.

2.Completecontextagentscanlearnfrom.Agentsneedboththetacitknowledgebehindarequest(itsintent,assumptions,andorganization-specificconventions)aswellastheproceduralknowledgeforhowworkusuallygetsdone.Code,documentation,andworkedexamplesmakebothaccessible.

3.Resultsagentscanverify.Clearsuccesscriteriahelpmodelslearnduringtrainingandagentsassessprogressandcorrectmistakesinproduction.Codingisespeciallystronginthisregard:compilerscheckwhethercode

builds,andtestscheckwhetheritbehavesasexpected.Commonenterpriseagenttaskslikeknowledgeretrievalarealsorelativelyeasytoverify.

CodingLeadsAlApplicationSpend

CodingandAlassistantsaccountfor76%ofthe$77.3Bmarket

Coding

Chatbots

Healthcare

Customersuccess

$3.7B

$2.7B

2026ApplicationAISpend

S25.0B

$34.0B

YoYgrowth

+7.74+3.0x+2.5×

+4.3×

Shareoftotal

44%

32%

5%

3%

Legal

$1.8B

$1.6B

+2.8×

2%

2%

Creators

Sales

Marketing

Humanresources

Government

$1.5B

+5.0×

2%

$1.4B

4+3.6×

2%

$1.2B

+1.8×

2%

$0.9B

+2.5×

1%

$0.9B

+2.6×

1%

Financialservices

s0.8B

+8.0×

1%

Design

Other

□so.6B

Newin2026

1%

□$1.8B

+2.5×

2%

◎2026MenloVenturesSource:

https///perspective/2026-the-stote-of-enterprise-ail

Alapplicationspendingisconcentratedintwomarkets.In2026,coding(S34.0B,up7.7x)andenterpriseAlchatbots(S25.0B,up3.0x)

accountedfor76%ofthe$77.3Bmarket.Healthcarerankedadistantthirdat$3.7B.

Wheretheseconditionshold,spendfollows.Customersuccess,wheresupportplaybooksdocumentthesteps

andresolutionsdefinesuccess,grew4.3xto$2.7B.Wheretheyarehardertomeet,growthislessrobust.Humanresources,whereworkofteninvolvesmoresubjectivejudgment,grewslower(2.5x),atsmallerscale,toS0.9B.

Marketingsimilarlygrewjust1.8xto$1.2B.

Coding:AlLabsLead,butAreCatalyzingaMassiveAppEcosystem

AsAI'sfirstkillerusecase,softwaredevelopmentpreviewshowagentscantransformanentirecategory.Theimpactisnowvisibleatecosystemscale:Enterprisecodeactivityisup5xyearoveryear,andthatdoesn'tincludevibe

coding,whereLovable*aloneaddsmorereposinamonth(+32M)thanallofGitHub(+24M).

Thelabscapturemostofthespend.Anthropic'sClaudeCodeandOpenA'sCodexcombinefor$24.0B,70%ofthe$34.0Bcodingmarket,upfromaboutS1Blastyear.

◎2026MenboVentures

◎2026MenloVentures

Butindependentcompaniesaregrowing,too.Therestofthemarketgrew2.9xto$10.1B,ledbycodingplatforms

likeCursor,Cognition,andFactory,aswellasAIappbuilderslikeLovable.Morecodeisalsocreatingdemandfor

thetoolsthatreview,deploy,andmaintainit:PierreandEastRiverSourceControlincodestorage,Greptile*incodereview,HarnessandBlacksmithinbuildanddeploy,andResolveinSRE.

AICodingHit$34BasFrontierLabsandCodingAppsBothSurged

Frontierlabcodingagentsgrew24xtoS24.0B,andtherestofthemarketgrew2.9xto$10.1B,ledbycodingplatforms{S7.8B)

AICodingSpendbyCategory

□2025□2026

$40+7.7x

$34.0

$30

$20

$24.0

USDBillions

$10

$o

$4.4

Total

$7.8

$2.6

$1.0$0.5

FrontierlabcodingagentsCodingplafformsAlapp

$1.3

builders

+2.6×

$0.4$1.0

DevOps+QA

◎2026MenloVentures2025isrestatedtoS4.4Bfromthe$4.0Bpublishedlastyear,

mostlybyaddingbuildanddeploy.Source:httos:///perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ail

HorizontalApps:AlIsProliferatingWellBeyondCoding

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