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MENLO
VENTURES
2026:TheStateofEnterpriseAl
November3,2026TimTully,offRedfern,DecdyDas,andDerekXiao
KeyFindings
·EnterpriseAIdeploymentspendscaledto$177BbySeptember2026,upfrom$33Blastyear.Growthisaccelerating:5.4xvs.3.9xayearago.Everydollarthatwentintodevelopingmodelsthisyearis
generating$1.70ofrevenue.
·Agentschangedthemath:OpenRouteragenttrafficisup37xsinceovertakinghumantrafficinFebruary,tyingspendtoworkperformedratherthanusers.
·Fornow,moneyfollowscapability:Frontierlabscommand69%ofdeploymentdollars(vs.50%lastyear).Anthropic'sshareofenterpriseAPIspendincreasedfrom40%to55%,OpenAI'sfrom27%to31%,whileGoogle'sfellfrom21%to9%.Open-sourceremains4%ofspenddespite19%ofusage.
·AIspendconcentrateswhereagentsworkbest:Coding($34.0B)andchatbots($25.0B)makeup76%oftheS77.3Bappmarketbecausetheyofferenvironmentsinwhichagentscanact,workflowstheycanlearn,andresultstheycanverify.
·AI-nativesarewinningnewagentcategorieslikecoding,whichis96%AI-native.Comparedtolastyear,incumbentsaregainingshareinIT(91%),datascience(88%),andHR(68%).
·AIisexpandingthesoftwareeconomy:55%ofAIdollarsisfromnetnewspend,ratherthanexistingsoftwareorlaborbudgets.
EnterpriseAIReachesScale
In2026,AIbecameaneconomy-scaleforce.EnterpriseAIdeploymentspendingsurgedfrom$33billiontoS177billioninjustoneyear.That’sover$140billioninnewannualspending,almostfourtimesthesizeoftheentiremarketayearago.
◎2026MenlboVentures
◎2026MenboVentures
ThespeedofAI'srisesetoffalarms.FearsthatAIwouldreplacetraditionalsoftwaretriggereda“SaaSpocalypse”selloffearlierthisyear,whileothersworrieditwouldeatintolaborbudgets.
Butourdatatellsadifferentstory:Farfrombeingazero-sumgame,Aliscreatingnewvalueacrosstheeconomy,expandingmarketsfarmorethanit'sdisplacingexistingrevenue.
·Agentsexpandthesoftwaremarket.Progressinagentsunlockedworksoftwarecouldn’tdobefore,alreadypayingbackmassiveinvestmentsinmodeldevelopment:$1.70ofdeploymentAIrevenueforeveryS1goingtotraining.Newbudgetsfunded55%oftheincrementalAIspend,ratherthanexistingsoftwareorlaborbudgets.
·Open-sourcegainsalongsidefrontiergrowth.Frontierlabshareofdeploymentspendgrewfrom50%to69%,butopen-sourcemodels'shareofusagerosefrom11%to19%aswell.Spendremainssmall,butinterestsuggestssignificantfurthergrowth.
·Independentappsgrowalongsidethelabs.Thelabs'codingagentsgrewfrom$1Bto$24B,yettherestofthecodingmarketstillgrew2.9xtoS10B.Evenexcludingthelabs'ownapps,thelargestappmarketsaretheonesthelabstargetmost:coding,AIassistants($9.5B)andhealthcare($3.7B).
EnterpriseAISpendHit$177Bin2026,UpOver5xinOneYear
USDBiions
GlobalEnterpriseAlDeploymentSpend,2023-2026
S200
$176.8B
$150
$100
$33.0B
2025
$50
$8.5B
2024
+3.9X
$1.7B
2023
2026YTD*
◎
2026MenloVenturesSouce:htps:///perspecfive/2026-the-stae-of-enterprise-ail*2026YTDdataisasofSeptember2026
EnterprisegenerativeAldeploymentspendinghasgrownroughly100xinthreeyears,from$1.7Bin2023toS8.5Bin2024[5.0x]andS33Bin2025[3.9x].BySeptember2026,spendingreached$176.8B,up5.4xfromlastyear.
PartI.TheAgentInflection
AgentsHaveGrownto80%OfAIUsage
ThebiggeststoryofthepastyearhasbeentheriseofAIagents.ThelaunchofAnthropic's*Opus4.5inNovember
2025markedaninflectionpointasthemodel—forthefirsttime—allowedAItomovebeyondansweringquestionsinconversationalturnstoexecutingcomplex,multi-steptaskswithlimitedhumanoversight.
Sincethen,agentshavenowgrowntobecomethebiggestconsumersofAImodels.OnOpenRouter,aplatformthatgivesdevelopersaccesstohundredsofAImodels,theynowaccountfor80%ofalltokens,roughly7xhuman-drivenusage.
Agentvs.HumanTokensonOpenRouter
WeeklyTokenUsage
—Agentic
150
130.9T
Feb5,2026:
Opus4.6andGPT-5.3-Codexreleased
Trilions
100
Feb6,2026:
Nov24,2025:
Opus4.5released
Agenticpasseshuman
50
18.3T
Nov2025Jan2026Mar2026May2026Jul2026
Sep2025
14.9TSep2026
◎
2026MenloVenturesSource:OpenRouter:httos:///berspective/2026-the-state-of-enterorise-ail
AgentshaveovertakenhumansasthedominantconsumersofAl.OnopenRouter,agentsnowgenerate80%ofalltokens-130.9tilionperweek,roughly7xhuman-drivenusage.
AgenttraffictripledtheweekafterOpus4.5'slaunch,thenovertookhumantrafficinearlyFebruaryfollowingthe
launchesofOpus4.6andGPT-5-3-Codex.Sincethen,ithasgrown37x,vs.5xforhuman-drivenusage.OpenRouterisjustonechannel,butitshowshowquicklyAIconsumptionisshiftingfromhumansaskingquestionstomachinesdoingwork.
LeadingAIappsrebuiltaroundthisnewautonomy:HarveyandLegora*eachre-architectedcontractreviewfromafixedworkflowintoamulti-agentsystem,andSierralaunchedHorizon,aplatformforagentsthapursuegoalsoverdaysorweeks,likeoriginatingaloan.Factory*,whoseDroidsalreadyworkedautonomously,alsotookoffwiththenewmodels—doublingrevenuemonthovermonthforsixstraightmonthsthroughApril2026.
◎2026MenboVentures
AILabsCapture69%ofEveryEnterpriseAIDollar
Asagentstakeonmorework,buyersarepayingapremiumforthemostcapablemodels,evenasmuchcheaperoptionshavebecomeavailable.WeestimateAnthropic,OpenAI,andGooglecommand$122.7Bofenterprisespend—69%ofalldeploymentdollars,upfrom50%lastyearand2.3xtherestofthemarketcombined.
ConcentrationisnotjustattheAPIlayer.Thelabs'first-partyappsalsodominatetheapplayerandnowtotal
$40.0B:ClaudeCodeandCodexaccountfor$24.0B(70%)ofcodingspend,whileenterpriseClaude,ChatGPT,andGeminimakeup$15.5B(62%)oftheAIchatbotandproductivityspend.
Fornow,themoneyfollowsmodelprogress.Valueaccruestothelabsthatintroduceanewcapabilitylike
long-horizonagents,andtheinitialappstheybuildaroundit.Overtimethough,weexpectthisconcentrationtoeaseasthecapabilitymaturesandapplicationcompaniesbringittonewmarkets.
FrontierLabsCapture69%ofEveryEnterpriseDollar,UpFrom50%
EnterpriseSpendonFrontierLabsvs.theRestoftheMarket
Frontierlabs
2025S11.2B$16.5B
$33.0B
50%frontierlabs
43.3×
$176.8B
2026
$54.1B
$40.0B
$82.7B
69%frontierlabs
◎2026MenloVenturesSource:
/perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-all
Frontierlabsarepulingawayfromthepack.Anthropic,OpenAl,andGooglecapture69%ofenterpriseAlspending[S122.7B]in2026,upfrom50%lastyear.Theirspendinggrew7.5xYoY,comparedwith3.3xforeveryoneelse.
AnthropicLeadsinanIncreasinglyTwo-HorseRace
IntheracetowinAIbuilders,AnthropicandOpenAInowaccountfor86%ofenterpriseLLMAPIspend,upfrom67%lastyear.Asthemarketconsolidatesaroundthefrontierleaders,modelcapability—notprice—isprovingtobethedecisivecompetitiveadvantage.
◎2026MenboVentures
AnthropicandOpenAINowCommand86%ofEnterpriseLLMAPISpend
EnterpriseLLMAPIMarketSharebySpend
□Anthropic□OpenAl□Google□MetaLlama□Other
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
15%
16%
7%
50%
12%
2023
14%
16%
12%
34%
24%
2024
8%
21%
27%
40%
2025
9%
31%
55%
2026
86%
ofenterpriseLLMAPlspendbelongsto
AnthropicandOpenAl,inanincreasingly
two-horserace
◎
2026MenloVenturesSource:httos:///perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ail
AnthropicandOpenAlarepulingawayfromthecompeition.Together,theycapture86%ofenterpriseLLMAPlspending,upfrom67%lastyear
·Anthropicwidenedlastyear'slead,growingfrom40%to55%onthestrengthofitsOpusmodels,whichexcelatlong-horizontasksandcodinginparticular.
·OpenAlalsogainedshare,from27%to31%,withaparticularlystrongsecondhalfoftheyeardrivenbythereleaseofitsGPT-5.6models(Sol,Terra,Luna)inJulyandGPT-6inSeptember.
.Googlefellfurthest,from21%to9%.Gemini3ProputthelabatthefrontierinNovember2025,butGooglehasn'tmatchedAnthropic'sandOpenAI'sflagshipmodelssince,anditsAPIspendnowskewstowardcheaperFlashmodels.
●Near-frontiermodelshaven'tbrokenthrough.xAI'sGrok4.7andopen-sourcemodelslikeMoonshot'sKimi
K3,DeepSeek'sV4,andZAI'sGLM-5-3approachfrontierperformanceatafractionoftheprice,yettogetherholdjustunder5%ofLLMAPIspend.
AISpendingBlowsPastBudgetsasAgentsDriveDemand
TheaverageenterpriseplannedtonearlydoubletheirAIspendin2026.Theyendeduppayingfarmore.
Reportedspendingaveraged4.7xlastyear'slevel,againstaplanned1.9x—roughly2.5xplan.Medianspendingalsoexceededexpectations,thoughnotnearlyasdramatically:Spendreached2.2xlastyear'slevelagainsta1.8x
◎2026MenkoVentures
◎2026MenboVentures
expectation.ThedifferencebetweenaverageandmedianreflectsAI's“fathead”:asmallgroupofpowerusersaccountsforadisproportionateshareofAIspendandgrewfarfasterthanmostenterprises.
EnterpriseAISpendIsOutpacingBudgets
Budgetedvs.actual2026spend,asamultipleof2025spend
3
1.9x
Budget
Average
+147%
4.7x
Actual
Lastyear'sspend=1x
Median
1.8x
Budget
+22%
2.2x
Actual
◎2026MenloVenturesSource:
/perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ail
EnterpriseAlspendingblewpastexpectationsin2026:Onaverage,companiesspent4.7xtheir2025levelsagainstaplanned1.9×-
roughly2.5xwhattheybudgeted.Medianspendingalsoexceededexpectations,reaching2.2xlastyearslevelagainstaplanned1.8x.
Asforthedifferencebetweenactualandplannedspend,agentsexplainthegap.Theyworkindependently,runinparallel,andkeepgoingevenafterpeoplestepaway,sospendingscaleswithworkratherthanheadcount.This
growthwasthekeydriveroftheAImarketinflectionthisyear:Spendperenterprisenearlyquintupledwhileadoptionamongenterprisesroseonlyfrom55%to65%.
Lookingforward,wereadthisasanencouragingsignofsustainedfuturedemand:WithsomuchAIspendcomingfrompowerusers,bothadoptionandusagestillhavesignificantroomtogrowacrossthelongtailoftherestoftheeconomy.
AlIsGrowingtheSoftwareMarket,NotEatingIt
At$176.8B,AIdeploymentspendnowequalsmorethan30%ofpubliccloudrevenue,upfromjust6%ayearago.Whereisthatmoneycomingfrom?
Mostlynewbudgets,whichfunded55%ofincrementalAIspend,comparedwith22%fromsoftwarebudgets一
thoughevenwiththat,most(13%)stayedwithincumbentsconvertingSaaSlicensestoAI,likeMicrosoftOffice
toCopilot,whileonly9%($12.6B)movedtoAI-nativevendors,abouta2-pointgrowthheadwindfortheS600B+applicationSaaSmarket(from+13%lastyearto+11%thisyear).
◎2026MenloVentures
OurstudyalsofoundlimitedevidenceofenterprisesreplacingcoresystemssuchasSalesforce'sCRM,Workday'sHRIS,orOracle'sNetSuitewithAI.Inotherwords,AIissignificantlyexpandingtheoverallsoftwaremarketwhilemodestlyslowinggrowthfortraditionalSaaS.ThequestionfortheseincumbentsmovingforwardwillbewhethertheirnewAIproductscanwinenoughincrementalspendtoavoiddeceleratinggrowthalongsidetheSaaSmarket.
MoreMoneyGoesintoUsingAIThanBuildingIt
Forevery$1theindustryspendsbuildingAImodels,enterprisesspendaboutS1.70puttingthemtowork.AsofSeptember2026,weestimateS176.8BinenterprisespendingonusingAI(up5.4x)versusS102.5Bonbuildingmodels(up5.3x).
Thatdemandunderwritesthebuildout.WeestimatethatAnthropicandOpenAIaloneaccountfor25%+ofAWS,Azure,andGoogleCloudrevenue,withmuchofthatspendgoingtotraining.Thatinvestmentonlypaysoffif
enterpriseskeepputtingmodelstowork,whichagentsarenowdriving.
WhereDoestheAIBudgetGo?
USDBillions
EnterpriseAISpendbyCategory:2025vs.2026
□2025□2026
+5
$100$94.2
$87.2
S75
$50
$34.0
4+3.8x
$15.3
$25.0
4+3.0×
$25
+3.5×
$15.3
$18.3
$12.5
$5.3$1.5
Alinfrastructure
S8.4
$4.0
Trainingdata+
$6.1
$4.4
so
Foundationmodels+inference
Alassistants+productivity
Otherapps
Trainingcompute
Coding
INFRASTRUCTURE:$99.5BAPPLICATIONAI:S77.3BMODELDEVELOPMENT:$102.5B
DEPLOYMENT:$176.8B+5.3xYOY
◎2026MenloVenturesSource:
/perspoctlive/2026-the-state-of-enterprlse-all
Spendonbuildingmodelsgrew5.3xto$102.5Bin2026
,
and
spendonusingAlgrew5.4xto$176.8B,1.7xasmuch.
Deployment(usingAl)-$176.8B:
.Infrastructure($99.5B):Thestackthatrunsmodelsandtheagentsbuiltonthem,fromfrontiermodel
inference(Anthropic,OpenAI,Google)andinferenceplatforms(Fireworks⁴,Baseten,Modal*,Gimlet*)toagentinfrastructure(Databricks*,Temporal*).
·Applications($77.3B):AIproductsenterprisesuse,includingcoding($34.0B;ClaudeCode,Codex)andworkplaceassistants($25.0B;MicrosoftCopilot).
Development(buildingAl)-$102.5B:
Trainingcompute(S87.2B):Thecomputethattrainsmodels,fromhyperscalers(AWS,Azure,GoogleCloud)tospecializedclouds(CoreWeave,Together).
Trainingdataandservices($15.3B):Theinputsfortrainingmodels,includingexpertdataandevaluations(Mercor⁴)andreinforcement-learningenvironments(Fleet*).
PartII.ModelUsage
BuyersKeepPayingUpfortheFrontier
FrontierModelsAreGainingShare
11%
5%
20%
29%
17%
18%
19%
12%
13%
13%
42%
4%
15%
4%
13%
63%
6%
23%
9%
24%
35%
Closed-sourceOpen-source
ShareofSpendShareofTokens
100%
75%
50%
25%
0%
Q32025Q32026Q32025Q32026
□Frontier□Mid-tier□Small□Oldermodels□Specialized□Alltiers
◎2026MenloVentures
Frontierandopen-sourcemodelsaregainingground,squeezingsmalleclosedofenterpriseAlspendingrosefrom35%to63%,whiletokenshareclimbedfromshare[11%to19%],whilesmallerclosedmodelsfellfrom29%to13%.
Source:htto///pespeclive/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ai/
models.FromQ32025toQ32026,frontiermodels'share18%to42%.Open-sourcemodelsalsogainedtoken
◎2026MenboVentures
◎2026MenkoVentures
Open-sourceusageisrisingand,inrecentweeks,AnthropicandOpenAIhavestarteddiscountingeventheirflagshipmodels.Theresultissharpercompetitionateveryintelligencetier,butourdatashowbuyerscontinuetoprioritizecapabilityovercostinmodelselection.
·Frontiermodelsaregainingshare.Frontiermodelsmorethandoubledtheirshareoftokens,from18%to42%,outpacingevenopen-sourcegrowth.Theirshareofspendingalsoclimbed,from35%to63%.
·Buyersaretradingupfromlessexpensivemodels.Ayearago,themostpopularmodelswereClaudeSonnet4.5($3permillioninputtokens/$15permillionoutputtokens)andGPT-5($1.25/$10).Today,theyareClaudeOpus5.5($4/$20)andGPT-6Astra($10/$60).Themixshifthaskeptmostofthevaluewiththemostcapablemodels,
evenasindividualmodelfamiliesarediscounted.
·Thepricewarisatthelowend.Frontierlabshavecutsmall-modelpricesby80%ormore,yetsmallclosedmodelslikeHaikuandLunastillsawtheirshareoftokensfallfrom29%to13%asopen-sourcecompetesforthoseworkloads.
Open-SourceIsTakingOffinUsagebutNotSpend-Yet
Open-sourcenowhandlesaboutoneinfivetokensbutaccountsforonlyaboutonein25dollarsofmodelspending,drivenbyasignificantdeltainpricebetweenclosedandopen-sourcemodels.
Open-SourceIsWinningTokensbutNotDollars
15
10
MonthlyTokenVolume[Quadrillions]
+12.1x
12.3
20%
10%
0%
$1.00
Open-SourceShareofAPIUsage+Spend
19%
11%
6%
Sep2025Sep2026
AveragePricePerMillionTokens
1.0
0.1
Sep2025
2.9
Sep2026
$0.92
S0.45
Sep2025
S0.70
$0.13
Sep2026
◎2026MenloVentures
Open-sourceisgaininggroundinusage,butlosingspendingshare.FromSeptember2025toSeptember2026,itsshareoftokensrosefrom11%to19%,whileitsshareofspendingfellfrom6%to4%,drivenbya3.3xdropinaveragetokenprices.
Fourkeytrends:
1.Volumeisupsharply.Open-sourcevolumeisup22.5xtoanestimated2.9quadrilliontokenspermonth,
comfortablyoutpacingclosed-sourcetokengrowthof12.1x.MuchofitrunsoninferencecloudslikeFireworksandModal,bothofwhichpassed$1billioninrevenuerunratethisyear.
2.Butpricesfellevenfaster.Theaverageopen-sourcetokenfell3.3xinpriceto$0.13permillion,whiletheblendedpriceofclosed-modeltokensfell24%to$0.70.Asaresult,open-source’sshareofspenddrifteddownfrom6%to4%,evenasitsshareoftokensnearlydoubled.
3.Chinesemodelsdominateopen-sourcespend.Astheircapabilitieshavedefinedtheopen-sourcefrontier,Chinesemodelsgrewto89%ofopen-sourcespend,ledbyKimi(61%),DeepSeek(15%),GLM(11%),andQwen(3%).Meta’sLlamaisthemostpopularWesternopen-sourcemodelat7%.
4.Agentspullblendedpricesdown,too.Cachereadscanmakeup95%ormoreofanagent’stokens,and
they’recheap:Opus5.5charges$0.20permillionforthem,vs.$4forfreshinputand$20foroutput.Atamixof3%freshinputand2%output,anagentsessioncostsabout$0.70permilliontokens.Asagentsaccountformoreoftheusage,theaveragepricepertokenfalls.
Post-TrainingIsStillEarly(andHard),butanEcosystemIsEmerging
Openweightsgivebuilderssomethingclosedmodelslargelycan’t:controloverthemodelitself.Post-trainingletsthemspecializemodelsfortheirowntaskstolowercostsandreducedependenceonfrontierlabs.Adoptionrosefrom6%ofAIbuildersin2025to10%thisyear,butitremainslimited.
Twothingsholditback:specializedmodelsneedconstantupdatestokeeppacewithafrontierthatmoveseveryfewmonths,andmostapplicationcompanieslacktheexpertisetotrainthemeffectively.Thatcreatesanopportunityforinfrastructureandservicesproviders.Amongbuildersthatpost-train,91%useoutsidepartners,including:
•50%useinfrastructureproviderslikeFireworksandModal
•41%useexpert-dataandevaluationplatformslikeMercor
•30%usespecialistslikeAppliedCompute,Trajectory,andNoeri*
Cursor*builtComposer2onKimiK2.5,withFireworksprovidinginferenceinfrastructureforreinforcement-learningrollouts.HarveydevelopedTenetwithFireworksandMercor,andseparatelypartneredwithAppliedComputeonitsReviewTablemodel.
©2026MenloVentures
◎2026MenloVentures
Only10%ofAIBuildersPost-Train;91%ofThoseRelyonOutsidePartners
Post-trainingadoptionandthepartnersbehindit
AlBuildersThatPost-Train
Ofthe10%ThatPost-Train:PartnersTheyUse
2025
6%
2026
InferenceprovidersExpertdataandevalsPost-trainingvendorsEntirelyin-house
50%
41%
30%
9%
◎2026MenloVenturesMulipleresponsesallowed;partnerpercentagessumtomorethan100%.Source:hltos://menlovcs
Post-trainingadoptionamongAlbuildersrosefrom6%in2025to10%in2026,with91%ofthosewhopost-trainrelyingonoutside
partners.
PartIⅢI.AgentsinProduction
AISpendConcentratesWhereAgentsWorkBest
ThetotalAIapplicationmarketisnowS77.3B,upfrom$19Blastyear.Butjusttwomarketsaccountfor76%ofallappspend:coding($34.0B,up7.7x)andenterprisechatbots($25.0B,up3.0x).Toputthatinperspective,healthcare—oneoftheworld'slargestindustries—ranksadistantthirdatjustS3.7B.
Agentshavedrivenmuchofthegrowthinthesetwomarkets,asbothprovidekeyconditionsthathelpagentssucceed:
1.Environmentsagentscanactin.Agentsneedconnectionstothesystemswhereworkhappenssotheycanretrievecontextandtakeaction.Coderepositoriesandconnectedappslikeemail,Slack,anddriveprovidethataccess.
2.Completecontextagentscanlearnfrom.Agentsneedboththetacitknowledgebehindarequest(itsintent,assumptions,andorganization-specificconventions)aswellastheproceduralknowledgeforhowworkusuallygetsdone.Code,documentation,andworkedexamplesmakebothaccessible.
3.Resultsagentscanverify.Clearsuccesscriteriahelpmodelslearnduringtrainingandagentsassessprogressandcorrectmistakesinproduction.Codingisespeciallystronginthisregard:compilerscheckwhethercode
builds,andtestscheckwhetheritbehavesasexpected.Commonenterpriseagenttaskslikeknowledgeretrievalarealsorelativelyeasytoverify.
CodingLeadsAlApplicationSpend
CodingandAlassistantsaccountfor76%ofthe$77.3Bmarket
Coding
Chatbots
Healthcare
Customersuccess
$3.7B
$2.7B
2026ApplicationAISpend
S25.0B
$34.0B
YoYgrowth
+7.74+3.0x+2.5×
+4.3×
Shareoftotal
44%
32%
5%
3%
Legal
$1.8B
$1.6B
+2.8×
2%
2%
Creators
Sales
Marketing
Humanresources
Government
$1.5B
+5.0×
2%
$1.4B
4+3.6×
2%
$1.2B
+1.8×
2%
$0.9B
+2.5×
1%
$0.9B
+2.6×
1%
Financialservices
s0.8B
+8.0×
1%
Design
Other
□so.6B
Newin2026
1%
□$1.8B
+2.5×
2%
◎2026MenloVenturesSource:
https///perspective/2026-the-stote-of-enterprise-ail
Alapplicationspendingisconcentratedintwomarkets.In2026,coding(S34.0B,up7.7x)andenterpriseAlchatbots(S25.0B,up3.0x)
accountedfor76%ofthe$77.3Bmarket.Healthcarerankedadistantthirdat$3.7B.
Wheretheseconditionshold,spendfollows.Customersuccess,wheresupportplaybooksdocumentthesteps
andresolutionsdefinesuccess,grew4.3xto$2.7B.Wheretheyarehardertomeet,growthislessrobust.Humanresources,whereworkofteninvolvesmoresubjectivejudgment,grewslower(2.5x),atsmallerscale,toS0.9B.
Marketingsimilarlygrewjust1.8xto$1.2B.
Coding:AlLabsLead,butAreCatalyzingaMassiveAppEcosystem
AsAI'sfirstkillerusecase,softwaredevelopmentpreviewshowagentscantransformanentirecategory.Theimpactisnowvisibleatecosystemscale:Enterprisecodeactivityisup5xyearoveryear,andthatdoesn'tincludevibe
coding,whereLovable*aloneaddsmorereposinamonth(+32M)thanallofGitHub(+24M).
Thelabscapturemostofthespend.Anthropic'sClaudeCodeandOpenA'sCodexcombinefor$24.0B,70%ofthe$34.0Bcodingmarket,upfromaboutS1Blastyear.
◎2026MenboVentures
◎2026MenloVentures
Butindependentcompaniesaregrowing,too.Therestofthemarketgrew2.9xto$10.1B,ledbycodingplatforms
likeCursor,Cognition,andFactory,aswellasAIappbuilderslikeLovable.Morecodeisalsocreatingdemandfor
thetoolsthatreview,deploy,andmaintainit:PierreandEastRiverSourceControlincodestorage,Greptile*incodereview,HarnessandBlacksmithinbuildanddeploy,andResolveinSRE.
AICodingHit$34BasFrontierLabsandCodingAppsBothSurged
Frontierlabcodingagentsgrew24xtoS24.0B,andtherestofthemarketgrew2.9xto$10.1B,ledbycodingplatforms{S7.8B)
AICodingSpendbyCategory
□2025□2026
$40+7.7x
$34.0
$30
$20
$24.0
USDBillions
$10
$o
$4.4
Total
$7.8
$2.6
$1.0$0.5
FrontierlabcodingagentsCodingplafformsAlapp
$1.3
builders
+2.6×
$0.4$1.0
DevOps+QA
◎2026MenloVentures2025isrestatedtoS4.4Bfromthe$4.0Bpublishedlastyear,
mostlybyaddingbuildanddeploy.Source:httos:///perspective/2026-the-state-of-enterprise-ail
HorizontalApps:AlIsProliferatingWellBeyondCoding
Horizontalappsserveafunction
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