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1、Multiple Choice Questi ons 1. As diversificati on in creases, the total varia nee of a portfolio approaches. A) 0 B) 1 C) the varianee of the market portfolio D) infinity E) none of the above An swer: C Difficulty: Easy Rati on ale: As more and more securities are added to the portfolio, un systemat
2、ic risk decreases and most of the rema ining risk is systematic, as measured by the varia nee of the market portfolio. 2. The index model was first suggested by. A) Graham B) Markowitz C) Miller D) Sharpe E) none of the above An swer: D Difficulty: Easy Rati on ale: William Sharpe, buildi ng on the
3、work of Harry Markowitz, developed the in dex model. 3. A single-index model uses as a proxy for the systematic risk factor. A) a market index, such as the S thus, betas over time regress toward the mean, or 1. Therefore, if historic betas are less than 1, adjusted betas are between 1 and the calcul
4、ated beta. 14. The beta of Exxon stock has been estimated as 1.2 by Merrill Lynch using regression analysis on a sample of historical returns. The Merrill Lynch adjusted beta of Exxon stock would be . A) 1.20 B) 1.32 C) 1.13 D) 1.0 E) none of the above Answer: C Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: Adjus
5、ted beta = 2/3 sample beta + 1/3(1); = 2/3(1.2) + 1/3 = 1.13. 15. Assume that stock market returns do not resemble a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 100 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 100 investments. They will need to calculate ex
6、pected returns and variances of returns. A) 100, 100 B) 100, 4950 C) 4950, 100 D) 4950, 4950 E) none of the above Answer: A Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: The expected returns of each of the 100 securities must be calculated. In addition, the 100 variances around these returns must be calculated. 1
7、6. Assume that stock market returns do not resemble a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 100 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 100 investments. They will need to calculate covariances. A) 45 B) 100 C) 4,950 D) 10,000 E) none of the above
8、 Answer: C Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: (n2 - n)/2 = (10,000 - 100)/2 = 4,950 covariances must be calculated. 17. Assume that stock market returns do follow a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 200 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 20
9、0 investments. They will need to calculate estimates of expected returns and estimates of sensitivity coefficients to the macroeconomic factor. A) 200; 19,900 B) 200; 200 C) 19,900; 200 D) 19,900; 19.900 E) none of the above Answer: B Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: For a single-index model, n(200),
10、 expected returns and n(200) sensitivity coefficients to the macroeconomic factor must be estimated. 18. Assume that stock market returns do follow a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 500 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 500 investment
11、s. They will need to calculate estimates of firm-specific variances and estimates for the variance of the macroeconomic factor. A) 500; 1 B) 500; 500 C) 124,750; 1 D) 124,750; 500 E) 250,000; 500 Answer: A Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: For the single-index model, n(500) estimates of firm-specific
12、variances must be calculated and 1 estimate for the variance of the common macroeconomic factor. 19. Consider the single-index model. The alpha of a stock is 0%. The return on the market index is 16%. The risk-free rate of return is 5%. The stock earns a return that exceeds the risk-free rate by 11%
13、 and there are no firm-specific events affecting the stock performanee. The B of the stock is. A) 0.67 B) 0.75 C) 1.0 D) 1.33 E) 1.50 Answer: C Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: 11% = 0% + b(11%); b = 1.0. 20. Suppose you held a well-diversified portfolio with a very large number of securities, and th
14、at the single index model holds. If the of your portfolio3was 0.20 and M was o 0.16, the ofBthe portfolio would be approximately . A) 0.64 B) 0.80 C) 1.25 D) 1.56 E) none of the above Answer: C Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: s2p / s2m = b2; (0.2)2/(0.16)2 = 1.56; b = 1.25. 21. Suppose the followin
15、g equation best describes the evolution oBf over time: Bt = 0.25 + 0.75 t-1B B to be in t If a stock had a B of 0.6 last year, you would forecast the year. A) 0.45 B) 0.60 C) 0.70 D) 0.75 E) none of the above Answer: C Difficulty: Easy Rationale: 0.25 + 0.75(0.6) = 0.70. 22. Merrill Lynch estimates
16、the index model for a stock using regression analysis involving total returns. They estimated the in tercept in the regressi on equati on at 6% and that 0.5. The risk-free rate of return is 12%. The true h of the stock is. A) 0% B) 3% C) 6% D) 9% E) none of the above Answer: A Difficulty: Difficult
17、Rationale: 6% = a + 12% (1 - 0.5); a = 0%. 23. The index model for stock A has been estimated with the following result: RA = 0.01 + 0.9RM + eA If mt= 0.25 and RA = 0.25, the standard deviation of return of stock A is A) 0.2025 B) 0.2500 C) 0.4500 D) 0.8100 E) none of the above Answer: C Difficulty:
18、 Difficult Rationale: R2 = b2s2M / s2;0.25 = (0.81)(0.25)2/s2; s = 0.4500. 24. The index model for stock B has been estimated with the following result: RB = 0.01 + 1.1RM + eB If w= 0.20 and R2B = 0.50, the standard deviation of the return on stock B is A) 0.1111 B) 0.2111 C) 0.3111 D) 0.4111 E) non
19、e of the above Answer: C Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: R2 = b2s2M / s2; 0.5 = (1.1)2(0.2)2/s2; s = 0.3111. 25. Suppose you forecast that the market index will earn a return of 15% in the coming year. Treasury bills are yielding 6%. The unadjustedB of Mobil stock is 1.30. A reasonab forecast of th
20、e return on Mobil stock for the coming year is if you use Merrill Lynch adjusted betas. A) 15.0% B) 15.5% C) 16.0% D) 16.8% E) none of the above Answer: D Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: Adjusted beta = 2/3(1.3) + 1/3 = 1.20; E(rM) = 6% + 1.20(9%) = 16.8%. 26. The index model has been estimated for
21、 stocks A and B with the following results: RA = 0.01 + 0.5RM + eA RB = 0.02 + 1.3RM + eB o|M = 0.25厲( thus, betas over time regress toward the mean, or 1. Therefore, if historic betas are more than 1, adjusted betas are between 1 and the calculated beta. 41. The beta of a stock has been estimated a
22、s 1.8 by Merrill Lynch using regression analysis on a sample of historical returns. The Merrill Lynch adjusted beta of the stock would be A) 1.20 B) 1.53 C) 1.13 D) 1.0 E) none of the above Answer: B Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: Adjusted beta = 2/3 sample beta + 1/3(1); = 2/3(1.8) + 1/3 = 1.53. 4
23、2. Assume that stock market returns do not resemble a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 40 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 40 investments. They will need to calculate expected returns and variances of returns. A) 100, 100 B) 40, 40 C)
24、 4950, 100 D) 4950, 4950 E) none of the above Answer: B Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: The expected returns of each of the 40 securities must be calculated. In addition, the 40 variances around these returns must be calculated. 43. Assume that stock market returns do not resemble a single-index str
25、ucture. An investment fund analyzes 40 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 40 investments. They will need to calculate covariances. A) 45 B) 780 C) 4,950 D) 10,000 E) none of the above Answer: B Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: (n2 - n)/2 = (1,600 - 40)/2 =
26、 780 covariances must be calculated. 44. Assume that stock market returns do follow a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 60 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 60 investments. They will need to calculate estimates of expected returns and e
27、stimates of sensitivity coefficients to the macroeconomic factor. A) 200; 19,900 B) 200; 200 C) 60; 60 D) 19,900; 19.900 E) none of the above Answer: C Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: For a single-index model, n(60), expected returns and n(60) sensitivity coefficients to the macroeconomic factor mus
28、t be estimated. 45. Consider the single-index model. The alpha of a stock is 0%. The return on the market index is 10%. The risk-free rate of return is 3%. The stock earns a return that exceeds the risk-free rate by 11% and there are no firm-specific events affecting the stock performanee. The B of
29、the stock is. A) 0.64 B) 0.75 C) 1.17 D) 1.33 E) 1.50 Answer: A Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: 7% = 0% + b(11%); b = 0.636. 46. Suppose you held a well-diversified portfolio with a very large number of securities, and that the sin gle in dex model holds. If the cof your portfolio was 0.25 and(?m wa
30、s 0.21, the B of the portfolio would be approximately . A) 0.64 B) 1.19 C) 1.25 D) 1.56 E) none of the above Answer: B Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: s2p / s2m = b2; (0.25)2/(0.21)2 = 1.417; b = 1.19. 47. Suppose you held a well-diversified portfolio with a very large number of securities, and tha
31、t the single index model holds. If thec of your portfoliMo was 0.18 and 0.22, the B of the portfolio would be approximately . A) 0.64 B) 1.19 C) 0.82 D) 1.56 E) none of the above Answer: C Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: s2p / s2m = b2; (0.18)2/(0.22)2 = 0.669; b = 0.82. 48. Suppose the following e
32、quation best describes the evolution op over time: at = 0.4 + 0.6 t-1 B If a stock had a p of 0.9 last year, you would forecast the year. A) 0.45 B) 0.60 C) 0.70 D) 0.94 E) none of the above Answer: D Difficulty: Easy Rationale: 0.4 + 0.6(0.9) = 0.94. 49. Suppose the following equation best describe
33、s the evolution oBf over time: Bt= 0.3 + 0.2 t-1B If a stock had a B of 0.8 last year, you would forecast the year. A) 0.46 B) 0.60 C) 0.70 D) 0.94 E) none of the above B to be in t B to be in t Answer: A Difficulty: Easy Rationale: 0.3 + 0.2(0.8) = 0.46. 50. The index model for stock A has been est
34、imated with the following result: RA = 0.01 + 0.94RM + eA If mt= 0.30 and R2A = 0.28, the standard deviation of return of stock A is A) 0.2025 B) 0.2500 C) 0.4500 D) 0.5329 E) none of the above Answer: D Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: R2 = b2s2M / s2; 0.28 = (0.94) 2(0.30) 2 / .28; s = 0.5329. 51.
35、 30. A reasonable forecast of the return on Mobil stock for the coming year is if you use Merrill Lynch adjusted betas. A) 15.0% B) 15.5% C) 16.0% D) 14.6% E) none of the above Answer: D Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: Adjusted beta = 2/3(1.5) + 1/3 = 1.33; E(rM) = 4% + 1.33(8%) = 14.6%. 52. The in
36、dex model has been estimated for stocks A and B with the following results: RA = 0.01 + 0.8RM + eA RB = 0.02 + 1.1RM + eB 帥=0.30(TA(e= 0.20b) =e0.10 The covariance between the returns on stocks A and B is . A) 0.0384 B) 0.0406 C) 0.1920 D) 0.0050 E) 0.0792 Answer: E Difficulty: Difficult Rationale:
37、Cov(RA,RB) = bAbBs2M = 0.8(1.1)(0.30)2 = 0.0792. 53. If a firms beta was calculated as 1.35 in a regression equation, Merrill Lynch would state the adjusted beta at a number A) less than 1.35 B) between 0.0 and 1.0. C) between 1.0 and 1.35. D) greater than 1.35. E) zero or less. Answer: C Difficulty
38、: Moderate Rationale: Betas, on average, equal one; thus, betas over time regress toward the mean, or 1. Therefore, if historic betas are less than 1, adjusted betas are between 1 and the calculated beta. 54. The beta of a stock has been estimated as 1.4 by Merrill Lynch using regression analysis on
39、 a sample of historical returns. The Merrill Lynch adjusted beta of the stock would be A) 1.27 B) 1.32 C) 1.13 D) 1.0 E) none of the above Answer: A Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: Adjusted beta = 2/3 sample beta + 1/3(1); = 2/3(1.4) + 1/3 = 1.27. 55. The beta of a stock has been estimated as 0.85 b
40、y Merrill Lynch using regression analysis on a sample of historical returns. The Merrill Lynch adjusted beta of the stock would be . A) 1.01 B) 0.95 C) 1.13 D) 0.90 E) none of the above Answer: D Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: Adjusted beta = 2/3 sample beta + 1/3(1); = 2/3(0.85) + 1/3 = 0.90. 56.
41、Assume that stock market returns do not resemble a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 125 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 125 investments. They will need to calculate expected returns and variances of returns. A) 125, 125 B) 125, 15,62
42、5 C) 15,625, 125 D) 15,625, 15,625 E) none of the above Answer: A Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: The expected returns of each of the 125 securities must be calculated. In addition, the 125 variances around these returns must be calculated. 57. Assume that stock market returns do not resemble a sing
43、le-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 125 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 125 investments. They will need to calculate covariances. A) 90 B) 125 C) 7,750 D) 15,625 E) none of the above Answer: C Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: (n2 - n)/2 = (1
44、5,625 - 125)/2 = 7,750 covariances must be calculated. 58. Assume that stock market returns do not resemble a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 132 stocks in order to construct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 132 investments. They will need to calculate covarianc
45、es. A) 100 B) 132 C) 4,950 D) 8,646 E) none of the above Answer: D Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: (n2 - n)/2 = (17,424 - 132)/2 = 8,646 covariances must be calculated. 59. Assume that stock market returns do follow a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 217 stocks in order to constru
46、ct a mean-variance efficient portfolio constrained by 217 investments. They will need to calculate estimates of expected returns and estimates of sensitivity coefficients to the macroeconomic factor. A) 217; 47,089 B) 217; 217 C) 47,089; 217 D) 47,089; 47,089 E) none of the above Answer: B Difficult
47、y: Moderate Rationale: For a single-index model, n(217), expected returns and n(217) sensitivity coefficients to the macroeconomic factor must be estimated. 60. Assume that stock market returns do follow a single-index structure. An investment fund analyzes 500 stocks in order to construct a mean-va
48、riance efficient portfolio constrained by 750 investments. They will need to calculate estimates of firm-specific variances and estimates for the variance of the macroeconomic factor. A) 750; 1 B) 750; 750 C) 124,750; 1 D) 124,750; 750 E) 562,500; 750 Answer: A Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: For th
49、e single-index model, n(750) estimates of firm-specific variances must be calculated and 1 estimate for the variance of the common macroeconomic factor. 61. Consider the single-index model. The alpha of a stock is 0%. The return on the market index is 10%. The risk-free rate of return is 5%. The sto
50、ck earns a return that exceeds the risk-free rate by 5% and there are no firm-specific events affecting the stock performanee. The B of the stock is. A) 0.67 B) 0.75 C) 1.0 D) 1.33 E) 1.50 Answer: C Difficulty: Moderate Rationale: 5% = 0% + b(5%); b = 1.0. 62. Suppose you held a well-diversified por
51、tfolio with a very large number of securities, and that the single index model holds. If theo of your portfolio was 0.24 and 0.18, the B of the portfolio would be approximately . A) 0.64 B) 1.33 C) 1.25 D) 1.56 E) none of the above Answer: B Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: s2p / s2m = b2; (0.24)2/(
52、0.18)2 = 1.78; b = 1.33. 63. Suppose you held a well-diversified portfolio with a very large number of securities, and that the singe in dex model holds. If thec of your portfolio wasM0.W4a nd 0.19, the B of the portfolio would be approximately. A) 0.74 B) 0.80 C) 1.25 D) 1.56 E) none of the above A
53、nswer: A Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: s2p / s2m = b2; (0.14)2/(0.19)2 = 0.54; b = 0.74. 64. Suppose the following equation best describes the evolution oBf over time: B to be in Bt = 0.30 + 0.70 t-1B If a stock had a B of 0.82 last year, you would forecast the year. A) 0.91 B) 0.77 C) 0.63 D) 0.
54、87 E) none of the above Answer: D Difficulty: Easy Rationale: 0.30 + 0.70(0.82) = 0.874. 65. The index model has been estimated for stocks A and B with the following results: RA = 0.03 + 0.7RM + eA B c) =(e0. 1 0 RB = 0.01 + 0.9RM + eB cM = 0.35 cA ()e= 0.20 The covariance between the returns on sto
55、cks A and B is A) 0.0384 B) 0.0406 C) 0.1920 D) 0.0772 E) 0.4000 Answer: D Difficulty: Difficult Rationale: Cov(RA,RB) = bAbBs2M = 0.7(0.9)(0.35)2 = 0.0772. Essay Questi ons 66. Discuss the advantages of theingle-index model over the Markowitz model in terms of nu mbers of variable estimates require
56、d and in terms of un dersta nding risk relati on ships . Difficulty: Moderate An swer: For a 50 security portfolio, the Markowitz model requires the following parameter estimates: n = 50 estimates of expected retur ns; n = 50 estimates of varia nces; (n2 - n)/2 = 1,225 estimates of covariances; 1,32
57、5 estimates. For a 50 security portfolio, the single-index model requires the following parameter estimates: n = 50 estimates of expected excess returns, E(R); n = 50 estimates of sen sitivity coefficie nts, i;B n = 50 estimates of the firm-specific variances, 2(ei); c 1 estimate for the varia nee of the com mon macroec ono mic factor,2M;c or (3n + 1) estimates. In additi on, the sin gle-i ndex model provides further in sight by recog nizing that differe nt firms have differe nt sen sitivities to macroec ono mic eve nts. The model also summarizes the disti nctio n b
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