生态统计与建模

1、水土保持学院全英文研究生公选课授课安排生态统计与建模Ecological Statistics and Modeling授课地点：主楼715教室日期&时间Date & Time内容Content讲授课时Hours of lectures练习课时Hours of exercise主讲人Lecturer第一部分: 生态统计Part 1: Ecological Statistics2015-12-128:00-11:00生态统计与建模简介An Introduction to Ecological Statistics and Modeling30Charles Bourque2015

2、-12-1213:30-15:30随机变量、概率分布、集中和离散趋势Random Variables, Probability Distributions, Measures of Central Tendency and Spread20Charles Bourque2015-12-138:00-11:00构建和检验假设Framing and Testing Hypotheses30Charles Bourque2015-12-1313:30-15:30统计分析的三大框架Three Frameworks for Statistical Analysis20Charles Bourque201

3、5-12-148:00-12:00野外研究设计Designing Successful Field Studies试验与抽样设计Experimental and Sampling designing40查天山Tianshan Zha2015-12-1413:30-17:30试验与抽样设计Experimental and Sampling designing数据管理Managing and Curating Data40查天山Tianshan Zha2015-12-158:00-11:00回归分析Regression vs. Heuristics3Charles Bourque2015-12-1

4、513:30-16:30方差分析Analysis of Variance3贾昕Xin Jia2015-12-168:00-11:00多元数据分析Analysis of Multivariate Data32 h (Data analysis)2015-12-1615:30-17:30贾昕Xin Jia2015-12-1613:30-15:30统计可视化Statistical Visualization2贾昕Xin Jia2015-12-178:00-11:00收敛交叉映射法(08:00-09:30)Convergent cross mapping (08:00-09:30)数据分析练习(09:

5、30-11:00)Practices on Data Analysis (09:30-11:00)3 h (Data analysis)Charles Bourque贾昕课时数小计No. of HoursSub-total295第二部分: 生态建模Part 2: Ecological Modeling2015-12-1713:30-16:30生态模型概述、建模步骤和元素、建模工具Why Do We Need Models?Modeling Steps and Ingredients; Modelers Toolkit模型构建、概念模型、生态相互作用的基本构建Model Formulation;

6、 Conceptual Model; Basic Formulation of Ecological Interactions3Charles Bourque2015-12-188:00-11:00解析模型vs.数值模型; 模型参数化; 模型评价; 模型统计量Analytical vs. Numerical Solutions; Model Parameterization; Model Evaluation; Modeling Statistics30Charles Bourque2015-12-1813:30-15:30模型数值解; 时间尺度; STELLA建模软件简介Numerical

7、Solutions; Temporal Scale; Introduction to STELLA as one of many programming software222015-12-1913:30-15:30Charles Bourque2015-12-198:00-10:00STELLA建模软件简介(续)Introduction to STELLA as one of many programming software (CONTD)2Charles Bourque2015-12-218:00-10:00生态系统净生产力(NEP)模型简介An Introduction to a NE

8、P-process Model树种分布模型简介An Introduction to a Tree Species Distribution Model2Charles Bourque课时数小计No. of HoursSub-total122课时数合计Total No. of Hours417课程参考书(Course Textbooks):1. Gotelli NJ and Ellison AM (2012) A primer of Ecological Statistics, 2nd edition. Sinauer Associates, Sunderland, MA, 614 pp.2. Soetaert K and H