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1、Chapter 35 The Short-Run Trade-Off Between Inflation and UnemploymentTRUE/FALSE1.In the long run, the natural rate of unemployment depends primarily on the growth rate of the money supply.ANS:FDIF:1REF:35-0NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Natural rate of unemploymentMSC:Definitional2.In
2、 the long run, the inflation rate depends primarily on the growth rate of the money supply.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-0NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:InflationMSC:Definitional3.Short-run outcomes in the economy can be expressed in terms of output and the price level, or in terms of unemployment
3、 and inflation.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Phillips curve | Aggregate demand and supplyMSC:Applicative4.Other things the same, an increase in aggregate demand reduces unemployment and raises inflation in the short run.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment
4、 and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve slopeMSC:Applicative5.A given short-run Phillips curve shows that an increase in the inflation rate will be accompanied by a lower unemployment rate in the short run.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve sl
5、opeMSC:Interpretive6.The short-run Phillips curve indicates that expansionary monetary policy will temporarily raise the unemployment rate above its natural rate.ANS:FDIF:2REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve slopeMSC:Definitional7.The logic behind the trade
6、off between inflation and unemployment is that high aggregate demand puts upward pressure on wages and prices while raising output.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve slopeMSC:Analytical8.Unexpectedly high inflation reduces unemployment in the sho
7、rt run, but as inflation expectations adjust the unemployment rate returns to its natural rate.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve slope | Short-run Phillips curve shiftsMSC:Analytical9.Fiscal policy cannot be used to move the economy along the sh
8、ort-run Phillips curve.ANS:FDIF:1REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve slope | Fiscal policyMSC:Applicative10.If the Fed were to increase the money supply, inflation would increase and unemployment would decrease in the short run.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-1NAT:Analyti
9、cLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curveMSC:Analytical11.Friedman and Phelps believed that the natural rate of unemployment was constant.ANS:FDIF:2REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Long-run Phillips curveMSC:Definitional12.The long-run Phillips curve is consist
10、ent with monetary neutrality implied by the classical dichotomy.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Long-run Phillips curve | Classical dichotomyMSC:Interpretive13.The short-run Phillips curve is based on the classical dichotomy.ANS:FDIF:1REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemploym
11、ent and inflationTOP:Classical dichotomyMSC:Interpretive14.The classical notion of monetary neutrality is consistent both with a vertical long-run aggregate-supply curve and with a vertical long-run Phillips curve.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Long-run aggregate sup
12、ply | Long-run Phillips curve | Classical dichotomyMSC:Interpretive15.Although monetary policy cannot reduce the natural rate of unemployment, other types of government policies can.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-2TOP:Natural rate of unemploymentMSC:Definitional16.A policy change that reduces the natural rate of
13、unemployment shifts both the long-run aggregate-supply curve and the long-run Phillips curve left.ANS:FDIF:1REF:35-2TOP:Long-run Phillips curve | Long-run aggregate supplyMSC:Applicative17.An increase in the natural rate of unemployment shifts the long-run Phillips curve to the right.ANS:TDIF:1REF:3
14、5-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Long-run Phillips curve | Natural rate of unemploymentMSC:Analytical18.In the long run people come to expect whatever inflation rate the Fed chooses to produce, so unemployment returns to its natural rate.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment
15、 and inflationTOP:Long-run Phillips curveMSC:Analytical19.The analysis of Friedman and Phelps argues that an expected change in inflation has no impact on the unemployment rate.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve shiftsMSC:Analytical20.In the Frie
16、dman-Phelps analysis, when inflation is less than expected, the unemployment rate is less than the natural rate.ANS:FDIF:1REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve slopeMSC:Applicative21.According to the Friedman-Phelps analysis, in the long run actual inflation
17、equals expected inflation and unemployment is at its natural rate.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Long-run Phillips curveMSC:Applicative22.An increase in inflation expectations shifts the short-run Phillips curve right and has no effect on the long-run Phillips curve.
18、ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-3NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve | Short-run Phillips curve shiftsMSC:Applicative23.A decrease in government expenditures serves as an example of an adverse supply shock.ANS:FDIF:2REF:35-3NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Supply sho
19、cksMSC:Interpretive24.An adverse supply shock shifts the short-run Phillips curve right and the short-run aggregate-supply curve left.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-3NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Supply shocksMSC:Applicative25.In most of the 1970s, the Feds policy created expectations of high infl
20、ation.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-3NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:US inflationMSC:Definitional26.The proliferation of Internet usage serves as an example of a favorable supply shock.ANS:TDIF:2REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Supply shocksMSC:Interpretive27.A decrease in the
21、growth rate of the money supply eventually causes the short-run Phillips curve to shift right.ANS:FDIF:2REF:35-3NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve shifts | Contractionary policyMSC:Analytical28.The sacrifice ratio is the percentage point increase in the unemployme
22、nt rate created in the process of reducing inflation by one percentage point.ANS:FDIF:1REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Sacrifice ratioMSC:Definitional29.A low sacrifice ratio would make a central bank less willing to reduce the inflation rate.ANS:FDIF:2REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:U
23、nemployment and inflationTOP:Sacrifice ratioMSC:Interpretive30.Proponents of rational expectations argue that failing to account for peoples revised inflation expectations led to estimates of the sacrifice ratio that were too high.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Ratio
24、nal expectations | Sacrifice ratioMSC:Definitional31.The sacrifice ratio of the Volcker disinflation was larger than previous estimates had predicted.ANS:FDIF:1REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Volcker disinflation | Sacrifice ratioMSC:Definitional32.U.S. monetary policy in the e
25、arly 1980s reduced the inflation rate by more than half.ANS:TDIF:1REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Volcker disinflationMSC:DefinitionalSHORT ANSWER1.In the long run what primarily determines the natural rate of unemployment? In the long run what primarily determines the inflatio
26、n rate? How does this relate to the classical dichotomy?ANS:In the long run the natural rate of unemployment is primarily determined by labor market factors including government policy concerning minimum wages and unemployment benefits. In the long run inflation is primarily determined by money supp
27、ly growth. These determinants are consistent with the classical dichotomy which states that real and nominal variables are determined independently.DIF:2REF:35-0NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Inflation | Natural rate of unemployment | Classical dichotomyMSC:Definitional2.Are the effec
28、ts of an increase in aggregate demand in the aggregate demand and aggregate supply model consistent with the Phillips curve? Explain.ANS:Consider what happens when the aggregate-demand curve shifts. For example, suppose there is an increase in aggregate demand. The aggregate demand and supply model
29、shows that prices and output will rise. Rising prices mean that there is inflation. Rising output means falling unemployment. Thus, a shift in the aggregate-demand curve along the aggregate-supply curve corresponds to a movement along the Phillips curve.DIF:2REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and
30、inflationTOP:Aggregate demand and supply | Short-run Phillips curve shiftsMSC:Analytical3.The Phillips curve and the short-run aggregate supply curve are closely related, yet one slopes downward and the other slopes upward. Discuss.ANS:The Phillips curve shows the relation between inflation and unem
31、ployment. The short-run aggregate-supply curve shows the relation between the price level and output. When aggregate demand increases, the price level and output rise. The rising price level means that inflation has increased. The rising level of output means that firms will hire more workers so tha
32、t the unemployment rate falls. Thus, the model implies that inflation and unemployment are inversely related as the Phillips curve indicates. Real GDP and the unemployment rate move in the opposite direction. So it is consistent to have an upward sloping aggregate supply curve with output on the hor
33、izontal axis and a downward sloping Phillips curve with unemployment on the horizontal axis.DIF:2REF:35-1NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve | Short-run aggregate supplyMSC:Analytical4.Explain the connection between the vertical long-run aggregate supply curve and
34、the vertical long-run Phillips curve.ANS:Both reflect the classical dichotomy. The vertical long-run aggregate supply curve says that, in the long run, the economy will be at its natural rate of output, and that this is the same no matter what the price level. The natural rate of output depends on t
35、he natural rate of unemployment. The vertical Phillips curve says that, in the long run, the economy will be at the natural rate of unemployment (corresponding with the natural rate of output), and that this is the same no matter what the inflation rate. Both curves are consistent with the classical
36、 dichotomy that says real variables are not affected by nominal variables.DIF:2REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Long-run Phillips curve | Long-run aggregate supplyMSC:Analytical5.Suppose that the Fed unexpectedly pursues contractionary monetary policy. What will happen to unempl
37、oyment in the short run? What will happen to unemployment in the long run? Justify your answer using the Phillips curves.ANS:In the short run, unemployment will rise, because, contractionary policy reduces actual inflation and so moves the economy down along the Phillips curve. In the long run, the
38、economy will return to its natural rate of unemployment as a reduction in expected inflation shifts the short-run Philip curve shifts left.DIF:2REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Phillips curve | Contractionary policyMSC:Analytical6.What did Friedman and Phelps predict would happe
39、n if policymakers tried to move the economy upward along the Phillips curve? Did the behavior of the economy in the late 1960s and the 1970s prove them wrong?ANS:Friedman and Phelps predicted that, over time, people would come to expect higher inflation, so the short-run Phillips curve would shift r
40、ight. When this happened, unemployment would go back to its natural rate, but inflation would be higher. The behavior of the economy in the late 1960s and the 1970s was consistent with their theory. Inflation rose but unemployment did not remain low.DIF:2REF:35-2NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and infl
41、ationTOP:Long-run Phillips curveMSC:Analytical7.Some countries have inflation around or in excess of 8 percent. Suppose that the sacrifice ratio is 2.5. What is the cost of reducing inflation from 8 percent to 2 percent? In your answer, define the sacrifice ratio and explain how you found the cost o
42、f inflation reduction.ANS:The sacrifice ratio gives the annual percentage decline in output required to reduce the inflation rate 1 percentage point. The sacrifice ratio is 2.5 so if a country with 8 percent inflation wants to reduce it to 2 percent it will have a reduction in output equal to 2.5 ti
43、mes 6 percent = 15 percent of annual output.DIF:2REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Short-run Phillips curve | Sacrifice ratioMSC:Applicative8.Why does a downward-sloping Phillips curve imply a positive sacrifice ratio?ANS:A downward-sloping Phillips curve implies that as a govern
44、ment acts to decrease inflation, unemployment increases. Increased unemployment leads to lower output. So the Phillips curve implies that inflation reduction requires a short-run decrease in output, as does a positive sacrifice ratio.DIF:2REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Sacrifi
45、ce ratio | Short-run Phillips curve slopeMSC:Analytical9.Suppose that the economy is at an inflation rate such that unemployment is above the natural rate. How does the economy return to the natural rate of unemployment if this lower inflation rate persists? Use sticky-wage theory to explain your an
46、swer.ANS:If unemployment is above its natural rate, then actual inflation is less than expected inflation. According to sticky-wage theory, when inflation is less than expected, prices will have risen less than nominal wages which are based on expected inflation. Because prices have risen less than
47、nominal wages, firms will choose to reduce production and lay off or fire workers. Eventually workers and firms will have lower inflation expectations and the nominal wage will adjust to a level consistent with lower inflation expectations which will encourage firms to raise production. This increas
48、e in production causes unemployment to fall and shifts the short-run Philips curve to the left and the unemployment rate will return to it natural rate.DIF:3REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Long-run equilibrium | Sticky-wagesMSC:Analytical10.Some economists argue suddenly reduci
49、ng money supply growth is a costly way to reduce inflation and that it may not work. For example, if a government cuts money growth but makes no real fiscal reforms, people will expect the government will eventually need to expand the money supply to pay for its expenditures. Thus, the promise to fi
50、ght inflation will not be credible. Explain why credibility is important to a reduction in the inflation rate.ANS:If people believe that the government really will honor its promise to reduce inflation, than inflation expectations fall. This change in expectations shifts the short-run Phillips curve
51、 left so that at any actual inflation rate the unemployment rate will be lower. If the government reduces money supply growth and at the same time people reduce their inflation expectations, unemployment will rise by less than if people maintain their inflation expectations. The same argument can be
52、 made using the following equation.Unemployment rate = natural rate of unemployment - a(actual inflation - expected inflation)Suppose the government reduces actual inflation. If expected inflation is unchanged, then the unemployment rate rises by more than if people revise their expectations of infl
53、ation downward.DIF:3REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:CredibilityMSC:Analytical11.Some countries have had relatively high inflation and relatively high unemployment for long periods of time. Is this consistent with the Phillips curve? Defend your answer.ANS:They are consistent wi
54、th the long-run Phillips curve. In the long run the natural rate of unemployment is determined by factors other than inflation. For example, the natural rate of unemployment will be higher in a country with a higher minimum wage and more generous unemployment compensation. In the long run, inflation
55、 depends on the growth rate of the money supply. So, it is possible for a country with a Phillips curve that is farther to the right to also have greater money supply growth and higher inflation.DIF:3REF:35-4NAT:AnalyticLOC:Unemployment and inflationTOP:Phillips curve | Natural rate of unemployment
56、| Inflation expectationsMSC:Analytical12.Suppose that the Prime Minister and Parliament of Veridian are disappointed with the high inflation rates under the current system where the Veridian Ministry of Finance is in charge of the money supply. They make reforms to lower inflation from its current rate of 8%. Suppose further that the public is confident that with the reforms in place that inflation will fall to 2%. Also suppose that those in control of the money supply actually conduct monetary policy so that the actu
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