GD与财政收入的关系

浅析GDP与财政收入的关系统计20081班第一组张建翔郑伦洪秦源李晓娟谢忍忍一、引言在众多的经济指标中,财政收入和GDP是两个非常关键的指标,二者相互依存,关系密切。一般认为,财政收入与GDP的比例应保持在合理的范围之内,若财政收入增速长期低于GDP的增速,可能使国家调控经济的能力降低,不利于整个国民经济的可持续发展;反之,若财收入增速长期高于GDP增速,则有可能加重国民和企业的负担,不仅有可能抑制消费,而且也不利于企业的再投资和扩大再生产,同样对国民经济的发展也会造成不利影响。年份GDP总值/亿元年增长率国家财政收入/亿元年增长率CPI增速财政占GDP比例19773201.90874.5027.31%19783624.1013.19%1132.2629.48%0.70%31.24%19794038.2011.43%1146.381.25%2.00%28.39%19804517.8011.88%1159.931.18%6.00%25.67%1981

4862.407.63%1175.79

1.37%2.40%24.18%19825294.708.89%1212.333.11%1.90%

22.90%19835934.5012.08%1366.9512.75%1.50%23.03%19847171.0020.84%

1642.8620.18%2.80%22.91%19858964.4025.01%2004.8222.03%8.80%22.36%1986

10202.2013.81%2122.015.85%6.00%20.80%198711962.5017.25%2199.353.64%7.30%

18.39%1988

14928.30

24.79%2357.247.18%18.50%15.79%1989

16909.2013.27%2664.9013.05%17.80%15.76%199018547.909.69%2937.1010.21%

2.10%15.84%1991

21617.8016.55%3149.487.23%2.90%14.57%1992

26638.1023.22%3483.3710.60%5.40%13.08%表11978－2007历年中国GDP及国家财政收入数据表年份GDP总值/亿元年增长率国家财政收入/亿元年增长率CPI增速财政占GDP比例1993

34634.4030.02%4348.9524.85%13.20%12.56%199446759.4035.01%5218.1019.99%21.70%11.16%1995

58478.10

25.06%6242.2019.63%14.00%10.67%199667884.6016.09%7407.9918.68%6.10%10.91%1997

74462.60

9.69%8651.1416.78%

0.80%11.62%1998

78345.20

5.21%9875.9514.16%-2.60%12.61%1999

82067.50

4.75%11444.1015.88%-3.00%13.94%2000

89468.109.02%13395.2017.05%-1.50%14.97%2001

97314.808.77%16386.0022.33%-0.80%16.84%2002

103935.006.80%

18903.6015.36%-1.30%18.19%2003116741.0012.32%21715.3014.87%-0.10%18.60%2004159878.0036.95%26355.90

21.37%3.90%

16.48%2005

182321.0014.04%31649.3020.08%1.80%17.36%2006209407.0014.86%39373.20

24.40%1.50%18.80%2007

246619.00

17.77%51304.0030.30%4.80%20.80%数汤据芒来筐源摸：图《送中咐国罢统浩计乏年唉鉴成》1着9罢9塘4宏年未分议税症制咐改枝革撇以皮来猫，卵我结国辽财盖政岂收悉入条进穴入累高捎速忙增粘长税阶悬段助，舞出总现号了营近够十乐多乓年境来挡财液政屡收衣入苗增冈长圣速孔度破大眯幅悼高荒于肿经代济神增息长缩慧速美度价的着现爷象话。二竖、次近辆年雪来滥我瓶国败G腐D悉P虹与婆财纺政距收扭入犁的撞变磁动幼情该况年度GDP财政收入税收收入非税收入总量（亿元）增速（%）总量（亿元）增速（%）总量（亿元）增速（%）总量（亿元）增速（%）199448197.9036.45218.1020.05126.8820.591.22-2.6199560793.7026.16242.2019.66038.0417.8204.16123.8199671176.6017.17407.9918.76909.8214.4498.17144.0199778973.0011.08651.1416.88234.0419.2417.10-16.3199884402.306.99875.9514.29262.8012.5613.1547.0199989677.106.211444.0815.910682.5815.3761.5024.2200099214.6010.613395.2317.012581.5117.8813.726.92001109655.2010.516386.0422.315301.3821.61084.6633.32002120332.709.718903.6415.417636.4515.31267.1916.82003135822.8012.921715.2514.920017.3113.51697.9434.02004159878.3017.726396.4721.624165.6820.72230.7931.42005183867.9015.031649.2919.928778.5419.12870.7528.72006210871.0014.738760.2022.534809.7221.03950.4837.62007246619.0017.051304.0332.445612.9931.05691.0444.1数写据码来港源播：晃《垂中背国关统腾计标年诞鉴涌》表库2羞近助年惨来预我庭国盾G垮D尖P晕与关财钢政洲收耗入蹲变飞动尚情棍况速表我柱国妖财鹊政妻收活入缴近糖年央来别始规终碑保斩持丸大贯幅要增响长腥的抽趋周势架，离1增9污9割4挪-码2费0戏0坝7昂年钢1添4碧年导间途，望财务政誉收惜入鹅从蕉5筐2购1竿8纷.绒1驻0唉亿韵元狭上董升叛至园5漂1道3勉0考4叉.煤0农3奏亿葱元碌，解年就均扬增型长筝3锄2您9贪1蹈.载8挨5峰亿馋元格，黄年洒均催增静幅撒达妨1睁7耽.箱7皇%薪。岭其刑中俱，电税巾收绑收欣入杂从熊5是1袖2汤6圾.笑8喷8冲亿朽元辈上题升袜至杯4上5蜡6练1钩2及.冶9钩9趴亿似元抹，酬年息均残增药长黄1兰6阿.糕9丸%戏；春非锦税圣收木入欧从搭9社1则.西2耽2棕亿千元温上症升固至迅5军6逐9爆1库.躲0梅4葱亿乒元蛙，统年烫均仿增礼长东3禽4鹅.凳3殃%满。圾同智期河，早我旷国霞G枕D妻P样从烂4鹊8硬1装9犯7修.撇9患0藏亿麻元纺上率升头至嘱2报4葵6民6匠1父9心.谋0默0示亿委元旋，辰年贫均椒增草长惯1究2除.齿4导%途，寨较搅财阔政扑收氧入伪增孕幅鲁低找5乔.价3王个编百闯分岩点夺。摸从评占完比尊情姨况晶来详看们，蓬财边政机收佣入更占括G隐D兔P嫁的茅比闷重川不辛断古提春高触，资从则1编9赤9耽4扮年洗的哭1们0倾.项8但%劝上凯升龙至曲2国0粘0巡寿7贷年水的填2套0堤.府8喜%奶，庭增满长具了塌1棍0蓝个郊百论分炉点撒，驰说狠明畜我获国叛的危社笑会万财鬼富若越神来低越迈多消的觉集想中漆到勤政惑府绑手由中奥，锄直让接已体常现鹿出绸我浩国育宏朗观各税谅负奸水肉平苏的给逐暮年独提掉高赞。三个、松财找政灾收奏入目总晒量纹与击G素D培P亚总推量捧的叼相食关糠性旺分劣析(杯1锯)堤设勉财穗政臂收猛入由（培F体）庙与洲G绣D饲P筋之瓜间粪存羊在始线弓性暖关岔系它，桌建俘立乘如告下爆模侮型鸽：(价2恋)吃根穿据受表只2袄中误1屠9借9抢4蝴-怀2嚷0爷0吉7沃年考我亩国梨财马政剃收羞入曲与琴G柔D税P愚总肥量栋的砌数效据悄进习行洋回消归康分养析净得他到牵回普归糖方寺程牧为下：(荷3田)砌由R2=亮0雾.骆9繁8予7占6碍4素1，枣说目明界财钞政被收校入掏可语被美G赞D蜡P答解掘释未的找可滔信医度瞎为古9初8吐.能7触6粮%坛，聚其虎它毫随涝机师因泛素停占晨1例.庆2雅4叨%俊，变回牲归闯方元程厌拟馅合课良应好驼，钳表积明迟我饮国搂财岩政垂收慢入诸与江G荷D亩P惯之两间樱是腾高念度黄正纤相加关拣的毁。肃同筝时毫，耗弹挨性边系巩数神0仿.苏2膀2咬9淋6托表肾明感G急D呢P枕每细增贸加贿1剑0芹0唐元每，杆财西政深收仍入残相合应矛增偷加访2哪2宪.扰9椅6告元储，吉即艺在虏新轰增免加选的尊G宫D迹P交中遍有2浅2排.锦9辛6坛%的达部亚分约通猜过柿分带配烈成承为甲财烤政益收腿入歉。财逢政统部熄公肃布处的浪数砍据扁显老示仍，访4粉月纠份冠，住全校国抵财摇政龙收瞒入惰比伴去煌年爪同兔月猾增李加帅2贼0摄2晃8邪.水5赤1聪亿金元进，笛增贷长楼3巾4检.返4啦%悄。溪1辛至晌4拥月旺累河计门，望全妙国膝财侍政朗收廉入比2犹7承5股5漆2邻.挡7计3乘亿滥元顾，错比径去贼年岸同运期撤增早加躁7寻0肺1卸3祝.狼5谎3告亿某元速，育增猛长吧3莫4笛.驴1掠%花。赵超俱过屠3躁0返%啊的牢财径政千收政入嘴增跑幅涉，洒意昌味舒着侧国眨家狡的窃“鸽钱辈袋狸子掠”街更搏加润丰置盈涝，己反舟过甘来酸也达进越一茂步肿印露证管了朝经阴济兆的舱稳规定这较烤快竭增碗长迫。四盖、碎今著年系我叉国抖财切政异收权入袍状连况中迹国夏财限政贫部垃部拖长望谢相旭独人薯8比月陡2哀6絮日仇向刃全妇国倒人援大渣常蹄委此会鄙作厉关产于芽今阔年削以萌来帖预才算演执禁行绿情售况镇的幕报优告元。有今摔年旗1斤月盛至酷7夕月朴，么全绿国纸财家政泼收响入织5僚1爬1第3昆2驰.包9怎7肚亿款元回，懂比白2掘0惨0权9田年伏同币期桌增站加酿1升0处4多6朱0伞.务9堡2悬亿金元雪，础增栏长织2湾5厕.里7逃%飘，蜻完凉成瓶预杂算解的猫6阔9拘.依2键%掉。他眯同舌时鸣表狗示锐，凶前漏7者个丸月逮，注全之国滔财帖政奏支答出熟3束9涂6氏2粗2宪.稳2指3讨亿跌元烟，查同球比事增漂加方5揉7厘3映4捉亿讽元吨，额增病长激1案6哥.袜9拍%留，苗完闭成设预佛算棵的横4占6挡.饿9血%苍。五善、舍财塞政乘收挨入亮超非经骑济妙增援长匪可户能长产怜生仰的旦不耻良庄后瘦果自没1锐9鬼9杂4险年胶分鹿税篇制悼改沙革某以徒来烂，砍我播国或财胃政成收楼入借增辞长相速忧度体始歼终府高耻于栗经君济威的巩增钥长论速榜度胳，帆从揪我膀国就财填政泥职查能顽来警看些，刘目拜前老的宪财察政盯收桑入妹高教速俭增粪长亲是围良豪性伏的为，吗但袜从宏长血期稻看绍，秤财港政跑收匪入袄的纱超丸常远增驾长微会识对殿经劝济群的柳持仓续昌、抖稳垫定幻玉发食展该产践生翁不逆利嚷影展响蛛。（洪一竞）佳财捞政妈收葡入垂的岂过容快战增歼长歌可惰能且造喝成骨政悉府迹的羽盲惜目亩投酸资（任二涉）脾企盯业渔及疾个造人丽的热负脉担幸过肠重努影砍响便经会济限持弯续叠发终展（暴三加）祖财呜政偶收败入扑的党高沿速何增迁长葵造抱成役我怪国侍内珍部铜储捏蓄巨及踏投晒资齐结端构糕的职变搏化（互四狭）扶造燃成丸收映入火分何配狠不吨公那和烤公狮众静不貌能笑更守好板地纯分耕享员经洽济诱增积长梅的喷成圆果六攻、碗结灿论凤及绍政桂策群建派议财洗政资收害入古随席着冻我肌国特经俊济长的炸发手展陕、扰综骂合同国盖力歼的在提贼升灾而吊增滴长笛是喉正听常贼且蚂有水利榆的勉，浊但榜如神果漠财赛政困收轻入抢增献长颂与遗经煎济从增受长形的软速堵度与偏宜差掩过临大麦或颈长抄期服高雪于嫩经返济服增谊长萝的逝速疾度烂，耀又寺可蜂能纹会恼造煤成饮人夫民肚生衡活香负吩担新过杯重桌、滤不赚能昨享倡受并到化经披济优增茄长急的时成阻果羽，阔而访且旗会芹影作响将到胀政付府览投委资殃的迹效沿率某和旗收棋入偏分毕配铸不氧均谁等钥问渐题抢。题为栋使看财谊政稿收说入景保即持毙稳灭定讽增帅长币，坐实糟现命财撞政狭收驻入贺与久经汇济揉发逐展兔之依间造的凭良玻性营循洗环码，某建偷议免采幅取太如笨下朽措需施捏。（扛一久）突优傻化巴税厅制宫结撑构月，做完字善度税验种（袋二罪）泄从纪增锡强宫效扛益躺入以手满，浸推趋动拳经辟济柱较霜快历发坏展赶以彩扩您大饰财块政移收絮入春基领础（某三筛）疯保稍障厌社燥会心公势共牌需挂求御，铜保洋持笋合购理或的发财滩政奴支励出轮结逃构（恒四尺）降耽低犹非待税杨收寇入任比评重遍，协逐刻步览将融预省算坦外说