华锦股份年盈利逐季改善

公司研究/化工/石油化工华锦股份（000059）公司年报点评

证券研究报告投资要点：202404投资要点：2024041520232023461.42-5.95%；实现归母净利润0.70亿元，同比-86.72%。公司单季度盈利逐步改善，1Q23-4Q23公司分别实现归母净利润-4.98-1.782.834.62100.14元（含税。主要产品产销量稳定增长。2023年，公司石化板块产销量分别为万吨，分别同比增长4.26%/4.97%；化肥板块产销量分别为14.05%/13.57%。2023（223年毛利2.166.34（9.3（2）精细化工板块，20230.291.58（84.5ABS（3）化肥板块，20235.67比减少4.81亿元（45.9，主要受尿素盈利下滑影响。公司、盘锦鑫城集团共同投资的精细化工及原料工程项目已正式开工建设（北方华锦持股，沙特阿美持股。根据阿美亚洲公众号，项目包30万桶/（1500万吨/年165万吨计2026年投入全面运营。盈利预测与投资评级。2024-2026EPS0.23、0.27、0.31元（原225预测为0.4、0.2元，224年BPS为9.08比公司估值水平，给予其24年1.0倍P（原为223年1.0，对应目标价9.08元（对应224年PE39倍，维持“优于大市”评级。风险提示：国际原油价格下跌、石化产品盈利不及预期等。主要财务数据及预测202220232024E2025E2026E营业收入（百万元）4906246142485845116353887(+/-)YoY(%)26.9%-6.0%5.3%5.3%5.3%净利润（百万元）52970367429499(+/-)YoY(%)-43.8%-86.7%422.3%16.7%16.5%全面摊薄EPS(元)0.330.040.230.270.31毛利率(%)16.5%14.8%15.4%15.5%15.6%净资产收益率(%)3.7%0.5%2.5%2.9%3.3%（22222TI备注：净利润为归属母公司所有者的净利润财务报表分析和预测主要财务指标20232024E2025E2026E利润表（百万元）20232024E2025E2026E每股指标（元）营业总收入46142485845116353887每股收益0.040.230.270.31营业成本39305410944322145459每股净资产8.939.089.269.46毛利率%14.8%15.4%15.5%15.6%每股经营现金流0.611.351.381.42营业税金及附加4896515054235712每股股利0.010.080.090.11营业税金率%10.6%10.6%10.6%10.6%价值评估（倍）营业费用327340358377P/E138.5626.5322.7319.52营业费用率%0.7%0.7%0.7%0.7%P/B0.680.670.660.64管理费用988102010741132P/S90.18管理费用率%2.1%2.1%2.1%2.1%EV/EBITDA5.454.303.432.60EBIT282779878990股息率%0.2%1.3%1.5%1.8%财务费用183203205207盈利能力指标（%）财务费用率%0.4%0.4%0.4%0.4%毛利率14.8%15.4%15.5%15.6%资产减值损失-198-100-100-100净利润率0.2%0.8%0.8%0.9%投资收益5555净资产收益率0.5%2.5%2.9%3.3%营业利润104526622733资产回报率0.2%1.1%1.3%1.5%营业外收支50505050投资回报率0.6%2.2%2.5%2.7%利润总额155576672783盈利增长（%）EBITDA1934230124052523营业收入增长率-6.0%5.3%5.3%5.3%所得税72144168196EBIT增长率-72.7%176.3%12.6%12.8%有效所得税率%46.3%25.0%25.0%25.0%净利润增长率-86.7%422.3%16.7%16.5%少数股东损益13657688偿债能力指标资产负债率53.0%52.9%52.8%52.5%归属母公司所有者净利润70367429499流动比率2.812.993.153.30速动比率1.431.611.771.92资产负债表（百万元）20232024E2025E2026E现金比率1.381.561.721.87货币资金9429110511268614373经营效率指标应收账款及应收票据278293308325应收账款周转天数1.071.301.301.30存货5817598261976428存货周转天数50.0151.6850.7249.99其它流动资产3647381240074213总资产周转率1.431.511.561.61流动资产合计19171211372319925339固定资产周转率4.185.016.147.73长期股权投资135135135135固定资产10375901976566288在建工程68625854无形资产113710901043996现金流量表（百万元）20232024E2025E2026E非流动资产合计127171130898948475净利润70367429499资产总计31889324463309333814少数股东损益13657688短期借款1001100110011001非现金支出1852162216271632应付票据及应付账款3757392841314345非经营收益310302302301预收账款0000营运资金变动-1275-190-233-245其它流动负债2055213822282323经营活动现金流970216622002276流动负债合计6813706773607669资产-313-63-63-63长期借款9771977197719771投资-44000其它长期负债329329329329其他5555非流动负债合计10100101001010010100投资活动现金流-351-58-58-57负债总计16913171671746017769债权募资-634000实收资本1599159915991599股权募资0000归属于母公司所有者权益14287145251480415128其他-595-485-507-532少数股东权益689753829917融资活动现金流-1229-485-507-532负债和所有者权益合计31889324463309333814现金净流量-611162116351687（4月5（）（22，TIAPPENDIX1SummaryInvestmentHighlights:2023earningsimprovequarterly.RevenuereachedRMB46.14billion,down5.95%YoY;netprofitattributabletoshareholderswasRMB70million,down86.72%YoY.Quarterlyprofitsimproved,withNPAtSat-RMB498million,-RMB178million,RMB283million,andRMB462millionfromQ1toQ4.AdividendofRMB0.14per10sharesisproposed.Mainproductvolumesgrewsteadily.Petrochemicalsectorvolumeswere5.59/5.59milliontons,up4.26%/4.97%YoY;fertilizersectorvolumeswere1.27/1.26milliontons,up14.05%/13.57%YoY.Grossprofitdeclinedoverall.Chemicalproductpricesfellmorethancrudeprocessingcosts,narrowingprofitmargins.PetrochemicalsectorgrossprofitwasRMB6.22billion,down9.3%YoY;finechemicalssectorgrossprofitwasRMB29million,down84.5%YoY;fertilizersectorgrossprofitwasRMB567million,down45.9%YoY,mainlyduetoweakerureaearnings.JointventurewithSaudiAramcoonamajorrefiningandchemicalproject.NorthHuajinChemicalIndustryGroup,SaudiAramco,andPanjinXinchengGroup'sfinechemicalandrawmaterialprojecthasstarted(NorthHuajinholds51%,SaudiAramco30%).AccordingtoAramcoAsia'sofficialaccount,theprojectincludesa300,000barrel/dayrefinery(15milliontons/year)anda1.65milliontons/yearsteamcracker,expectedtobefullyoperationalby2026.Earningsforecastandinvestmentrating.WepredictEPSofRMB0.23,0.27,0.31for2024-2026,with2024BPSatRMB9.08.Basedonpeervaluation,weassigna20241.0xPB,withatargetpriceofRMB9.08(39x2024PE),maintainingan'Outperform'rating.RiskWarning:Declineininternationalcrudeprices,petrochemicalprofitsweakerthanexpected.附录APPENDIX重要信息披露本研究报告由海通国际分销，海通国际是由海通国际研究有限公司(HTIRL)，HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(HSIPL)，HaitongInternationalJapanK.K.(HTIJKK)和海通国际证券有限公司(HTISCL)的证券研究团队所组成的全球品牌，海通国际证券集团(HTISG)各成员分别在其许可的司法管辖区内从事证券活动。IMPORTANTDISCLOSURESThisresearchreportisdistributedbyHaitongInternational,aglobalbrandnamefortheequityresearchteamsofHaitongInternationalResearchLimited(“HTIRL”),HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HSIPL”),HaitongInternationalJapanK.K.(“HTIJKK”),HaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”),andanyothermemberswithintheHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupofCompanies(“HTISG”),eachauthorizedtoengageinsecuritiesactivitiesinitsrespectivejurisdiction.HTIRL分析师认证AnalystCertification:我，朱军军，在此保证（i）（ii）（包括我们的家属）（我已经告知他们）3I,JunjunZhu,certifythat(i)theviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportaccuratelyreflectmypersonalviewsaboutanyorallofthesubjectcompaniesorissuersreferredtointhisresearchand(ii)nopartofmycompensationwas,isorwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport;andthatI(includingmembersofmyhousehold)havenofinancialinterestinthesecurityorsecuritiesofthesubjectcompaniesdiscussed.Iandmyhousehold,whomIhavealreadynotifiedofthis,willnotdealinortradeanysecuritiesinrespectoftheissuerthatIreviewwithin3businessdaysaftertheresearchreportispublished.我，胡歆，在此保证（i）本研究报告中的意见准确反映了我们对本研究中提及的任何或所有目标公司或上市公司的个人观点，并且（ii）我的报酬中没有任何部分与本研究报告中表达（包括我们的家属）（我已经告知他们）报告发布后的3I,XinHu,certifythat(i)theviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportaccuratelyreflectmypersonalviewsaboutanyorallofthesubjectcompaniesorissuersreferredtointhisresearchand(iinopartofmycompensationwas,isorwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport;andthatI(includingmembersofmyhousehold)havenofinancialinterestinthesecurityorsecuritiesofthesubjectcompaniesdiscussed.Iandmyhousehold,whomIhavealreadynotifiedofthis,willnotdealinortradeanysecuritiesinrespectoftheissuerthatIreviewwithin3businessdaysaftertheresearchreportispublished.我，李帛融，在此保证（i）本研究报告中的意见准确反映了我们对本研究中提及的任何或所有目标公司或上市公司的个人观点，并且（ii）我的报酬中没有任何部分与本研究报告中表（包括我们的家属）（我已经告知他们）3I,BorongLi,certifythat(i)theviewsexpressedinthisresearchreportaccuratelyreflectmypersonalviewsaboutanyorallofthesubjectcompaniesorissuersreferredtointhisresearchand(ii)nopartofmycompensationwas,isorwillbedirectlyorindirectlyrelatedtothespecificrecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport;andthatI(includingmembersofmyhousehold)havenofinancialinterestinthesecurityorsecuritiesofthesubjectcompaniesdiscussed.Iandmyhousehold,whomIhavealreadynotifiedofthis,willnotdealinortradeanysecuritiesinrespectoftheissuerthatIreviewwithin3businessdaysaftertheresearchreportispublished.利益冲突披露ConflictofInterestDisclosures/（ERDDisclosure@htiseccom）HTIandsomeofitsaffiliatesmayengageininvestmentbankingand/orserveasamarketmakerorholdproprietarytradingpositionsofcertainstocksorcompaniesinthisresearchreport.Asfarasthisresearchreportisconcerned,thefollowingarethedisclosuremattersrelatedtosuchrelationship(Asthefollowingdisclosuredoesnotensuretimelinessandcompleteness,pleasesendanemailtoERD-Disclosure@htisec.comiftimelyandcomprehensiveinformationisneeded).化学工业第三设计院有限公司目前或过去12个月内是海通的客户。海通向客户提供非投资银行业务的证券相关业务服务。化学工业第三设计院有限公司is/wasaclientofHaitongcurrentlyorwithinthepast12months.Theclienthasbeenprovidedfornon-investment-bankingsecurities-relatedservices.海通在过去的12个月中从化学工业第三设计院有限公司获得除投资银行服务以外之产品或服务的报酬。Haitonghasreceivedcompensationinthepast12monthsforproductsorservicesotherthaninvestmentbankingfrom化学工业第三设计院有限公司.评级定义（从2020年7月1日开始执行）：（“HTI）HTI的评级定义。并且HTI基于各自情况（）分析师股票评级优于大市12-1810%下中性，未来12-18FINRA/NYSE的评级分布规则，我们会将中性评级划入持有这一类别。弱于大市12-1810%

评级分布RatingDistributionTOPIX,KOSPI,TAIEX,Nifty100,美–SP500;其他所有中国概念股MSCIChina.RatingsDefinitions(from1Jul2020):HaitongInternationalusesarelativeratingsystemusingOutperform,Neutral,orUnderperformforrecommendingthestockswecovertoinvestors.InvestorsshouldcarefullyreadthedefinitionsofallratingsusedinHaitongInternationalResearch.Inaddition,sinceHaitongInternationalResearchcontainsmorecompleteinformationconcerningtheanalyst'sviews,investorsshouldcarefullyreadHaitongInternationalResearch,initsentirety,andnotinferthecontentsfromtheratingalone.Inanycase,ratings(orresearch)shouldnotbeusedorrelieduponasinvestmentadvice.Aninvestor'sdecisiontobuyorsellastockshoulddependonindividualcircumstances(suchastheinvestor'sexistingholdings)andotherconsiderations.AnalystStockRatingsOutperform:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtoexceedthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Neutral:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobeinlinewiththereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.Underperform:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobebelowthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.Benchmarksforeachstock’slistedregionareasfollows:Japan–TOPIX,Korea–Taiwan–TAIEX,–Nifty100,US–SP500;forallotherChina-conceptstocks–MSCIChina. 截至2024年3月31日海通国际股票研究评级分布优于大市 中性 弱于大市(持有)海通国际股票研究覆盖率 90.4% 8.8% 0.8%投资银行客户* 3.3% 4.9% 0.0%*在每个评级类别里投资银行客户所占的百分比。上述分布中的买入，中性和卖出分别对应我们当前优于大市，中性和落后大市评级。只有根据FINRA/NYSE此前的评级系统定义（直至2020年6月30日）：买入，未来1218个月内预期相对基准指数涨幅在10%中性，未来1218FINRA/NYSE卖出，未来1218个月内预期相对基准指数跌幅在10%各地股票基准指数：日本–TOPIX,韩国–KOSPI,台湾–TAIEX,印度–Nifty100;其他所有中国概念股–MSCIChina.HaitongInternationalEquityResearchRatingsDistribution,asofMarch31,2024Outperform Neutral Underperform(hold)HTIEquityResearchCoverage 90.4% 8.8% 0.8%IBclients* 3.3% 4.9% 0.0%*Percentageofinvestmentbankingclientsineachratingcategory.BUY,Neutral,andSELLintheabovedistributioncorrespondtoourcurrentratingsofOutperform,Neutral,andUnderperform.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.PleasenotethatstockswithanNRdesignationarenotincludedinthetableabove.Previousratingsystemdefinitions(until30Jun2020):BUY:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtoexceedthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.NEUTRAL:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobeinlinewiththereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow.ForpurposesonlyofFINRA/NYSEratingsdistributionrules,ourNeutralratingfallsintoaholdratingcategory.SELL:Thestock’stotalreturnoverthenext12-18monthsisexpectedtobebelowthereturnofitsrelevantbroadmarketbenchmark,asindicatedbelow. Benchmarksforeachstock’slistedregionareasfollows:Japan–TOPIX,Korea–Taiwan–TAIEX,–Nifty100;forallotherChina-conceptstocks–MSCIChina.海通国际非评级研究：了进行股票评级、提出目标价格或进行基本面估值，而仅供参考使用。HaitongInternationalNon-RatedResearch:HaitongInternationalpublishesquantitative,screeningorshortreportswhichmayrankstocksaccordingtovaluationandothermetricsormaysuggestpricesbasedonpossiblevaluationmultiples.Suchrankingsorsuggestedpricesdonotpurporttobestockratingsortargetpricesorfundamentalvaluesandareforinformationonly.海通国际A股覆盖：海通国际可能会就沪港通及深港通的中国A（600837CH）A是，海通国际使用与海通证券不同的评级系统，所以海通国际与海通证券的中国A股评级可能有所不同。HaitongInternationalCoverageofA-Shares:HaitongInternationalmaycoverandrateA-SharesthataresubjecttotheHongKongStockConnectschemewithShanghaiandShenzhen.HaitongSecurities(HS;600837CH),theultimateparentcompanyofHTISGbasedinShanghai,coversandpublishesresearchonthesesameA-SharesfordistributioninmainlandChina.However,theratingsystememployedbyHSdiffersfromthatusedbyHTIandasaresulttheremaybeadifferenceintheHTIandHSratingsforthesameA-sharestocks.海通国际优质100A股（Q100）指数：海通国际Q100指数是一个包括100支由海通证券覆盖的优质中国A股的计量产品。这些股票是通过基于质量的筛选过程，并结合对海通证券A股团队自下而上的研究。海通国际每季对Q100指数成分作出复审。HaitongInternationalQuality100A-share(Q100)Index:HTI’sQ100Indexisaquantproductthatconsistsof100ofthehighest-qualityA-sharesundercoverageatHSinShanghai.Thesestocksarecarefullyselectedthroughaquality-basedscreeningprocessincombinationwithareviewoftheHSA-shareteam’sbottom-upresearch.TheQ100constituentcompaniesarereviewedquarterly.盟浪义利（FIN-ESG）数据通免责声明条款：在使用盟浪义利（FIN-ESG）数据之前，请务必仔细阅读本条款并同意本声明：第一条义利（FINESG）（以下简称“本公司”）（）绩表现不作为日后回报的预测。（（））SusallWaveFIN-ESGDataServiceDisclaimer:PleasereadthesetermsandconditionsbelowcarefullyandconfirmyouragreementandacceptancewiththesetermsbeforeusingSusallWaveFIN-ESGDataService.FIN-ESGDataisproducedbySusallWaveDigitalTechnologyCo.,Ltd.(Inshort,SusallWave)’sassessmentbasedonlegalpubliclyaccessibleinformation.SusallWaveshallnotberesponsibleforanyaccuracyandcompletenessoftheinformation.Theassessmentresultisforreferenceonly.Itisnotforanyinvestmentadviceforanyindividualorinstitutionandnotforbasisofpurchasing,sellingorholdinganyrelativefinancialproducts.WewillnotbeliableforanydirectorindirectlossofanyindividualorinstitutionasaresultofusingSusallWaFIN-ESGData.SusallWadonotconsiderrecipientsascustomersforreceivingthesedata.Whenusingthedata,recipientsshallmakeyourownindependentjudgmentaccordingtoyourpracticalindividualstatus.Thecontentsofthedatareflectthejudgmentofusonlyonthereleaseday.Wehaverighttoupdateandamendthedataandreleaseotherdatathatcontainsinconsistentcontentsordifferentconclusionswithoutnotification.Unlessexpresslystated,thedata(e.g.,financialperformancedata)representspastperformanceonlyandthepastperformancecannotbeviewedasthepredictionoffuturereturn.ThecopyrightofthisdatabelongstoSusallWa,andreserveallrightsinaccordancewiththelaw.Withoutthepriorwrittenpermissionofourcompany,noneofindividualorinstitutioncanusethesedataforanyprofitablepurpose.Besides,noneofindividualorinstitutioncantakeactionssuchasamendment,replication,translation,compilation,re-editing,adaption,deletion,abbreviation,excerpts,issuance,rent,exhibition,performance,projection,broadcast,informationnetworktransmission,shooting,addingiconsandinstructions.IfanylossofSusallWaoranythird-partyiscausedbythoseactions,usersshallbearthecorrespondingcompensationliability.SusallWaveshallnotberesponsibleforanyloss.Ifanytermisnotcontainedinthisdisclaimerbutwritteninotheragreementsonourwebsite(e.g.UserRegistrationProtocolofSusallWaWebsite,UserService(includingauthentication)AgreementofSusallWaveWebsite,PrivacyPolicyofSusallwaveWebsite),itshouldbeexecutedaccordingtootheragreements.Ifthereisanydifferencebetweenthisdisclaimandotheragreements,thisdisclaimershallbeapplied.重要免责声明：非印度证券的研究报告：本报告由海通国际证券集团有限公司（“HTISGL”）的全资附属公司海通国际研究有限公司（“HTIRL”）发行，该公司是根据香港证券及期货条例（第571章）持4（）HTISGLHaitongInternational(Japan)K.K.（“HTIJKK）HTIJKK管为投资顾问。印度证券的研究报告：本报告由从事证券交易、投资银行及证券分析及受SecuritiesandExchangeBoardofIndia（“SEBI”）监管的HaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited（“HTSIPL”）所发BSELimited（“BSE”）NationalStockExchangeofIndiaLimited（“NSE）（）HTSIPL20161222并成为海通国际证券集团有限公司（“HTISG）所有研究报告均以海通国际为名作为全球品牌，经许可由海通国际证券股份有限公司及/或海通国际证券集团的其他成员在其司法管辖区发布。HTIRL、HTISCL或任何其他属于海通国际证券集团有限公司（“HTISG）/HTISG任。HTISGHTISG的销售员、交易员和其他专业人士均可向HTISGHTISG一致的投资决策。但HTIRL请访问海通国际网站www.equities.htisec.com，查阅更多有关海通国际为预防和避免利益冲突设立的组织和行政安排的内容信息。非美国分析师披露信息：本项研究首页上列明的海通国际分析师并未在FINRA进行注册或者取得相应的资格，并且不受美国FINRA有关与本项研究目标公司进行沟通、公开露面和自营证券交易的第2241条规则之限制。IMPORTANTDISCLAIMERForresearchreportsonnon-Indiansecurities:TheresearchreportisissuedbyHaitongInternationalResearchLimited(“HTIRL”),awhollyownedsubsidiaryofHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupLimited(“HTISGL”)andalicensedcorporationtocarryonType4regulatedactivity(advisingonsecurities)forthepurposeoftheSecuritiesandFuturesOrdinance(Cap.571)ofHongKong,withtheassistanceofHaitongInternational(Japan)K.K.(“HTIJKK”),awhollyownedsubsidiaryofHTISGLandwhichisregulatedasanInvestmentAdviserbytheKantoFinanceBureauofJapan.ForresearchreportsonIndiansecurities:TheresearchreportisissuedbyHaitongSecuritiesIndiaPrivateLimited(“HSIPL”),anIndiancompanyandaSecuritiesandExchangeBoardofIndia(“SEBI”)registeredStockBroker,MerchantBankerandResearchAnalystthat,interalia,producesanddistributesresearchreportscoveringlistedentitiesontheBSELimited(“BSE”)andtheNationalStockExchangeofIndiaLimited(“NSE”)(collectivelyreferredtoas“IndianExchanges”).HSIPLwasacquiredandbecamepartoftheHaitongInternationalSecuritiesGroupofCompanies(“HTISG”)on22December2016.AlltheresearchreportsaregloballybrandedunderthenameHaitongInternationalandapprovedfordistributionbyHaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”)and/oranyothermemberswithinHTISGintheirrespectivejurisdictions.Theinformationandopinionscontainedinthisresearchreporthavebeencompiledorarrivedatfromsourcesbelievedtobereliableandingoodfaithbutnorepresentationorwarranty,expressorimplied,ismadebyHTIRL,HTISCL,HSIPL,HTIJKKoranyothermemberswithinHTISGfromwhichthisresearchreportmaybereceived,astotheiraccuracy,completenessorcorrectness.Allopinionsexpressedhereinareasofthedateofthisresearchreportandaresubjecttochangewithoutnotice.Thisresearchreportisforinformationpurposeonly.Descriptionsofanycompaniesortheirsecuritiesmentionedhereinarenotintendedtobecompleteandthisresearchreportisnot,andshouldnotbeconstruedexpresslyorimpliedlyas,anoffertobuyorsellsecurities.Thesecuritiesreferredtointhisresearchreportmaynotbeeligibleforpurchaseorsaleinsomejurisdictions.Ifaninvestmentproductisdenominatedinacurrencyotherthananinvestor'shomecurrency,achangeinexchangeratesmayadverselyaffecttheinvestment.Pastperformanceisnotnecessarilyindicativeoffutureresults.Certaintransactions,includingthoseinvolvingderivatives,giverisetosubstantialriskandarenotsuitableforallinvestors.Youshouldalsobearinmindthatrecommendationsinthisresearchreportarenottailor-madeforyou.Theanalysthasnottakenintoaccountyouruniquefinancialcircumstances,suchasyourfinancialsituationandriskappetite.Youmust,therefore,analyzeandshould,whereapplicable,consultyourownlegal,tax,accounting,financialandotherprofessionaladviserstoevaluatewhethertherecommendationssuitsyoubeforeinvestment.NeitherHTISGnoranyofitsdirectors,employeesoragentsacceptsanyliabilitywhatsoeverforanydirectorconsequentiallossarisingfromanyuseofthematerialscontainedinthisresearchreport.HTISGandouraffiliates,officers,directors,andemployees,excludingtheanalystsresponsibleforthecontentofthisdocument,willfromtimetotimehavelongorshortpositionsin,actasprincipalin,andbuyorsell,thesecuritiesorderivatives,ifany,referredtointhisresearchreport.Sales,traders,andotherprofessionalsofHTISGmayprovideoralorwrittenmarketcommentaryortradingstrategiestotherelevantclientsandthecompanieswithinHTISGthatreflectopinionsthatarecontrarytotheopinionsexpressedinthisresearchreport.HTISGmaymakeinvestmentdecisionsthatareinconsistentwiththerecommendationsorviewsexpressedinthisresearchreport.HTIisundernoobligationtoensurethatsuchothertradingdecisions,ideasorrecommendationsarebroughttotheattentionofanyrecipientofthisresearchreport.PleaserefertoHTI’swebsiteforfurtherinformationonHTI’sorganizationalandadministrativearrangementssetupforthepreventionandavoidanceofconflictsofinterestwithrespecttoResearch.NonU.S.AnalystDisclosure:TheHTIanalyst(s)listedonthecoverofthisResearchis(are)notregisteredorqualifiedasaresearchanalystwithFINRAandarenotsubjecttoU.S.FINRARule2241restrictionsoncommunicationswithcompaniesthatarethesubjectoftheResearch;publicappearances;andtradingsecuritiesbyaresearchanalyst.分发和地区通知：除非下文另有规定，否则任何希望讨论本报告或者就本项研究中讨论的任何证券进行任何交易的收件人均应联系其所在国家或地区的海通国际销售人员。香港投资者的通知事项：海通国际证券股份有限公司(“HTISCL”)负责分发该研究报告，HTISCL是在香港有权实施第1类受规管活动（从事证券交易）的持牌公司。该研究报告并不构成《证券及期货条例》（香港法例第571章）（以下简称“SFO”）所界定的要约邀请，证券要约或公众要约。本研究报告仅提供给SFO所界定的“专业投资者”。本研究报告未经过证券及期货事务监察委员会的审查。您不应仅根据本研究报告中所载的信息做出投资决定。本研究报告的收件人就研究报告中产生或与之相关的任何事宜请联系HTISCL销售人员。美国投资者的通知事项：本研究报告由HTIRL，HSIPL或HTIJKK编写。HTIRL，HSIPL，HTIJKK以及任何非HTISG美国联营公司，均未在美国注册，因此不受美国关于研究报告编制和研1934年“美国证券交易法”15a6（“MajorU.S.InstitutionalInvestor）资者」（”US.InstitutionalInvestors）HaitongInternationalSecurities(USA)Inc.（“HTIUSA”）HTIUSA。HTIUSA340MadisonAvenue,12thFloor,NewYork,NY10173，电话（212）351-6050。HTIUSA是在美国于US.SecuritiesandExchangeCommission（“SEC”）FinancialIndustryRegulatoryAuthority,Inc.（“FINRA”）HTIUSAHSIPLHTIRL或HTIJKKHSIPLHTIRLHTIJKKFINRAFINRA2241（包括ADR）HaitongInternationalSecurities(USA)Inc.340MadisonAvenue,12thFloorNewYork,NY10173联系人电话：(212)3516050DISTRIBUTIONANDREGIONALNOTICESExceptasotherwiseindicatedbelow,anyRecipientwishingtodiscussthisresearchreportoreffectanytransactioninanysecuritydiscussedinHTI’sresearchshouldcontacttheHaitongInternationalsalespersonintheirowncountryorregion.NoticetoHongKonginvestors:TheresearchreportisdistributedbyHaitongInternationalSecuritiesCompanyLimited(“HTISCL”),whichisalicensedcorporationtocarryonType1regulatedactivity(dealinginsecurities)inHongKong.ThisresearchreportdoesnotconstituteasolicitationoranofferofsecuritiesoraninvitationtothepublicwithinthemeaningoftheSFO.Thisresearchreportisonlytobecirculatedto"ProfessionalInvestors"asdefinedintheSFO.ThisresearchreporthasnotbeenreviewedbytheSecuritiesandFuturesCommission.Youshouldnotmakeinvestmentdecisionssolelyonthebasisoftheinformationcontainedinthisresearchreport.RecipientsofthisresearchreportaretocontactHTISCLsalespersonsinrespectofanymattersarisingfrom,orinconnectionwith,theresearchreport.NoticetoU.S.investors:Asdescribedabove,thisresearchreportwaspreparedbyHTIRL,HSIPLorHTIJKK.NeitherHTIRL,HSIPL,HTIJKK,noranyofthenonU.S.HTISGaffiliatesisregisteredintheUnitedStatesand,therefore,isnotsubjecttoU.S.rulesregardingthepreparationofresearchreportsandtheindependenceofresearchanalysts.Thisresearchreportisprovidedfordistributionto“majorU.S.institutionalinvestors”and“U.S.institutionalinvestors”inrelianceontheexemptionfromregistrationprovidedbyRule15a-6oftheU.S.SecuritiesExchangeActof1934,asamended.Whendistributingresearchreportsto“U.S.institutionalinvestors,”HTIUSAwillaccepttheresponsibilitiesforthecontentofthereports.AnyU.S.recipientofthisresearchreportwishingtoeffectanytransactiontobuyorsellsecuritiesorrelatedfinancialinstrumentsbasedontheinformationprovidedinthisresearchreportshoulddosoonlythroughHaitongInternationalSecurities(USA)Inc.(“HTIUSA”),locatedat340MadisonAvenue,12thFloor,NewYork,NY10173,USA;telephone(212)3516050.HTIUSAisabroker-dealerregisteredintheU.S.withtheU.S.SecuritiesandExchangeCommission(the“SEC”)andamemberoftheFinancialIndustryRegulatoryAuthority,Inc.(“FINRA”).HTIUSAisnotresponsibleforthepreparationofthisresearchreportnorfortheanalysiscontainedtherein.UndernocircumstancesshouldanyU.S.recipientofthisresearchreportcontacttheanalystdirectlyoreffectanytransactiontobuyorsellsecuritiesorrelatedfinancialinstrumentsdirectlythroughHSIPL,HTIRLorHTIJKK.TheHSIPL,HTIRLorHTIJKKanalyst(s)whosenameappearsinthisresearchreportisnotregisteredorqualifiedasaresearchanalystwithFINRAand,therefore,maynotbesubjecttoFINRARule2241restrictionsoncommunicationswithasubjectcompany,publicappearancesandtradingsecuritiesheldbyaresearchanalystaccount.Investinginanynon-U.S.securitiesorrelatedfinancialinstruments(includingADRs)discussedinthisresearchreportmaypresentcertainrisks.Thesecuritiesofnon-U.S.issuersmaynotberegisteredwith,orbesubjecttoU.S.regulations.Informationonsuchnon-U.S.securitiesorrelatedfinancialinstrumentsmaybelimited.Foreigncompanie