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June2024
2024StateoftheEuropeanHydrogenMarketReport
OIESENERGYCOMMENT
MartinLambert,AlexBarnes,AndreiMarcu,OlivierImbaultAdithyaBhashyam,MartinTengler,ChiaraCavallera,GabrieleRomeo
2
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
KeyTakeaways
•Developingahydrogeneconomyisoneofthecriticalrequirementsfortheachievementofthe2050NetZerotargetaswellasintheconsiderationoftheinterim2040target.
•LikemanyoftheEUclimatepolicies,hydrogenpolicyiscurrentlyoverlyregulatoryinnature,ratherthanamoremarketdrivenapproachwithtechnologicalneutrality.
•In2023,importantprogresshasbeenmadeincompletingtheregulatoryframeworkonthelow-carbonhydrogenmarketintheEUandUK.However,someimportantpartsofthepoliciesarestillmissing,particularlyintheEU.
•TheEUandUKregulatoryapproachesaredifferent:(1)theUKistechnologyneutral,aslongasitissustainable,thatis,aslongasthehydrogen’scarbonintensityislowerthan20gCO2e/MJ,whiletheEUrequirestechnologytobeonlyrenewable(inaccordancewithREDIIdefinition);(2)theUKframeworkincludesasetofimplementingactsandaproductionsupportapproach,whiletheEUreliesonMemberStatedecisions,inparticularonimplementationoftargetsandquotas.
•However,itistooearlytosaywhichisthewinningapproach,astheEUandtheUKhavenotmadesignificantprogressonthelow-carbonhydrogenmarketdeploymentin2023anditismostunlikelythattheEUandUKtargetsfor2030,intermsoflow-carbonhydrogenproduction,willbeachieved.
•ThelagginggrowthoftheEUandUKlow-carbonhydrogenmarkethasanegativeimpactontheenvironmentaldeliverywhichremainsmainlydependentonchangestocurrenthydrogenproductionandincreasedefficiency.Thisisdemonstratedbytheverylowlevelofcommittedsupplycomparedtobothannouncedprojectsandambitioustargetswhichhavebeenset.
•Europeangovernmentshavemadelowtomoderateprogressonninekeyperformanceindicators(KPIs)forlow-carbonhydrogen.MoreambitiouspolicyimplementationisneededtokickstartaEuropeanhydrogenmarket.
•Governmentfundingandlocalcontentrequirementsinhydrogenprojectshaveshownthemostprogress.Europehasannouncedoneofthelargestbudgetsforlow-carbonhydrogenwhichissettoleadtomorefinalinvestmentdecisionsoncefundingisallocated.However,furtherworkisrequiredtotranslatethatwillingnessintoactualprojectcommitments.DomesticelectrolysermanufacturerscurrentlydominatesalestoEuropeanhydrogenprojects,accountingfor80-90%ofsalessince2022,farexceedingtheNetZeroIndustryActtargetof40%.However,thefundingseemsconcentratedinlimitednumberofcountriesinEU.
•Moreprogressisneededonimplementingquotasforhydrogenuseandexpandingdomesticelectrolysermanufacturing.EUquotasforhydrogenusecouldcreate2-3.8millionmetrictons(Mt)ofdemandby2030,farbelowtheREPowerEUtargettouse20Mt.Theslowimplementationofquotasonanationalleveliscreatingfurtheruncertaintyforprojectdevelopers,leadingtodelaysininvestments.
•Progressonraisingdomesticsupplyanddemandislackingasmostprojectsarefailingtomakeitoutofplanningstages.Just3.6%ofsupplyplannedforcommissioningby2030ispastfinalinvestmentdecisionoroperational.Only4.5%ofsupplyneededtomeettheREPowerEUdemandtargethassignedabindingofftakeagreement.Thereisnotyetsufficientincentiveforpotentialofftakerstocommittopurchasequantitiesoflow-carbonhydrogentosupportthetargets.Theenduseformuchproposedhydrogensupplyisunclear.
•Overthenext12months,keythingstolookforwhichcouldindicatesignificantprogress:(a)howmanyoftheprojectswhichwonthefirstEuropeanHydrogenBankauctionactuallyprogresstoFIDandstartconstruction,(b)whethersignificantFIDsaretakenonUKlow-carbonhydrogenprojects
(c)howmanyfirmofftakeagreementsaresignedbetweencustomersandsuppliers.
1.Background
TheStateoftheEUHydrogenReportisanindependentinitiativethatisnotintendedtoduplicateorreplacemandatedworkundertakenbytheEUorotherinstitutions.
Thereportisintendedasa‘snapshot’,providingpolicymakersandstakeholderswithanoverviewofhowtheEuropeanhydrogenmarketisprogressingeachyear,basedonthepreviousyear’sdata.Despitethelimitationsimposedbytheavailabilityofpubliclyaccessibledata,theReportanalysesrelevantkeyperformanceindicators(KPIs)toassessthestatusandthedevelopmentoftheEUhydrogenmarket.
ThisreporthasbeenthesubjectofstakeholderconsultationsorganisedbytheauthorsandfeedbackhasbeenprovidedbydifferentstakeholdersincludingNGOs,thinktanks,academia,policymakers,marketparticipants,andindustryrepresentatives.
Theviewsexpressedinthisreportaresolelythoseoftheauthorsintheirpersonalcapacityanddonotreflecttheopinionsofanyassociatedinstitutions.
2.Introductiontohydrogen
Ascontextfortherestofthereport,thissectionintroducesthetopicofhydrogenaspartofadecarbonised
energysystem,highlighting(a)thedemanddriversforlow-carbonhydrogen,(b)thepotentialproductionroutesand(c)theinfrastructurerequirements.Itconsiderssomeofthekeychallengesandpossiblepathsforwardwhichwillhelptointerpretthedatapresentedinsubsequentsections.FurtherdetailsonmanyoftheissuesraisedinthissectioncanbefoundinarecentOIESpublication“CleanHydrogenRoadmap
”1.
Demanddriversforlow-carbonhydrogen
Inthisreport,wedefinelow-carbonhydrogenashydrogen,regardlessofproductionprocess,withasignificantlylowercarbonfootprintthantraditionalfossilfuelderivedhydrogen.
Theunderlyingandmostimportantobservationisthatatthistime,thedriverforlow-carbonhydrogendemandisgovernmentdecarbonisationpolicy.Thevastmajorityofhydrogencurrentlyusedisinoilrefining,ammonia-basedfertilisersandotherpetrochemicals.Nearlyallofthathydrogenis“high-carbon”fossil-fuelderivedhydrogen(whenproducedfromnaturalgas,1tonneofhydrogenproducesaround10tonnesofCO2),andoncurrentprojections,anyformoflowercarbonhydrogenwillbeatsignificantlyhighercost.
Similarly,potentialnovelusesofhydrogen(e.g.reductionofironore,decarbonisationofaviationandinternationalshipping)arealsohighercostthancurrentalternatives.Thus,intheabsenceofgovernmentpolicy,significantdemandforlow-carbonhydrogenwouldnotexistascustomerswouldtendtochoosethelowercostalternatives.Forthisreason,thisreportcontainssectionsontheregulatoryandpolicyframeworksupportinghydrogendevelopmentintheEUandtheUK.
Assumingthattheunderlyingdecarbonisationpolicydriverisinplace,hydrogenisnotauniversalsolutionforallsectorsanditssuitabilityvariesbyenduse.Theseprioritiesmayevolveovertimeastechnologydevelopswhichmayimpacthydrogen’scompetitivenesscomparedtootherdecarbonisationalternatives.Anunderlyingprinciplewhichappearsunlikelytochangeisthat,whereverfeasible,directelectrificationislikelytobemoreefficient,lowercostandhencepreferabletouseofhydrogen.
Hydrogenwill,however,benecessaryinsomeapplications.Firstly,thereisaneedtodecarbonisethecurrenthigh-carbonhydrogenuseasafeedstockinrefineries,ammoniaandpetrochemicals,asreferredtoabove.Currentglobalhydrogendemandisestimatedat95milliontonnesofwhicharound8milliontonnesisinEurop
e2.
Lessthan1milliontonnesofcurrentglobalhydrogendemandisfromlow-carbonsources.
1/publications/clean-hydrogen-roadmap-is-greater-realism-leading-to-more-credible-paths-forward/
2IEAGlobalHydrogenReview2023
/reports/global-hydrogen-review-2023
3
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
Hydrogenshouldalsobeusedforthedecarbonisationofsomeotherindustrialapplications,particularlyintheironandsteelindustry.Withaneedtomoveawayfromuseofcoalinblastfurnaces,oneofthemostpromisinglow-carbonalternativesisuseofhydrogeninthedirectreductionofiron(DRI)process.Somesignificantdemonstrationprojectsareunderconstruction,notablyin
Sweden3.
OtherEuropeansteelmakersarealsodevelopingplansforintroductionofDRIintotheirprocesses.Oneuncertaintywhichwillbeimportanttotrackoverthecomingyearsistheextenttowhichthetransitiontolow-carbonhydrogenmayresultinsomeindustrialrelocation:therecouldbealogicforDRIprocessestobecarriedoutinregionsoftheworldwiththelowestcostrenewablepowerandsuitableironore(e.g.Australia,SouthAmerica)ratherthanimportinglow-carbonhydrogenforaDRIprocessinEurope.
Athirdareafortheuseofhydrogenwillbeinproductionofhydrogenderivativesasammoniaand“e-fuels”–synthetichydrocarbonsderivedfromrenewablehydrogencombinedwithacarbonsource(preferablybiogenicorotherwisenon-fossilcarbon).Itislikelythatovertimesomeexistingoilrefinerieswillevolveintoe-fuelproductionfacilities,probablywithintegratedlow-carbonhydrogenproduction.
Inallofthesefirstthreeuses,itisnotablethathydrogenisbeingusedasafeedstocktoanindustrialprocessratherthandirectlybeingusedasanenergyvector.Theremainingpotentialusesofhydrogenareasanenergyvector,butheretherewillbegreatercompetitionfromotheralternatives.
Hydrogenislikelytoplaysomeroleinlong-durationenergystorage,inordertobalancepowergridsattimeswhenthereisinsufficientwindandsolargenerationandthestoragecapacityofbatteriesandothersourcesofflexibilityhasbeenexhausted.ArecentreportconsideringthefutureGreatBritainelectricitysystemconcludedthattherecouldbeaneedforbetween60and100TWh(2to3milliontonnes)ofhydrogenstorageinundergroundsaltcaverns–oraboutdoubletheenergystoragecapacityofthecurrentnaturalgasstoragecapacityintheUK–toprovidesecurityofsupplyforperiodsoflowwindandlowsun
.4
Finally,hydrogenmayplaysomeroletosupportdirectelectrificationinareaslikeroadandrailtransport,spaceheatingandindustrialheat.Inrecentyears,however,asbatteryandheatpumptechnologyhasdevelopedandreducedincost,theroleofhydrogeninsuchareasappearstobelimitedtosmallerandsmallernicheapplications(forexampleglassmanufacturingandverylong-distanceroadtransportwheredirectelectrificationisparticularlychallenging).
Low-carbonhydrogenproductionroutes
Thetwoleadingcontendersforlow-carbonhydrogenproductionare(a)electrolytichydrogenusingzero-carbonelectricitysuchasrenewablesornuclear(called“green”hydrogenifrenewablesareused)and(b)hydrogenfromnaturalgaswithcarboncaptureandstorage(CCS)(sometimescalled“blue”hydrogen).Bothrouteshavedistinctadvantagesandchallenges.
Electrolytichydrogenhastheadvantageofbeingpotentiallyzero-carbonbutrequiressignificantamountsofpowergenerationinadditiontothatrequiredforimmediateelectricitydemand.Forexample,theREPowerEUtarge
t5
of10milliontonnesrenewablehydrogenproductionwithinEUby2030wouldrequire500TWhofadditionalpowergeneration–or18percentofEU’selectricityproductionin202
16
–andover
125GWofelectrolysercapacity,soisveryunlikelytobeachievable.
InsomepartsofEurope,nuclearpowerisanalternativesourceoflow-carbonelectricitytopowerelectrolysers:bothwillbeconsideredinouranalysis.Inadditiontothescalechallenge,electrolytichydrogenisalsoestimatedtobeconsiderablymoreexpensivethanexistinghighcarbonhydrogen.Whileactualcostsvaryfromcasetocase,indicativedatasuggeststhatcurrenthydrogencostsareintherange1to3€/kg,electrolytichydrogenislikelytobewellinexcessof5€/kg.
3Hybrit
https://www.hybritdevelopment.se/en/
andH2GreenSteel
/
4
/-/media/policy/projects/large-scale-electricity-storage/large-scale-electricity-storage-report.pdf
5
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/PDF/?uri=CELEX:52022SC0230
6https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=Electricity_production,_consumption_and_market_overview
4
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
CCS-enabledhydrogenhashadamixedreceptionindifferentEuropeancountries.TheUKhasincludeditinitslow-carbonhydrogenpoliciesfromtheoutset,andtheNetherlandshasdevelopedplansforCCS(includingthePorthosprojectwhichhastakenthefinalinvestmentdecisio
n7)
.Originally,EuropeanUnionpolicyfocusedalmostexclusivelyonelectrolytichydrogen,butduring2023,severalpolicyannouncementsindicatedagrowingacceptancethatCCSwouldplayasignificantroleindecarbonisation
.8
WhileCCS-enabledhydrogenislikelytobelowercostthanelectrolytichydrogen,developmentoftherequiredinfrastructureatsufficientscalewillremainchallenging.
ThisreportwilltrackthestatusofbothelectrolyticandCCS-enabledhydrogen.
Midstreaminfrastructurerequirements
Forhydrogentoreachitscustomersitisimportanttoconsiderthewholesupplychain,andmidstreaminfrastructureisavitalpartofthatchain.
Mosthydrogentodayisusedveryclosetoitspointofproduction,recognisingthattransportofhydrogenaddssignificantadditionalcosts.Tobalancedemand,however,sometransportwillberequired,althoughtheextentofthisisdifficulttopredictatthisearlystageinthedevelopmentoftheindustry.Pipelinesarelikelytobethemostcost-effectivewaytotransporthydrogenoverdistancesuptoaround
2000km9,
sufficientformostintra-Europeanrequirements.Adifficultdilemmaisthelinkingofinvestmentinpipelineinfrastructurewiththetimingofproductionanddemandtomakeuseoftheinfrastructure.Iflargepipelinecapacityisbuiltwellinadvanceoflikelydemand,thereisariskthattheinvestmentmaybecomearegretandthepipelineastrandedasset.Atthisstage,itislikelythatinitialhydrogentransportwilltakeplacewithinindustrialclusters,withsubsequentlinksbetweensuchclusters.
Anotherkeypartofmidstreaminfrastructureisthedevelopmentofsufficienthydrogenstoragecapacity.Withpotentiallyintermittentproduction(linkedtorenewablepowergeneration)andmoresteady-statecustomerdemand(forexampleinanindustrialprocess),storagewillplayavitalrole.Asnotedearlier,useofhydrogenforbalancingpowergridsattimesoflowrenewablegenerationcouldalsorequiresignificantstorage.LargescalehydrogenstoragehasbeendemonstratedinundergroundsaltcavernsinUKandUSA,andfurtherprojectsareunderdevelopmentintheNetherlandsandtheUSA
.10
Storagewillbeparticularlychallenginginlocationswithoutsuitablegeologicalstoragestructures–mostcruciallysaltdepositssuitableforthedevelopmentofsaltcaverns.
Athirdpartofmid-streaminfrastructure,perhapsinthelongerterm,islikelytobedevelopmentofimportterminalsforlow-carbonhydrogenderivativeslikemethanolandammonia.Thesederivativescouldbeusedasfinalproducts(forexampleinthechemicalindustry),ortheterminalscouldbecombinedwithammoniacrackingormethanolreformingfacilitiestorecoverthehydrogen.Eachadditionalprocessstepincreasescostandcomplexityandreducesefficiencyoftheoverallsupplychain,sothecompetitivelandscapewillbeanimportantdeterminantofthespeedofdevelopmentofthesefacilities.
KeyChallengesandpathforward
Astheabovediscussionshows,allaspectsofthehydrogensupplychainhavechallenges,particularlyaroundcreatingabusinesscasetojustifyinvestments.Commercialstructures,policysupportandregulatoryframeworksareallimportanttohelpcreatethatbusinesscase.Subsidyauctions(likethoseofH2GlobalandtheEuropeanHydrogenBank)willbekeyenablerstoprovidetherequiredsupport,sothisreportwilltrackprogressofthesemeasuresand,overtime,itshouldbecomeclearerwhichpolicymeasuresaremosteffectiveatachievingresults.
7https://www.porthosco2.nl/en/
8Seeforexample,CommissionerSimson’sspeechtotheEUCCUSforuminDenmarkinNovember2023:
https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/SPEECH_23_6086
9IEAGlobalHydrogenReview2023
/reports/global-hydrogen-review-2023
10
https://www.hystock.nl/en/about-hystock/the-project,
/hubs/
5
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
3.Regulatorydevelopments
ThegoalofthischapteristoofferanoverviewofthehydrogenregulatoryframeworkintheEUandintheUK.Sincethereportisa‘snapshot’of2023,thedevelopmentswhichoccurredinthatyeararespecified.AfterdiscussingtheEUandtheUKrespectiveframeworks,acomparisonofthetwohasbeenmadetohighlighttheirsimilaritiesanddifferences.Finally,inordertoprovideaglancetotherestoftheworld,USandChinahydrogenmarketsarementioned.
3.1.EURegulatoryDevelopments
3.1.1OverviewofEUPoliciesConcerningHydrogen&Financing
Thissubchapterfocusesontwotopics.Thefirstpart(3.1.1)identifiesandprovidesanoverviewofthepoliciescontainingprovisionsonhydrogen,specifyingwhichaspectsofhydrogentheyaddress,andhowtheyimpactthecomponents(supply,demand,infrastructure)oftheEUhydrogenmarket.Thesecondpart(3.1.2)offersaninsightinthefinancingoftheEUhydrogenframework,categorizingtheinstrumentsavailableaccordingtothetypeofsupporttheyprovide,theirdeploymentstage,thetechnologiestheycover,andwhethertheyareopentoapplicationsfromallEUMemberStates.
OverviewofEUPoliciesConcerningHydrogen
TheTablebelowclassifiesthepolicieswhichcontainprovisionsonhydrogenaccordingtowhethertheyareimpactingthesupply,demandand/orinfrastructure.
Table1:ComponentsoftheEUH2regulations
ComponentsofH2Market
Policies(communications,directives,regulations,delegatedacts)
Supply
EUHydrogenStrategy,REDIIDelegatedActs,HydrogenandDecarbonisedGasMarketpackage,EUTaxonomy,NetZeroIndustryAct,REPowerEUPlan,RefuelEU
Aviation,CriticalRawMaterialsAct
IndustrialandTransportDemand
EUHydrogenStrategy,recastRenewableEnergy
Directive(REDIII),REPowerEUPlan,CarbonBorderAdjustmentMechanism(CBAM),FuelEUMaritime,
RefuelEUAviation,EUETS
Infrastructure
EUHydrogenStrategy,HydrogenandDecarbonisedGasMarketpackage,Net-ZeroIndustryAct,AlternativeFuelsInfrastructureRegulation(AFIR),Trans-European
TransportNetwork(TEN-T),Trans-EuropeanNetworksforEnergy(TEN-E),CriticalRawMaterialsAct
EUHydrogenStrateg
y11
ObjectivesoftheEUHydrogenStrategy:theHydrogenStrategyservesasaninitiallong-termpolicydeclarationbyproposingastrategicroadmapforhydrogenuptakeintheEUeconomy.Assuch,itelaboratesonthetechnologicaldeploymentphases,supportingpolicyframework,marketandinfrastructuredevelopment,researchandinnovationopportunities,andinternationaldimension.
11
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=CELEX%3A52020DC0301
6
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
Itsetanintermediate2030objectiveofupto10milliontonnesofrenewablehydrogen(seeChapter4,KPI3)producedintheEUtoreachcarbonneutralityin
205012.
Low-carbonhydrogenisconsideredasatransitionalenergysource.
Onhydrogendemand,theStrategyenvisagestheneedfordedicateddemand-sidepoliciesforindustrialdemandtograduallyincludenewapplications,includingsteelmaking,refineries,chemicalapplicationsandtransportapplications.Onthesupplyside,theimportanceofdevelopingandscalinguphydrogensupplychainismentioned.Finally,theStrategyrecognizedtheneedforanEU-widelogisticalinfrastructurewhichiskeytotransporthydrogenfromtheareaswhereitisproducedtotheareaswhereitisneeded,linkingproducersandconsumers.
EUTaxonom
y13
•ObjectivesoftheEUTaxonomy:establishingaclassificationsystemthatidentifieswhicheconomicactivitiescanbeconsideredenvironmentallysustainable,withintheframeworkoftheEuropeanGreenDeal.Inparticular,theEUTaxonomyaimstohelpcompaniesinmakinginformedsustainableinvestmentdecisions,beeligibleforgreenbonds,andlimittheriskof“greenwashing”.Thisisincontrasttoamarket-basedapproachthatwouldbefocusedonemissionsintensityonly.
•Hydrogenprovisions:theproductionofhydrogenandotherhydrogen-basedfuelscanbeconsideredsustainableundertheEUTaxonomyeveniftheenergyusedisnotrenewable,aslongastheproductachievesa70percentreductioninlifecycleGHGemissionscomparedtothefossilfuelcomparatorof94g
CO2e/MJ14(28.2
gCO2e/MJ).Byprovidingalistofenvironmentallysustainableeconomicactivities,theEUtaxonomywillhaveanimpactoninvestments,redirectingthemtothoseactivitiesthatareincludedinthescopeoftheregulation.
Fitfor55package
TheFitfor55packagedoesnothaveaspecificdirective/regulationonhydrogen.TheEUhydrogenregulatoryframeworkisscatteredacrossthebuildingblocksoftheFitfor55.Theregulationsthatdirectlyconcernhydrogenare:
a)HydrogenandDecarbonisedGasMarketpackagerevisio
n15
•ObjectivesoftheHydrogenandDecarbonisedGasMarketpackage:enablingthemarkettodecarbonisegasconsumption,ensuringenergysecurity,facilitatingtheestablishmentofoptimalandspecializedinfrastructureforhydrogentoensureamoreintegratednetworkplanningbetweenelectricity,gas,andhydrogennetwork
s16.
•Hydrogenprovisions:theHydrogenandDecarbonisedGasMarketpackageestablishesasystemofterminologyandcertificationoflow-carbonhydrogenandlow-carbonfuels.Tobedeemedassuch,low-carbonhydrogenshallmeetaGHGemissionreductionthresholdof70percentvsthefossilfuelcomparator.However,thisdefinitionisincompleteuntiltheDelegatedAct(DA)thatwillspecifythemethodologytoassesstheGHGemissionssavingsfromlow-carbonfuelsispublished(see3.3Policygapsparagraph).Whenitispublished,producerswillhavetocomplywiththeemissionsthresholdsstatedintheHydrogenandDecarbonisedGasMarketpackage.
12
ibidem
13
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex%3A32021R2139
14asoutlinedinSection3.10ofAnnexIoftheClimateDelegatedActundertheTaxonomyRegulation
https://eur-
lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex%3A32021R2139
15
https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=COM%3A2021%3A804%3AFIN&qid=1640001545187
16ibidem
7
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
8
Thecontentsofthispaperaretheauthors’soleresponsibility.Theydonotnecessarilyrepresenttheviews
oftheOxfordInstituteforEnergyStudiesoranyofitsMembers.
b)RenewableEnergyDirective
•ObjectivesoftheRenewableEnergyDirective:settingalegalframeworkforthedevelopmentofcleanenergyacrossallsectorsoftheEUeconomy.
•Hydrogenprovisions:
b.1)REDIIdelegatedAct
s17
(thesetwoDelegatedActsfocusonthedefinitionofwhatisrenewablehydrogenintheEU):
oThefirstDelegatedAct
18
(namely‘DelegatedActestablishingaminimumthresholdforgreenhousegas(GHG)emissionssavingsofrecycledcarbonfuels’)definesunderwhichconditionshydrogen,hydrogen-basedfuelsorotherenergycarrierscanbeconsideredasRenewableLiquidandGaseousFuelsofNon-BiologicalOrigin(RFNBOs).Inparticular,therulesaimtoensurethatRNFBOsareonlysourcedfrom"additional"renewableelectricit
y19
andcomplywithtempora
l20
andgeographicalcorrelatio
n21
criteria.
oThesecondDelegatedAc
t22
(namely‘DelegatedActonamethodologyforrenewablefuelsonnon-biologicalorigin’)providesamethodologyforcalculatinglifecycleGHGemissionsforRFNBOs.Thismethodologyconsidersthewholelifecycleofthefuelstocalculatetheemissionsandtheassociatedsavings.Inparticular,usingrecycled-carbonfuelsshouldleadtoaminimum70percentdecreaseinGHGemissionscomparedtothefuelstheyreplace.
TheseDelegatedActswillimpactthesupplyofhydrogen.ProducerswillhavetocomplywiththecriteriastatedintheREDIIDelegatedActstoensurethatthehydrogentheyproducecanbeclassifiedasRNFBOs. b.2)RecastRenewableEnergyDirective(REDIII
)23:
•ObjectivesofREDIII:theDirectivemandatesthattheEU’senergymixbecomposedofatleast42.5percentrenewableenergyby2030,withanindicativegoalof45percentrenewableenergy.TheobligationisonMemberStates.
•Sectoraltargets:REDIIIsetstargetsforRFNBOsinindustryandtransportasdetailedbelow.
RFNBOsinindustry(Article22a):REDIIIsetanannualtargetofa1.6percentagepointsincreaseintheuseofrenewableenergyby2030.Additionally,atleast42percentofthehydrogenusedinindustryshouldcomefromRFNBOsby2030increasingto60percentby2035.However,theMemberStateshavethepossibilityto‘discount’theshareofRFNBOby20percentin2030iftheymeetthesetwoconditions(Article22b):
-First,thecountrymustbeontracktomeetitsnationalcontributiontotheEU’soveralltargetfor42.5percentrenewab
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