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CFA二级培训项目
讲师:TOM
m鱼艺栉MM6aPr中血吗
TopicWeightingsinCFALevelII
SessionNO.ContentWeightings
StudySession1Ethical&ProfessionalStandards10-15
StudySession2-3QuantitativeMethods5-10
StudySession4Economics5-10
StudySession5-6FinancialReportingandAnalysis10-15
StudySession7-8CorporateFinance5-10
StudySession9-11Equity10-15
StudySession12-13FixedIncome10-15
StudySession14Derivatives5-10
StudySession15AlternativeInvestments5-10
StudySession16-17PortfolioManagement10-15
行业•创新•憎值
(S)FrameworkSS14Derivatives
•R37PricingandValuationof
ForwardCommitments
Derivatives•R38ValuationofContingent
Claims
3-148
行业•创新•憎值
PricingandValuationofForwardCommitments
4-148
行业•创新•憎值
1.Forward
■PrincipleofArbitrage-freePricing
Framework■EquityForwardandFuturesContracts
■InterestRateForwardandFutures
Contracts(FRA)
■Fixed-IncomeForwardandFuturesContracts
■CurrencyForwardContracts
2.T-bondFutures
3.Swap
■InterestRateSwapContracts
■CurrencySwapContracts
■EquitySw叩Contracts
5-148
专业•创新•憎值
♦ForwardContracts
“Aforwardcontractisanagreementbetweentwopartiesinwhichone
party,thebuyer,agreestobuyfromtheotherparty,theseller;anunderlying
assetorotherderivative,atafuturedateatapriceestablishedatthestartof
thecontract.最新资料领取微信xiiebajun888s
“Longposition:apositioninanassetorcontractinwhichoneownstheasset
orhasanexercisablerightunderthecontract.
jShortposition:apositioninanassetorcontractinwhichonehassoldan
assetordoesnotown,orinwhicharightunderacontractcanbeexercised
againstoneself.
6-148
行业•创新•憎值
PriceandValue
Thepriceisthepredeterminedpriceinthecontractthatthelongshould
paytotheshorttobuytheunderlyingassetatthesettlementdate.
Thecontractvalueiszerotobothpartiesatinitiation.
Theno-arbitrageprinciple:tradablesecuritieswithidenticalcashflow
paymentsmusthavethesameprice.Otherwise,traderswouldbeableto
generaterisk-freearbitrageprofits.
•Twoassetsorportfolioswithidenticalfuturecashflows,regardlessof
futureevents,shouldhavesameprice;
•Theportfolioshouldyieldtherisk-freerateofreturn,ifitgenerates
certainpayoffs.
T
•Generalformula:FP=S0X(l+Rf)
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行业•创新•憎值
♦ForwardsArbitrage
>Cash・and・CarryArbitragewithforwardcontractmarketpriceto。high
relativetocarryarbitragemodel.
•IfFP>S0X(1+Rff
AtinitiationAtsettlementdate
•Shortaforwardcontract•Delivertheunderlyingtothelong
•BorrowSoattherisk-free•GetFPfromthelong
rate•Repaytheloanamountof
•UsethemoneytobuytheSoX(l+Rf)T
underlyingbond
Profit=FP-S0X(l+Rf)T
8-148
专业•创新•憎值
♦ForwardsArbitrage
>ReverseCasivsnd-CarryArbitragewithforwardcontractmarketpriceto。
lowrelativetocarryarbitragemodel.
•IfFP<S0X(l+Rff
AtinitiationAtsettlementdate
•Longaforwardcontract•PaytheshortFPtogetthe
underlyingbond
•Shortselltheunderlying
•Closeouttheshortpositionby
bondtogetSodeliveringthebond
•InvestSoattherisk-freerate•Receiveinvestmentproceeds
S0X(URf)T
Profit=S°X(l+Rf)「FP
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专业•创新•憎值
♦GenericPricing:No-ArbitragePrinciple
>Pricingaforwardcontractistheprocessofdeterminingtheno-arbitrage
pricethatwillmakethevalueofthecontractbezerotobothsidesatthe
initiationofthecontract.
•Forwardprice=pricethatwouldnotpermitprofitablerisklessarbitrage
infrictionlessmarkets
・)
FP=Sox(l+rfT+CarryingCosts-CarryingBenefits
>Va山ationofaforwardcontractmeansdeterminingthevalueofthe
contracttothelong(ortheshort)atsometimeduringthelifeofthe
contract.
10-148
行业•创新•憎值
Forwardcontractvalue
T-bill(zero-couponbond)forwards
•buyaT-billtodayatthespotprice(So)andshortaT-monthT-bill
forwardcontractattheforwardprice(FP);
-x(l趣.
理)------
•Forwardvalueoflongpositionatinitiation(t=0)zduringthecontract
life(t=t)zandatexpiration(t=T).
TimeForwardContractValuation
Zero,becausethecontractispricedtoprevent
t=0arbitrage
t=t
芟(1+
B、理一浅
或
t=T明
11-148
专业•创新•憎值
♦EquityForwardContracts
>Forwardcontractsonadividend-payingstock
•Price:理瑕=6母一瑞fl演)x(争羊
百)./
•Value:品在斫冕-啜真>(1+7—
袋■粮更).桂
「到/圜钊、函慧型一。卷)
图=伙,M哦矍一0可)用吟¥1、一一技
=+晋q
12-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>Assumingaforwardcontractwith100daysuntilmaturityonastock,
thestockpriceis$45andexpectedtopaydividendof$0.3in20days,
and$0.5in75days.Theriskfreerateis4%.Calculatetheno-arbitrage
forwardprice.
>CorrectAnswer:
So=$45
Di=$0.3D2=$0.5FP=?
I▲IAk
02075100days
$0.3,$0.5
10420/365+10475/365$0.795343
旬果=($45-$0,795343)x1.O4100/365=$44,68
13-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>After40days,thestockpricechangedto$48.Calculatethevaluationof
theforwardcontract.
>CorrectAnswer:
•There'sonlyonedividendremaining(in35days)beforethe
contractmatures(in60days)asshownbelow;so:
So=$45Di=$0,3S40二$48D=$0.5FP=$44.68
I2
2040y75100days
35daysJ
x,_60days
—o
$0.5
]0435/365=$0.498123
契40$44.68
田。(碧衽哥强吾衽茎=($48—]0460/365=$3,11
$0.498123)-
14-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
>Onemonthago,Todpurchasedaforwardcontractwiththreemonths
toexpirationataquotedpriceof100.20(quotedasaper100par
Bvalue).Thecontractnotionalamountis¥100,000,000.Thecurrent
forwardpriceis100.05.Theriskfreerateis0.3%.Thevalueofthe
positionisclosestto:
A.-¥149,925.
B.-¥150,000.
C.-¥150,075.
“CorrectAnswer:A.最新资料领取微信xuebajun888s
•ThevalueofTod'sforwardpositioniscalculatedas
馥翌=母葭到名(一)]
咫碧
黑(里专100.05-100^0(/1+产12=-0.149925(吾强芸100年利表
0.0030普器理法很)
•Therefore,thevalueoftheTod'sforwardpositionis
r「0.149925
留《毛—(¥100,000,000)=-¥149,925
15-148
专业•创新•憎值
♦EquityIndexForwardContracts
>Forwardcontractsonanequityindex
c-In1+Kf
•Continuouslycompoundedrisk-freerate:Rf^^
•Continuouslycompoundeddividendyield:6C
•Price:即装=图0避
•Value:誓铲(jpM)一(点心)
16-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>AssumingaforwardcontractontheDowJonesIndexwith100days.
Currently,thevalueofDowJonesIndexis21,000andthecontinuous
dividendyieldis2%.Thecontinuouslycompoundedriskfreerateis
3.2%.Calculatetheno-arbitragepriceoftheforwardcontract.
)
FP=21,000X^(0.032-0.02)x(100/365=21069.1547
>After75days,thevalueofDowJonesIndexis20,050.Keeptherisk
freerateanddividendyieldsameasbefore.Calculatethevaluationof
theforwardcontract.
20,05021,069.1547
Vr(longposition)=------强»亡-一~强c=-1,000.481
7畜0.02x(25/365)<10.032x(25/365)
17-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦ForwardContractsonCouponBonds
>Couponbonds
•Similartodividend-payingstocks,butthecashflowsarecoupons
•Price:利果=金一福留裸)x@吗
+®)
•Value:矗衽铲(春演一7TTT--------
艰氯等】鞅技)一%决)蛋.我
用段胤豆干敢割罡嚏)汜Z田
留的理]
18-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>Assumingaforwardcontractwith150daysonaUStreasurybill.The
UStreasurybillhasa5%couponrate,thepriceis$1,100andwillmake
couponpaymentin90days.Theriskfreerateis4%.Calculatethe
forwardprice.
>CorrectAnswer:
”$1000x0.05
段=-----z--------=$25
—】$25.00
营利段01.049。/365=$2生7594
•Theforwardpriceofthecontractistherefore:
旬累(onaincuniesecurity)=($1,100—S24.7594)x
1.04150/365=1,092.7122.
19-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦CurrencyForwardContracts
Price:coveredInterestRateParity(IRP)
一](1+雪奥)
理歆=若。(1+-2沼
x
FPandSoarequotedincurrencyDperunitofcurrencyF(i.e.fD/F)
Value:
斗.
己1-
(1+整金尸-丁一^:
用决)-一
Ifyouaregiventhecontinuousinterestrates
20-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>Considerthefollowing:TheU.S.risk-freerateis6percent,theSwiss
risk-freerateis4percent,andthespotexchangeratebetweenthe
UnitedStatesandSwitzerlandis$0.6667.
•CalculatethecontinuouslycompoundedU.S.andSwissrisk-free
rates;
•Calculatethepriceatwhichyoucouldenterintoaforwardcontract
thatexpiresin90days;
•Calculatethevalueoftheforwardposition25daysintothe
contract.Assumethatthespotrateis$0.65.
21-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦CurrencyForwardContracts
>CorrectAnswer:
1.rCHF=ln(1.04)=0.0392;r$=ln(1.06)=0.0583
2
.阅珏g.666腔各9爆晒392("U/36b))⑶o.o583(W/36b))=
$0.6698
3.St=$0.65;T=90/365;t=25/365;T-t=65/365
Thevalueofthecontractis-$0.0174perSwissfranc
第t(0,T)=($0.65x毁一。。392(65/365))_($06698x
程-0.0583(6勺/365))
=-$0.0174
22-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦ForwardRateAgreements(FRAs)
>AForwardRateAgreement(FRA)isaforwardcontractonaninterest
rate(LIBOR).
■Thelongpositioncanbeviewedastherightandtheobligationto
borrowattheforwardrateiathefuture;
•Theshortpositioncanbeviewedastherightandtheobligationtolend
attheforwardrateinthefuture;
•Noloanisactuallymade,andFRAsarealwayssettledincashatcontract
expiration.
>Let'stakea1X4FRAforexample.A1X4FRAis
•aforwardcontractexpiresin1month,
•andtheunderlyingloanissettledin4months,
•witha3-monthnotionalloanperiod.
•Theunderlyinginterestrateis90-dayLIBORin30daysfromnow.
23-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦ForwardRateAgreements(FRAs)
>LIBOR(LondonInterbankOfferedRate):Collectivenameformultiple
ratesatwhichaselectsetofbanksbelievetheycouldborrowunsecured
fundsfromotherbneksintheLondoninterbankmarketfordifferent
currenciesanddifferentborrowingperiodsrangingfromovernighttoone
year.
•anannualizedratebasedona360-dayyear
•anadd-onrate
•thereferencerateformanyfloating-ratebonds
•USDinterestrate
•publisheddailybytheBritishBanker'sAssociation
>Euribor(EuropeInterbankOfferedRate):establishedinFrankfurt,and
publishedbyEuropeanCentralBank.
24-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦ForwardPricingandValuation-FRA
>LIBOR,Euribor,andFRAs(Con't)
Settlement:settleincash,butnoactualloanismadeatthesettlementdate.
•Payoffqualitativeanalysis:
/Ifthereferencerateattheexpirationdateisabovethespecified
contractrate,thelongwillreceivecashpaymentfromtheshort;
/Ifthereferencerateattheexpirationdateisbelowthecontractrate,
theshortwillreceivecashpaymentfromthelong.
•Payoffquantitativeanalysis
days
(Floatingrateatsettlement-forwardrate)
(Notionalprincipal)
1+Floatingrateatsettlement
25-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>In30days,aUKcompanyexpectstomakeabankdepositof
£10,000,000foraperiodof90daysat90-dayLiborset30daysfrom
today.Thecompanyisconcernedaboutapossibledecreaseininterest
rates.Thecompanyentersintoa£10,000,000notionalamount1X4
receive-fixedFRA.TheappropriatediscountrrtcfortheFRAsettlement
cashflowsis0.40%.After30days,90-dayLiborinBritishpoundsis
0.55%.最新资料领取微信xuebajun888s
IftheFRAwasinitiallypricedat0.60%,thepaymentreceivedtosettleit
willbeclosestto:
A.-£2,448.75.
B.£1,248.75.
C.£1,250.00.
26-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
昌j>CorrectAnswer:B.
•Thesettlementamountofthe1X4FRAathforreceive-fixedis
•NA{[FRA(0hm)-Lh(m)]tm}/[1+Dh(m)tm]
二[10,000,000(0.0060-0.0055)(0.25)]/[l+0.0040(0.25)]
=£1,248.75.
•BecausetheFRAinvolvespayingfloating,itsvaluebenefitedfroma
declineinrates.
27-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦FRAPricing
>TheforwardpriceinanFRAistheno-arbitrageforwardrate(FR)
•Ifspotratesareknown,TheFRisjusttheunbiasedestimateofthe
forwardinterestrate:
-------►L(m)/m-------1-------►FR/n------
--------------►L(m+n)/m+n◄----------------
(1+堂理x鎏/360)(1+理mx噂/360)=(1+琛加嗯x(翌+
善)/360)
28-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
>Calculatethepriceofa1X4FRA.Thecurrent30-dayLIBORis3%and
120-dayLIBORis3.9%.
>CorrectAnswer:
(1+3%x30/360)[1+FRAox(120-30)/360]=(1+3.9%x120/360)
•TheannualizedforwardrateisFRAo=4.2%.
29-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>Supposeweenteredareceive-floating6X9FRAatarateof0.86%,
withnotionalamountofC$10,000,000atTime0.Thesix-monthspot
Canadiandollar(C$)Liborwas0.628%,andthenine-monthC$Libor
was0.712%.After90dayshavepassed,thethree-monthC$Liboris
1.25%andthesix-monthC$Liboris1.35%.
AssumingtheappropriatediscountrateisC$Libor,thevalueofthe
originalreceive-floating6X9FRAwillbeclosestto:
A,C$14,125.
B.C$14,350.
C.C$14,651.
30-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
>CorrectAnswer:C.
•First,calculatethequotedFRAatt=90
(1+1.25%x90/360)[1+FRA90x(180-90)/3601(1+1.35%x180/360)
/TheannualizedforwardrateisFRA90=1.4455%.
•Second,calculatethevalueofFRAatt=90
ViOng=10z000z000[(0.014455-0.0086)(90/360)]/[l+0.0135(180/360)]
=14,539.35
31-148
行业•创新•憎值
1.Forward
■PrincipleofArbitrage-freePricing
Framework■EquityForwardandFuturesContracts
■InterestRateForwardandFutures
Contracts(FRA)
■Fixed-IncomeForwardandFuturesContracts
■CurrencyForwardContracts
2.T-bondFutures
3.Swap
■InterestRateSwapContracts
■CurrencySwapContracts
■EquitySw叩Contracts
32-148
专业•创新•憎值
FuturesContractValue
Thevalueofafuturescontractiszeroatcontractinception.
Futurescontractsaremarkedtomarketdaily,thevaluejustaftermarking
tomarketisresettozero.
Betweenthetimesatwhichthecontractismarkedtomarket,thevaluecan
becHfferentfromzero.
•V(long)=currentfuturesprice-futurespriceatthelastmark-to-
markettime.
Anotherviewoffutures:settlepreviousfutures,andthenopenanother
newfutureswithsamedateofmaturity.
33-148
行业•创新•憎值
T-bondFuturesContracts
Underlying:Hypothetical30yeartreasurybondwith6%couponrate.
Bondcanbedeliverable:$100,000parvalueT-bondswithanycouponbut
withamaturityofatleast15years.
Thequotesareinpointsand32nds:Apricequoteof95-18isequalto
95.5625andadollarquoteof$95,562.50.
Theshorthasadeliveryoptiontochoosewhichbondtodeliver.Eachbond
isgivenaconversionfactor(CF),whichmeansaspecificbondis
equivalenttoCFstandardbondunderlyinginfuturescontract.
•ForaspecificBondA:
现毁标准=即数咽£—
X歆噌
Theshortdesignateswhichbondhewilldriver(cheapest-to-deliverbond).
34-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦ArbitragefromT-Bondfutures
>TherearemethodstobuytheunderlyingbondA
•BuybondAthroughT-bondfutures
/Theadjustedpriceofthefuturescontractisequaltotheconversion
factormultipliedbythequotedfuturesprice:
理零理=即歌根sx•现
/AddingtheaccruedinterestofAhatexpiration,theadjustedprice
ofthefuturescontractgivesatotalpriceof:
第1=现嗷标准x型现理+
制理理
•Buybondthroughholdingthebondatthebeginningoftheperiod
/theno-arbitragefuturespriceatexpirationisequaltothefollowing:
组-$京22档)“(1也建)—
>Theavailablearbitrage而扁1is补金presentvalueofthisdifference
噌装型i技装/勇哥旁晴笠迎i卷|
=致留型2—留
35-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example-Arbitrage
>Troubadouridentifiesanarbitrageopportunityrelatingtoafixed-
圜incomefuturescontractanditsunderlyingbond.Currentdataonthe
futurescontractandunderlyingbondarepresentedinExhibit.The
currentannualcompoundedrisk-freerateis0.30%.
Exhibit1CurrentDataforFuturesandUnderlyingBond
FuturesContractUnderlyingBond
Quotedfuturesprice125.00Quotedbondprice112.00
Conversionfactor0.90Accruedinterestsincelastcoupon0.08
payment
TimeremainingtocontractexpirationThreeAccruedinterestatfuturescontract0.20
monthsexpiration
Accruedinterestoverlifeoffutures0.00
contract
BasedonExhibitandassumingannualcompounding,thearbitrage
profitonthebondfuturescontractisclosestto:
A.0.4158.
B.0.5356.
C.0.6195.
36-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>CorrectAnswer:B.
Therearemethodstobuytheunderlyingbond:
•BuybondthroughT-bondfutures
/Theadjustedpriceofthefuturescontractisequaltothe
conversionfactormultipliedbythequotedfuturesprice:
F0(T)=CF(T)QF0(T)=(0.90)(125)=112.50
/Addingtheaccruedinterestof0.20atexpiration,theadjusted
priceofthefuturescontractgivesatotalpriceof112.70.
•Buybondthroughholdingthebondatthebeginningoftheperiod
/theno-arbitragefuturespriceatexpirationisequaltothe
following:用(矍=他制)]聿明+■虱目
=(1(112.00+0.08-0)=112.1640
•Theavailablearbitrageprofitisthepresentvalueofthis
difference:(112.70-112.1640)/(1.003)0.25=0.5356.
37-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Quotedfuturespriceandforwardprice
>Thequotedfuturespriceisadjustedwithconversionfactor
现利果招歆=(=+嘲^x(i^)—理者-]。
学朝母祖思黑刑者救X之
38-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
圜>Euro-bondfutureshaveacontractvalueof€100,000,andthe
underlyingconsistsoflong-termGermandebtinstrumentswith8.5to
10.5yearstomaturity.TheyaretradedontheEurex.Supposethe
underlying2%Germanbondisquotedat€108andhasaccrued
interestof€0.083(one-halfofamonthsincelastcouponwhichpays
annually).Theeuro-bondfuturescontractmaturesinonemonth.At
contractexpiration,theunderlyingbondwillhaveaccruedinterestof
€0.25,therearenocouponpaymentsdueuntilafterthefutures
contractexpires,andthecurrentone-monthrisk-freerateis0.1%,The
conversionfactoris0.729535.Theequilibriumeuro-bondfuturesprice
basedonthecarryarbitragemodelwillbeclosestto:
A.€147.57.
B.€147.82.
C.€148.15.
39-148
行业•创新•憎值
♦Example
>CorrectAnswer:B.
Inthiscase,wehaveT=1/12,CF(T)=0.729535,B0(T+Y)=108z
FVCI0J=0,AI0=0.5(2/12)=€0.083,AIT=1.5(2/12)=0.25,r=0.1%.
QF0(T)=[1/CF(T)]{FVOJ[BO(T+Y
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