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BofAGLOBALRESEARCHBofASECURITIE
GlobalSemiconductors
ChinaSemicapImportsTracker-Oct2025up15%yoy
IndustryOverview
Oct‘25Semicapimports–up15%yoy/down36%mom
WeanalyzemonthlyChinacustomsimportdatarelatingtosemiconductorequipment.
ThedataisrelevantfortrackingChinasalesforglobalsemicapcompanies.China
accountedfor36%ofglobalWFEin2024,makingitoneofthemostimportantregionsforglobalsemicaps.China'ssemiconductorequipmentimportswere$4.6bninOct2025,belowtheprevious3mth(July'25-September'25)averageof$5.5bnandinlinewiththeprevious12mth(Oct'24-Sept'25)averageof$4.6bn.Importvaluewasup15%yoyanddown36%mom.Ona3MMA,importvaluewasup25%yoyanddown4%mom,belowthehistorical3MMAmomaverageforthemonthof-3%.OctoberbringstheYTD
positivegrowthupto10%for2025,ayearinwhichmostsemicapsuppliersexpectChinasalestonormalize.
Front-end–up11%yoyanddown35%mom
Chinaimported$3.2bnworthoffront-endequipmentinOctober.Front-endimports
wereup11%yoyanddown35%mom,drivenprimarilybyLithography($1,033mm;
+90%yoy/-25%mom),Etching($679mm;+6%yoy/-29%mom),Deposition($605mm;+2%yoy/-42%mom)andOtherfront-end($451mm,flatyoy/-17%mom)whileothersegmentsweredown:Processcontrol($254mm,-42%yoy/-66%mom),Ionimplanters($60mm;-33%yoy/-37%mom)andHeattreatment($150mm;-4%yoy/-17%mom).
YTD,front-endimportsof$32.2bnareup7%yoy,drivenbyEtching($6.6bn;+45%yoy),Deposition($7.2bn;+13%yoy),Processcontrol($3.8bn;+11%yoy),andOtherFront-end($4.3bn;+12%yoy);whileLithography($7.6bn;-10%yoy),Heattreatment($1.4bn;-18%yoy)andIonimplanters($1.2bn;-25%yoy)aredown.NLlithographyintensitywithin
ChinaWFEimports,at24%in2024,isat21%for2025YTD.
Back-endcategoriesinOct
•Assembly&Packaging:$341mm,up8%yoyanddown30%mom.WithinA&P,wirebonderimportswereup13%yoyanddown16%momwhilemountingandbondingwasup12%yoyanddown44%mom.YTD,A&Pisup4%yoyto$3.7bn.
•Wafermanufacturing:$124mm,up8%yoyandup21%mom.YTD,importsareup2%yoyto$1.3bn.
•Flatpaneldisplay:$412mm,up166%yoyanddown57%mom.YTD,importsareup55%yoyto$2.9bn.
•Spares:$416mm,up1%yoyanddown24%mom.YTD,up20%yoyto$4.8bn.
•Testing:$42mm,down33%yoyanddown27%mom.YTD,down15%yoyto$412mm.
24November2025
Equity
Global
Semiconductors
DidierScemama>>ResearchAnalyst
MLI(UK)
+442079956751
didier.scemama@
VivekArya
ResearchAnalystBofAS
vivek.arya@
SimonWoo,CFA>>ResearchAnalyst
MerrillLynch(Seoul)
simon.woo@
MikioHirakawa>>ResearchAnalyst
BofASJapan
mikio.hirakawa@
HaasLiu>>
ResearchAnalyst
MerrillLynch(Taiwan)
haas.liu@
DaiShen>>
ResearchAnalyst
MerrillLynch(HongKong)
dai.shen@
DaleyLi,CFA>>ResearchAnalyst
MerrillLynch(HongKong)
daley.li2@
OliverWong>>ResearchAnalystMLI(UK)
oliver.wong2@
AmeliaBanks>>ResearchAnalystMLI(UK)
amelia.banks@
3MMA:3monthmovingaverage
ASP:Averagesellingprice
NL:Netherlands
WFE:Waferfabricationequipment
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
2GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Contents
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–majorcategoriesataglance($mm)3
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–majorcategoriesataglance(yoy%)4
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–categorybreakdown5
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–majorcategoriesinOct6
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–furtheranalysis8
Front-endequipmentimporttotalcomparedtosemiequipmentsuppliers’disclosed10Chinaequipmentsales
Lithographyimports–up90%yoyinOct202512
Netherlandslithographymachineimports15
Depositionimports–up2%yoyinOct202518
Etchingimports–up6%yoyinOct202521
Heattreatmentimports–down4%inOct202524
Ionimplantersimports–down33%yoyinOct202527
ProcessControlimports–down42%yoyinOct202529
Wafermanufacturingequipment–up8%yoyinOct202531
Flatpaneldisplaymanufacturingequipment-up166%yoyinOct202532
Assemblyandpackagingequipment–up8%yoyinOct202533
Spares–up1%yoyinOct202534
Wirebonders–up13%yoyinOct202535
Mountingandbonding–up12%yoyinOct202536
Testingequipment–down33%yoyinOct202537
Appendix:Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–summarytables38
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
3
GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–
majorcategoriesataglance($mm)
Exhibit1:Down25%momto$1.0bninOct2025Lithographymonthlyand3MMAimportvalue
2,000
1,500
US$mm
Monthly3MMA
1,000
500
0
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit3:Down29%momto$679mminOct2025Etchingmonthlyand3MMAimportvalue
Monthly3MMA
1,500
US$mm
1,000
500
0
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit5:Down30%momto$341mminOct2025Assembly&Packagingmonthlyand3MMAimportvalue
800
US$mm
Monthly3MMA
600
400
200
0
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit2:Down42%momto$605mminOct2025Depositionmonthlyand3MMAimportvalue
1,500
US$mmMonthly3MMA
1,000
500
0
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit4:Down66%momto$254mminOct2025ProcessControlmonthlyand3MMAimportvalue
Monthly3MMA
800
US$mm
600
400
200
0
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit6:Down27%momto$42mminOct2025Testingequipmentmonthlyand3MMAimportvalue
150
US$mm
Monthly3MMA
100
50
0
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
4GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–
majorcategoriesataglance(yoy%)
Exhibit7:Up90%yoyandup17%yoyona3MMAinOct2025Lithographymonthlyand3MMAimportvalueyoy%
yoy%
3MMAyoy%
600%
500%
400%
300%
200%
100%
0%
-100%
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit9:Up6%yoyandup27%yoyona3MMAinOct2025Etchingmonthlyand3MMAimportvalueyoy%
yoy%
3MMAyoy%
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit11:Up8%yoyandup2%yoyona3MMAinOct2025Assembly&Pkgmonthlyand3MMAimportvalueyoy%
yoy%
3MMAyoy%
300%
200%
100%
0%
-100%
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit8:Up2%yoyandup21%yoyona3MMAinOct2025Depositionmonthlyand3MMAimportvalueyoy%
yoy%
600%
500%
400%
3MMAyoy%
300%
200%
100%
0%
-100%
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit10:Down43%yoyandup25%yoyona3MMAinOct2025ProcessControlmonthlyand3MMAimportvalueyoy%
yoy%
3MMAyoy%
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit12:Down33%yoyanddown16%yoyona3MMAinOct2025Testingequipmentmonthlyand3MMAimportvalueyoy%
yoy%
300%
200%
3MMAyoy%
100%
0%
-100%
Oct-20
Apr-21
Oct-21
Apr-22
Oct-22
Apr-23
Oct-23
Apr-24
Oct-24
Apr-25
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
5
GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–
categorybreakdown
Exhibit13:Chinasemiequipmentimportstotalled$52.1bnin2024Chinasemiequipmentimportvaluebreakdownin2024
Spares
9%
Assembling
and
packaging
9%
Testing1%
Flatpanel
display
5%
Front-end
73%
Wafer
manufacturi
ng
3%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit14:Chinasemiequipmentimportstotalled$4.6bninOct2025ChinasemiequipmentimportvaluebreakdowninOct2025
Spares
9%
Assembling
and
Testing1%
packaging
7%
Flatpanel
displayWafer9%
Front-end
71%
manufacturing
3%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit15:Chinasemiequipmentimportstotalled$45.3bnin2025YTDOct
Chinasemiequipmentimportvaluebreakdownin2025YTD
Spares
11%
Assemblingand
packaging
8%
Testing1%
Flatpanel
display
6%
Front-end
73%
Wafer
manufacturing
4%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
6GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–
majorcategoriesinOct
Exhibit16:Onayoy%,Flatpaneldisplayoutperformedat166%Chinasemiequipmentimportvalueyoy%inOct2025
166%
90%
FlatpaneldisplayLithography
TotalChinasemiequipment…Wirebonders
MountingandbondingFront-end
Wafermanufacturing
Assemblyandpackaging EtchingDepositionSpares
15% 13%I12%l11%I8%I8%I6% 2%I1%
-4%
-33%
-33%
-42%
Heattreatment Testing IonimplantersProcesscontrol
-100%-40%20%80%140%200%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
246%
FlatpaneldisplaySpares
MountingandbondingEtching
TotalChinasemiequipment…Processcontrol Deposition Front-endLithography
Assemblyandpackaging
Heattreatment-1%
Wirebonders-3%
Wafermanufacturing-5%Testing-16%
Ionimplanters-39%
Exhibit18:Ona3MMAyoy%,Flatpaneldisplayoutperformedat246%Chinasemiequipimportvalueyoy%inOct2025(3MMA)
37%
■36%
27%
25%
■25%
21%
18%
I17%
2%
-100%0%100%200%300%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit17:Onamom%,Assemblyandpackagingoutperformedat21%Chinasemiequipmentimportvaluemom%inOct2025
21%
21%
AssemblyandpackagingWafermanufacturing
-16%
-17%
-24%
-25%
-27%
-29%
-35%
-36%
-37%
-42%
-44%
-57%
WirebondersHeattreatment Spares Lithography TestingEtching
Front-end
TotalChinasemiequipment…IonimplantersDeposition
-66%
MountingandbondingFlatpaneldisplayProcesscontrol
-100%-80%-60%-40%-20%0%20%40%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
-
-
-
-
-
-10%
-12%
-12%
-16%
-33%
2%
2%
3%
4%
4%
%
1%
17%
Exhibit19:Ona3MMAmom%,Flatpaneldisplayoutperformedat17%Chinasemiequipimportvaluemom%inOct2025(3MMA)
7%
Flatpaneldisplay LithographyWirebonders
Mountingandbonding
AssemblyandpackagingTesting
-5-8%
TotalChinasemiequipment…Heattreatment Front-endEtching
ProcesscontrolDepositionSpares
WafermanufacturingIonimplanters
-60%-20%20%60%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
7
GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Exhibit20:For2025YTDthroughOct,Flatpaneldisplayhadthehighestyoy%
Chinasemiequipimportvalueyoy%for2025YTD
55%45%
Flatpaneldisplay
Etching
20%
20%13%11%10%
SparesMountingandbondingDeposition
ProcesscontrolTotalChinasemiequipment…
7%4%2%
-5%
-10%
Front-endAssemblyandpackaging Wafermanufacturing WirebondersLithography
-15%
-18%
Testing
Heattreatment
Ionimplanters-25%
-40%0%40%80%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
8GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Chinasemiconductorequipmentimports–
furtheranalysis
Exhibit21:Up15%yoyanddown36%mominOct2025Chinasemiequipmentmonthlyimportvalue
200%
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Totalsemiequipmentimports
US$mmyoy%(RH)
100%
0%
-100%
-200%
Oct-15
Aug-16
Jun-17
Apr-18
Feb-19
Dec-19
Oct-20
Aug-21
Jun-22
Apr-23
Feb-24
Dec-24
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit23:Up24%yoyandup37%qoqin3Q25Chinasemiequipmentquarterlyimportvalue
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
Totalsemiequipmentimports
18,000
US$mm
yoy%(RH)
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
3Q16
1Q17
3Q17
1Q18
3Q18
1Q19
3Q19
1Q20
3Q20
1Q21
3Q21
1Q22
3Q22
1Q23
3Q23
1Q24
3Q24
1Q25
3Q25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit25:Importvaluein2025throughOctoutpacedprioryears;at$45.3bn
ChinasemiequipmentimportvaluethroughandafterOct
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
Totalrestofyear
TotalthroughSept——yoy%throughSept
60,000
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
50,000
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit22:Up25%yoyanddown4%mominOct2025ona3MMAChinasemiequipmentmonthlyimportvalue(3MMA)
150%
100%
6000
5000
Totalsemiequipmentimports
50%
0%
-50%
-100%
-150%
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
yoy%(RH)
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Oct-24
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit24:Importvaluewas$52.1bnin2024,up17%yoyChinasemiequipmentannualimportvalue
200%
150%
60,000
Totalsemiequipmentimports
US$mm
50,000
yoy%(RH)
100%
50%
40,000
30,000
0%
-50%
20,000
10,000
-100%
0
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit26:Back-end’sproportionhasdecreasedovertheyearsChinasemiequipmentimportvaluebycategory
8,000
7,000
6,000
uBack-enduProcessControluOtherFront-end
Lithography
Etching
HeatTreatment
IonImplantersDeposition
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Oct-24
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
9
GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Exhibit27:Since2H23,lithographyhasdisproportionallyincreasedrelativetoothers
Chinasemiequipmentimportvaluebyfourkeycategories
4,000
Lithography
IonImplanters
DepositionEtching
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Oct-24
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit29:Japan’sshareofimportsat26%oftotalin2025YTDOctChinasemiequipmentimportvaluebykeycountries
Others
Taiwan
Germany
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
USD$mm
MalaysiaSingaporeSKorea
Japan
NetherlandsUS
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Oct-24
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit31:In2024,Chinaaccountedfor36.2%oftheglobalWFEend-
market
Globalwaferfabequipment(WFE)endmarketin2024
China,
36.2%
Non-China,63.8%
Source:Gartner,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit28:EtchingandPlasmadryetchershavegainedgoodproportion
Chinasemiequipmentimportproportionbycategory
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
0
OtherFront-endLithography
Back-end
IonImplantersDeposition
ProcessControlEtching
HeatTreatment
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Oct-24
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit30:JapanandNetherlandsaccountedforacombined42%ofsemiequipmentimportsintoChinathroughOctin2025
2025YTDChinasemiequipmentimportvaluebycountry
Others,7%
US,9%
Malaysia,8%
Taiwan,6%
Japan,26%Singapore,
16%
Germany,
Netherlands,16%
2%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
10GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Front-endequipmentimporttotal
comparedtosemiequipmentsuppliers’
disclosedChinaequipmentsales
Onanannualbasis,thedisclosedChinaequipmentsalesofthefivelargestsemi
equipmentcompanies(AppliedMaterials,LamResearch,TokyoElectron,ASMLKLA)
totalto~75%ofthecustomsimporttotalforfront-endsemiequipmentoverthesameperiod.Onaquarterlybasis,itrangesbetween65%and85%.Thus,webelievethat
trackingmonthlyChinaimportdatacanbeausefulindicatorofhowsemiequipmentsuppliers’Chinasalesaretrending.
Exhibit32:Topfivesemicapsuppliers’disclosedChinasalesaccountedfor65%offront-endChinaimportsin3Q25
90%
85%
80%
75%
70%
65%
60%
Topfivesemiequipmentsuppliers’disclosedChinasalesas%offront-endequipmentcustomsimportvalue
r85%
85%
80%
75%
76%76%
77%
76%
70%70%
72%
70%
64%65%65%
1Q222Q223Q224Q221Q232Q233Q234Q231Q242Q243Q244Q241Q252Q253Q25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
GlobalSemiconductors|24November202511
Exhibit33:Topfive’sdisclosedsalesas%ofimporttotalwassteadyat74-77%between2021-24onanannualbasisSemiequipmentsuppliers’disclosedChinaequipmentsalescomparedtoChinacustoms’front-endsemiequipmenttotal
US$mm
1Q21
2Q21
3Q21
4Q21
2021
1Q22
2Q22
3Q22
4Q22
2022
1Q23
2Q23
3Q23
4Q23
2023
1Q24
2Q24
3Q24
4Q24
2024
1Q25
2Q25
3Q25
AppliedMaterials(FYJan29toJan28)
1,446
1,783
1,596
1,570
6,394
1,662
1,405
1,056
913
5,036
1,103
1,339
2,314
2,338
7,093
2,180
1,651
1,638
1,745
7,215
1,382
1,990
1,495
LamResearch
803
1,030
1,093
703
3,630
830
939
964
847
3,581
487
439
996
911
2,833
1,004
846
879
814
3,542
936
1,195
1,534
TokyoElectron
742
1,109
741
896
3,493
797
558
988
546
2,883
783
828
961
1,133
3,728
1,364
1,348
1,149
1,430
5,291
1,132
1,055
1,245
ASML
566
604
485
871
2,536
872
441
643
437
2,379
458
1,465
2,656
2,386
6,954
2,110
2,511
3,060
2,049
9,729
1,550
1,511
2,333
KLACorporation
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1,707
559
573
680
567
2,378
495
544.8
790
788
2,620
743
860
923
868
3,395
622
742
962
TotaldisclosedChinaequipmentsales
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
17,760
4,720
3,916
4,332
3,308
16,257
3,327
4,616
7,717
7,555
23,228
7,401
7,216
7,649
6,905
29,171
5,622
6,492
7,567
Front-endequipmentimportstotal
5,498
6,682
5,437
6,218
23,835
5,908
5,596
5,772
4,720
21,996
4,724
6,088
10,154
10,554
31,521
8,708
8,441
9,971
10,789
37,909
8,657
8,586
11,725
DisclosedChinasalesas%offront-endequipmentimports
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
75%
80%
70%
75%
70%
74%
70%
76%
76%
72%
74%
85%
85%
77%
64%
77%
65%
76%
65%
Source:Companyreports,ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
工
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
12GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Lithographyimports–up90%yoyinOct
2025
LithographyimportvalueinOct2025wasup90%yoyanddown25%mom.Unitvolumewasupdown42%yoyanddown32%mom.ASPwasup228%yoyandup9%mom.
ThisfollowedaweakSeptwithimportsdown17%yoy.
Importvaluein3Q25wasdown13%yoyandup100%qoq.Unitvolumewasdown18%yoyandup6%qoq.ASPwas$14.4mm,abovetheprevious4qtraverageof$11.4mm.
China’slithographyimportvaluehasgrownata36%CAGRbetween2020-2023andwasup22%in2024,drivenbyanincreaseinASP.
Notethatthelithographyimportcategoryconsistsofstepandrepeatalignersandlithographymachines,ofwhichthelatteraccountsforalmostalloftheimportvalue.Seeimportvalue,unitandASPcomparisonsforOct2025below.
Exhibit34:NLlithomachinesaccountedfor94%ofalllithoimportsinOct2025
Oct2025valueofalignersvslithomachinesvsNLlitho
1,200
1,000
US$m
600
400
200
0
800
Lithographymachines
Netherlandslithographymachines
Stepandrepeataligners
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit35:NLlithomachinesaccountedfor32%ofalllithomachineunitsinOct2025
Oct2025unitsofalignersvslithomachinesvsNLlitho
45
40
Units
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
35
Lithographymachines
Stepandrepeataligners
Netherlands
lithographymachines
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit36:ASPofNLlithomachineswas3.0xthatofalllithomachinesinOct2025
Oct2025ASPofalignersvslithomachinesvsNLlitho
80
70US$m
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
StepandrepeatLithographyNetherlands
alignersmachineslithographymachines
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
13
GlobalSemiconductors|24November2025
Exhibit37:Up90%yoyanddown25%mominOct2025LithographymonthlyimportvalueintoChina
1200%
800%
400%
0%
2,000
US$mmLithography
yoy%(RH)
1,500
1,000
500
0-400%
Oct-15
Oct-16
Oct-17
Oct-18
Oct-19
Oct-20
Oct-21
Oct-22
Oct-23
Oct-24
Oct-25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit39:Lithographyimportvaluewas$10.7bnin2024,up22%yoyLithographyannualimportvalueintoChina
150%
12,000
US$mm
Lithography
10,000
yoy%(RH)
100%
8,000
50%
6,000
4,000
0%
2,000
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
-50%
0
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit41:Unitsweredown18%yoyandup6%qoqin3Q25LithographyquarterlyimportunitsintoChina
450
150%
UnitsmmLithography
100%
yoy%(RH)
300
50%
150
0%
1Q15
4Q15
3Q16
2Q17
1Q18
4Q18
3Q19
2Q20
1Q21
4Q21
3Q22
2Q23
1Q24
4Q24
3Q25
0
-50%
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit38:Down13%yoyandup100%qoqin3Q25LithographyquarterlyimportvalueintoChina
400%
300%
4,000
US$mmLithography
yoy%(RH)
3,000
200%
2,000
100%
0%
-100%
1,000
0
1Q15
4Q15
3Q16
2Q17
1Q18
4Q18
3Q19
2Q20
1Q21
4Q21
3Q22
2Q23
1Q24
4Q24
3Q25
Source:ChinaGeneralCustoms,BofAGlobalResearch
BofAGLOBALRESEARCH
Exhibit40:Unitswer
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