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第二章21（1）（2）22（1）2XYMEAN60004419025148MEDIAN26892802093900MAXIMUM27722314895410MINIMUM12372002587000STDDEV76080211351009SKEWNESS14325191663108KURTOSIS40105154590432JARQUEBERA12690681869063PROBABILITY00017550000087SUM19801452978299SUMSQDEV185E0958407195OBSERVATIONS3333324（1）（3）第三章3113321DEPENDENTVARIABLEYMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1442SAMPLE19942011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS18VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBX201354740012799105845400000X318853489776181192851200729C18231588638216211057300520RSQUARED0985838MEANDEPENDENTVAR6619191ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0983950SDDEPENDENTVAR5767152SEOFREGRESSION7306306AKAIKEINFOCRITERION1617670SUMSQUAREDRESID8007316SCHWARZCRITERION1632510LOGLIKELIHOOD1425903HANNANQUINNCRITER1619717FSTATISTIC5220976DURBINWATSONSTAT1173432PROBFSTATISTIC00000003DEPENDENTVARIABLELNYMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1446SAMPLE19942011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS18VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBLNX215642210088988175778900000LNX317606950682115258122900209C20520485432487377736300018RSQUARED0986295MEANDEPENDENTVAR8400112ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0984467SDDEPENDENTVAR0941530SEOFREGRESSION0117343AKAIKEINFOCRITERION1296424SUMSQUAREDRESID0206540SCHWARZCRITERION1148029LOGLIKELIHOOD1466782HANNANQUINNCRITER1275962FSTATISTIC5397364DURBINWATSONSTAT0686656PROBFSTATISTIC00000003312DEPENDENTVARIABLEXMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1501SAMPLE118INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS18VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBC44458884061786109456502899T12315163184150386764400014RSQUARED0483182MEANDEPENDENTVAR1942933ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0450881SDDEPENDENTVAR6988325SEOFREGRESSION5178529AKAIKEINFOCRITERION1544170SUMSQUAREDRESID4290746SCHWARZCRITERION1554063LOGLIKELIHOOD1369753HANNANQUINNCRITER1545534FSTATISTIC1495867DURBINWATSONSTAT1052251PROBFSTATISTIC00013643DEPENDENTVARIABLEE1METHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1507SAMPLE118INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS18VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBE200864500028431304074200078C396E141388083285E1510000RSQUARED0366239MEANDEPENDENTVAR230E14ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0326629SDDEPENDENTVAR7176693SEOFREGRESSION5889136AKAIKEINFOCRITERION1109370SUMSQUAREDRESID5549107SCHWARZCRITERION1119264LOGLIKELIHOOD9784334HANNANQUINNCRITER1110735FSTATISTIC9246111DURBINWATSONSTAT2605783PROBFSTATISTIC0007788361DEPENDENTVARIABLEYMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1514SAMPLE19942011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS18VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBX200013820001102125433002336X300019420003960049050106326X435790903559949100537703346X500047910005034095167103600X600455420095552047662106422C13777321573366087565903984RSQUARED0994869MEANDEPENDENTVAR1276667ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0992731SDDEPENDENTVAR9746631SEOFREGRESSION0830963AKAIKEINFOCRITERION2728738SUMSQUAREDRESID8285993SCHWARZCRITERION3025529LOGLIKELIHOOD1855865HANNANQUINNCRITER2769662FSTATISTIC4653617DURBINWATSONSTAT1553294PROBFSTATISTIC00000003DEPENDENTVARIABLEYMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1518SAMPLE19942011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS18VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBX50001032220E05467994600000X600549650031184176258100983C42054813335602126078602266RSQUARED0993601MEANDEPENDENTVAR1276667ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0992748SDDEPENDENTVAR9746631SEOFREGRESSION0830018AKAIKEINFOCRITERION2616274SUMSQUAREDRESID1033396SCHWARZCRITERION2764669LOGLIKELIHOOD2054646HANNANQUINNCRITER2636736FSTATISTIC1164567DURBINWATSONSTAT1341880PROBFSTATISTIC0000000第四章43（1）（2）（3）A）DEPENDENTVARIABLELNYMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1534SAMPLE19852011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS27VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBLNGDP11857390027822426193300000C37506700312255120115600000RSQUARED0986423MEANDEPENDENTVAR9484710ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0985880SDDEPENDENTVAR1425517SEOFREGRESSION0169389AKAIKEINFOCRITERION0642056SUMSQUAREDRESID0717312SCHWARZCRITERION0546068LOGLIKELIHOOD1066776HANNANQUINNCRITER0613514FSTATISTIC1816407DURBINWATSONSTAT0471111PROBFSTATISTIC0000000BDEPENDENTVARIABLELNYMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1536SAMPLE19852011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS27VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBLNCPI29392950222756131951100000C68545351242243551787100000RSQUARED0874442MEANDEPENDENTVAR9484710ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0869419SDDEPENDENTVAR1425517SEOFREGRESSION0515124AKAIKEINFOCRITERION1582368SUMSQUAREDRESID6633810SCHWARZCRITERION1678356LOGLIKELIHOOD1936196HANNANQUINNCRITER1610910FSTATISTIC1741108DURBINWATSONSTAT0137042PROBFSTATISTIC0000000CDEPENDENTVARIABLELNGDPMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1538SAMPLE19852011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS27VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBLNCPI25110220158302158622700000C27963810882798316763400040RSQUARED0909621MEANDEPENDENTVAR1116214ADJUSTEDRSQUARED0906005SDDEPENDENTVAR1194029SEOFREGRESSION0366072AKAIKEINFOCRITERION0899213SUMSQUAREDRESID3350216SCHWARZCRITERION0995201LOGLIKELIHOOD1013938HANNANQUINNCRITER0927755FSTATISTIC2516117DURBINWATSONSTAT0099623PROBFSTATISTIC000000044（1）DEPENDENTVARIABLECZSRMETHODLEASTSQUARESDATE12/28/15TIME1543SAMPLE19852011INCLUDEDOBSERVATIONS27VARIABLECOEFFICIENTSTDERRORTSTATISTICPROBCZZC00901140044367203112900540GDP00253340005069499803600000SSZE11768940062162189327100000C22185401306532169803801030RSQUARED0999857MEANDE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