供应链论文：复杂性制造供应链管理机制建模与应用研究.doc

1、供应链论文：复杂性制造供应链管理机制建模与应用研究【中文摘要】自进入21世纪以来,随着市场环境的不断变化,企业与企业之间的竞争已逐渐转化为供应链与供应链之间的竞争.供应链管理已成为学术界研究的一个热门领域。由于供应链系统自身结构的多样性、不确定性和多层次性以及行为管理的复杂性和不确定性，从而造成了供应链系统的复杂性和不确定性。如何处理供应链管理中的冲突，实现供应链中各节点的相互协作并克服供应链管理过程中的“牛鞭效应”是企业面临的难题。因此设计相应的管理机制，减少供应链中的冲突,实现供应链的企业的相互协作最终增强供应链的稳定性就十分必要。本文主要以制造业供应链为研究对象，综合运用机制设计理论、委

2、托代理理论以及复杂网络理论等进行管理机制的建模设计。通过运用理论研究、模型构建、实证分析等研究方法,对企业的决策机制、信息机制以及激励约束机制进行建模研究。最后运用SPSS和LISREL等数理统计工具对海尔集团进行了实证研究，并给出了相应的建议。通过研究,本文主要得出以下结论:(1）通过分析供应链的网络结构以及其决策层次,建立两层和多层的决策模型并进行相应的分析.当风险成本较小时，非核心企业具有决策权是最优的，而当风险成本较大时,处于核心位置的节点具有较高的决策权限是最优的。一般情况下，非核心企业的风险规避程度越大，其风险成本越大，因此核心企业具有较高的决策权,他通过对较低层次的企业施加约束，

3、调整其决策,从而实现供应链的整体利益。（2）在信息不对称的情况下，通过对供应链中信息的传递进行建模和分析，推出供应商所发出的信号越接近真实值,披露的信息越充分,核心采购商对供应商的预期服务水平的期望值就越高,从而越有利于双方合作的实现。(3)利用Repast软件对小世界网络、随机网络和规则网络结构下供应链中企业信息的共享进行仿真,推出三种网络结构下最终企业都会共享信息并且小世界网络达到均衡的速度要比其他两种网络结构要快，因此要充分发挥供应链网络中的核心节点的作用,避免其随机性和规则性。（4）通过建立显性激励机制模型和将企业业绩加入到企业合约中的激励模型，并对二者进行了比较分析,推出将企业的业绩

4、加入到合约中有利于降低企业合作过程中的不确定因素，降低代理成本。（5)通过将声誉机制纳入到激励机制中，将其与显性激励机制相互结合,建立动态的激励机制模型，和单一的显性激励机制相比较,在一定条件下可以实现帕累托改进，既能提高激励的强度,又能实现很好的约束作用。(6)利用SEM建立企业供应链合作价值模型，对影响供应链合作价值的因素进行了分析，从而得出价格风险、供需风险、产品特点、诚信水平等因素对企业绩效的影响，为企业的具体决策提供一定的建议。【英文摘要】Since entering the 21st century, with the changing market environment， th

5、e competition among enterprises has been gradually transformed into the competition among supply chains. Supply chain management has become a hot field of academic research。 Because of the structural diversity， uncertainty, and the multilevel nature of the supply chain system and the complexity and

6、uncertainty of behavior management, the supply chain system become complexity and uncertainty。 How to deal with conflict in the supply chain management， to collaborate with each other and to overcome the “bullwhip effect” in the supply chain management process, are the corporation's problems. Th

7、erefore, designing the appropriate management mechanism to reduce the conflicts in the supply chain， improve the collaboration among enterprises and enhance the stability of the supply chain is necessary。Based on the integrated use of mechanism design theory, principal agent theory and the theory of

8、 complex network， this thesis focuses on the manufacturing supply chain to design the modeling of management mechanism. According to the theoretical research, modeling and empirical analysis, this thesis makes some research on the modeling of corporate decision-making mechanisms， information mechani

9、sms and modeling of incentive and restraint mechanisms。 By the use of SPSS， LISREL and other statistical tools， the thesis makes the empirical study on Haier Group, and puts forward some corresponding recommendations。 Through the research, the thesis obtains the following conclusions.(1） According t

10、o the analysis of the structure and decisionmaking levels of the supply chain network, the thesis designs the decision-making model of two levels and multi-level and makes some corresponding analysis。 When the cost of risk is low, the decisionmaking power belongs to the noncore business is the best，

11、 and when the cost of risk is high， the decisionmaking power belongs to the core business is optimal. In general, the greater the degree of risk aversion of non-core businesses， the greater the risk costs， so the core business have the higher decisionmaking power。 He imposes some constraints on the

12、lower level enterprises to adjust there decisions so as to achieve the overall profits of supply chain.(2） In the case of information asymmetry， according to the modeling and analysis of the transmission of information in the supply chain， the more the signals from suppliers close to the truth and t

13、he more the information is disclosed， the higher value of the service level of the supplier is expected by the core buyers， and thus more conducive to the realization of bilateral cooperation.（3） According to the simulation on information sharing in supply chain with small world networks， random net

14、works and regular network structures by Repast Software, the thesis gets the conclusion that all the companies will share their information at last and the small-world network reaches equilibrium faster than the other two networks structure。 So it is needed to make full use of the role of core nodes

15、 in supply chain network to avoid its randomness and regularity.（4） After the establishment of the model of explicit incentive mechanism and the Incentives model whose contact contains the performance of the enterprise， and a comparative analysis between them, the thesis gets the conclusion that add

16、 the performance of the enterprise to contact will help to reduce the uncertainty in the process of cooperation and the agency costs。(5） By adding reputation mechanism into the incentive mechanism, combined with explicit incentive mechanism to create the dynamic incentive mechanism model。 Compared t

17、o the single incentive mechanism, under certain circumstances， Pareto improvement can be achieved. It can not only increase the intensity of incentives, but also play a good binding effect。(6) By using SEM to establish the model of the cooperation value of supply chain， and analyzing the factors tha

18、t influence the cooperation value of supply chain， the thesis gets the way that how the price risk， supply risk, product characteristics, integrity and other factors affect the performance of the enterprise。 This provides some specific recommendations to the specific corporate decisionmaking。本文为互联网收

19、集，请勿用作商业用途文档为个人收集整理,来源于网络【关键词】供应链 复杂网络 管理机制设计 决策机制 信息机制 结构方程建模【英文关键词】Supply Chain Complex Network Management Mechanism Design Decision Mechanism Information Mechanism Structural Equation Modeling【目录】复杂性制造供应链管理机制建模与应用研究【备注】索购全文在线加好友:1。3。9.9.3。8848 同时提供论文写作一对一指导和论文发表委托服务摘要57Abstract790 前言13151 绪论15-24

20、1.1 研究背景及其意义15-171.1.1 研究背景及问题的提出15161。1.2 研究的价值与意义16171。2 国内外研究现状17-201。2.1 国内研究现状17191.2。2 国外研究现状19201。3 研究方法和研究思路20-221.3.1 研究方法20-211。3。2 研究思路21-221。4 论文结构与创新22231。4.1 论文的结构22231。4。2 论文的创新点231。5 本章小结23-242 供应链管理机制相关理论及其研究综述24322。1 管理机制设计理论24-262.1.1 机制设计理论概述24252.1。2 管理机制设计理论25262。2 管理机制设计原理2629

21、2。2.1 管理机制的实现26-272.2.2 管理机制的执行与实现27282.2。3 行为准则与评价标准28-292。3 复杂网络相关理论29312.3。1 复杂网络的鲁棒性29302.3.2 复杂网络的脆弱性30-312。4 本章小结31-323 供应链的决策机制建模研究32403.1 供应链的决策机制模型32-373。1。1 两层决策模型32333。1.2 多层决策模型33-353.1。3 算例分析35-373。2 供应链中决策权的分配37-393。3 本章小结39-404 供应链的信息机制建模与仿真研究40554。1 信息不对称下信号传递博弈模型40424。1。1 模型的假设404.1.2 模型的建立与求解40-424。1.3 算例分析424。2 信息共享风险建模42-444。2.1 模型的假设434.2。