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1、The third chapter The foreign exchange market and foreign exchange transactions1Key terms Inter-bank Market 银行间市场银行间市场 Customer Market 客户市场客户市场 Spot transaction 即期交易即期交易Forward transaction 远期交易远期交易Interest arbitrage 套利交易套利交易Arbitrage 套汇交易套汇交易23 Foreign exchange market Foreign exchange transactions S
2、pot transaction Forward transaction Interest arbitrage arbitrageMAIN CONCERNS4一一 、foreign exchange market Concepts of foreign exchange market Participants of the marketSlide 13-51、The Foreign Exchange Market Exchange rates are determined in the foreign exchange market. The market in which internatio
3、nal currency trades take place The Actors The major participants in the foreign exchange market are: Commercial banks International corporations Foreign Exchange Broker Central banks6(Foreign Exchange Bank)(Foreign Exchange Broker) customers central banks7 Inter-bank MarketCustomer MarketSix foreign
4、 exchange markets in the whole Six foreign exchange markets in the whole worldworld: New yorkNew york London London Frankfurt Sydney Frankfurt Sydney Singapore Singapore TokyoTokyo Slide 13-8 The worldwide volume of foreign exchange trading is enormous, and it has ballooned in recent years. 24 hour
5、whole world market New technologies are used among the major foreign exchange trading centers . The integration of financial centers implies that there can be no significant arbitrage.2、Characteristics of the Market9 Time of foreign exchange market 惠灵顿惠灵顿 04:00-13:00悉尼悉尼 06:00-15:00东京东京 08:00-15:30香
6、港香港 10:00-17:00法兰克福法兰克福 14:30-23:00伦敦伦敦 15:30-(次日次日)00:30纽约纽约 21:00-(次日次日)04:00101 1、spot transactionspot transaction Two dayscase:GBP 1=USD 1.8880-1.8900ask:if to buy 100 thousands pounds, how many US dollars are needed?How many pounds can be got if to sell 100 thousands US dollars ?1) 1.8900*10000
7、0=189000$2) 100000/1.8900=52910pounds112 2、forward transactionforward transaction 1 1)conceptconcept 2 2)motivemotive to evade risk to speculate in order to earn money12 hedginghedgingTo sell or buy forward currencies in To sell or buy forward currencies in order that there is no impact of the order
8、 that there is no impact of the exchange rate on the foreign assets or exchange rate on the foreign assets or indebtednessindebtedness例例 1 1:英国出口一批商品:英国出口一批商品100100万英镑到美国,合万英镑到美国,合同约定三个月后付款结算,订约日的市场汇率是同约定三个月后付款结算,订约日的市场汇率是1=US$1.3879,1=US$1.3879,三个月远期汇率:三个月远期汇率:1=US$1.38801=US$1.388013案例案例 214 the d
9、ifference between hedging and speculation Speculation doesnt have real operation Speculation doesnt have real enough amount of capital Speculation can help the market equilibrium15 directdirect indirectindirect (3 3)conversionconversion升水(升水(at premium)贴水(贴水(at discount)平价(平价(at par) “前小后大往上加,前大后小往下
10、减;前小后大往上加,前大后小往下减;”16即期:即期:5.2130-5.2160 5.2130-5.2160 即期:即期:1.6975-1.69851.6975-1.69851 1个月个月 70-30 170-30 1个月个月 12-212-22 2个月个月 125-80 2125-80 2个月个月 26-1426-143 3个月个月 165-110 3165-110 3个月个月 30-2530-256 6个月个月 90-10 690-10 6个月个月 30-1530-151212个月个月 20-175 1220-175 12个月个月 20-5020-50+directdirect:“- -”
11、discountdiscount,“+ +”premiumpremium;indirectindirect:“- -”premiumpremium,“+ +”discountdiscount;17 Case 3:England exports 100 thousands merchandises to America, it is said to pay balance three month later in the contract, the exchange rate on that day is 1=US$1.8880-1.8900,three month forward rate:9
12、5-90。Importer wants to buy 100 thousands three month forward pounds How many US dollars are needed?100000*(1.8900-0.0090)=188100$183,3, swap transactionsswap transactions definitiondefinitionA foreign exchange swap is a spot sale A foreign exchange swap is a spot sale of a currency combined with a f
13、orward of a currency combined with a forward repurchase of the currency.repurchase of the currency.19 (1)sale is combined with purchase(2)one currency , the same amount (3)different pay time 20 For example, a multinational company has just received$1 million from sales and knows it will have to pay
14、those dollars to a California supplier in three months. the companys asset-management department would meanwhile like to invest the$1 million in Swiss francs. A three-month swap of dollars into Swiss francs may result in lower brokersfees than the two separate transactions of selling dollars for spo
15、t Swiss francs and selling the Swiss francs for dollars on the forward21224 4、interest arbitrageinterest arbitrage uncovered Interest rate arbitrage covered interest arbitrage2324255 5、ArbitrageArbitrage 1)definitionThe process of buying a currency cheap and selling it dear. 2)Two angle arbitrageTri
16、angle arbitrage26homework1, Triangle arbitrage 伦敦市场:伦敦市场:GBP1=USD2 法兰克福市场:法兰克福市场:GBP1=DEM3.8 纽约市场:纽约市场:USD1=DEM1.93272 2,已知某日纽约外汇市场美元对马克的汇率为:,已知某日纽约外汇市场美元对马克的汇率为: 即期汇率即期汇率 3 3个月远期个月远期USD1=1.6640USD1=1.66401.6650 DEM 2031.6650 DEM 203205205 某美国出口商品原价为某美国出口商品原价为1000USD1000USD。现有德国。现有德国客户向美国出口商询价,若用马克报价,请问客户向美国出口商询价,若用马克报价,请问(1 1)若用即期付款,我应报价多少马克?)若
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