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1、4th SG13 Regional Workshop for Africa on“Future Networks for a better Africa: IMT-, Trust, Cloud Computing and Big Data”(Accra, Ghana, 14-15 March )Paving the Way to 5GAli AmerSenior Expert/ConsultantSaudi Telecom CompanyEmail=aliamer.sa1/21Overview Global Mobile Market Overview 5G Drivers & Use cas
2、es 5G Spectrum Conclusion & Takeaways 5G standardization Activities2 5G Expectations2/213Overview4%CAGR-3.6bn4.6bn50%59%Penetration Rate5.4%CAGR-7.3bn10bn39%69%3G/4G ConnectionsSmart PhoneData Traffic Growth10 Times(-)Overview$1.4tnMobile Operator Revenues3G4G5.9bn2.6bn$1.15tnCAGR3.1%SIM Connections
3、Global Mobile Market Growth3/21Mobile Industry Contribution to GDPGlobal Mobile Economy 4US $3.9 tn4.2% of GDPUS $3 tn3.8% of GDP13M JOBS 15M JOBS Jobs Directly Supported by Mobile Ecosystem+11.8M Indirect Jobs in $465bn$411bnMobile ecosystem contribution in the Public Funding4/21Mobile Traffic Grow
4、thRise of emerging markets (North vs. South)Traffic per customer600 MBE2,2 GBA growing data-centric businessSource: CISCO & GSMA IntelligenceSource: Ericsson mobility report Nov.55/21Global Data Traffic Growth 66/21Driving factors for the Data Growth 77/21 Mobile Networks Evolution- up to 5G8Yesterd
5、ayNowFuture2G3G4G5GGSM/EDGEWCDMAHSPAHSPA+LTELTE-AIMT8/2195G1000 xMobile Data Volumes10 x-100 xConnected Devices5xLower Latency10 x-100 xEnd-user Data Rates10 xBattery Life for Low Power DevicesSource: METIS4G3G2G5G is an end-to-end ecosystem to enable a fully mobile and connected society 9/21OpenMob
6、ileProgrammableAgileSustainableScalableSecureReliableStandardizedFlexibilityRobustnessExpectations from 5G Networks 1010/21Multi domain performance Energy PerformanceCritical machine type of communications Global standard5G Mobile Network Expected Performance1111/21Broadband experienceeverywhere any
7、timeMassive Machine Type CommunicationCritical Machine Type CommunicationMass market personalized TV5G Top Use Cases12/21Spectrum remains a Challenge for 5G and for Wireless Industry1213/21Three key frequency ranges are currently worthy of consideration for different 5G deployment scenariosIdeal cov
8、erage band could provide a very useful means of extending a superior 5G user experience into rural areas and deep inside buildings.Could not support extremely wide bandwidths and therefore enable the fastest possible data ratesBut Help prevent a new digital divide by ensuring the improved experience
9、.Reaches more people in both developed, and especially developing, markets. There are numerous existing mobile bands between 1 GHz-2.6 GHz, and when 5G technology is ready to deploy there may be others between 2.6 GHz and 4 GHz. Although these bands offer a reasonable mixture of coverage and capacit
10、y they are unlikely to be able to support the highest potential 5G data rates without carrier aggregation. This spectrum could support very wide channel sizes and therefore extremely fast data rates, and massive additional mobile network capacity, making it fertile territory for 5G research. However
11、, heavy reliance on these bands without complimentary lower frequency spectrum may mean 5G services are limited to small urban areas and inside buildings as its radio propagation qualities would favor small cell sizes. Sub-1 GHz1-6 GHzAbove 6 GHz1314/21145G Bands and its impact on Cell size15/21Stan
12、dardization activity is going on for a global 5G standardNORTH AMERICAEUROPECHINA4G AmericasUniversity ResearchEuropeMETISHorizon/5GPPP863, 5G promotion groupJAPANARIB, Testbed activitiesKOREA5G Forum, Govt pushNGMNITU-R3GPP1516/21Several Global Initiatives from SDOs, Academia, Industry, and R&Ds wo
13、rking on 5G standardization WRC12WRC15WRC18/19 Exploratory research Pre-standardization activitiesCommercialization Standardization activities1517/2116Standardization of 5G Time line (ITU & 3GPP)18/21Others working Groups Timeline and their Plans for 5G Standardization Development1719/21Conclusion &
14、 Takeaways 5G race is still going on, Commercial deployment of 5G systems is expected in years +, Field trials planned from year onwards, not yet based on commercial products. 5G will provide at least a ten-fold improvement in user experience compared to 4G in terms of peak data rates and minimal latency 5G will deliver an ecosystem for sustainable technical and business innovation5G will support multi tenancy and network resource slicing mode
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