全球轻型电动车发展现状和下世代LEV

LEV

Worldwide

StatusandNextGenerationLEVsEdBenjaminBenjaminConsultingTaipeiInternationalCycleShowMarch2021全球轻型电动车

开展现状和下世代LEV爱德.本杰明本杰明咨询台北国际自行车展2021年3月LEVDefinitionLessthan100Kg(Usually)2or3wheelsElectricmotorVarietyofEnergyStoragemethodsElectricBicycle,ElectricScooter,ElectricMotorCycle,ThreeWheelCycleTruck轻型电动车的定义通常分量低于100Kg两轮或三轮电机多种储能方法电动自行车,电动轻摩,电动摩托车,电动三轮货车LEV

轻型电动车LEV

轻型电动车FutureOfPersonalTransportMostpeople,worldwide,wouldliketohaveacar.Carsarecomfortable,seemsafer,andhavehighprestige.But…theresimplyisnotenoughmoney,land,ormaterialsforeveryonetohaveacar.Andthisisbeforetheproblemscreatedbyairpollutionandenvironmentalcostsofcarindustry.Butitispossibleforalmosteveryonetohaveatwowheelerpoweredbyelectricity.个人交通工具的未来世界上大多数人都情愿拥有一部汽车。汽车更加温馨平安，享有佳誉。但是，现有的金钱、土地和原资料不能够满足一切人对汽车的需求。再加上空气污染和汽车工业对环境的影响。但是，世界上几乎每个人都拥有一辆电动两轮车是可以实现的。CurrentMarketStatusTheLEVindustrytodayissomethinglikethecarindustrybefore1910.Horselesscarriagesweretheideaatthattime.Noonein1910reallyknewwhatthecarwouldlooklikein2021.Orwhatitcoulddo,orthatitwouldbeadecliningindustry.MostLEVstodayareelectricbicycles.Doesthatsoundabitlike“horselesscarriage〞?Worldwide,about22millionLEVswerebuiltin2021.Roughly11BillionDollars.市场开展现状今天的轻型电动车产业好比1910年以前的汽车产业。当时，汽车便是不用马拉的马车，没有人想像得出2021年的汽车会是什么样子，会有哪些功能，或者汽车产业将会下滑。今天电动自行车在轻型电动车中占大多数。这听上去是不是有点像“不用马拉的马车〞？2021年全球共制造约22,000,000辆轻型电动车，价值110亿美圆。MarketsTodayChina–willcontinuetobelargestmarket.India–largepopulation,largeneed,notasprosperousasChina.EU–environmentalissues,plusdensepopulations,thiswillbethehighestvaluemarketfortopquality.Japan–densepopulations,needforfoldingandcompactvehicles.USA-longerdistances,needhigherspeedsandpower.SEAsia–toughenvironment,needsturdy,weatherproof.RestofWorld-mostwillneedsturdy,cheapvehicles.Chinaexportsebikesto170differentcountries!今天的LEV市场中国将继续成为最大的市场。印度人口众多，需求量大，但不如中国经济昌盛。欧盟对环保的注重和稠密的人口，将使其成为高质量电动车最有价值的市场。日本人口稠密，需求折叠和构造紧凑的交通工具。美国骑行间隔远，需求更高的速度和更大的功率。东南亚气候潮湿炎热，环境恶劣，需求巩固、耐用和防水的交通工具。世界上大多数其它国家和地域都需求巩固耐用，价钱低廉的交通工具。中国向世界上170个国家出口电动自行车！ElectricBikesThisproductisnotmature,butwehaveroughlyl5yearsofgoodexperiencehelpingmakeareliable,cheap,functionalproductforsomemarkets.Duetolowcost,highutility,thiswillremainanimportantpartoftheLEVindustry.MostgovernmentsencourageElectricBikes.电动自行车电动自行车并不成熟，但15年的阅历使我们可以为一些市场提供可靠，廉价，适用的产品。电动自行车本钱低，效果大，将继续成为轻型电动车产业的重要部分。大多数政府鼓励电动自行车。MarketsTomorrowElectricBikeswillbecomemorepowerful,becomingmorelikeelectricmopedsorelectricmotorscooters.Weatherprotectionwillbeanimportantimprovement.Thestreamliningeffectofashellwillalsoincreasespeedandendurance.Safetywillbeanimportantissue,withinnovationsincontrolsandprotection.Saleswillexpandtoabout130millionpiecesperyear–atahigherprice-or104Billiondollars.未来的LEV市场电动自行车功率更大，更类似于电动轻摩。在抵御恶劣天气方面将有重要改良。流线型外壳会同时提高速度和延伸运用寿命。平安依然非常重要。将会在控制和维护方面出现创新。产销量将添加到每年130,000,000辆，销售额也随着售价的提高而添加到1040亿美圆。ElectricScootersThiswillbethemostnumerousproduct.Highutilityforthelargestnumberofusers.ElectricMotorcyclesThiswillbethehighestvalueproductforLEVs–vergingonbeingtoobigandheavytoberegardedasanLEV.LargelylimitedtoUSAandEUmarkets.ElectricMiniScootersNotjustatoy.Validtoolformanyindoorandshortrangeoutdoortasks.Segway

赛格威ThreeWheelersLocaltransportShortrangetaxiHandicappedvehiclesPostBikesMoreandmoreofworldpostandparcelwillmovebytwowheelsandelectricpower.LightDelivery

外卖效力ParticularlyfooddeliveryStreamliners

流线型电动车BatteryTechnologyBatteriesoftodayaregoodenough,andthepriceislowenough.Cyclelifeandconsistencyneedtoimprove.Batterieswillgetbetterandbetter.Hugeinvestmentinthisworldwide.Maybenotcheaperandcheaper.Recyclingandcustomereducationisveryimportant.CompareGasolinetoLithium–lithiumsafer,butconsumersdon’tunderstandlithiumaswellastheyunderstandgasoline.Thiswillchange.电池技术今天的电池足够好，价钱也足够低。循环寿命和一致性有待提高。全球范围内的宏大投资使电池技术越来越提高。但价钱不一定越来越低。回收和引导消费者非常重要。锂电比汽油更加平安，但消费者对锂电的了解程度远不如汽油。这将会改动。MotorTechnologyMotorsoftodayaregoodenough,buthigherpowermotorswillundergogreatimprovement.Motorsoftodayarecheapenough–themarketcanandwillpaymoreinthefuture.Longermotorlifewillbecomenecessary-targetof3,000hoursfornormalLEVs.Onamotorscooterthisisabout100,000KM.Today’sgoodmotorsonly1,000hours.Enoughfornow,butmustimproveinfuture.电机技术今天的电机足够好。但大功率电机将会有艰苦提高。今天的电机足够廉价。未来市场有才干且情愿支付更高的价钱。电机寿命需求延伸-普通LEV电机应有3000小时运用寿命，可供电动轻摩骑行100,000公里。今天的高质量电机寿命可达1000个小时。如今足够运用，但在未来必需有所改良。ReasonsforMarketGrowthIncreasing