财务管理基础课件：Financial Analysis

FinancialAnalysis

ChapterOutlineRatioanalysisanditsimportanceUseofratiosasmeasurementtoolTheDuPontsystemofanalysisTrendanalysisEvaluationofreportedincometoidentifysourcesofdistortionRatioAnalysisFinancialratiosUsedtoweighandevaluatetheoperatingperformanceofafirmNumericalcalculationsandanalyzingratiosUsedtocompareperformancerecordasagainstsimilarfirmsintheindustryAdditionalevaluationofcompanymanagement,physicalfacilitiesandotherfactorsSuchdataisprovidedbyvariousorganizationsRatiosandtheirClassificationA. Profitabilityratios1.Profitmargin2.Returnonassets(investment)3.ReturnonequityB. Assetutilizationratios4.Receivableturnover5.Averagecollectionperiod6.Inventoryturnover7.Fixedassetturnover8.TotalassetturnoverRatiosandtheirClassification(cont’d)C. Liquidityratios9.Currentratio10.QuickratioD. Debtutilizationratios11.Debttototalassets12.Timesinterestearned13.FixedchargecoverageTypesofRatiosProfitabilityratiosMeasurethefirm’sabilitytoearnadequatereturnon:SalesAssetsInvestedcapitalAssetutilizationratiosMeasurethespeedatwhichthefirmisturningover:AccountsreceivableInventoryLong-termassetsTypesofRatios(cont’d)LiquidityratiosEmphasizesthefirm’sabilitytopayoffshort-termobligationsastheycomedueDebtutilizationratiosEstimatestheoveralldebtpositionofthefirmEvaluatesinthelightofassetbaseandearningpowerImportanceofRatiostoUsersofFinancialStatementsForpotentialinvestors/securityanalysts:Primaryconsiderations–profitabilityratiosSecondaryconsiderations–liquidityanddebtutilizationForbankerortradecreditor–liquidityratiosForlong-termcreditors–debtutilizationratiosandprofitabilityratiosFinancialStatement

forRatioAnalysisProfitabilityRatiosDuPontSystemofAnalysisAsatisfactoryreturnonassetsmightbederivedthrough:ahighprofitmargin,orarapidturnoverofassets(generatingmoresalesperdollarofitsassets)oracombinationofbothReturnonassets(investment)=Profitmargin×Assetturnover

DuPontSystemofAnalysis(cont’d)Asatisfactoryreturnonequitymightbederivedthrough:ahighreturnontotalassetsagenerousutilizationofdebtoracombinationofbothReturnonequity=Returnonassets(investment)(1–Debt/Assets)DuPontAnalysisReturnofWal-MartversusAbercrombieusingtheDuPontmethodofanalysis,2009AssetUtilizationRatiosTheseratiosrelatethebalancesheet(assets)totheincomestatement(sales)**Thisratiomayalsobecomputedbyusing“Costofgoodssold”inthenumerator.AssetUtilizationRatios(cont’d)

LiquidityRatios

TheseratiosdetermineifthefirmcanmeeteachmaturingobligationasitcomesdueDebtUtilizationRatiosMeasurestheprudenceofthedebtmanagementpoliciesofthefirmDebtUtilizationRatios(cont’d)Fixedchargecoveragemeasuresthefirm’sabilitytomeetallfixedobligationsratherthaninterestpaymentsalone

Incomebeforeinterestandtaxes………………..$550,000 Leasepayments……50,000 Incomebeforefixedchargesandtaxes…………$600,000

RatioAnalysisTrendAnalysisGivesapictureofperformanceoveranumberofyearsagainstindustryaveragesTrendAnalysis

intheComputerIndustryImpactofInflation

onFinancialAnalysisInflationRevenueisstatedincurrentdollarsPlant,equipment,orinventorymayhavebeenpurchasedatlowerpricelevelsProfitsmaybemoreafunctionofincreasingpricesthanofsatisfactoryperformanceFinancialreportsgetdistortedfornoconsiderationofinflationfactor,whichinturnwillaffectthefinancialanalysisComparisonofReplacementandHistoricalCostAccountingJeffGarnettandGeoffreyA.Hirt,“ReplacementCostData:AStudyoftheChemicalandDrugIndustryforYears1976through1978.”ComparisonofReplacementandHistoricalCostAccounting(cont’d)Replacementcost–reducesincomebutincreasesassetsanincreaseinassetslowersthedebt-to-assetsratioalowerdebt-to-assetsratioindicatesdecreaseinthefinancialleverageofthefirmadecliningincomeresultsinadecreasedabilitytocoverinterestcostsImpactofDisinflation

onFinancialAnalysisDisinflation–asituationofdeclininginflationarypressuresWillnotimpairthepurchasingpowerofthedollarReductionininvestors’expectationofreturnsonfinancialassetsFinancialassetssuchasstocksandbondshavethepotentialtodowellDeflationActualreductionofpricesaffectingeverybodyduetobankruptciesanddecliningprofitsOtherElementsofDistortion

inReportedIncomeEffectofchangingpricesReportingofrevenuesTreatmentofnonrecurringitemsTaxwrite-offpoliciesIncomeStatementsExplanationofDiscrepanciesSalesFirmmaydeferrevenuerecognitionuntileachpaymentreceivedorfullrecognitionatearliestpossibledateCostofgoodssoldUseofdifferentaccountingprinciples–LIFOversusFIFOVaryingtreatmentofR&Dcostsetc.ExplanationofDiscrepancies(cont’d)Extraordinarygains/losses