2023年亚洲气候状况报告 State of the Climate in Asia 2023 -世界气象组织_第1页
2023年亚洲气候状况报告 State of the Climate in Asia 2023 -世界气象组织_第2页
2023年亚洲气候状况报告 State of the Climate in Asia 2023 -世界气象组织_第3页
2023年亚洲气候状况报告 State of the Climate in Asia 2023 -世界气象组织_第4页
2023年亚洲气候状况报告 State of the Climate in Asia 2023 -世界气象组织_第5页
已阅读5页,还剩67页未读 继续免费阅读

下载本文档

版权说明:本文档由用户提供并上传,收益归属内容提供方,若内容存在侵权,请进行举报或认领

文档简介

WEATHERCUMATEWATER

StateoftheClimateinAsia

《山仁

2023

WORLD

METEOROLOGICAL

ORGANIZATION

WMO.No.1350

WMO-No.1350

WorldMeteorologicalOrganization,2024

Therightofpublicationinprint,electronicandanyotherformandinanylanguageisreservedbyWMO.ShortextractsfromWMOpublicationsmaybereproducedwithoutauthorization,providedthatthecompletesourceisclearlyindicated.Editorialcorrespondenceandrequeststopublish,reproduceortranslatethispublicationinpartorinwholeshouldbeaddressedto:

Chair,PublicationsBoard

WorldMeteorologicalOrganization(WMO)7bis,avenuedelaPaix

P.0.Box2300

CH-1211Geneva2,Switzerland

Tel.:+41(0)227308403

Email:publications@

ISBN978-92-63-11350-4

Coverillustration:Yangtzeriver,YunnanProvince,China.Source:AdobeStock

NOTE

ThedesignationsemployedinWMOpublicationsandthepresentationofmaterialinthispublicationdonotimplytheexpressionofanyopinionwhatsoeveronthepartofWMOconcerningthelegalstatusofanycountry,territory,cityorarea,orofitsauthorities,orconcerningthedelimitationofitsfrontiersorboundaries.

ThementionofspecificcompaniesorproductsdoesnotimplythattheyareendorsedorrecommendedbyWMOinpreferencetoothersofasimilarnaturewhicharenotmentionedoradvertised.

Thefindings,interpretationsandconclusionsexpressedinWMOpublicationswithnamedauthorsarethoseoftheauthorsaloneanddonotnecessarilyreflectthoseofWMOoritsMembers.

i

Contents

Keymessages ii

Foreword ili

Preface iv

Globalclimatecontext

1

Regionalclimate

2

Temperature

2

Precipitation

4

Cryosphere

5

Sea-surfacetemperature

9

Oceanheatcontent

10

Sealevel

11

Majorclimatedrivers

12

Extremeevents

14

Tropicalcyclones

14

Heavyprecipitationandflooding

15

Droughts

16

Heatwavesandwildfires

16

Marineheatwaves

17

Otherextremeevents

18

Climate-relatedimpactsandrisks

20

Mortalityandaffectedpopulation

20

StatusofearlywarningsystemsinAsia

21

EarlywarningandanticipatoryactioninAsia

22

Challengesandopportunities

23

Datasetsandmethods

25

Listofcontributors

28

Endnotes

29

Weneedyourfeedback

Thisyear,theWMOteamhaslaunchedaprocesstogatherfeedbackontheStateoftheClimatereportsandareasforimprovement.Onceyouhavefinishedreadingthepublication,weaskthatyoukindlygiveusyourfeedbackbyrespondingtothisshortsurvey.Yourinputishighlyappreciated

Keymessages

In2023,themeantemperatureoverAsia

period,thesecondhighestonrecord.

was0.91℃abovethe1991-2020reference

Manypartsoftheregionexperienced

experienceditshottestsummeronrecord.

extremeheateventsin2023.Japan

GlaciersinHigh-MountainAsiahavelostsignificantmassoverthepast40years,atanacceleratingrate.In2023,record-breakinghightemperaturesanddrierconditionsintheEasternHimalayasandtheTienShan(mountainrange)exacerbatedmassloss.

warmingtrendsincetimeseriesbegan

in1982.In2023,sea-surfacetemperature

TheoceanaroundAsiahasshownanoverall

werethehighestonrecord.

anomaliesinthenorth-westPacificOcean

South-westChinasufferedfromadrought,withbelow-normalprecipitationlevelsnearlyeverymonthof2023.EssentialwinterprecipitationwasalsobelownormalintheHinduKushregion,andtherainsassociatedwiththeIndiansummermonsoonwere

insufficient.

In2023,over80%ofreportedhydromete-orologicalhazardsinAsiawerefloodandstormevents.Yemensufferedheavyrainfallandresultingwidespreadfloods,withover30reportedcasualtiesandover165000in-dividualsaffectedinover70districts.

Overall,the79reportedhydrometeoro-logicalhazardeventsin2023ledtoover2000fatalitiesandimpactedmorethan9millionpeople.

Approximately80%ofWMOMembers

intheregionprovideclimateservicesto

supportdisasterriskreductionactivities.

However,thereisagapinclimateprojections

andtailoredproducts(providedbyless

than50%ofMembersinWMORegional

Associationl(Asia))thatareneededto

informriskmanagementandadaptation

toandmitigationofclimatechangeandits

impacts.

iii

Foreword

Weareatacriticaljuncture,wheretheimpactofclimatechangeintersectswithsocietalinequalities.Itisimperativethatouractionsandstrategiesmirrortheurgencyofthesetimes.Reducinggreenhousegasemissionsandadaptingtotheevolvingclimateisnotmerelyanoption,butafundamentalnecessity.

WMOiscommittedtoprovidingscienceandservicesthathelpbridgedisparitiesandaddressdevelopmentalgaps.AsSecretary-General,IamdedicatedtoprioritizingregionalinitiativesandensuringthatinnovativesolutionsreacheveryMember,particularlythosefacinggreaterdevel-opmentalchallenges.ThepresentreportonthestateoftheclimateinAsiais,inthiscontext,atooltoinformdecision-makingattheregionallevel.

Acomprehensiveanalysisoftheclimatelandscapeformsthecornerstoneofinformeddecision-makingandresponsestrategies.Thisreport,thefourthofitskind,shedslightontheoccurrenceofextremeweathereventsandmonitorskeyclimateindicatorsinAsia.Itcontextualizesthesefindingswithinbroaderclimatetrends.Thereport'sconclusionsaresobering.Manycountriesintheregionexperiencedtheirhottestyearonrecordin2023,alongwithabarrageofextremeconditions,fromdroughtsandheatwavestofloodsandstorms.Climatechangeexacerbatedthefrequencyandseverityofsuchevents,profoundlyimpactingsocieties,economiesand,mostimportantly,humanlives.

WMOremainssteadfastinitscommitmenttomonitoringtheclimatesystemandprovidingauthoritativeinformationtoleadersandthepublicalike.ThroughrobustcollaborationacrosstheUnitedNationsfamilyandwithpartners,weareempoweredtodeliverimpactfulservicesgroundedinreliableinformation.TheGlobalFrameworkforClimateServices,andtheEarlyWarningsforAllinitiative,standastestamentstotheeffectivenessofsuchcollaborativeefforts.Ourpledgeextendstoreachingeverycorneroftheglobe,ensuringthatnoMemberorindividualisleftbehind.

Thespiritofcollaborationandpartnershiphasbeeninstrumentalinthecreationofreportssuchasthisone.lextendmysinceregratitudetoourMembers,sisterUnitedNationsagencies,andalltheexpertsfromboththeAsianregionandaroundtheworldfortheirinvaluablecontributionstothescientificcoordinationandauthorshipofthisreport.

(Prof.CelesteSaulo)Secretary-General

iv

Preface

ter-impactedregionin2023.Floodsandstorms

continuedtocausemostdisaster-relateddeaths

AsiaandthePacificremainedthemostdisas-

andeconomiccosts,astheyaffectthelargest

numberofpeople.Atthesametime,theimpact

ofanincreasingnumberofheatwaveswasalso

moresevere.

Yetagain,in2023,vulnerablecountriesweredis-proportionatelyimpacted.Forexample,TropicalCycloneMocha,thestrongestcycloneintheBayofBengalinthelastdecade,hitBangladeshandMyanmar.Earlywarningandbetterprepared-nesssavedthousandsoflives.Inthisregard,itisimportanttorecognizethekeycontributionthatregionalcooperationmadethroughtheWMO/

ESCAPPanelonTropicalCyclones(PTC)inwarningandforecastingwithhighaccuracyandleadtime.Thisunderscorestheimportanceofregionalapproachesforearlywarningoftransboundaryhazards.

Acriticalgapintheearlywarninginformationchainliesinknowledgeandunderstandingofdisasterrisk.Addressingthisgapisfundamentalforeffectivemulti-hazardearlywarningsystemsandthereforeisakeydeterminantoftheimplementationoftheGlobalExecutiveActionPlanonEarlyWarningsforAllinAsiaandthePacific.

TheEconomicandSocialCommissionforAsiaandthePacific,ESCAP,hasrespondedtothisneedbyconfiguringtheRiskandResiliencePortaltodeepentheknowledgeofrisk,especiallyinhotspotswhereriskisintensifyingundervariouswarmingscenarios.The2023editionof

theESCAPAsia-PacificDisasterReportflaggedthatthereisanarrowwindowforAsiaand

thePacifictoincreaseitsresilienceandprotectitshard-wondevelopmentgainsfromthesocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechange.

Inthiscontext,theStateoftheClimateinAsia2023isanefforttobridgegapsbetweenclimatescienceanddisasterriskthroughevidence-basedpolicyproposals.ESCAPandWMO,workinginpartnership,willcontinuetoinvestinraisingclimateambitionandacceleratingtheimplementationofsoundpolicy,includingbringingearlywarningstoallintheregionsothatnooneisleftbehindasourclimatechangecrisiscontinuestoevolve.

(ArmidaSalsiahAlisjahbana)

Under-Secretary-GeneraloftheUnitedNationsandExecutiveSecretaryofESCAP

1

qdd

ppm

ppmlyear

ppbyear

ppblyear

Globalclimatecontext

Theglobalannualmeannear-surfacetemperaturein2023was1.450.12°℃abovethe1850-1900pre-industrialaverage.Theyear2023wasthewarmestyearonrecordaccordingtosixgloballyaverageddatasets.!Thenineyears2015to2023weretheninewarmestyearsonrecordinalldatasets,2

Atmosphericconcentrationsofthethreemajorgreenhousegasesreachednewrecord-observedhighsin2022,thelatestyearforwhichconsolidatedglobalfiguresareavailable,withlevelsofcarbondioxide(CO₂)at417.90.2partspermillion(ppm),methane(CH)at19232partsperbillion(ppb)andnitrousoxide(N₂O)at335.80.1ppb,respectively150%,264%and124%ofpre-industrial(before1750)levels(Figure1).Real-timedatafromspecificlocations,includingMaunaLoa³(Hawaii,UnitedStatesofAmerica)andKennaook/CapeGrim⁴(Tasmania,Australia)indicatethatlevelsofCO₂,CH,andN,Ocontinuedtoincreasein2023.

Overthepasttwodecades,theoceanwarmingratehasincreased;theoceanheatcontentin2023wasthehighestonrecord.Oceanwarmingandacceleratedlossoficemassfromtheicesheetscontributedtotheriseoftheglobalmeansealevelby4.77mmperyearbetween2014and2023,reachinganewrecordhighin2023.Between1960and2021,theoceanabsorbedabout25%ofannualanthropogenicCO,emittedintotheatmosphere,5andCO₂reactswithseawaterandlowersitspH.Thelimitednumberoflong-termobservationsintheopenoceanhaveshownadeclineinpH,withareductionoftheaverageglobalsurfaceoceanpHof0.017-0.027pHunitsperdecadesincethelate1980s.6Thisprocess,knownasoceanacidification,affectsmanyorganismsandecosystemservices?andthreatensfoodsecuritybyendangeringfisheriesandaquaculture.

(a)

420

(c)Nitrousoxideconcentration

(b)Methaneconcentration

340

1950

1900

N

Carbondioxideconcentration

N

330

M

400

1850

1800

380

各320

1750

360

310

NW

1990

1700

340

300

1650

200020102020

1990200020102020

1990200020102020

(d)Carbondioxidegrowthrate(e)Methanegrowthrate(f)Nitrousoxidegrowthrate

4201.5

3

1.0

2

0.5

0

-5

0.0

199020002010

1990200020102020

2020

1990200020102020

Figure1.Toprow:Monthlygloballyaveragedmolefraction(measureofatmosphericconcentration),

from1984to2022,of(a)CO₂inpartspermillion,(b)CH,inpartsperbillionand(c)N₂Oinpartsperbillion.

Bottomrow:thegrowthratesrepresentingincreasesinsuccessiveannualmeansofmolefractionsfor

(d)CO₂inpartspermillionperyear,(e)CH,inpartsperbilionperyearand(f)N,Oinpartsperbillionperyear.

2

Regionalclimate

ThefollowingsectionsanalysekeyindicatorsofthestateoftheclimateinAsiaduring2023.Onesuchindicatorthatisparticularlyimportant,temperature,isdescribedintermsofanomalies,ordeparturesfromareferenceperiod.Forglobalmeantemperature,theSixthAssessmentReport(AR6)oftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange(IPCC)°usesthereferenceperiod1850-1900forcalculatinganomaliesinrelationtopre-industriallevels.However,thispre-industrialreferenceperiodcannotbeusedinallregionsasabaselineforcalculatingregionalanomaliesduetoinsufficientdataforcalculatingregion-specificaveragespriorto1900.Instead,the1991-2020climatologicalstandardnormalisusedforcomputinganomaliesintemperatureandotherindicators.RegionaltemperatureanomaliescanalsobeexpressedrelativetotheWMOreferenceperiodforclimatechangeassessment1961-1990.Inthepresentreport,exceptionstotheuseofthesebaselineperiodsforthecalculationofanomalies,wheretheyoccur,areexplicitlynoted.

TEMPERATURE

Variationsinsurfacetemperatureandprecipitationhavealargeimpactonnaturalsystemsandonhumanbeings.ThemeantemperatureoverAsia⁹in2023wasthesecondhighestonrecord(Figure2),0.91℃[0.84°℃-0.96℃]abovethe1991-2020averageand1.87℃[1.81℃-1.92°℃]abovethe1961-1990average.ParticularlyaboveaveragetemperatureswererecordedfromwesternSiberiatocentralAsiaandfromeasternChinatoJapan.JapanandKazakhstaneachhadrecordwarmyears.

Year

Figure2.Annualmeantemperatureanomalies(°C),1900-2023,averagedoverAsia,relativetothe1991-2020average,forthesixglobaltemperaturedatasetsindicatedinthelegend.

Source:HadCRUT5,BerkeleyEarth,NOAAGlobalTempandGISTEMParebasedoninsituobservations.ERA-5andJRA-55arereanalysisdatasets.Fordetailsonthedatasetsandtheplotting,seeTemperaturedata.

3

AveragetemperatureswerebelownormalinpartsoftheinlandIndianPeninsula(Figure3).

Overthelongterm,aclearwarmingtrendhasemergedinAsiainthelatterhalfofthetwentiethcentury(Figures2and4).Inthetworecentsub-periods(1961-1990and1991-2023),Asia,thecontinentwiththelargestlandmassextendingtotheArctic,haswarmedfasterthanthegloballandandoceanaverage.Thisindirectlyreflectsthefactthatthetemperatureincreaseoverlandislargerthanthetemperatureincreaseovertheocean,asstatedintheIPCCAR6report.ThewarmingtrendinAsiain1991-2023wasalmostdoublethewarmingtrendduringthe1961-1990period,andmuchlargerthanthetrendsoftheprevious30-yearperiods(Figure4).

Figure3.Meannear-

surfacetemperature

anomalies(C,differencefromthe1991-2020

average)for2023.Dataarethemedianofsixdatasetsasindicatedinthelegend.SeeDatasetsandmethodsfordetails.

Figure4.Trendsinmean

surfaceairtemperature

forthesixWM0regionsand

theglobalmean(C)over

foursub-periodsusingthesix

datasets.Thecolouredbars

indicatethetrendinthemean

ofthedatasets.Theblack

verticallinesindicatetherange

betweenthelargestandthe

smallesttrendsintheindividual

datasets.

4

PRECIPITATION

Precipitationisakeyclimateparameter,essentialforsocietyintermsofprovidingwaterfordrinkinganddomesticpurposes,agriculture,industryandhydropower.Variationsinprecipitationalsodrivemajorclimateeventssuchasdroughtsandfloods.In2023,substantialprecipitationdeficitsintheregionwereobservedintheTuranLowland(Turkmenistan,Uzbekistan,Kazakhstan);theHinduKush(Afghanistan,Pakistan);theHimalayas;aroundtheGangesandlowercourseoftheBrahmaputraRivers(IndiaandBangladesh);theArakanMountains(Myanmar);andthelowercourseoftheMekongRiver(Figure5and6).Otherregionswhichhadbelow-normalprecipitationweretheregionbetweentheTianShanandGobiAltai(ChinaandMongolia);theWesternSiberianPlain;theStanovoyRange;theArcticCoastbetweentheTaymyrPeninsulaandtheNewSiberianIslands(RussianFederation);aswellasJapanandthesouth-westernpartofChina.

ThelargestabsoluteprecipitationexcesseswereobservedaroundthelowercourseoftheIndusRiver(Pakistan),theTenasserimRange(Myanmar),inKamchatkaandtheKolymaRange(RussianFederation).Unusuallyhighprecipitationtotals(Figure6)werealsonotedinManchuriaandtheNorthernChinaPlain(China);betweentheYamalandTaymyrPeninsulas(RussianFederation);theKazakhSteppe(Kazakhstan);andtheArabianPeninsula(SaudiArabia).

Figure5.Precipitationanomaliesfor2023,expressedasapercentageofthe1991-2020average

Source:GlobalPrecipitationClimatologyCentre(GPCC),

DeutscherWetterdienst,Germany

Figure6.Totalprecipitationin

2023,expressedasaquantileofthe1991-2020referenceperiod,forareasthatwouldhavebeen

inthedriest20%(brown)and

wettest20%(green)ofyears

duringthereferenceperiod,withdarkershadesofbrownandgreenindicatingthedriestandwettest10%,respectively

Source:GPCC,DeutscherWetterdienst,Germany

5

cumulativemassbalance(mw.e.)

CRYOSPHERE

ARCTICSEAICE

Sea-iceextentisakeyindicatorofclimatevariabilityandclimatechangeinthepolarregions.Seaicestronglymodulatessurfaceoceanwavesandtheair-seaexchangesofheat,momentum,moisture,andsoforth,therebyinfluencingtheregionalclimateandtheglobalclimate.Accordingtotheconsensusstatementofthe11thand12thsessionsoftheArcticClimateForum,10.11themaximumArcticiceextentinwinter2023wasreachedon6March2023.Thevalueof14.6millionkm²wasthe5thlowestinthe45-yearsatelliterecord.NegativeiceanomaliesweremostnotableintheWesternandEasternNordicregions.AsmalleranomalywasnotedintheChukchiandBeringRegion.TheminimumArcticiceextentinsummer2023(approximately4.4millionkm²)occurredon17Septemberandwastheeighthlowestannualminimumdailyextentonrecordsince1979(itshouldbenotedthatnumbersandrankingsmayvarymarginallyacrossdifferentdatasetsduetoslightlydifferentcalculationmethodsandthresholds).SignificantnegativeanomaliesweremostprominentintheareasoftheEurasianandCanadianArctic,thoughsomeresidualseaiceremainedinboththeNorthernSeaRouteandthenorthernrouteoftheNorthwestPassageshippinglanesuntilthetimeoffreeze-up.⁷

GLACIERS

Glaciericemassissensitivetochangesinregionaltemperature,precipitation,andsurfaceradiation.Themeltingofglaciersaffectssealevel,regionalwatercyclesandtheoccurrencesoflocalhazardssuchasglacierlakeoutburstfloods(GLOF).TheHigh-MountainAsia(HMA)regionisthehigh-elevationareacentredontheTibetanPlateau;itcontainsthelargestvolumeoficeoutsideofthepolarregions,withglacierscoveringanareaofapproximately100000km².Overthelastseveraldecades,mostoftheseglaciershavebeenretreating,withthealtitudesoftheequilibriumlines(thelowertopographiclimitoftheglaciers)graduallyrising.314Inthepast40years,fourglaciersintheHMAregionwithmorethan30yearsofongoingmass-balancemeasurements(Figure7)haverecordedsignificantmasslosses,withanincreaseintherateofmasslosssincethemid-1990s.Atthesametime,thesefourglaciersshowanoverallweakercumulativemasslossthantheaveragefortheglobalreferenceglaciers(indicatedbyagreylineinFigure7)duringtheperiod1980-2023.AccordingtotheTechnical

Figure7.Cumulativemassbalance(inmetreswaterequivalent(mw.e.))offourreferenceglaciers

intheHighMountainAsiaregionandtheaveragemassbalanceoftheglobalreferenceglaciers

Source:Dataregardingtheglobalreferenceglaciers(grey),LeviyAktruGlacier(green),

Ts.TuyuksuyskiyGlacier(orange)andUrumqiGlacierNo.1(blue)arefromtheWorldGlacierMonitoring

Service(WGMS)(seealsoWGMS.GlobalGlacier

ChangeBulletinNo.5(2020-2021);Zemp,M.;

Gärtner-Roer,l.;Nussbaumer,S.U.etal,Eds.;

ISC(WDS)/IUGG(IACS)/UNEP/UNESCO/WM0,WGMS:Zurich,Switzerland,2023).DataregardingtheXiao

Year

DongkemadiGlacier(purple)arefromtheChineseAcademyofSciences(CAS).

6

Latitude

Longitude

Figure8.Preliminaryestimationsofthe2022-2023massbalanceofglaciersintheHighMountainAsiaregion.Theareaindicatedbygreycontoursis2500metresabovesealevel.

Source:WM0ThirdPoleRegionalClimateCentreNetwork(TPRCC-Network)andWGMS;theoriginalobservationsuponwhichthisfigureisbasedarefromChina,India,Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan,Nepal,theRussianFederation,TajikistanandUzbekistan.

SummaryoftheWorkingGroupIcontributiontoIPCCAR6,glaciersoverSouthAsiahavethinned,retreated,andlostmasssincethe1970s(highconfidence),althoughpartialKarakoramglaciershaveeitherslightlygainedmassorareinanapproximatelybalancedstate(mediumconfidence).

Fortheglaciologicalyear2022/2023,20outof22glaciersobservedintheHMAregionshowcontinuednegativemasschanges.Record-breakinghightemperatureanddryconditionsintheEastHimalayaandmostoftheTienShanexacerbatedmasslossformostglaciers.Duringtheperiod2022-2023,UrumqiGlacierNo.1,inEasternTienShan,recordeditssecondmostnegativemassbalance(1.29mw.e.)sincemeasurementsbeganin1959(Figure8).

PERMAFROST

Permafrostissoilthatcontinuouslyremainsbelow0℃fortwoormoreyearsandisadis-tinctivefeatureofhigh-latitudeandhigh-altitudeenvironments.Itischaracterisedbytwokeyvariables,observedtomonitorpermafrostlong-termchangesthatweredefinedasproductsoftheEssentialClimateVariables(ECVs)oftheGlobalClimateObservingSystem(GCOS):meanannualpermafrosttemperatureandthicknessoftheuppermostlayerofseasonallythawing

7

soil-definedasactivelayerthickness(ALT).MonitoringcarriedoutbytheRussianFederal

ServiceforHydrometeorologyandEnvironmentalMonitoring(RosHydroMet)indicatesthat

almostthroughouttheentireterritoryofthepermafrostzoneoftheRussianFederationin

2023,positivetrendsintheALTthicknessremained,closeinvaluetothetrendsseeninthe

1976-2022period,whichindicatesthepersistenceofastabletrendofincreasingtheALT.16The

mostrapidthawingofpermafrostisintheEuropeannorth,thePolarUrals,andthewestern

regionsofWesternSiberia.Relativelymoderateandweakratesofpermafrostthawingare

observedinthecoastalregionsofCentralandNorth-EastSiberia(Figure9).

ThetrendofincreasingALTintheRussianFederationpermafrostzoneisdue,firstofall,tothecontinuingincreaseinairtemperaturesinthehighlatitudesoftheArctic.Intermsofairtemperature,2023wasthesixthwarmestyearintheArcticsince1900.IPCCAR6estimatesthatthawingterrestrialpermafrostwillleadtocarbonrelease(highconfidence),thoughthereislowconfidenceinthetimingandmagnitude.Furthermore,thereportpointsoutthatpermafrostthawing,aswellasglaciermeltandsnowdecline,arealreadyimpactingpopulationsaswellasirrigation,hydropower,watersupply,culturalandotherdomainsdependingonice,snowandpermafrost.

Figure9.Long-termtrendofthethicknessoftheuppermostlayerofseasonallythawingsoil(ALTincmper10years)fortheperiod1976-2023.Permafrostisclassifiedbycoverageincontinuous(90%ofthelandscape),discontinuous(50-90%),andsporadic

(10-50%)zonesandisolatedpatches(10%),dependingontheareacontinuity.

Source:Measurementsfromobservationsites(sitecodesareindicatednexttocirclesonthemap),RussianFederalServicefor

Hydrometeorology(Roshydromet)withintheCircumpolarActiveLayerMonitoringProgram.SeeAnisimov,0.A.;Lavrov,S.A.;

Zhirkov,A.F.etal.PermafrostDataAssimilationandReanalysis:ComputationalSetupandModelValidationforNorthernEuropeanRussiaandEasternSiberia.BussianMeteorologyandHydrology2020,45,269-275.

/10

.3103/S106837392004007X.

SeealsoAnisimov,0.A.PotentialFeedbackofThawingPermafrosttotheGlobalClimateSystemthroughMethaneEmission.

EnvironmentalResearchLetters2007,2,91-98.

/10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045016

.

8

SNOWCOVER

Snowcoverplaysanimportantroleinthefeedbackmechanismsintheclimatesystem(suchasalbedo,run-off,soilmoistureandvegetation).Hence,itisacrucialvariableformonitoringclimatechange.Inthepast27years,thenorthernhemisphere'sspring(MarchtoMay)snowcoverextent(SCE)''overAsiaexhibitedadecreasingtrendof250000km²perdecade,withnegativeanomalieswithrespecttothe1998-2020long-termaveragedominatingsincethemid-2000s.Inthespringof2023,theSCEinAsiawasabout14.57millionkm²,slightlylessthanthe1998-2020average.Spatially,lower-than-averagesnowextentappearedespeciallyinthenorthernpartofCentralAsiaandNorth-EasternEastAsia.Onthecontrary,positiveSCEanomaliesdominatedfromnorthernEastAsiatocentralNorthAsia(Figure10).IntheHMAregion,SCEwasabovenormalinitswestern,mid-easternregion,andalongthesouthernedge.However,thesouth-eastareaofHMAwasdominatedbynegativeanomalies.

20°E

40°E

NodataWaterIceNosnow-120-60-30-553060120km²

Figure10.Anomaliesofmeansnowcoverextentinthespringof2023(fromMarchtoMay),relativetothe1998-2020average.

Toderivethemonthlysnowcoverextentanomaliesforeachgrid,thenumberofmonthlysnowcoverdayswasdividedbythe

totalnumberofdaysinthatmonthandthenmultipliedbytheareaofthegrid.TheredlinedelimitsthegeographicalareaofWM0RegionalAssociationll(Asia).TheblacklinedelimitstheHighMountainAsiaregion.

Source:InteractiveMultisensorSnowandIceMappingSystemanddatain25kmspatialresolutionfromtheNationalSnowandIce

DataCenter

9

Latitude

edaced/C。

SST(℃)

SST(℃)

thisareaalsohasamajor

SEA-SURFACETEMPERATURE

Sea-surfacetemperature(SST)playsacriticalroleinthecouplingbetweentheoceanandatmosphere,asvariationsinSSTalterthetransferofenergy,momentumandgasesbetweenthesetwocomponentsoftheEarthsystem.18

TheoceanareaofWMORegionalAssociation(RA)ll(Asia)showsanoverallsurfaceoceanwarmingtrendsince1982,atratesofmorethan0.5℃perdecadeintheareasoftheKuroshiocurrentsystem,theArabianSea,theSouthernBarentsSea,theSouthernKaraSea,andthe

South-EasternLaptevSea;thesurfaceoceanwarmingrate

warmingtrendhereismorethanthreetimesfasterthantheglobalof0.16℃0.01℃perdecade.In2023,thearea-averagedSSTanom-

alieswerethewarmestonre-

(a)

Long

温馨提示

  • 1. 本站所有资源如无特殊说明,都需要本地电脑安装OFFICE2007和PDF阅读器。图纸软件为CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.压缩文件请下载最新的WinRAR软件解压。
  • 2. 本站的文档不包含任何第三方提供的附件图纸等,如果需要附件,请联系上传者。文件的所有权益归上传用户所有。
  • 3. 本站RAR压缩包中若带图纸,网页内容里面会有图纸预览,若没有图纸预览就没有图纸。
  • 4. 未经权益所有人同意不得将文件中的内容挪作商业或盈利用途。
  • 5. 人人文库网仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对用户上传分享的文档内容本身不做任何修改或编辑,并不能对任何下载内容负责。
  • 6. 下载文件中如有侵权或不适当内容,请与我们联系,我们立即纠正。
  • 7. 本站不保证下载资源的准确性、安全性和完整性, 同时也不承担用户因使用这些下载资源对自己和他人造成任何形式的伤害或损失。

评论

0/150

提交评论