版权说明:本文档由用户提供并上传,收益归属内容提供方,若内容存在侵权,请进行举报或认领
文档简介
WEATHERCUMATEWATER
StateoftheClimateinAsia
《山仁
⑤
2023
WORLD
METEOROLOGICAL
ORGANIZATION
WMO.No.1350
WMO-No.1350
WorldMeteorologicalOrganization,2024
Therightofpublicationinprint,electronicandanyotherformandinanylanguageisreservedbyWMO.ShortextractsfromWMOpublicationsmaybereproducedwithoutauthorization,providedthatthecompletesourceisclearlyindicated.Editorialcorrespondenceandrequeststopublish,reproduceortranslatethispublicationinpartorinwholeshouldbeaddressedto:
Chair,PublicationsBoard
WorldMeteorologicalOrganization(WMO)7bis,avenuedelaPaix
P.0.Box2300
CH-1211Geneva2,Switzerland
Tel.:+41(0)227308403
Email:publications@
ISBN978-92-63-11350-4
Coverillustration:Yangtzeriver,YunnanProvince,China.Source:AdobeStock
NOTE
ThedesignationsemployedinWMOpublicationsandthepresentationofmaterialinthispublicationdonotimplytheexpressionofanyopinionwhatsoeveronthepartofWMOconcerningthelegalstatusofanycountry,territory,cityorarea,orofitsauthorities,orconcerningthedelimitationofitsfrontiersorboundaries.
ThementionofspecificcompaniesorproductsdoesnotimplythattheyareendorsedorrecommendedbyWMOinpreferencetoothersofasimilarnaturewhicharenotmentionedoradvertised.
Thefindings,interpretationsandconclusionsexpressedinWMOpublicationswithnamedauthorsarethoseoftheauthorsaloneanddonotnecessarilyreflectthoseofWMOoritsMembers.
i
Contents
Keymessages ii
Foreword ili
Preface iv
Globalclimatecontext
1
Regionalclimate
2
Temperature
2
Precipitation
4
Cryosphere
5
Sea-surfacetemperature
9
Oceanheatcontent
10
Sealevel
11
Majorclimatedrivers
12
Extremeevents
14
Tropicalcyclones
14
Heavyprecipitationandflooding
15
Droughts
16
Heatwavesandwildfires
16
Marineheatwaves
17
Otherextremeevents
18
Climate-relatedimpactsandrisks
20
Mortalityandaffectedpopulation
20
StatusofearlywarningsystemsinAsia
21
EarlywarningandanticipatoryactioninAsia
22
Challengesandopportunities
23
Datasetsandmethods
25
Listofcontributors
28
Endnotes
29
Weneedyourfeedback
Thisyear,theWMOteamhaslaunchedaprocesstogatherfeedbackontheStateoftheClimatereportsandareasforimprovement.Onceyouhavefinishedreadingthepublication,weaskthatyoukindlygiveusyourfeedbackbyrespondingtothisshortsurvey.Yourinputishighlyappreciated
Keymessages
In2023,themeantemperatureoverAsia
period,thesecondhighestonrecord.
was0.91℃abovethe1991-2020reference
Manypartsoftheregionexperienced
experienceditshottestsummeronrecord.
extremeheateventsin2023.Japan
GlaciersinHigh-MountainAsiahavelostsignificantmassoverthepast40years,atanacceleratingrate.In2023,record-breakinghightemperaturesanddrierconditionsintheEasternHimalayasandtheTienShan(mountainrange)exacerbatedmassloss.
warmingtrendsincetimeseriesbegan
in1982.In2023,sea-surfacetemperature
TheoceanaroundAsiahasshownanoverall
werethehighestonrecord.
anomaliesinthenorth-westPacificOcean
South-westChinasufferedfromadrought,withbelow-normalprecipitationlevelsnearlyeverymonthof2023.EssentialwinterprecipitationwasalsobelownormalintheHinduKushregion,andtherainsassociatedwiththeIndiansummermonsoonwere
insufficient.
In2023,over80%ofreportedhydromete-orologicalhazardsinAsiawerefloodandstormevents.Yemensufferedheavyrainfallandresultingwidespreadfloods,withover30reportedcasualtiesandover165000in-dividualsaffectedinover70districts.
Overall,the79reportedhydrometeoro-logicalhazardeventsin2023ledtoover2000fatalitiesandimpactedmorethan9millionpeople.
Approximately80%ofWMOMembers
intheregionprovideclimateservicesto
supportdisasterriskreductionactivities.
However,thereisagapinclimateprojections
andtailoredproducts(providedbyless
than50%ofMembersinWMORegional
Associationl(Asia))thatareneededto
informriskmanagementandadaptation
toandmitigationofclimatechangeandits
impacts.
iii
Foreword
Weareatacriticaljuncture,wheretheimpactofclimatechangeintersectswithsocietalinequalities.Itisimperativethatouractionsandstrategiesmirrortheurgencyofthesetimes.Reducinggreenhousegasemissionsandadaptingtotheevolvingclimateisnotmerelyanoption,butafundamentalnecessity.
WMOiscommittedtoprovidingscienceandservicesthathelpbridgedisparitiesandaddressdevelopmentalgaps.AsSecretary-General,IamdedicatedtoprioritizingregionalinitiativesandensuringthatinnovativesolutionsreacheveryMember,particularlythosefacinggreaterdevel-opmentalchallenges.ThepresentreportonthestateoftheclimateinAsiais,inthiscontext,atooltoinformdecision-makingattheregionallevel.
Acomprehensiveanalysisoftheclimatelandscapeformsthecornerstoneofinformeddecision-makingandresponsestrategies.Thisreport,thefourthofitskind,shedslightontheoccurrenceofextremeweathereventsandmonitorskeyclimateindicatorsinAsia.Itcontextualizesthesefindingswithinbroaderclimatetrends.Thereport'sconclusionsaresobering.Manycountriesintheregionexperiencedtheirhottestyearonrecordin2023,alongwithabarrageofextremeconditions,fromdroughtsandheatwavestofloodsandstorms.Climatechangeexacerbatedthefrequencyandseverityofsuchevents,profoundlyimpactingsocieties,economiesand,mostimportantly,humanlives.
WMOremainssteadfastinitscommitmenttomonitoringtheclimatesystemandprovidingauthoritativeinformationtoleadersandthepublicalike.ThroughrobustcollaborationacrosstheUnitedNationsfamilyandwithpartners,weareempoweredtodeliverimpactfulservicesgroundedinreliableinformation.TheGlobalFrameworkforClimateServices,andtheEarlyWarningsforAllinitiative,standastestamentstotheeffectivenessofsuchcollaborativeefforts.Ourpledgeextendstoreachingeverycorneroftheglobe,ensuringthatnoMemberorindividualisleftbehind.
Thespiritofcollaborationandpartnershiphasbeeninstrumentalinthecreationofreportssuchasthisone.lextendmysinceregratitudetoourMembers,sisterUnitedNationsagencies,andalltheexpertsfromboththeAsianregionandaroundtheworldfortheirinvaluablecontributionstothescientificcoordinationandauthorshipofthisreport.
(Prof.CelesteSaulo)Secretary-General
iv
Preface
ter-impactedregionin2023.Floodsandstorms
continuedtocausemostdisaster-relateddeaths
AsiaandthePacificremainedthemostdisas-
andeconomiccosts,astheyaffectthelargest
numberofpeople.Atthesametime,theimpact
ofanincreasingnumberofheatwaveswasalso
moresevere.
Yetagain,in2023,vulnerablecountriesweredis-proportionatelyimpacted.Forexample,TropicalCycloneMocha,thestrongestcycloneintheBayofBengalinthelastdecade,hitBangladeshandMyanmar.Earlywarningandbetterprepared-nesssavedthousandsoflives.Inthisregard,itisimportanttorecognizethekeycontributionthatregionalcooperationmadethroughtheWMO/
ESCAPPanelonTropicalCyclones(PTC)inwarningandforecastingwithhighaccuracyandleadtime.Thisunderscorestheimportanceofregionalapproachesforearlywarningoftransboundaryhazards.
Acriticalgapintheearlywarninginformationchainliesinknowledgeandunderstandingofdisasterrisk.Addressingthisgapisfundamentalforeffectivemulti-hazardearlywarningsystemsandthereforeisakeydeterminantoftheimplementationoftheGlobalExecutiveActionPlanonEarlyWarningsforAllinAsiaandthePacific.
TheEconomicandSocialCommissionforAsiaandthePacific,ESCAP,hasrespondedtothisneedbyconfiguringtheRiskandResiliencePortaltodeepentheknowledgeofrisk,especiallyinhotspotswhereriskisintensifyingundervariouswarmingscenarios.The2023editionof
theESCAPAsia-PacificDisasterReportflaggedthatthereisanarrowwindowforAsiaand
thePacifictoincreaseitsresilienceandprotectitshard-wondevelopmentgainsfromthesocioeconomicimpactsofclimatechange.
Inthiscontext,theStateoftheClimateinAsia2023isanefforttobridgegapsbetweenclimatescienceanddisasterriskthroughevidence-basedpolicyproposals.ESCAPandWMO,workinginpartnership,willcontinuetoinvestinraisingclimateambitionandacceleratingtheimplementationofsoundpolicy,includingbringingearlywarningstoallintheregionsothatnooneisleftbehindasourclimatechangecrisiscontinuestoevolve.
(ArmidaSalsiahAlisjahbana)
Under-Secretary-GeneraloftheUnitedNationsandExecutiveSecretaryofESCAP
1
qdd
ppm
ppmlyear
ppbyear
ppblyear
Globalclimatecontext
Theglobalannualmeannear-surfacetemperaturein2023was1.450.12°℃abovethe1850-1900pre-industrialaverage.Theyear2023wasthewarmestyearonrecordaccordingtosixgloballyaverageddatasets.!Thenineyears2015to2023weretheninewarmestyearsonrecordinalldatasets,2
Atmosphericconcentrationsofthethreemajorgreenhousegasesreachednewrecord-observedhighsin2022,thelatestyearforwhichconsolidatedglobalfiguresareavailable,withlevelsofcarbondioxide(CO₂)at417.90.2partspermillion(ppm),methane(CH)at19232partsperbillion(ppb)andnitrousoxide(N₂O)at335.80.1ppb,respectively150%,264%and124%ofpre-industrial(before1750)levels(Figure1).Real-timedatafromspecificlocations,includingMaunaLoa³(Hawaii,UnitedStatesofAmerica)andKennaook/CapeGrim⁴(Tasmania,Australia)indicatethatlevelsofCO₂,CH,andN,Ocontinuedtoincreasein2023.
Overthepasttwodecades,theoceanwarmingratehasincreased;theoceanheatcontentin2023wasthehighestonrecord.Oceanwarmingandacceleratedlossoficemassfromtheicesheetscontributedtotheriseoftheglobalmeansealevelby4.77mmperyearbetween2014and2023,reachinganewrecordhighin2023.Between1960and2021,theoceanabsorbedabout25%ofannualanthropogenicCO,emittedintotheatmosphere,5andCO₂reactswithseawaterandlowersitspH.Thelimitednumberoflong-termobservationsintheopenoceanhaveshownadeclineinpH,withareductionoftheaverageglobalsurfaceoceanpHof0.017-0.027pHunitsperdecadesincethelate1980s.6Thisprocess,knownasoceanacidification,affectsmanyorganismsandecosystemservices?andthreatensfoodsecuritybyendangeringfisheriesandaquaculture.
(a)
420
(c)Nitrousoxideconcentration
(b)Methaneconcentration
340
1950
1900
N
Carbondioxideconcentration
N
330
M
400
1850
1800
380
各320
1750
360
310
NW
1990
1700
340
300
1650
200020102020
1990200020102020
1990200020102020
(d)Carbondioxidegrowthrate(e)Methanegrowthrate(f)Nitrousoxidegrowthrate
4201.5
3
1.0
2
0.5
0
-5
0.0
199020002010
1990200020102020
2020
1990200020102020
Figure1.Toprow:Monthlygloballyaveragedmolefraction(measureofatmosphericconcentration),
from1984to2022,of(a)CO₂inpartspermillion,(b)CH,inpartsperbillionand(c)N₂Oinpartsperbillion.
Bottomrow:thegrowthratesrepresentingincreasesinsuccessiveannualmeansofmolefractionsfor
(d)CO₂inpartspermillionperyear,(e)CH,inpartsperbilionperyearand(f)N,Oinpartsperbillionperyear.
2
Regionalclimate
ThefollowingsectionsanalysekeyindicatorsofthestateoftheclimateinAsiaduring2023.Onesuchindicatorthatisparticularlyimportant,temperature,isdescribedintermsofanomalies,ordeparturesfromareferenceperiod.Forglobalmeantemperature,theSixthAssessmentReport(AR6)oftheIntergovernmentalPanelonClimateChange(IPCC)°usesthereferenceperiod1850-1900forcalculatinganomaliesinrelationtopre-industriallevels.However,thispre-industrialreferenceperiodcannotbeusedinallregionsasabaselineforcalculatingregionalanomaliesduetoinsufficientdataforcalculatingregion-specificaveragespriorto1900.Instead,the1991-2020climatologicalstandardnormalisusedforcomputinganomaliesintemperatureandotherindicators.RegionaltemperatureanomaliescanalsobeexpressedrelativetotheWMOreferenceperiodforclimatechangeassessment1961-1990.Inthepresentreport,exceptionstotheuseofthesebaselineperiodsforthecalculationofanomalies,wheretheyoccur,areexplicitlynoted.
TEMPERATURE
Variationsinsurfacetemperatureandprecipitationhavealargeimpactonnaturalsystemsandonhumanbeings.ThemeantemperatureoverAsia⁹in2023wasthesecondhighestonrecord(Figure2),0.91℃[0.84°℃-0.96℃]abovethe1991-2020averageand1.87℃[1.81℃-1.92°℃]abovethe1961-1990average.ParticularlyaboveaveragetemperatureswererecordedfromwesternSiberiatocentralAsiaandfromeasternChinatoJapan.JapanandKazakhstaneachhadrecordwarmyears.
Year
Figure2.Annualmeantemperatureanomalies(°C),1900-2023,averagedoverAsia,relativetothe1991-2020average,forthesixglobaltemperaturedatasetsindicatedinthelegend.
Source:HadCRUT5,BerkeleyEarth,NOAAGlobalTempandGISTEMParebasedoninsituobservations.ERA-5andJRA-55arereanalysisdatasets.Fordetailsonthedatasetsandtheplotting,seeTemperaturedata.
3
AveragetemperatureswerebelownormalinpartsoftheinlandIndianPeninsula(Figure3).
Overthelongterm,aclearwarmingtrendhasemergedinAsiainthelatterhalfofthetwentiethcentury(Figures2and4).Inthetworecentsub-periods(1961-1990and1991-2023),Asia,thecontinentwiththelargestlandmassextendingtotheArctic,haswarmedfasterthanthegloballandandoceanaverage.Thisindirectlyreflectsthefactthatthetemperatureincreaseoverlandislargerthanthetemperatureincreaseovertheocean,asstatedintheIPCCAR6report.ThewarmingtrendinAsiain1991-2023wasalmostdoublethewarmingtrendduringthe1961-1990period,andmuchlargerthanthetrendsoftheprevious30-yearperiods(Figure4).
Figure3.Meannear-
surfacetemperature
anomalies(C,differencefromthe1991-2020
average)for2023.Dataarethemedianofsixdatasetsasindicatedinthelegend.SeeDatasetsandmethodsfordetails.
Figure4.Trendsinmean
surfaceairtemperature
forthesixWM0regionsand
theglobalmean(C)over
foursub-periodsusingthesix
datasets.Thecolouredbars
indicatethetrendinthemean
ofthedatasets.Theblack
verticallinesindicatetherange
betweenthelargestandthe
smallesttrendsintheindividual
datasets.
4
PRECIPITATION
Precipitationisakeyclimateparameter,essentialforsocietyintermsofprovidingwaterfordrinkinganddomesticpurposes,agriculture,industryandhydropower.Variationsinprecipitationalsodrivemajorclimateeventssuchasdroughtsandfloods.In2023,substantialprecipitationdeficitsintheregionwereobservedintheTuranLowland(Turkmenistan,Uzbekistan,Kazakhstan);theHinduKush(Afghanistan,Pakistan);theHimalayas;aroundtheGangesandlowercourseoftheBrahmaputraRivers(IndiaandBangladesh);theArakanMountains(Myanmar);andthelowercourseoftheMekongRiver(Figure5and6).Otherregionswhichhadbelow-normalprecipitationweretheregionbetweentheTianShanandGobiAltai(ChinaandMongolia);theWesternSiberianPlain;theStanovoyRange;theArcticCoastbetweentheTaymyrPeninsulaandtheNewSiberianIslands(RussianFederation);aswellasJapanandthesouth-westernpartofChina.
ThelargestabsoluteprecipitationexcesseswereobservedaroundthelowercourseoftheIndusRiver(Pakistan),theTenasserimRange(Myanmar),inKamchatkaandtheKolymaRange(RussianFederation).Unusuallyhighprecipitationtotals(Figure6)werealsonotedinManchuriaandtheNorthernChinaPlain(China);betweentheYamalandTaymyrPeninsulas(RussianFederation);theKazakhSteppe(Kazakhstan);andtheArabianPeninsula(SaudiArabia).
Figure5.Precipitationanomaliesfor2023,expressedasapercentageofthe1991-2020average
Source:GlobalPrecipitationClimatologyCentre(GPCC),
DeutscherWetterdienst,Germany
Figure6.Totalprecipitationin
2023,expressedasaquantileofthe1991-2020referenceperiod,forareasthatwouldhavebeen
inthedriest20%(brown)and
wettest20%(green)ofyears
duringthereferenceperiod,withdarkershadesofbrownandgreenindicatingthedriestandwettest10%,respectively
Source:GPCC,DeutscherWetterdienst,Germany
5
cumulativemassbalance(mw.e.)
CRYOSPHERE
ARCTICSEAICE
Sea-iceextentisakeyindicatorofclimatevariabilityandclimatechangeinthepolarregions.Seaicestronglymodulatessurfaceoceanwavesandtheair-seaexchangesofheat,momentum,moisture,andsoforth,therebyinfluencingtheregionalclimateandtheglobalclimate.Accordingtotheconsensusstatementofthe11thand12thsessionsoftheArcticClimateForum,10.11themaximumArcticiceextentinwinter2023wasreachedon6March2023.Thevalueof14.6millionkm²wasthe5thlowestinthe45-yearsatelliterecord.NegativeiceanomaliesweremostnotableintheWesternandEasternNordicregions.AsmalleranomalywasnotedintheChukchiandBeringRegion.TheminimumArcticiceextentinsummer2023(approximately4.4millionkm²)occurredon17Septemberandwastheeighthlowestannualminimumdailyextentonrecordsince1979(itshouldbenotedthatnumbersandrankingsmayvarymarginallyacrossdifferentdatasetsduetoslightlydifferentcalculationmethodsandthresholds).SignificantnegativeanomaliesweremostprominentintheareasoftheEurasianandCanadianArctic,thoughsomeresidualseaiceremainedinboththeNorthernSeaRouteandthenorthernrouteoftheNorthwestPassageshippinglanesuntilthetimeoffreeze-up.⁷
GLACIERS
Glaciericemassissensitivetochangesinregionaltemperature,precipitation,andsurfaceradiation.Themeltingofglaciersaffectssealevel,regionalwatercyclesandtheoccurrencesoflocalhazardssuchasglacierlakeoutburstfloods(GLOF).TheHigh-MountainAsia(HMA)regionisthehigh-elevationareacentredontheTibetanPlateau;itcontainsthelargestvolumeoficeoutsideofthepolarregions,withglacierscoveringanareaofapproximately100000km².Overthelastseveraldecades,mostoftheseglaciershavebeenretreating,withthealtitudesoftheequilibriumlines(thelowertopographiclimitoftheglaciers)graduallyrising.314Inthepast40years,fourglaciersintheHMAregionwithmorethan30yearsofongoingmass-balancemeasurements(Figure7)haverecordedsignificantmasslosses,withanincreaseintherateofmasslosssincethemid-1990s.Atthesametime,thesefourglaciersshowanoverallweakercumulativemasslossthantheaveragefortheglobalreferenceglaciers(indicatedbyagreylineinFigure7)duringtheperiod1980-2023.AccordingtotheTechnical
Figure7.Cumulativemassbalance(inmetreswaterequivalent(mw.e.))offourreferenceglaciers
intheHighMountainAsiaregionandtheaveragemassbalanceoftheglobalreferenceglaciers
Source:Dataregardingtheglobalreferenceglaciers(grey),LeviyAktruGlacier(green),
Ts.TuyuksuyskiyGlacier(orange)andUrumqiGlacierNo.1(blue)arefromtheWorldGlacierMonitoring
Service(WGMS)(seealsoWGMS.GlobalGlacier
ChangeBulletinNo.5(2020-2021);Zemp,M.;
Gärtner-Roer,l.;Nussbaumer,S.U.etal,Eds.;
ISC(WDS)/IUGG(IACS)/UNEP/UNESCO/WM0,WGMS:Zurich,Switzerland,2023).DataregardingtheXiao
Year
DongkemadiGlacier(purple)arefromtheChineseAcademyofSciences(CAS).
6
Latitude
Longitude
Figure8.Preliminaryestimationsofthe2022-2023massbalanceofglaciersintheHighMountainAsiaregion.Theareaindicatedbygreycontoursis2500metresabovesealevel.
Source:WM0ThirdPoleRegionalClimateCentreNetwork(TPRCC-Network)andWGMS;theoriginalobservationsuponwhichthisfigureisbasedarefromChina,India,Kazakhstan,Kyrgyzstan,Nepal,theRussianFederation,TajikistanandUzbekistan.
SummaryoftheWorkingGroupIcontributiontoIPCCAR6,glaciersoverSouthAsiahavethinned,retreated,andlostmasssincethe1970s(highconfidence),althoughpartialKarakoramglaciershaveeitherslightlygainedmassorareinanapproximatelybalancedstate(mediumconfidence).
Fortheglaciologicalyear2022/2023,20outof22glaciersobservedintheHMAregionshowcontinuednegativemasschanges.Record-breakinghightemperatureanddryconditionsintheEastHimalayaandmostoftheTienShanexacerbatedmasslossformostglaciers.Duringtheperiod2022-2023,UrumqiGlacierNo.1,inEasternTienShan,recordeditssecondmostnegativemassbalance(1.29mw.e.)sincemeasurementsbeganin1959(Figure8).
PERMAFROST
Permafrostissoilthatcontinuouslyremainsbelow0℃fortwoormoreyearsandisadis-tinctivefeatureofhigh-latitudeandhigh-altitudeenvironments.Itischaracterisedbytwokeyvariables,observedtomonitorpermafrostlong-termchangesthatweredefinedasproductsoftheEssentialClimateVariables(ECVs)oftheGlobalClimateObservingSystem(GCOS):meanannualpermafrosttemperatureandthicknessoftheuppermostlayerofseasonallythawing
7
soil-definedasactivelayerthickness(ALT).MonitoringcarriedoutbytheRussianFederal
ServiceforHydrometeorologyandEnvironmentalMonitoring(RosHydroMet)indicatesthat
almostthroughouttheentireterritoryofthepermafrostzoneoftheRussianFederationin
2023,positivetrendsintheALTthicknessremained,closeinvaluetothetrendsseeninthe
1976-2022period,whichindicatesthepersistenceofastabletrendofincreasingtheALT.16The
mostrapidthawingofpermafrostisintheEuropeannorth,thePolarUrals,andthewestern
regionsofWesternSiberia.Relativelymoderateandweakratesofpermafrostthawingare
observedinthecoastalregionsofCentralandNorth-EastSiberia(Figure9).
ThetrendofincreasingALTintheRussianFederationpermafrostzoneisdue,firstofall,tothecontinuingincreaseinairtemperaturesinthehighlatitudesoftheArctic.Intermsofairtemperature,2023wasthesixthwarmestyearintheArcticsince1900.IPCCAR6estimatesthatthawingterrestrialpermafrostwillleadtocarbonrelease(highconfidence),thoughthereislowconfidenceinthetimingandmagnitude.Furthermore,thereportpointsoutthatpermafrostthawing,aswellasglaciermeltandsnowdecline,arealreadyimpactingpopulationsaswellasirrigation,hydropower,watersupply,culturalandotherdomainsdependingonice,snowandpermafrost.
Figure9.Long-termtrendofthethicknessoftheuppermostlayerofseasonallythawingsoil(ALTincmper10years)fortheperiod1976-2023.Permafrostisclassifiedbycoverageincontinuous(90%ofthelandscape),discontinuous(50-90%),andsporadic
(10-50%)zonesandisolatedpatches(10%),dependingontheareacontinuity.
Source:Measurementsfromobservationsites(sitecodesareindicatednexttocirclesonthemap),RussianFederalServicefor
Hydrometeorology(Roshydromet)withintheCircumpolarActiveLayerMonitoringProgram.SeeAnisimov,0.A.;Lavrov,S.A.;
Zhirkov,A.F.etal.PermafrostDataAssimilationandReanalysis:ComputationalSetupandModelValidationforNorthernEuropeanRussiaandEasternSiberia.BussianMeteorologyandHydrology2020,45,269-275.
/10
.3103/S106837392004007X.
SeealsoAnisimov,0.A.PotentialFeedbackofThawingPermafrosttotheGlobalClimateSystemthroughMethaneEmission.
EnvironmentalResearchLetters2007,2,91-98.
/10.1088/1748-9326/2/4/045016
.
8
SNOWCOVER
Snowcoverplaysanimportantroleinthefeedbackmechanismsintheclimatesystem(suchasalbedo,run-off,soilmoistureandvegetation).Hence,itisacrucialvariableformonitoringclimatechange.Inthepast27years,thenorthernhemisphere'sspring(MarchtoMay)snowcoverextent(SCE)''overAsiaexhibitedadecreasingtrendof250000km²perdecade,withnegativeanomalieswithrespecttothe1998-2020long-termaveragedominatingsincethemid-2000s.Inthespringof2023,theSCEinAsiawasabout14.57millionkm²,slightlylessthanthe1998-2020average.Spatially,lower-than-averagesnowextentappearedespeciallyinthenorthernpartofCentralAsiaandNorth-EasternEastAsia.Onthecontrary,positiveSCEanomaliesdominatedfromnorthernEastAsiatocentralNorthAsia(Figure10).IntheHMAregion,SCEwasabovenormalinitswestern,mid-easternregion,andalongthesouthernedge.However,thesouth-eastareaofHMAwasdominatedbynegativeanomalies.
20°E
40°E
NodataWaterIceNosnow-120-60-30-553060120km²
Figure10.Anomaliesofmeansnowcoverextentinthespringof2023(fromMarchtoMay),relativetothe1998-2020average.
Toderivethemonthlysnowcoverextentanomaliesforeachgrid,thenumberofmonthlysnowcoverdayswasdividedbythe
totalnumberofdaysinthatmonthandthenmultipliedbytheareaofthegrid.TheredlinedelimitsthegeographicalareaofWM0RegionalAssociationll(Asia).TheblacklinedelimitstheHighMountainAsiaregion.
Source:InteractiveMultisensorSnowandIceMappingSystemanddatain25kmspatialresolutionfromtheNationalSnowandIce
DataCenter
9
Latitude
edaced/C。
SST(℃)
SST(℃)
thisareaalsohasamajor
SEA-SURFACETEMPERATURE
Sea-surfacetemperature(SST)playsacriticalroleinthecouplingbetweentheoceanandatmosphere,asvariationsinSSTalterthetransferofenergy,momentumandgasesbetweenthesetwocomponentsoftheEarthsystem.18
TheoceanareaofWMORegionalAssociation(RA)ll(Asia)showsanoverallsurfaceoceanwarmingtrendsince1982,atratesofmorethan0.5℃perdecadeintheareasoftheKuroshiocurrentsystem,theArabianSea,theSouthernBarentsSea,theSouthernKaraSea,andthe
South-EasternLaptevSea;thesurfaceoceanwarmingrate
warmingtrendhereismorethanthreetimesfasterthantheglobalof0.16℃0.01℃perdecade.In2023,thearea-averagedSSTanom-
alieswerethewarmestonre-
(a)
Long
温馨提示
- 1. 本站所有资源如无特殊说明,都需要本地电脑安装OFFICE2007和PDF阅读器。图纸软件为CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.压缩文件请下载最新的WinRAR软件解压。
- 2. 本站的文档不包含任何第三方提供的附件图纸等,如果需要附件,请联系上传者。文件的所有权益归上传用户所有。
- 3. 本站RAR压缩包中若带图纸,网页内容里面会有图纸预览,若没有图纸预览就没有图纸。
- 4. 未经权益所有人同意不得将文件中的内容挪作商业或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文库网仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对用户上传分享的文档内容本身不做任何修改或编辑,并不能对任何下载内容负责。
- 6. 下载文件中如有侵权或不适当内容,请与我们联系,我们立即纠正。
- 7. 本站不保证下载资源的准确性、安全性和完整性, 同时也不承担用户因使用这些下载资源对自己和他人造成任何形式的伤害或损失。
最新文档
- 福建省泉州市晋江区安海片区达标名校2026届初三下学期期中语文试题模拟试题含解析
- 集体团结协作水平提升承诺书8篇范文
- 2026年社区政务服务智能化应用实践探索
- 大众传播学复习资料
- 仿古墙施工方案(3篇)
- 场内回填施工方案(3篇)
- 装修施工方案全套(3篇)
- 推广剧院活动策划方案(3篇)
- 客栈跨年活动方案策划(3篇)
- 汉服道观活动策划方案(3篇)
- 热源水泵应急预案
- 投资银行并购业务课件
- 2025NCCN临床实践指南之胸腺瘤和胸腺癌(2026.v1)
- 油品泄漏应急处置措施
- 建筑工地洗车槽施工方案
- 监理公司工作总结汇报
- 砖渣填土路面施工方案
- 2024译林版七年级英语下册Unit 1 Home 单元知识点讲义
- DB61∕T 1803-2023 水工隧洞软弱围岩变形控制技术规范
- 静脉治疗活动方案
- 大型篷布厂房施工方案
评论
0/150
提交评论