【《“一带一路”沿线各国物流发展水平分析计算》5300字】

“一带一路”沿线各国物流发展水平分析计算目录TOC\o"1-3"\h\u29579“一带一路”沿线各国物流发展水平分析 129076一、数据的收集和处理 16302二、指标权重的确定 37809三、基于TOPSIS法的物流发展指数的测算 616515四、物流综合能力数据分析 12一、数据的收集和处理针对“一带一路”沿线65个国家按表2-2-1中的10个指标采集数据。本节所用数据主要来源于国家统计局、世界银行、世界贸易组织、国际民航组织和等网站。其中数值单位依次为：十亿美元、百分比、十亿美元、十亿美元、百万吨公里、个、千次、万吨、个、十万人，如表2-3-1所示。表2-3-1“一带一路”沿线国家物流发展评价指标体系表ABCDEFGHIJ阿尔巴尼亚1565141131420阿富汗20511830424205235阿联酋4337831524115963124564984354阿曼826132235101774513223阿塞拜疆466416944220353777埃及2495324534381410410183391爱沙尼亚307914151327141911巴基斯坦30754224921844967151313巴勒斯坦1350211113130巴林3968141442165742414白俄罗斯575824262232306568保加利亚646832361811446843波黑20615911112827波兰54969221222271612492126282不丹36211125623东帝汶34811115563俄罗斯15765833721368113288566112181088菲律宾33265639383611292158247570格鲁吉亚177648157132325哈萨克斯坦1846949315010837196141黑山56413117655吉尔吉斯斯坦863241316103020柬埔寨245910141414101741捷克24574157147254514812881卡塔尔188735627126672198199621科威特14562542939234631722克罗地亚606115251327466931拉脱维亚347412154354474216老挝1854362110114113黎巴嫩57534185722621847立陶宛52752630522526121罗马尼亚23969657835565145129马尔代夫5511283271592马来西亚34775188163140412477263114243马其顿127141127101015蒙古13566483812447孟加拉2865536426461013016285缅甸72541015511644564143摩尔多瓦115811131412725尼泊尔29541115472154757塞尔维亚4863151918228212648沙特阿拉伯77060231137108512254214214208斯里兰卡93581121436334251871斯洛伐克107658178142233544斯洛文尼亚55653029121835315塔吉克斯坦75813224102617泰国49067228190266619476276101324土耳其7146515719759491577353198468土库曼斯坦43477517118232810文莱1564631291111014乌克兰12652374475176792187232乌兹别克斯坦43511111892222953152新加坡3478937332751955209197947匈牙利15667999315184754178叙利亚7751262210119055亚美尼亚13692313651119也门2954153217105767伊拉克231505736164213910281伊朗43051927029115229228319676以色列366726167995654604767印度26905430342727042012004853463743印度尼西亚100564169150113229959550673655约旦4265818176736401751越南24153214211481428414045497中国1345758215717312525656469228905077307合计2748440246183557386978441131488860622919378二、指标权重的确定针对表2-3-1的数据，应用式（2-4）进行归一化处理，得到归一化矩阵，如表2-3-2所示。表2-3-2归一化矩阵ABCDEFGHIJ阿尔巴尼亚0.000550.016150.000160.000720.000010.002270.000230.000110.000640.00103阿富汗0.000730.012670.000160.001440.000340.009070.001830.002260.008350.00181阿联酋0.015750.019380.050950.043240.183530.027210.034680.056210.006900.00279阿曼0.002980.015160.005180.004130.005860.002270.005860.005080.021190.00119阿塞拜疆0.001670.015900.002590.001610.000510.004540.001520.003950.005940.00397埃及0.009060.013170.003880.009510.005040.031750.007910.011400.013320.02018爱沙尼亚0.001090.019630.002260.002690.000010.006800.002050.001580.003050.00057巴基斯坦0.011170.013420.003560.008790.002510.009070.003730.007560.024240.01615巴勒斯坦0.000470.012430.000320.000180.000010.002270.000080.000340.000160.00155巴林0.001420.016900.002260.002510.004840.013610.004340.004740.000640.00072白俄罗斯0.002070.014410.003880.004670.000020.004540.002430.003390.010440.00351保加利亚0.002330.016900.005180.006460.000010.018140.000840.004970.010920.00222波黑0.000730.015160.000810.001610.000010.002270.000080.000110.004500.00139波兰0.019980.017150.035740.039830.003120.013610.009430.010380.020230.01455不丹0.000110.015410.000160.000180.000010.004540.000380.000680.000320.00015东帝汶0.000110.011930.000160.000180.000010.002270.000380.000560.000960.00015俄罗斯0.057340.014410.054500.038220.078310.072560.067310.074600.195540.05615菲律宾0.012080.016150.010190.016690.009610.024940.022210.017830.039650.02941格鲁吉亚0.000620.018890.000650.001440.000010.011340.000530.001470.003690.00129哈萨克斯坦0.006690.017150.007920.005560.000570.022680.006310.008010.015410.00728黑山0.000180.015900.000160.000540.000010.002270.000530.000680.000800.00026吉尔吉斯斯坦0.000290.015660.000320.000720.000010.006800.001220.001130.004820.00103柬埔寨0.000870.014660.001620.002510.000010.009070.001060.001130.002730.00212捷克0.008910.018390.025390.026380.000290.009070.003880.005420.020550.00418卡塔尔0.006840.018140.009060.004840.145630.004540.015060.022460.000960.00108科威特0.005280.015410.008730.005200.004510.006800.003500.003500.001120.00114克罗地亚0.002180.015160.002430.004490.000010.006800.002050.005190.011080.00160拉脱维亚0.001240.018390.001940.002690.000050.006800.004110.005300.006740.00083老挝0.000650.013420.000490.001080.000020.002270.000760.001240.006580.00067黎巴嫩0.002070.013170.000650.003230.000660.004540.001980.002370.001280.00243立陶宛0.001890.018640.004210.005380.000060.004540.000150.005870.009790.00108罗马尼亚0.008700.017150.010510.014000.000030.011340.004260.005760.007220.00666马尔代夫0.000180.012670.000160.000360.000090.006800.002050.001690.001440.00010马来西亚0.012630.018640.030410.029250.016140.027210.036280.029680.018300.01254马其顿0.000440.017640.000650.000180.000010.004540.000530.001130.001610.00077蒙古0.000470.013920.000970.000720.000090.006800.000610.001350.007060.00036孟加拉0.010410.013670.005820.007540.000740.013610.007680.003390.002570.01471缅甸0.002620.013420.001620.002690.000060.024940.004870.005080.010270.00738摩尔多瓦0.000400.014410.000160.000180.000010.006800.001060.001350.001120.00129尼泊尔0.001060.013420.000160.001970.000060.009070.005480.001690.007550.00294塞尔维亚0.001750.015660.002430.003410.000210.004540.002130.002370.004170.00248沙特阿拉伯0.028020.014910.037360.024580.012470.027210.019320.024150.034360.01073斯里兰卡0.003380.014410.001780.003770.005010.006800.002590.002820.002890.00366斯洛伐克0.003890.016150.013100.014000.000010.009070.000150.002600.005620.00227斯洛文尼亚0.002000.016150.004850.005200.000010.004540.001370.003950.000480.00077塔吉克斯坦0.000250.014410.000160.000540.000020.004540.000300.001130.004170.00088泰国0.017830.016650.036880.034090.030650.043080.036200.031150.016210.01672土耳其0.025980.016150.025390.035350.068400.034010.058790.059930.015730.02415土库曼斯坦0.001560.011680.001130.000900.000200.002270.001370.002600.004500.00052文莱0.000550.015900.000970.000540.001480.002270.000840.001130.000160.00021乌克兰0.004580.012920.005980.007900.000860.038550.005100.010380.030020.01197乌兹别克斯坦0.001560.012670.001780.001970.001020.004540.001670.003270.008510.00784新加坡0.012630.022120.060330.058680.059730.011340.015900.022230.001440.00243匈牙利0.005680.016650.016010.016690.000010.011340.013990.008470.006580.00403叙利亚0.002800.012670.000320.001080.000020.004540.000760.001240.014450.00284亚美尼亚0.000470.017150.000320.000540.000010.006800.000460.000560.001770.00098也门0.001060.013420.000160.000900.000030.004540.001290.001130.009150.00346伊拉克0.008400.012430.009220.006460.000180.009070.001600.004400.016380.00418伊朗0.015650.012670.014880.012560.003350.034010.017420.025730.051210.03488以色列0.013320.017890.009870.012020.011440.013610.004110.006770.007550.00346印度0.097880.013420.049010.076620.031090.045350.091270.054740.055550.19316印度尼西亚0.036570.015900.027330.026920.013010.065760.072940.062080.108040.03380约旦0.001530.016150.001290.003230.002020.015870.002740.004510.002730.00263越南0.008770.013170.034610.037860.005530.009070.021600.015800.007220.02565中国0.489630.014410.348860.310600.290370.126980.356860.326190.081390.37708并按式（2-5）计算各个指标的信息熵值，并按式（2-6）可最终计算出各指标权重，如表2-3-3所示。表2-3-3各指标信息熵值ABCDEFGHIJ信息熵0.5590.9980.6680.7070.5450.8710.6380.6880.7840.595权重0.1500.0010.1130.1000.1540.0440.1230.1060.0730.137从表3-3-3可知，指标权重最大的是货运周转量和国民生产总值，表明一个国家的物流发展水平主要依赖于货运总量以及整体的国民经济发展水平。其次，该国运力在全球各地的活跃频率和该国中高收入人群基数也与物流的发展息息相关。经济自由度指数反映的是政府对经济的干预水平，该指标权重最低，表明“一带一路”沿线各国经济的治理政策对物流的影响程度较小。三、基于TOPSIS法的物流发展指数的测算将得到的指标权重与归一化矩阵相乘得到指标加权评价矩阵，如表2-3-4所示。表2-3-4指标加权评价矩阵ABCDEFGHIJ阿尔巴尼亚0.000080.000010.000020.000070.000000.000100.000030.000010.000050.00014阿富汗0.000110.000010.000020.000140.000050.000400.000220.000240.000610.00025阿联酋0.002360.000020.005730.004310.028320.001190.004260.005950.000510.00038阿曼0.000450.000010.000580.000410.000900.000100.000720.000540.001550.00016阿塞拜疆0.000250.000010.000290.000160.000080.000200.000190.000420.000440.00055埃及0.001360.000010.000440.000950.000780.001390.000970.001210.000980.00277爱沙尼亚0.000160.000020.000250.000270.000000.000300.000250.000170.000220.00008巴基斯坦0.001670.000010.000400.000880.000390.000400.000460.000800.001780.00222巴勒斯坦0.000070.000010.000040.000020.000000.000100.000010.000040.000010.00021巴林0.000210.000010.000250.000250.000750.000600.000530.000500.000050.00010白俄罗斯0.000310.000010.000440.000460.000000.000200.000300.000360.000760.00048保加利亚0.000350.000010.000580.000640.000000.000800.000100.000530.000800.00030波黑0.000110.000010.000090.000160.000000.000100.000010.000010.000330.00019波兰0.002990.000010.004020.003970.000480.000600.001160.001100.001480.00200不丹0.000020.000010.000020.000020.000000.000200.000050.000070.000020.00002东帝汶0.000020.000010.000020.000020.000000.000100.000050.000060.000070.00002俄罗斯0.008580.000010.006130.003810.012080.003180.008280.007890.014330.00771菲律宾0.001810.000010.001150.001660.001480.001090.002730.001890.002910.00404格鲁吉亚0.000090.000020.000070.000140.000000.000500.000070.000160.000270.00018哈萨克斯坦0.001000.000010.000890.000550.000090.000990.000780.000850.001130.00100黑山0.000030.000010.000020.000050.000000.000100.000070.000070.000060.00004吉尔吉斯斯坦0.000040.000010.000040.000070.000000.000300.000150.000120.000350.00014柬埔寨0.000130.000010.000180.000250.000000.000400.000130.000120.000200.00029捷克0.001330.000010.002860.002630.000040.000400.000480.000570.001510.00057卡塔尔0.001020.000010.001020.000480.022470.000200.001850.002380.000070.00015科威特0.000790.000010.000980.000520.000700.000300.000430.000370.000080.00016克罗地亚0.000330.000010.000270.000450.000000.000300.000250.000550.000810.00022拉脱维亚0.000190.000010.000220.000270.000010.000300.000510.000560.000490.00011老挝0.000100.000010.000050.000110.000000.000100.000090.000130.000480.00009黎巴嫩0.000310.000010.000070.000320.000100.000200.000240.000250.000090.00033立陶宛0.000280.000020.000470.000540.000010.000200.000020.000620.000720.00015罗马尼亚0.001300.000010.001180.001390.000010.000500.000520.000610.000530.00091马尔代夫0.000030.000010.000020.000040.000010.000300.000250.000180.000110.00001马来西亚0.001890.000020.003420.002910.002490.001190.004460.003140.001340.00172马其顿0.000070.000010.000070.000020.000000.000200.000070.000120.000120.00011蒙古0.000070.000010.000110.000070.000010.000300.000070.000140.000520.00005孟加拉0.001560.000010.000660.000750.000110.000600.000940.000360.000190.00202缅甸0.000390.000010.000180.000270.000010.001090.000600.000540.000750.00101摩尔多瓦0.000060.000010.000020.000020.000000.000300.000130.000140.000080.00018尼泊尔0.000160.000010.000020.000200.000010.000400.000670.000180.000550.00040塞尔维亚0.000260.000010.000270.000340.000030.000200.000260.000250.000310.00034沙特阿拉伯0.004190.000010.004200.002450.001920.001190.002380.002550.002520.00147斯里兰卡0.000510.000010.000200.000380.000770.000300.000320.000300.000210.00050斯洛伐克0.000580.000010.001470.001390.000000.000400.000020.000270.000410.00031斯洛文尼亚0.000300.000010.000550.000520.000000.000200.000170.000420.000040.00011塔吉克斯坦0.000040.000010.000020.000050.000000.000200.000040.000120.000310.00012泰国0.002670.000010.004150.003400.004730.001890.004450.003290.001190.00230土耳其0.003890.000010.002860.003520.010550.001490.007230.006340.001150.00332土库曼斯坦0.000230.000010.000130.000090.000030.000100.000170.000270.000330.00007文莱0.000080.000010.000110.000050.000230.000100.000100.000120.000010.00003乌克兰0.000690.000010.000670.000790.000130.001690.000630.001100.002200.00164乌兹别克斯坦0.000230.000010.000200.000200.000160.000200.000210.000350.000620.00108新加坡0.001890.000020.006790.005840.009220.000500.001950.002350.000110.00033匈牙利0.000850.000010.001800.001660.000000.000500.001720.000900.000480.00055叙利亚0.000420.000010.000040.000110.000000.000200.000090.000130.001060.00039亚美尼亚0.000070.000010.000040.000050.000000.000300.000060.000060.000130.00013也门0.000160.000010.000020.000090.000010.000200.000160.000120.000670.00047伊拉克0.001260.000010.001040.000640.000030.000400.000200.000470.001200.00057伊朗0.002340.000010.001670.001250.000520.001490.002140.002720.003750.00479以色列0.001990.000010.001110.001200.001760.000600.000510.000720.000550.00047印度0.014640.000010.005510.007630.004800.001990.011220.005790.004070.02653印度尼西亚0.005470.000010.003080.002680.002010.002880.008970.006570.007920.00464约旦0.000230.000010.000150.000320.000310.000700.000340.000480.000200.00036越南0.001310.000010.003890.003770.000850.000400.002660.001670.000530.00352中国0.073260.000010.039250.030930.044800.005570.043880.034500.005960.05178矩阵各列中的最大值与最小值分别组成正、负理想解集合，如表2-3-5所示。表2-3-5正、负理想解集合ABCDEFGHIJvj+0.073260.000020.039250.030930.044800.005570.043880.034500.014330.05178vj-0.000020.000010.000020.000020.000000.000100.000010.000010.000010.00001根据式（2-8）可以计算出正负欧式距离，如表2-3-6所示。表2-3-6正负欧式距离国家正欧式距离（L+）负欧式距离（L-）国家正欧式距离（L+）负欧式距离（L-）阿尔巴尼亚0.660770.17371马来西亚0.653400.38141阿富汗0.660450.23978马其顿0.660730.18604阿联酋0.644510.49665蒙古0.660660.22500阿曼0.659350.29293孟加拉0.658150.31158阿塞拜疆0.660120.24636缅甸0.659610.28380埃及0.657340.33142摩尔多瓦0.660690.20050爱沙尼亚0.660460.22356尼泊尔0.660220.25253巴基斯坦0.657820.32375塞尔维亚0.660220.23673巴勒斯坦0.660760.18348沙特阿拉伯0.652930.38204巴林0.659960.26110斯里兰卡0.659710.26145白俄罗斯0.659960.26089斯洛伐克0.659450.29348保加利亚0.659910.27279斯洛文尼亚0.660190.24619波黑0.660660.20997塔吉克斯坦0.660740.20349波兰0.654750.37110泰国0.651340.39737不丹0.660850.16509土耳其0.646410.43682东帝汶0.660850.15335土库曼斯坦0.660490.21983俄罗斯0.637060.48188文莱0.660650.19651菲律宾0.654740.36825乌克兰0.658460.32469格鲁吉亚0.660610.22268乌兹别克斯坦0.659890.26641哈萨克斯坦0.658710.30212新加坡0.651180.42166黑山0.660820.15969匈牙利0.658190.31913吉尔吉斯斯坦0.660660.21462叙利亚0.660260.26050柬埔寨0.660470.22420亚美尼亚0.660730.19436捷克0.657720.33854也门0.660420.24291卡塔尔0.651620.46910伊拉克0.659030.29520科威特0.659380.27668伊朗0.654260.37864克罗地亚0.660070.26005以色列0.657680.31952拉脱维亚0.660210.25018印度0.626830.51071老挝0.660650.21994印度尼西亚0.646740.43888黎巴嫩0.660270.23040约旦0.660070.25326立陶宛0.660120.26058越南0.654480.37427罗马尼亚0.658530.30407中国0.384140.66018马尔代夫0.660710.20576最终根据公式（2-9）可算出各个国家的物流综合能力，见表2-3-7。表2-3-7各国家物流综合发展指数国家物流发展指数国家物流发展指数国家物流发展指数中国0.632罗马尼亚0.316塞尔维亚0.264印度0.449哈萨克斯坦0.314黎巴嫩0.259阿联酋0.435伊拉克0.309蒙古0.254俄罗斯0.431斯洛伐克0.308柬埔寨0.253卡塔尔0.419阿曼0.308爱沙尼亚0.253印度尼西亚0.404缅甸0.301格鲁吉亚0.252土耳其0.403科威特0.296老