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Basic vs Applied Psychology perspectives lead to different implications from the same data reevaluating the impact of prior expectations on polygraph outcomes Ginton Avital AV GN Polygraph Applications not really enough to play any signifi cant role against the use of CQT poly graph testing Although the analysis was done on polygraph tests its relevancy goes far beyond suggesting that when it comes to applied psychology or other applied behavioral sciences it is recommended to assess the impact of any empirical fi ndings on real life situations by using an applied perspective rather than being satisfi ed with the basic science approach 1 Introduction 1 1 Preface The difference between basic and applied psychology has been addressed throughout the history of modern psychology in many ways Usually it is claimed that the pure or basic psychology deals with exposing and describing psychological facts and developing laws and theories while the applied psychologydeals with the application of those facts and theories in concrete practical situations e g Foley 1938 Drenth 2008 However the difference goes beyond the issue of appli cability to include for instance differences in the ways data are inter preted by the researchers and practitioners Differentiating between these two approaches is critical to avoid misunderstanding and possible harm to psychology as a whole and its applied branches in particular The following is an example of such a case in the fi eld of psychophysiological detection of deception 1 2 The case of polygraph The use of the polygraph as a means for detecting deception or more precisely to fi nd out whether a person is telling the truth or lying about certain facts or information has been a controversial issue for many decades The controversy is taken place in three different arenas The practice arena in which different schools of practitioners are wrestling to win the best practice cup e g Matte 1996 pp 322 465 Krapohl 2006 2007 Matte 2007a b Gordon 2007 Amsel 1999 Matte Elaad 2015 Ginton 2015 Ogawa Masuneoka Palmatier Patnaik Vrij 2015 and the third one perhaps the most popular E mail address ginton il Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Social Sciences Received in revised form 22 October 2019 Accepted 1 November 2019 Available online 21 November 2019 2590 2911 2019 AV GN Polygraph Applications Ben Shakhar 2002 Krapohl Raskin Amer ican Polygraph Association 2011 The British Psychological Society 2004 There is room for all three of them but it seems that when applied science is concerned the third arena is the most meaningful one Most of the controversy has been focused on the Comparison Question Test CQT previously known as the Control Question Test e g Vrij 2008 For the sake of those who are not familiar with this test the following is a concise description of its basic structure and procedure 1 3 The Comparison Question Test CQT Briefl y the CQT is administered in the following stages First the examiner gets acquainted with the case and a draft of the target ques tions is prepared Then the examiner conducts an extensive non interrogative pre test interview with the examinee regarding the rele vant issue in which the interviewee is given the opportunity to present his or her version The examiner also leads the conversation to cover a wider spectrum of attitudes and previous possible misconducts of the examinee in order to lay the foundation for proper Comparison Ques tions The series of questions to be asked later in the actual examination phase of the polygraph test is fi nalized during this interaction The examiner discusses the formulation of the questions with the examinee and ensures that he or she understands them and can give a direct yes or no answer to each question The next stage is to attach the examinee to the polygraph and the actual examination stage starts by asking the prepared series of questions while continuously monitoring the physio logical reactions The questions are mainly of the following three types a Relevant questions dealing directly with the issue crime under investigation such as the Did you do it type e g Did you steal the missing Smart phone from your boss s offi ce last week b Comparison questions focusing on probable past misconducts of the examinee usually but not necessarily similar to the issue under investigation The dynamic of developing and phrasing the comparison questions are designed to elicit a probable lie verbal response from the examinee or at least to cast doubt in his mind about the truthfulness of his chosen answer An example of a comparison question can be Other than what you have told me have you ever stolen anything to which the examinee has been maneuvered to respond with a NO answer e g Krapohl National Research Council 2003 Raskin c Irrelevant questions focusing on completely neutral issues e g Is today Tuesday which are intended to absorb the initial orienting response evoked by the fi rst question and to enable rest periods between the more loaded questions Typically the whole series of questions is repeated three to fi ve times in different orders with intermittent short breaks between the repetitions The decision about deception is derived from comparing the physi ological reactions to the Relevant and the Comparison questions For reasons which are beyond the scope of this article it is expected by the CQT proponents that deceptive guilty examinee will respond to the Relevant questions with more prominent reactions relative to the Com parison ones whereas the opposite i e more pronounced reactions to the Comparison questions characterizes a truthful innocent exam inee In case the difference between the strength of reactions to questions of the two categories is not clear or does not reach a minimal present degree the examination is deemed Inconclusive The controversy around the CQT covers several issues one of them is known as the contamination argument In a critical review of the CQT Ben Shakhar 2002 described the essence of this argument as follows The CQT contains an element of contamination In other words it is possible that the conclusions made by a CQT examiner are based on in formation that was in his hands before conducting the examination rather than the physiological measurements recorded by the machine Ben Shakhar 2002 p 118 This kind of possible contamination origi nates mainly from two sources First before the examiner starts the actual testing phase he gets background information to make sure that he understands the case Second although there are rules and standards of how the test should be conducted its standardization is not fully rigid and the pre test interview stage contains the fl exibility to allow adapta tion or a kind of a tailor made process to fi t the specifi c characteristics of the examinee and the case While these two elements are considered by the practitioners as a means to improve the accuracy of the CQT one cannot deny that due to their very nature they contain the potential for contaminating the test by creating certain expectancies in the examiner mind which may lead to confi rmation bias Kassin Dror Vrij 2008 The 1998 study was aimed to examine the possibility that prior expectations of the ex aminers could lead to biased outcomes by affecting how the examina tions are preparedand conducted No effect was found in that study Note that the two studies dealt with the event related type of examination and the conclusions cannot be generalized automatically to other kinds of polygraph tests such as pre employment or periodic tests1 For the intra academic debate about the scientifi c nature of the CQT and whether it should be considered an objective scientifi c test at all the fi nding that prior expectations do affect the scoring of the tests Elaad et al 1994 is an important piece of information that challenges the claim about its scientifi c nature However when it comes to applications a more relevant arena is the one in which the academic world has to face real life implications and considerations The present paper is an attempt to function within this arena by introducing a re evaluation of the 1994 s fi ndingsthrough a prism of an applied perspective that takesinto account the actual fi eld usage of CQT The importance of the new analysis can hardly be overestimated in the face of the existing common practice to lean on the fi ndings of the 1994 study as one of the main reasons for disqualifying CQT polygraph testing in the fi eld e g Ben Shakhar 2002 In order to lay the foundations for this new analysis a brief descrip tion of the original experiments is presented below 1 Event related or specifi c issue examination deals with a particular event that presumably took place e g specifi c theft sabotage rape arson ect whereas pre employment or periodic examinations are screening tests that are aimed to fi nd out whether the examinee has been involved in unknown criminal or misbehavior activity A GintonSocial Sciences six of them indicated deception outcomes and the other six truthful outcomes In the fi rst experiment the 14 records were arbitrarily divided into two sets of seven records each The two sets were given consecutively to the examiners for blind scoring at their own pace To manipulate the examiners expectations each batch of records was accompanied by different outcome information In the Guilt expectation condition the examiners were told that the examinee ultimately confessed of being responsible for the crime and in the Innocent expectation condition they were told that another person had confessed to that crime Five examiners scored one set under the Guilt expectation condition while the other fi ve scored the same records under the innocent expectation con dition and the opposite was done with the other set The order of the two conditions was counterbalanced across examiners Each record was scored ten times fi ve times under the Guilt expectation condition and fi ve times under the Innocent expectation condition A within examiner standardization of the fi nal scores was used for statistical analysis Ben Shakhar 1985 The results were sta tistically signifi cant and refl ected quite a strong effect as it managed to reach the statistical signifi cance with relatively small sample size 3 Unlike the results of Experiment 1 in which all records were objec tively inconclusive no effect was found in experiment 2 that used only conclusive records Thus it seems that when the specifi c physiological information clearly contradicts prior expectations examiners tend to stick to the physiological information and ignore their prior expectations in making their judgments 2 Data analysis from an applied perspective From an academic point of view these fi ndings are very signifi cant and it is clear why they have been cited in so many instances to support claims against the use of CQT e g Ben Shakhar 2002 Vrij 2008 However to judge the actual danger of the phenomenon that was demonstrated through the study one should proceed in the analysis one step further and look at the data vis a vis the existing practice of CQT usage Table 1 presents the data from Experiment 1 of the original study However the fi nal scores given by the examiners are arranged in three categories rather than a continuous scale which was the basis for the statistical analyses mentioned above The continuous scale by its very nature contains more information and it is much more sensitive to detect differences However it does not refl ect the way the test is used in the fi eld as long as the decision rule in practice is based on cutoff scores separating zones of decisions In the world of practice there are only three discrete categories Deception Indicated DI No Deception Indicated NDI and Inconclusive Keeping this in mind one may question the practical relevance of the fi ndings which was demonstrated in the continuous scale analysis What might be relevant are the effects of the prior expectations on the number or per centage of scores that were maneuvered to cross the cut scores bound aries both ways Remember thatobjectively with no manipulated expectation all the records were Inconclusive as was determined by three other examiners That is to say that the objective scores were within the range of 5 Now takingalook atthedistribution undertheInnocenceexpectation onecan see that a shift towards the NDI category which is the predicted direction had occurred The effect is quite impressive as more than one fi fth of the scores 21 4 have crossed the cutoff score toward the expected zone Whereas under the Guilt expectation the effect was much smaller 4 3 which might indicate that examiners are more infl uenced by innocent as opposed to guilt expectation and that are inclined to give the benefi t of the doubt to NDI decisions Overall it seems that one quarter 21 4 4 3 of the examiners decisions were infl uenced by the manipulated prior expectations to cross the cut points of the incon clusive zone towards the expected conclusive zone This is clearly a considerable effect However here come the results of Experiment 2 and suggest that the actual impact of this contamination on real life is much lower to the point of being almost negligible or at least can be contained quite reasonably as a tolerable fl aw As mentioned above Experiment 2 in the 1994 study Elaad et al 1994 showed that when the records were objectively conclusive no effect of prior expectation was found It is well documented by numerous Table 1 Frequencies of the classifi cations derived from each examiner s scoring under the two experimental conditions in experiment 1 Experimental Conditions Guilt expectationInnocence expectation ExaminerNDIInconclusiveDINDIInconclusiveDI 1061430 2070160 3070250 4151160 5160070 6160160 7070160 8160250 9151250 10160250 Frequencies Across examiners 661315550 Percentage8 6 87 1 4 3 21 4 78 6 0 NDI No Deception Indicated 6 or higher DI Deception Indicated 6 or lower Inconclusive zone 5 The data presented in the table was published originally in Elaad et al 1994 The effect of prior expectations and outcome knowledge on polygraph examiners decisions Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 7 279 292 Permission to use it was granted by John Wiley Nelson 2015 Raskin Multiplying this fi gure by the percentage of inconclusive rate 20 results in 2 56 The difference between 4 28 and 2 56 should be attributed to a general inclination to give the subjects the benefi t of the doubt and not to the specifi c prior expectation That can also be seen under the Guilt expectation in which twice as many cut score crossing occurred against the induced prior expectation than in line with it Of course these are not precise fi gures and one may look for instance for confi dence intervals but it certainly gives a fair estimation of the actual impact In conclusion the fi ndings of the 1994 experiments although they have clearly demonstrated the adverse effect of prior ex pectations on polygraph scoring when the impact on real life practice is estimated from them the size of these effects is limited to about 3 5 of the fi eld tests volume 3 Discussion Several factors might have contributed to the fact that the demon strated effects of prior expectations on scoring the CQT records Elaad et al 1994 though being statistically signifi cant and refl ecting quite a large effect size is rather limited when the actual fi eld implication is concerned The most important factor in limiting the contamination impact onreal life polygraphusage is the existingof an inconclusive zone which functions as a buffer against the infl uence of irrelevant factors on the conclusions drawn from the test outcome The main reason for setting this zone is the need to cope with the adverse effects of random fl uctu ations or irrelevant randomnoise Ginton 2013 but it also weakens the non randomirrelevantfactorssuch as priorexpectations fromplayingan undesirable role in affecting the fi nal call If it were not for this buffer zone the prior expectations effects on real life decisions would have been much more severe Second taking together the results of the two experiments presented in the 1994 study have indicated that the prior expectation effects on scoring the physiological activity charts are confi ned to tests in which the records were not clear enough and deemed Inconclusive Inconclusive tests resulting from either too small differences between the strength of reactions measuredin the Relevant versusthe Comparisonquestions or a lack of consistency in the directions of the differences found over the several repetitions of the questions The percentage of inconclusive tests in CQT is between 10 20 American Polygraph Association 2011 Nelson 2015 Raskin the inconclusive cases which were found to be affected by prior expectations and the conclusive tests that as a group seems to be immune to the kind of prior expectations used in the study That allowed the kind of computation mentioned above which has led to the conclusion that based on the 1994 fi ndings in reality the percentage of polygraph cases that are prone to be affected in any consequential way by the prior expectations effect of the kind presented in the 1994 study is very low and estimated to be about three percents of the total volume From an academic perspective the importance of the 1994 fi ndings for the ongoing debate about the scientifi c nature of the CQT and whether it should be considered an objective test at all still holds even when in practice the volume of the affected cases is estimated to be very low However when it is judged from an applied perspective that entails practical considerations one should ask whether the 3 fi gure although probably represents thousands of people all over the world is important enough to disqualify any CQT polygraph usages It seems that to answer this question we should ask ourselves important for what and fore cast the expected consequences taki

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