贝恩-行业分析方法-分析方法-bainmath004

998 1998 1998 2 1998 3 1998 4 is :B be to ( ), = = 9he is a be $M M $? $1998 5 If is to , . = It x D = B x C D = $135 83270? 1996 1999 $135 $270 83 $? 135MM x ? = 83MM x 270335 of be to G&A 999, 996, 996, 999 (G&A 999 G&A 996) ?= = $1661998 6 A is a to a 00.” In 25 00 5% In C ,000 by to In 5,000 is in A be to in a to - 1 = 1 = 257% 25,000 7,000 % = - 1 he 0 20 1998 7 If an 997 998, % 997 998. is 998 - is of a it is to of is A is a of 1. 2. 3. = a of in a s be as be in a of in s is as in of a of 1998 8 1996 020. to Y e a r 1 9 9 6 = 1 0 0 * % C h a n g e Y e a r 1 9 9 6 = 1 0 0 * % C h a n g 7 . 7 9 5 . 3 2 1996 1 0 0 . 0 0 1 . 9 5 1971 2 9 . 2 3 5 . 1 8 1997 1 0 1 . 9 7 1 . 9 7 1972 3 0 . 4 6 4 . 2 3 1998 1 0 4 . 4 8 2 . 4 6 1973 3 2 . 1 8 5 . 6 4 1999 1 0 7 . 1 0 2 . 5 1 1974 3 5 . 0 7 8 . 9 9 2000 1 0 9 . 8 0 2 . 5 2 1975 3 8 . 3 6 9 . 3 7 2001 1 1 2 . 5 1 2 . 4 7 1976 4 0 . 6 1 5 . 8 6 2002 1 1 5 . 4 1 2 . 5 8 1977 4 3 . 2 3 6 . 4 5 2003 1 1 8 . 5 8 2 . 7 5 1978 4 6 . 3 7 7 . 2 6 2004 1 2 2 . 0 2 2 . 9 0 1979 5 0 . 3 5 8 . 5 8 2005 1 2 5 . 6 5 2 . 9 7 1980 5 5 . 0 0 9 . 2 5 2006 1 2 9 . 3 1 2 . 9 2 1981 6 0 . 1 8 9 . 4 1 2007 1 3 2 . 9 6 2 . 8 2 1982 6 3 . 9 7 6 . 3 0 2008 1 3 6 . 5 7 2 . 7 1 1983 6 6 . 6 8 4 . 2 4 2009 1 4 0 . 2 6 2 . 7 0 1984 6 9 . 2 1 3 . 7 9 2010 1 4 4 . 0 6 2 . 7 1 1985 7 1 . 5 9 3 . 4 3 2011 1 4 7 . 8 9 2 . 6 5 1986 7 3 . 4 6 2 . 6 2 2012 1 5 1 . 9 0 2 . 7 2 1987 7 5 . 7 1 3 . 0 6 2013 1 5 6 . 0 5 2 . 7 3 1988 7 8 . 4 8 3 . 6 5 2014 1 6 0 . 2 9 2 . 7 2 1989 8 1 . 7 9 4 . 2 2 2015 1 6 4 . 7 3 2 . 7 6 1990 8 5 . 3 4 4 . 3 4 2016 1 6 9 . 2 5 2 . 7 5 1991 8 8 . 7 2 3 . 9 7 2017 1 7 3 . 8 3 2 . 7 1 1992 9 1 . 1 6 2 . 7 5 2018 1 7 8 . 5 3 2 . 7 0 1993 9 3 . 5 4 2 . 6 2 2019 1 8 3 . 3 3 2 . 6 9 1994 9 5 . 6 7 2 . 2 8 2020 1 8 8 . 3 1 2 . 7 1 1995 9 8 . 0 8 2 . 5 1 A a of 1998 9 To a in of or it is to ( in if s it is to an to or to to or on s It is to on or If as 1998 10 1) (1970 is at In GEs by an 970. it is to of to $2,000 72 of a 1 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 1998 11 2) of a 1970( 1970 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 1992) f to an 1998 12 1) in $ 1990 991 992 993 994 995 996 ow do we in 1998 13 2) : a we 990 : ( (1990) = 1991) = 1992) = 1993) = 1994) = 1995) = : to : in 1990) 1990: 1991: 1992: 1993: = , X = 994: 1995: 1996: = X = , X = X = , X = X = , X = X = , X = X = , X = X = , X = X $ 1990 991 992 993 994 995 996 1996) = 1998 14 in of of at s be s of a of in to in In to in 1998 15 ) US ) S$ = US 5, 1997 4, 1997 S$2 S$ S$ as 1998 16 : : : S ? = x = ? $ 1 x = $,000 ? $ 1 1 1,000 x x = $ S$ 1 1998 17 0 Y (b X Y a y = b m = = x1 b = y y x 0” y x 1998 18 1 y = b In y = 15x + 400, 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 $2,000 50 100 100,1900) (50,1150) 1900 a 100 y x X m = = 15 b = Y = 400 0) A up a a 100 y), x), 1998 19 2 (1) A a of as of 00 850 900 950 1,000 $2,000 $9,500 $10,000 $10,500 $11,000 is of is of ,500 1998 20 2 (2) 0 8,000 16,000 00 1,000 1,500 1,500, 16,000) (1,000, 11,000) y = b X # of M = = = = 10 b = Y 0 y = b b = b = 2,000 - 10 (100) b = 1,000 1,000 y = 10x + 1,000 ,500 y = 10 (1,500) + 1,000 y = 15,000 + 1,000 y = 16,000 11,00000 1,000 - 100 9,000 900 (100, 2,000) X = 900 Y = 9,000 y x of ,500 16,000 1998 21 1) A “or of is as to a be to is to 0 Y = 10x, = X Y = 0 = = or 100=102 be as 00=2 or 00=2 1998 22 2) a in 0, as by . 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1,000,000,000 100,000,000 10,000,000 1,000,000 100,000 10,000 1,000 100 10 1 0 is on is on on 1998 23 3) of a is in by on 0 00 is to ,000,000 0,000,000 in of is 10 It is to to of in a a is ln or MS he at to he of is he of is n it is to 1998 24 of 1998 25 is on a a he i = p = r = t = of is to on of A 5,000 in a at an %. at of i = i = $5,000 x x i = $50 2 12 1998 26 - is on a A on a or to is by A, at of n A = p (1 + )nt p = r = n = of is