对薄膜太阳电池工场Current-status-and-future-development-of-thin-film-silicon-PV-in-China课件

1、Current status and future development of silicon thin film PV industry in ChinaDr. Yaohua Mai, Dr. Yuelong HuangBaoding Tianwei SolarFilms Co., Ltd.Prof. Xinhua Geng Inst. Of Photoelectronics, Nankai University第1页，共17页。PV industry saw fast expansionAnnual growth ratePast 10 years: 30%Past 5 years: 5

2、0%Much faster growth than IT industryData source: PV News 2007第2页，共17页。Poly-silicon price soared$30/Kg in 2003 $400/Kg in 2008第3页，共17页。Silicon shortage boosts TFPV industry Av. Annual increase of 80% in past 5 years Increased by 110% in 2007 TFPV: 25-30% market share in 2010 a-Si/c-Si tandem modules

3、 gives prospect for high Plans of GWs capacity for Si TF solar modules announcedPlanned capacitiesData source: A. Jger- Waldau, PV Status Report 2007第4页，共17页。Current status of Si TFPV in China第5页，共17页。CompanyCapacity (MW)Remark哈尔滨克罗拉1CoronaTopray Solar20OtherJinneng7.5EPVGoldensun30Sibolu Total: 100

4、 MWFirst mass production started in 1988Si TF PV companies establishedModules: a-Si single junction or a-Si/a-Si tandem Stabilized efficiency: 3 - 6%None of them passed TV or UL certificates第6页，共17页。New ProjectsCompanyCapacity (MW)Remark中山铨欣10SiboluSuntech50AMAT(?)Xinao50AMATTianwei SolarFilms 46Oer

5、likonTotal: More than 200 MW capacity in progress; more than 1.5 GW announced.Modules: a-Si single junction and a-Si/c-Si tandem Stabilized efficiency: 5 8.5%第7页，共17页。Challenges and risksDespite booming capacity,shall not be neglected第8页，共17页。Roadmap for China Si TFPV industryCompanies (e.g. Kaneka)

6、 to achieved higher 10% by 2010Low cost 10% 2012: 12% Lower cost:2010: 20% most ESG importedTCOFew manufacturers in China, but with relatively low qualityNSG and Asahi dominate the marketPVB, EVA and sputtering targets Lack in bargaining and pricing ability due to low capacityHigh material priceLow

7、supply security第12页，共17页。Solutions：Long term contractHindrance: Small production capacity Joint purchase?Materials made in China第13页，共17页。SummaryChina Si TFPV observed fast growth in last yearsCapacity of 200MW will be released in late 2008 and 2009Challenges and risks in core technology and material supply are the bottlenecksTianwei SolarFilms calls on closer cooperation in R&D and material supply第14页，共17页。Thank you for your attention!The authors thank colleagues for their contribution 第15页，共17页。Site: Baoding, HebeiArea: 200,000m2 for 3 phases.65,000 m2 for phase I第16页