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1、CHAPTER 5INTRODUCTION TO VALUATION: THE TIME VALUE OF MONEY (FORMULAS)Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.CHAPTER 5INTRODUCTION TO VALUADetermine the future value of an investment made to
2、dayDetermine the present value of cash to be received at a future dateFind the return on an investmentCalculate how long it takes for an investment to reach a desired valueKey Concepts and SkillsCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the pri
3、or written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Determine the future value of Future Value and CompoundingPresent Value and DiscountingMore about Present and Future ValuesChapter OutlineCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written co
4、nsent of McGraw-Hill Education.Future Value and CompoundingChPresent Value earlier money on a time lineFuture Value later money on a time lineInterest rate “exchange rate” between earlier money and later moneyDiscount rateCost of capitalOpportunity cost of capitalRequired returnBasic DefinitionsCopy
5、right 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Present Value earlier money Suppose you invest $1,000 for one year at 5% per year. What is the future value in one year?Interest = 1,000(.05) = 50Value in
6、one year = principal + interest = 1,000 + 50 = 1,050Future Value (FV) = 1,000(1 + .05) = 1,050Suppose you leave the money in for another year. How much will you have two years from now?FV = 1,000(1.05)(1.05) = 1,000(1.05)2 = 1,102.50Future ValueCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserve
7、d. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Suppose you invest $1,000 for FV = PV(1 + r)tFV = future valuePV = present valuer = period interest rate, expressed as a decimalt = number of periodsFuture value interest factor = (1 + r)tFuture Values: Gen
8、eral FormulaCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.FV = PV(1 + r)tFuture Values: Simple interest vs. Compound interestConsider the previous exampleFV with simple interest = 1,000 + 50 + 50 =
9、 1,100FV with compound interest = 1,102.50The extra 2.50 comes from the interest of .05(50) = 2.50 earned on the first interest payment.Effects of CompoundingCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Edu
10、cation.Simple interest vs. Compound iTexas Instruments BA-II PlusFV = future valuePV = present valueI/Y = period interest rateP/Y must equal 1 for the I/Y to be the period rate.Interest is entered as a percent, not a decimal.N = number of periodsRemember to clear the registers (CLR TVM) after each p
11、roblem.Other calculators are similar in format.Calculator KeysCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Texas Instruments BA-II PlusCaSuppose you invest the $1,000 from the previous example for
12、 5 years. How much would you have?FV = 1,000(1.05)5 = 1,276.28The effect of compounding is small for a small number of periods, but increases as the number of periods increases. (Simple interest would have a future value of $1,250, for a difference of $26.28.)Future Value Example 2Copyright 2019 McG
13、raw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Suppose you invest the $1,000 Suppose you had a relative deposit $10 at 5.5% interest 200 years ago. How much would the investment be worth today?FV = 10(1.055)200 = 447
14、,189.84What is the effect of compounding?Simple interest = 10 + 200(10)(.055) = 120.00Compounding added $447,069.84 to the value of the investment.Future Value Example 3Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGr
15、aw-Hill Education.Suppose you had a relative depSuppose your company expects to increase unit sales of widgets by 15% per year for the next 5 years. If you currently sell 3 million widgets in one year, how many widgets do you expect to sell in 5 years?FV = 3,000,000(1.15)5 = 6,034,072Future Value as
16、 a General Growth FormulaCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Suppose your company expects tWhat is the difference between simple interest and compound interest?Suppose you have $500 to in
17、vest and you believe that you can earn 8% per year over the next 15 years.How much would you have at the end of 15 years using compound interest?How much would you have using simple interest?Quick Quiz Part ICopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution wi
18、thout the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.What is the difference betweenHow much do I have to invest today to have some amount in the future?FV = PV(1 + r)tRearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r)tWhen we talk about discounting, we mean finding the present value of some future amount.
19、When we talk about the “value” of something, we are talking about the present value unless we specifically indicate that we want the future value.Present ValueCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Ed
20、ucation.How much do I have to invest tSuppose you need $10,000 in one year for the down payment on a new car. If you can earn 7% annually, how much do you need to invest today?PV = 10,000 / (1.07)1 = 9,345.79Calculator1 N7 I/Y10,000 FVCPT PV = -9,345.79Present Value Example 1Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hi
21、ll Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Suppose you need $10,000 in onYou want to begin saving for your daughters college education and you estimate that she will need $150,000 in 17 years. If you feel confident tha
22、t you can earn 8% per year, how much do you need to invest today?PV = 150,000 / (1.08)17 = 40,540.34Present Value Example 2Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.You want to begin saving for
23、 yYour parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago that is now worth $19,671.51. If the fund earned 7% per year, how much did your parents invest?PV = 19,671.51 / (1.07)10 = 10,000Present Value Example 3Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution wi
24、thout the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Your parents set up a trust fuFor a given interest rate the longer the time period, the lower the present valueWhat is the present value of $500 to be received in 5 years? 10 years? The discount rate is 10%5 years: PV = 500 / (1.1)5 = 310.4610
25、 years: PV = 500 / (1.1)10 = 192.77Present Value Important Relationship ICopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.For a given interest rate thFor a given time period the higher the interest ra
26、te, the smaller the present valueWhat is the present value of $500 received in 5 years if the interest rate is 10%? 15%?Rate = 10%: PV = 500 / (1.1)5 = 310.46Rate = 15%; PV = 500 / (1.15)5 = 248.59Present Value Important Relationship IICopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No rep
27、roduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.For a given time period the What is the relationship between present value and future value?Suppose you need $15,000 in 3 years. If you can earn 6% annually, how much do you need to invest today?If you could invest
28、the money at 8%, would you have to invest more or less than at 6%? How much?Quick Quiz Part IICopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.What is the relationship betwePV = FV / (1 + r)tThere are
29、 four parts to this equation:PV, FV, r and tIf we know any three, we can solve for the fourth.If you are using a financial calculator, be sure to remember the sign convention or you will receive an error (or a nonsense answer) when solving for r or t.The Basic PV Equation - RefresherCopyright 2019 M
30、cGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.PV = FV / (1 + r)tThe Basic PVOften we will want to know what the implied interest rate is on an investment.Rearrange the basic PV equation and solve for r.FV = PV(1 +
31、 r)tr = (FV / PV)1/t 1If you are using formulas, you will want to make use of both the yx and the 1/x keys.Discount RateCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Often we will want to know whaY
32、ou are looking at an investment that will pay $1,200 in 5 years if you invest $1,000 today. What is the implied rate of interest?r = (1,200 / 1,000)1/5 1 = .03714 = 3.714%Calculator the sign convention matters!N = 5PV = -1,000 (you pay 1,000 today)FV = 1,200 (you receive 1,200 in 5 years)CPT I/Y = 3
33、.714%Discount Rate Example 1Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.You are looking at an investmeSuppose you are offered an investment that will allow you to double your money in 6 years. Yo
34、u have $10,000 to invest. What is the implied rate of interest?r = (20,000 / 10,000)1/6 1 = .122462 = 12.25%Discount Rate Example 2Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Suppose you are offe
35、red an invSuppose you have a 1-year old son and you want to provide $75,000 in 17 years towards his college education. You currently have $5,000 to invest. What interest rate must you earn to have the $75,000 when you need it?r = (75,000 / 5,000)1/17 1 = .172688 = 17.27%Discount Rate Example 3Copyri
36、ght 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Suppose you have a 1-year old What are some situations in which you might want to know the implied interest rate?You are offered the following investments:Yo
37、u can invest $500 today and receive $600 in 5 years. The investment is considered low risk.You can invest the $500 in a bank account paying 4%.What is the implied interest rate for the first choice and which investment should you choose?Quick Quiz Part IIICopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rig
38、hts reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.What are some situations in whStart with the basic equation and solve for t (remember your logs).FV = PV(1 + r)tt = ln(FV / PV) / ln(1 + r)You can use the financial keys on the calculator as well
39、; just remember the sign convention.Finding the Number of PeriodsCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Start with the basic equation You want to purchase a new car, and you are willing to p
40、ay $20,000. If you can invest at 10% per year and you currently have $15,000, how long will it be before you have enough money to pay cash for the car?t = ln(20,000 / 15,000) / ln(1.1) = 3.02 yearsNumber of Periods Example 1Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or
41、 distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.You want to purchase a new carSuppose you want to buy a new house.You currently have $15,000, and you figure you need to have a 10% down payment plus an additional 5% of the loan amount for closing costs. Assume the type of hou
42、se you want will cost about $150,000 and you can earn 7.5% per year. How long will it be before you have enough money for the down payment and closing costs?Number of Periods Example 2Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written
43、consent of McGraw-Hill Education.Suppose you want to buy a new How much do you need to have in the future?Down payment = .1(150,000) = 15,000Closing costs = .05(150,000 15,000) = 6,750Total needed = 15,000 + 6,750 = 21,750Compute the number of periodsUsing the formula:t = ln(21,750 / 15,000) / ln(1.
44、075) = 5.14 yearsUsing a financial calculator:PV = -15,000, FV = 21,750, I/Y = 7.5, CPT N = 5.14 yearsNumber of Periods Example 2 (CTD.)Copyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.How much do you
45、 need to have iWhen might you want to compute the number of periods?Suppose you want to buy some new furniture for your family room. You currently have $500, and the furniture you want costs $600. If you can earn 6%, how long will you have to wait if you dont add any additional money?Quick Quiz Part
46、 IVCopyright 2019 McGraw-Hill Education.All rights reserved. No reproduction or distribution without the prior written consent of McGraw-Hill Education.When might you want to computeUse the following formulas for TVM calculationsFV(rate,nper,pmt,pv)PV(rate,nper,pmt,fv)RATE(nper,pmt,pv,fv)NPER(rate,pmt,pv,fv)The formula icon is very useful when you cant remember the exact formula.Click on the Excel icon to open a spreadsheet containing four different exam
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