4G技术发展现状与机会

1、1,4G技術發展現況與機會,宋庭禎 6 March 2009,2,Agenda,The Mobile Evolution Towards 4G The ITUs Perspective The SDOs Perspective Technology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetings Who lead the Mobile Evolution towards 4G? IEEE 802.16 and WiMAX Forum LTE and LSTI Alliances How to

2、Break Through Taiwan WiMAX Ecosystem,3,What is 4G? ITU-Rs Perspective,A high degree of commonality of functionality worldwide while retaining the flexibility to support a wide rage of services and applications in a. Capability of inter-working with other radio access systems. Capability of services

3、within IMT and with fixed networks. Enhanced peak data rates 100Mbps for high and 1Gbps for low mobility,Source: ITU-R M.1645 (IMT Vision 2003),China,Japan,Korea,UK,Europe,Japan,USA mainly,USA,資料來源： 本研究整理， ITRI/ICL 2009年2月,Standard Development Organizations,4,What is 4G? ITU-Rs Perspective,Vision Re

4、c M.1645,Radio Framework & Core Specifications,Market/ Services view Technology view Spectrum view Name Principles,CPM Text WRC-07 Services & Circular Letter for process,Proposals, Evaluation, & Consensus Building,2002-2003,2005-2007,2006-2008,2008-2010,Setting the Stage for Future Vision, Spectrum,

5、 and Technology Views,Defining the Technology,2000-2003,Proceeding Toward 4G (IMT-ADVANCED),2010-2012,Q229-1/8,Now IM-EVAL and IMT-Tech Document,Source: ITU-R M.1645 (IMT Vision 2003),5,What is 4G? SDOs Perspective,2001-2005,2006,HSDPA Phase I 1.8M/3.6Mbps,HSDPA Phase II 7.2/14.4Mbps HSUPA 2M/5.76Mb

6、ps,LTE (FDD) In 20MHz (Rel. 8) DL PDR: 326Mps UL PDR: 86kps,WCDMA R99/R4 384kbps,3GPP Evolution,2007,2008,2009,HSPA+ DL 40Mbps UL 10Mbps,1xEV-DO Rev. 0 DL: 2.4Mbps UL:153.6kbps,DO Rev. B （ MC DO） DL：46.5Mbps UL: 27Mbps,1xEV-D0 Rev. A DL: 3.1Mbps UL: 1.8Mbps,CDMA 1X 153kbps,2010,2011,IEEE802.16e 70Mb

7、ps,WiMAX Evolution,IEEE802.16d 20Mbps,IMT Advanced Technology,LTE-Advanced (Rel. 9),IEEE802.16m DL:100Mbps UL: 50Mbps,Source: 本計畫整理, 4G研討會 Dec. 2008,3GPP2 Evolution,TD-SCDMA Evolution,R2 Certification,R 1.5 Certification,R1.0/Wave 2 Certification,LTE TDD,LTE-Advanced DL:1Gbps UL:150 Mbps (Rel. 10),6

8、,Technology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetings,Wideband towards Mobility,WiMAX Camp,Mobile Evolution is Towards Convergence,LTE Camp,Mobile towards Wideband,Source: 本計畫整理, MWC March 2009,IMT-Advanced GOALS Flexible spectrum utilization All IP network Broadband

9、 services Low CAPEX and OPEX,Source: MIC, 產銷分享會 2007,7,Samsung LTE Product Roadmap,Source: 本計畫整理, MWC March 2009,LSTI,LTE Rel 9 Standard Development,2009,2010,2011,eNB,Terminal,RAN 2,3,4 Mar. 09,RAN 5 June 09,Release 9 (Dec 09),SAE Stage 3 Mar 09,Release 9 (Dec 09),POC (Jan 08 March 09),IODT (Jan 09

10、 Oct 09),IOT (Nov 09 Mar 10),FCT (Oct 09 June 10),Field Trial System Pre-Standard for LSTI Dec 08 2.6GHz/700MHz 20MHz BW 2x2/4x2 MIMO, SON,Commercial System Commercial HW/SW ready 2.6GHz/700MHz 1.420MHz BW 2x2/4x2 MIMO, SON,HotZone 20MHz BW 2x2/4x4 MIMO, SON,Data Card Prototype,Commercial Handset,從S

11、amsung LTE產品Roadmap來看，2009年將推出Data Card，2010年起推出LTE手機。,8,小結,資料來源：TC Song研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月,From ITU-R Perspectives: IMT-Advanced Spectrum was finalized at WRC07. IMT-Advanced Radio Access Technology is now under-progress with SDOs. Specification Recommendation will be expected by year 2011. From S

12、DOs Perspective: LTE-Advanced and WiMAX 16m (not Rel. 2) will be submitted and evaluated by mid of 2010. From Alliances Perspective: WiMAX Rel. 2 will only be ready for commercial phase after 2012. LTE and LTE-Advanced Industrial Evaluation Group (LSTI) is expected to have Friendly Trial ready by ye

13、ar 2010. LTE-Advanced (Rel. 10) will be released a year later. Operators should rather wait to avoid double investment. From Global Operators Perspectives: Timing of the roll-out and uptake of 4G application and services should follow: Mobile Computing, Mobile (2.0) Services and Mobile CE Devices an

14、d data Business model to be suitable for High throughput at Mobile.,9,Agenda,The Mobile Evolution Towards 4G The Regulatory Development Technology Enablers plan the future in advance at SDO and Industry Alliances meetings Who lead the Mobile Evolution towards 4G? IEEE 802.16 and WiMAX Forum LTE and

15、LSTI Alliances How to Break Through Taiwan WiMAX Ecosystem,10,IEEE 802.16m 技術開發現況,據了解，除了Intel及Samsung將會進行IEEE 802.16m Self Evaluation以外，目前尚未有公司公佈16m Trial的合作，是否大多公司還處於觀望姿態?,資料來源：TC Song研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月,11,WiMAX Forum,WiMAX Forum在2001年由英特爾、諾基亞與Alvarion等創建。全球目前共有530家會員台灣目前有39家會員廠商，包含一個董事會員、以及15個主要

16、會員。 WiMAX Forum目前有17個董事會成員 近年來台灣在推動WiMAX產業的發展不遺餘力，受到全球WiMAX產業的高度肯定。 在MWC 2009 Intel Booth公佈 WiMAX佈建於135 國家，可服務430M人,資料來源：WiMAX Taipei Office, 本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2月,12,3GPP LTE Development,LTE獲NGMN及多家國際電信業者宣布採用後聲勢急漲 電信業者自2009年起將陸續開始透過LSTI測試、甚至商用化佈建。,Resource: ATIS LTE Conference ,本研究整理，ITRI/ICL2009年2

17、月,GSM Association 4 billion connections worldwide 219 countries and territories 750 mobile operators,13,LSTI Alliances,3GPP之組織較完整及嚴謹，目前已由以下公司成立IMT-Advanced Evaluation Group並在LSTI做Field Trial。,Where is Taiwan!,14,全球WiMAX及LTE電信業者分佈圖,North America LTE Verizon Wireless(4Q09) AT&T Mobility (4Q09) T-Mobil

18、e (4Q12) Bell Canada & Telus MetroPCS WiMAX 16e ClearWire (469,000 subs. Sep08) Brazil,Europe LTE Vodafone (German 4Q11, Britain 4Q12) Orange (Britain 4Q11) T-Mobile (German 4Q11) Telecom Italia (4Q10) TeliaSonera (4Q10) WiMAX 16e Russia,Asia LTE 中國移動 (China) 中國電信 (China) NTT DoCoMo (Japan 4Q10) KDD

19、I (Japan 4Q10) Softbank Mobile (Japan 4Q12) SK Telecom (Korea) KTF (Korea) WiMAX 16e UQ Communication (Japan) KT (Korea) M-Taiwan Program (Taiwan) India WiMAX Program (India),註: 畫底線為CDMA運營商，括號內為預計開通LTE服務時間) Source: Digitimes 2009/1整理: ITRI 2009/03,但全球經濟狀況不佳，電信業者能否順利募集大規模佈建LTE資金，現況Business Model是否適合Mobile Broadband發展，仍有相當變數。LTE電信業者已公佈，將延遲佈建進度至少35年,15,國際知名設備及系統整合大廠之動向,IMT-Advanced,Wideband towards Mobility,WiMAX Camp,And other WiMAX Forum Members,Mobile towards Wideband,Source: 本計畫整理, MWC March 2009,LTE