版权说明:本文档由用户提供并上传,收益归属内容提供方,若内容存在侵权,请进行举报或认领
文档简介
1、Translation Theory 姓名:常国强 班级:翻译131 学号:13332014Registerl 语域(Register)是语言使用的场合或领域的总称。英国语言学家韩礼德(M. A. K. Halliday)将语域定义为,语言变体可以按照使用的情况划分为语域。按照词语或话语的正式程度,柯平把语域分为五级:刻板的(frozen)、正式的(formal)、商谈的(consultative)、随便的(causal)和亲昵的(intimate);l 语域的三个社会变量:语场(field),语旨(tenor)和语式(mode)。l Four decisive factors:1. The
2、addresser2. The addressee3. Subject and matter4. Form of communication1. Is a global economic recession likely? If so, what might trigger it? Willem Buiter, Citis chief economist and the Financial Times erstwhile Maverecon blogger, answers these questions: “Yes” and “China”. His case is plausible. T
3、his does not mean we must expect a recession. But people should see such a scenario as plausible.2. Mr Buiter does not expect world output to decline. The notion here is a “growth recession”, a period of growth well below the potential rate of about 3 percent. One might imagine 2 percent or less. Mr
4、 Buiter estimates the likelihood of such an outcome at 40 per cent.3. His scenario would start with China. Like many others, he believes Chinas growth is overstated by official statistics and may be as low as 4 percent. This is plausible, if not universally accepted.4. It might become even worse. Fi
5、rst, an investment share of 46 per cent of gross domestic product would be excessive in an economy growing 7 per cent, let alone one growing at 4 per cent. Second, a huge expansion of debt, often of doubtful quality, has accompanied this excessive investment. Yet merely sustaining investment at thes
6、e levels would require far more borrowing. Finally, central government, alone possessed of a strong balance sheet, might be reluctant to offset a slowdown in investment, while the shares of households in national income and consumption in GDP are too low to do so.5. Suppose, then, that investment sh
7、rank drastically as demand and balance-sheet constraints bit. What might be the effects on the world economy?6. One channel would be a decline in imports of capital goods. Since about a third of global investment (at market prices) occurs inside China, the impact could be large. Japan, South Korea a
8、nd Germany would be adversely affected.7. A more important channel is commodity trade. Commodity prices have fallen, but are still far from low by historical standards (see chart). Even with prices where they are, commodity exporters are suffering. Among them are countries like Australia, Brazil, Ca
9、nada, the Gulf States, Kazakhstan, Russia and Venezuela. Meanwhile, net commodity importers, such as India and most European countries, are gaining.8. Shocks to trade interact with finance. Many adversely affected companies are highly indebted. The resulting financial stresses force cutbacks in borr
10、owing and spending upon them, directly weakening economies. Changes in financial conditions exacerbate such pressures. Among the most important are movements in interest and exchange rates and shifts in the perceived soundness of borrowers, including sovereigns. Changes in capital flows and risk pre
11、mia and shifts in the policies of important central banks exacerbate the stresses. At present, the most important shift would be a decision by the US Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.9. As Warren Buffettsaid: “You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.” According to the B
12、ank of International Settlements, credit to non-bank borrowers outside the US totalled $9.6tn at the end of March. A strong dollar makes any currency mismatches costly. These may start on the balance sheets of non-financial corporations. But the impact will be transmitted via their losses to banks a
13、nd governments. Thus, reversal of “carry trades”, funded by cheap borrowing, might wreak havoc.10. A visible shift is a decline in foreign exchange reserves, driven by deteriorating terms of trade, capital flight and withdrawal of previous capital inflows. This might cause “quantitative tightening”,
14、 as central banks sell holdings of longer-dated safe bonds. This is one of the ways that these shocks might be transmitted to the high-income countries, including even the US. But this also depends on what the holders of the withdrawn funds do with it and on the policies of affected central banks.11
15、. What we might see, then, is a series of real and financial linkages: declining investment and output in China; weaknesses in economies dependent on that countrys purchases or on prices set by its buying; and reversals of carry trades and shifts in exchange rates and risk premia that stress balance
16、 sheets.12. How might policymakers respond? China will surely let its currency fall rather than continue to lose reserves, not least because usable reserves are smaller than headline numbers, which include infrastructure investments in Africa and elsewhere that cannot quickly be sold. The policy spa
17、ce of other emerging economies is greater than in the past, but not unlimited. They will be forced to adjust to these shocks rather than resist them.13. Meanwhile, the policy choices of high-income countries are restricted: politics has almost universally ruled out fiscal expansion; the intervention
18、 rates of central banks are near zero; and, in many high-income economies, private leverage is still quite high. If the slowdown were modest, nothing much might be done. The best response to a big slowdown might be “helicopter money”, created by the central bank to stimulate spending. But its use se
19、ems quite unlikely. The conventional rules.14. In brief, a global growth-recession scenario “made in China” is perfectly plausible. If it were to happen, a decision by the Fed to tighten now would come to look downright foolish. We are not talking about the sort of disaster that accompanies a global
20、 financial crisis. But the world economy will remain vulnerable to adversity until China has completed its transition to a more balanced pattern of growth, and the high-income economies have recovered from their crises. That is still far away.1. 全球经济是否可能会出现衰退?若果真如此,可能引发衰退的因素是什么?花旗(Citi)首席经济学家、曾经为英国金
21、融时报撰写名为“非正统经济学”(Maverecon)的博客的威廉?比特(Willem Buiter)对此的回答是:“有可能”以及“中国”。他的理由有些道理。这并不意味着一定会出现衰退。但人们应该认为这种情况是可能发生的。2. 比特并没有预测全球产出会下滑。他说的是“增长衰退”,是增长率将远远低于潜在水平(约3%)的一段时期。人们可能会设想2%或更低。比特估计,出现这种结果的可能性是40%。3. 他的假设始于中国。与其他很多人一样,他认为,中国的经济增速并没有官方数据显示的那么高,可能只有4%。这是可能的,甚至是被普遍接受的。4. 情况可能变得更糟。首先,投资占国内生产总值(GDP)的比例达46
22、%,这个比例对于一个增速为7%的经济体都太高了,更别说对于一个增速为4%的经济体了。其次,伴随这种过度投资的是债务的大规模扩张,债务质量往往还是有问题的。然而,即便只是为了维持这种投资速度,也需要远远更多的借款。最后,唯一拥有强健资产负债表的中央政府可能不愿出手抵消投资的放缓,而家庭占国民收入、以及消费占GDP的比重过低,无法抵消投资的放缓。5. 接下来,假设投资大规模下滑,同时需求和资产负债表的局限性产生不良影响。这可能会对全球经济产生何种影响?6. 一个影响途径可能是资本品进口下滑。目前约三分之一的全球投资(以市场价格衡量)发生在中国,因此其影响可能是巨大的。日本、韩国和德国将受到不利影响
23、。7. 一个更重要的途径是大宗商品贸易。大宗商品价格已经下跌了不少,但根据历史标准衡量还远不算低(见图表)。即便以现在的价格水平,大宗商品出口国的日子也不好过。其中包括澳大利亚、巴西、加拿大、海湾国家、哈萨克斯坦、俄罗斯和委内瑞拉。与此同时,印度和多数欧洲国家等大宗商品净进口国正在受益。8. 贸易受到的冲击与财务状况相互影响。许多遭受负面影响的公司负债累累。由此导致的财务压力迫使它们减少借款和支出,这直接削弱了经济。资金状况的变化加剧了此类压力。其中最重要的变化是利率和汇率的变动以及对借款者(包括主权国家在内)健康状况看法的转变。资本流动和风险溢价的改变以及重要央行的政策转变加剧了这些压力。就
24、目前而言,最重要的转变可能就是美联储加息的决定。9. 正如沃伦?巴菲特(Warren Buffett)所言:“你只有在退潮时才能发现谁在裸泳。”国际清算银行(Bank of International Settlements)的数据显示,在今年3月底,美国以外地区的非银行借贷者的信贷总额达到9.6万亿美元。美元强势让所有货币错配付出巨大代价。这些可能首先体现在非金融企业的资产负债表上,但影响将会通过它们的损失传递给银行和政府。因此,在由廉价信贷提供资金的“利差交易”发生逆转时,就可能造成巨大破坏。10. 一个明显的转变是,由贸易状况恶化、资本外流以及早先流入资本的回流导致的外汇储备下降。随着各
25、国央行抛售持有的较长期安全债券,这可能导致“量化紧缩”。这是这些冲击可能传导至高收入国家(甚至包括美国)的方式之一。但这也取决于回流资本的持有者如何处置收回的资金以及受影响央行的政策。11. 因此我们可能看到的是,一系列实体经济与金融的联系:中国投资和产出不断下降;依赖中国的购买(或者中国的购买造就的高价)的经济体出现疲弱;以及利差交易逆转,汇率和风险溢价发生变化、令资产负债表承压。12. 政策制定者可能会如何回应?中国肯定会让人民币贬值,而不是继续损失外汇储备维持币值,这主要是因为外汇储备总额中还包括不可能迅速卖掉的非洲和其他地方的基础设施投资,并非全部可用。其他新兴经济体的政策空间比过去要
26、大,但也不是无限的。它们将被迫调整以适应这些冲击,而非抵挡它们。13. 与此同时,高收入国家的政策选择是有限的:出于政治上的原因,财政扩张几乎在所有地方都是不可能的;央行的政策利率接近于零;而且在许多高收入经济体,私人部门的杠杆仍相当高。如果放缓是温和的,也许几乎不会出台任何政策。对严重放缓的最佳回应可能是“直升机撒钱”由央行印钱以刺激支出。但央行似乎不太可能使用这种方式。传统做法占据主导地位。14. 简言之,貌似很有可能出现一场“中国制造”的全球增长低迷。若果真如此,假如美联储决定现在加息,看起来将是愚蠢透顶的。我们说的不是与全球金融危机相伴随的那种灾难。但在中国完成向更平衡的增长模式转型、
27、高收入经济体从危机中复苏之前,世界经济将依然很容易遭受厄运冲击。想高枕无忧还早着呢。Discussion本文的语场是对全球经济的一个分析,语旨是讨论性的,语式是新闻用词,语法结构相对简单易懂,但涉及到一定的专业信息与词汇,要在翻译时多加留意。以下是我发现的几个翻译上的细节:1. 第三段中的“if not”,本意为如果不,否则,相当于“unless”。但在这里如果这么翻译就会与原文意思背道而驰,应取其延伸意,翻为“甚至”。2. 第六段第一句中的“channel”,原意为频道,海峡,通道,这里同样引申为途径,方式方法,更加符合中文的用词习惯。3. 第七段中的“commodity trade”,指商
28、品贸易,这里也取其本意,只是根据原文语场对于世界经济的描述分析,这里的商品贸易一定是国际间的,因此翻译为大宗商品贸易,并且贯穿始终,更加贴合主题。4. 第八段到第十三段大片的经济学术语的翻译问题,首先要保证词汇意义明确,再尽量去了解经济学背后的基本原理和逻辑,在翻译时力求做到详实准确,言简意赅。capital flow and risk premia 资金流动和风险溢价US federal reserve 美联储Bank of International Settlement 国际清算银行Foreign exchange reserves 外汇储备Capital flight 资本外流With
29、drawal of previous capital inflows 早先流入的资本回流Longer- dated safe bonds 较长期的安全债券Intervention rates 政策利率ConclusionQA1. Why do I select this this text and what is this text about?This passage is aim to talk about universal economy status by establishing a relationship between Chinese economy and the glob
30、al economy. I found it on the website and I think its quite interesting and inspirational, so i chose it.2. What is the authors motivation and expectation through the text and what kind of readers does the author address in his mind?The author tried to illustrate the connection among China and other major power in the world clearly, and to viewed the global economy in a international angle. After finishing the reading, i think the author wants to tell us that China is playing a role in corresponding with other economic powers, and which is definitely becoming more
温馨提示
- 1. 本站所有资源如无特殊说明,都需要本地电脑安装OFFICE2007和PDF阅读器。图纸软件为CAD,CAXA,PROE,UG,SolidWorks等.压缩文件请下载最新的WinRAR软件解压。
- 2. 本站的文档不包含任何第三方提供的附件图纸等,如果需要附件,请联系上传者。文件的所有权益归上传用户所有。
- 3. 本站RAR压缩包中若带图纸,网页内容里面会有图纸预览,若没有图纸预览就没有图纸。
- 4. 未经权益所有人同意不得将文件中的内容挪作商业或盈利用途。
- 5. 人人文库网仅提供信息存储空间,仅对用户上传内容的表现方式做保护处理,对用户上传分享的文档内容本身不做任何修改或编辑,并不能对任何下载内容负责。
- 6. 下载文件中如有侵权或不适当内容,请与我们联系,我们立即纠正。
- 7. 本站不保证下载资源的准确性、安全性和完整性, 同时也不承担用户因使用这些下载资源对自己和他人造成任何形式的伤害或损失。
最新文档
- 浑源县2025届四年级数学第二学期期中综合测试模拟试题含解析
- 2026年河南省巩义市高三生物下册期末考试模拟卷及参考答案
- 济南市历下区2025-2026学年四下数学期末监测试题(含答案解析)
- 洛宁县2025年数学四年级第二学期期中联考试题(含答案解析)
- 漆器镶嵌装饰工发展趋势测试考核试卷含答案
- 27届沪教版九上化学复习训练题-氧气
- 通信传输设备装调工岗前生产标准化考核试卷含答案
- 淡水珍珠养殖工安全宣传模拟考核试卷含答案
- 稀土后处理工冲突解决强化考核试卷含答案
- 水泥混凝土制品制作工冲突解决测试考核试卷含答案
- 2025国家药品监督管理局医疗器械技术审评中心合同制人员招聘2人笔试备考试题附答案解析
- 2026年城区第二小学阳光招生工作专项整治自查报告
- 第一月考过关测试卷(试卷)2026-2027学年五年级语文上册统编版(含答案)
- 现代农业与生态农业
- 2026年医学科研诚信与伦理课件
- 2026年特种设备安全管理人员A证考试题库(含答案)
- 3.1《买文具》课件 -2026-2027学年五年级上册数学北师大版
- 2026年湖南工业职业技术学院高职单招笔试职业技能测验试题库含答案解析3套试卷
- 中国膝骨关节炎关节腔注射治疗专家共识(2026版)解读
- 孕产妇脓毒症的高危因素与早期识别
- 电子档案和档案数字化副本移交接收规范
评论
0/150
提交评论