江苏南京市2026届高三英语第一学期期末联考模拟试题含解析

江苏南京市2026届高三英语第一学期期末联考模拟试题考生须知：1．全卷分选择题和非选择题两部分，全部在答题纸上作答。选择题必须用2B铅笔填涂；非选择题的答案必须用黑色字迹的钢笔或答字笔写在“答题纸”相应位置上。2．请用黑色字迹的钢笔或答字笔在“答题纸”上先填写姓名和准考证号。3．保持卡面清洁，不要折叠，不要弄破、弄皱，在草稿纸、试题卷上答题无效。第一部分（共20小题，每小题1.5分，满分30分）1．—I’mterriblysorry.I’mlatebecause….—That’sOK.Youarehereandthat’swhat_____.A．does B．works C．functions D．counts2．—I’mafraidIcouldn’tgotoyourbirthdayparty.IhaveatestnextMonday.—Oh，！You’remybestfriendandyoumustbethere！A．goahead B．comeon C．youneedn’t D．itdoesn’tmatter3．Sometimesitseemstobothertheteacher______allthestudentsarebeingtooquiet.A．how B．whatC．that D．where4．I_________tohelpyoutodohomeworkbutIcouldn'tspareanytime.I________acompositionlastnightandI'llfinishittomorrow.A．wanted；wrote B．hadwanted；waswritingC．hadwanted；wrote D．wanted；havebeenwriting5．Youcan’timaginehowexcitedwewere________thatourschoolmateshadwonthefirstplaceinNationalRobotCompetition.A．learning B．havinglearnedC．tobelearning D．tolearn6．—“DoyoumindifIlookatyournotes?”—“Ofcoursenot._______.”A．NoproblemB．BemyguestC．WithpleasureD．Notatall7．—AreyoustillthinkingabouttheemailTonysentyouyesterday？—Oh，totellthetruth,that’smakesmefeelexcited.A．What B．how C．that D．why8．________theprogram,theyhavetostaythereforanothertwoweeks.A．Notcompleting B．NotcompletedC．Nothavingcompleted D．Havingnotcompleted9．Thisisthefirsttimethatyourparentshavebeenabroad,______?A．haven’tthey B．hasn’tit C．aren’tthey D．isn’tit10．Thetrafficisheavythesedays.Iarriveabitlate,socouldyousavemeaplace?A．canB．mustC．needD．might11．—______yousinganddanceatthislatehourofthenight?—Sorry,Iwillstoprightnow.A．May B．ShallC．Will D．Must12．Whatanunforgettableexperience!I'llwriteitdown__________itisstillfreshinmymemory.A．since B．while C．after D．until13．ShallwegoforapicnicthisSaturday？_____________.WillnextSaturdaybeOK？A．Sure，it'suptoyou B．Sure，it'snoproblemC．Sorry，Ican'tmakeit D．Sorry，I'mnotavailabletoday14．Hisadvicemademehappy,but____othersangry.A．making B．tomake C．/ D．make15．Mary_______towritingclasseseverynightsinceJuneandthecoursewillendthisweek.A．hadgoneB．hasbeengoingC．isgoingD．went16．—Howwasyourjobinterview?—Verysuccessful.I________myhomeworkaboutthecompany,youknow.A．haddoneB．havedoneC．didD．wasdoing17．--Catherine,Ihavecleanedtheroomforyou.Thanks.You_______it.Icouldmanageitmyself.A．needn’tdo B．shouldn’thavedone C．mustn’tdo D．needn’thavedone18．Wehavebroughtinagoodgrainharvestforthreeyears_________.A．onpurpose B．onend C．onduty D．onwatch19．AfterreceivingtheOscarforBestSupportingActress,AnneBenedictwentonallthepeoplewhohadhelpedinhercareer.A．tothank B．thankingC．havingthanked D．tohavethanked20．—CanIpaythebillbycheck?—Sorry,sir.Accordingtotherulesofourhotel,thepayment______bemadeincash.A．shallB．needC．willD．can第二部分阅读理解（满分40分）阅读下列短文，从每题所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中，选出最佳选项。21．（6分）WalterPeakHighCountryFarm，onthewesternshoresofLakeWakatipu，isfamousinhistory.ItsshelteredbayswereusedascampingsitesbyMaoritravellingtotheMararoaandOretiRiversonMoahuntingandpounamu(greenstone)gatheringexpeditions.ThingstodoSituatedonpicturesqueLakeWakatipu'swestershores，thefarmistheperfectplacetospendafewrelaxinghours.TheFarmTouritselfisawonderful，interactiveexperienceforthewholefamily，withsomethingtokeepeveryoneentertainedandhappy.Ourruralhostwillmeetyouafteryouleavethesteamboatandtakeyouforawalkingtourofthefarmyard.Thefirststopistheholdingpens(畜栏），whereyoucanhelpfeedthesheepanddeer，andevengetupclosetotheScottishhighlandcattle.ThenwalkslowlythroughthelakesidegardenstothecharmingColonel’sHomesteadformorningorafternoontea.Afterwardsthefarmerwillleadyouovertotheshearingshed(剪羊毛棚）whereyoucanwatchthefarmdogsroundingupsheeponthehills，andseethefarmercutthewooloffasheep.YouwillthenboardthesteamboatforyourcruisebacktoQueenstown.TicketInformationChildTicket$22.00AdultTicket$77.00VisitorInformationOPENINGTIME:10AMCLOSINGTIME:4PMAdditionalInformationAllticketspurchasedatMyFunmustmakeabookingat+64-3441—8166.PleasementionyourMyFunbarcode(条形码)numberwhenmakingyourbooking.Pleaseprintoutyourvoucher(收据）andtakealongwithyoutotheattraction.Ticketsarevalidfor12monthsfromthedateofpurchase.TermsandConditionsPurchaseoftheticketsdependsonourpartner’stermsandconditions.1、Wherecanavisitorhavemorningtea?A．Onthesteamboat. B．Attheholdingpens.C．Intheshearingshed. D．IntheColonel’sHomestead.2、HowmuchshouldaparentwithachildpayfortheFarmTour?A．$99. B．$121.C．$176. D．$198.3、AvisitorwhohasboughtticketsatMyFunmust_____.A．takethevouchertotheFarmB．contactMyFunandgetdiscountC．telltheFarmyourMyFunbarcodenumberD．call+64-3441-8166toprintoutyourvoucher22．（8分）Animageisworthathousandkilos?Okay,somaybenotathousandkilos,exactly,butastudyshowshowaphotodiarycankeepdietersmotivated,makingthemmorelikelytoachievetheirtargetweight.EliasKuzmarDaza,amedicalprofessionalfromColombia,studiedthemotivationlevelsofpatientsonweightlossprogramsatanutritionclinic.Differentmeasurementsweretakenofthepatientseachweek,includingbodymassindex(指标)foodandexercisediaries,etc.torecordtheirprogress.Inaddition,full-bodyphotographsweretakeneachweek,whichprovedtobeverymotivatingandakeyfactorinpatientscompletingthefullprogram.Overthecourseofthesixteen-weekprogram,afullninetypercentofpatients,agedbetween16and72,sawthetreatmentthroughtotheend,withseventypercentsuccessfullymeetingtheirweightlossaims.Amongthosemonitored,onemeasurementprovedparticularlymotivating:waistline.Thisfindingindicatesthatthemajorityofthepatientswhoattendedtheclinicdidsomotivatedbyimage,ratherthananyunderlyingcondition.Itshouldbepointedoutthateightypercentofthemwerefemale.Anotherusefulfindingofthisstudywasthatpatientsdidnotnecessarilyneedtoattendtheclinicinpersonfortheprogramtobeeffective.Asupportlinewassetup,whichpatientscouldcalltosubmittheirmeasurements.Theyalsotookandsenttheirownfull-bodyphotographstotheresearcher.Fiftypercentofpatientscompletedtheprograminthisway.Summarizingthefindings,Kuzmarsays:“Whatpatientswantisaphoto,ratherthancoldnumbers.”Thesephotosserveasvisualconfirmationthatalltheirhardworkispayingoff,encouragingthemontofurtherweightloss.1、Whatisthepurposeofthestudy?A．Toshowlosingweightisveryeasy.B．Tocompareseveralwaystoloseweight.C．Toprovetheeffectofimagesinweightlosing.D．Toseehowmanypeoplecanloseweightsuccessfully.2、Howmanypatientsintheclinicreachedtheirweight-lossgoals?A．50%.B．70%.C．80%.D．90%.3、Whatcangivepeoplemostmotivationwhentheyaretryingtoloseweight?A．Friends’encouragement.B．Others’strongmuscles.C．Theirslimmerwaistline.D．Theirstandardbloodpressure.4、Whatmustthepatientsdotocompletetheweight-lossprogram?A．Gotothecliniceveryweek.B．Calltosubmittheirmeasurements.C．Reporttotheprofessionaleveryday.D．Takefull-bodyphotographseachweek.23．（8分）Welcome

to

Inspire

21!Our

aim

is

to

provide

”Inspiring

words

for

the

21st

century”.So,here

we

offer

a

uniquecollectionofinspiringshortstories,motivational

short

stories,and

humorous

short

stories

for

youtoreadandshare.Ifyoudocaretoshare,clickthe“SHARE”buttoninthebottomleftcornerofeachpage.AndthanksfortellingothersaboutInspire21.Theinspiringstoriesthatarelabeled(标记)“TRUE”aredonesotothebestofourknowledge,butwedonothavefullproofinsomecases.However,allofthesestoriesandmessagesareprovidedbecauseoftheirupliftingcontent,whethertrueornot.Manybookswe’vereadandmovieswe’vewatchedweretotallyuntrue,butweenjoyedtheinspirationtheygaveus—especiallyiftheyhadahappyending.So,pleasereadandsharethesestoriesatyourowndiscretion(判断力).Thankyouforyourunderstanding!Also,manyoftheinspiringstoriesusedhereareusedwithpermissionfromtheauthor.However,wecannotgrant(授予)permissiontoreuseanyoftheseinspirationalstories,asthemajorityofthemarenotours.Lastly,manyinspiringstories(emailedtousorwecameacrossonline)arelistedas“AuthorUnknown”Ifyouhappentoknowtheauthor’sname,towhomcreditshouldbegiven,pleasecontactuswiththatinformationsowecankeepourinspiringstorycollectionaccurate.Thankyouagain!!1、WhatdoesInspire21do?A．Itencouragespeopletouseinspiringwords.B．Itoffersbooksandmovieswithahappyending.C．Itcollectsbothtruestoriesanduntruemessages.D．Itprovidesshortstoriesforpeopletoreadandshare.2、Whichofthefollowingwordshastheclosestmeaningto“inspiring”?A．Uplifting.B．Unique.C．Accurate.D．Humorous.3、Whatarethereadersexpectedtodointhelastparagraph?A．Reuseinspiringstories.B．Writemoretruestories.C．Helptogivecredittounknownauthors.D．Keeptheinspiringstoriesmoreaccurate.24．（8分）Statisticsoftensoundslikeadrysubject,butsometimesit’snecessarytotakeastatisticscoursetogetthecorrectanswertothisproblem.Takethefollowingcaseforexample:afootballscout(球探）hearsofaplayerwhohaspoweredhisteamtoagoodwin-lossrecord.Hiscoachesthinkhe’soneofthemosttalentedplayersthey’veseen.Butthescoutisunimpressedbytheonepracticegameheseeshimin;hetellshismanagerit’snotworthtryingtorecruit(录用）theplayer.Mostsportsfanswouldthinkthatwasaprettyfoolishdecision,right?Athleticperformanceismuchtoovariabletobaseanimportantjudgmentonsuchasmallsample.Butconsiderthisproblem:anemployergetsanapplicationfromajuniorexecutive(主管人员）withanexcellentcollegerecordandstrongreferencesfromhiscurrentemployer.Theemployerinterviewstheapplicantandisunimpressed.Theemployertellshiscolleaguesthatit’snotworthwhilerecruitinghim.Mostpeopleregardthisasareasonablesortofdecision.Butitisn’t.Countlessstudiesshowthattheunstructured30-minuteinterviewisvirtuallyworthlessasapredictoroflong-termperformancebyanycriteriathathavebeenexamined.Inbothcases,predictionsbasedonreferences-schoolreports,priorperformance,lettersofrecommendation-givea65-75%chanceofchoosingthebetterofthetwo.Whydowegettheathleticproblemrightandtheemploymentproblemwrong?Becauseinthecaseofthejob,unlikeforathleticperformance,wehaven’tseenhundredsofcandidatesininterviewsofaparticulartypeandseenhowwellperformanceintheinterviewcorrespondstoultimate(最终的）performanceinthesettingwe’reconcernedabout.Wehaven’tseenthattheguywholookslikeafoolintheinterviewturnsouttobecleveronthejobandtheguywhodoeswellintheinterviewturnsouttobeaverage.Theonlywaytoseethattheinterviewisn’tgoingtobeworthmuchistobeabletoapplythe“lawoflargenumbers”，whichassiststherecognitionthataninterviewrepresentsaverysmallsampleofbehavior.Thebottomline:there’ssafetyinnumbers.Themorerecommendationsapersonhas,themorepositivetheoutcomeislikelytobefortheemployer.Considerthejobinterview:it’snotonlyatinysample,it’snotevenasampleofjobbehaviorbutofsomethingelseentirely.Psychologicaltheoryanddatashowthatweareincapableoftreatingtheinterviewdataaslittlemorethanunreliablegossip.It’sjusttoocompelling(强迫性的）thatwe’velearnedalotfromthose30minutes.Myrecommendationisnottointerviewatallunlessyou’regoingtodevelopaninterviewprotocol(体系),withthehelpofaprofessional,whichisbasedoncarefulanalysisofwhatyouarelookingforinajobcandidate.Andthenaskexactlythesamequestionsofeverycandidate.It’shardertodevelopsuchaprotocolthanyoumightguess.Butitcanreallypayoff.1、Thecasesinthefirsttwoparagraphsaremeantto_____.A．illustratetheinfluenceoffansB．showtheweaknessesofscoutsC．attachimportancetointerviewsD．introducethetopicofthepassage2、Theauthorbelievesthat____.A．thesettinginthejobinterviewistooartificialtobeconvincingB．asuccessfulcandidateusuallyusestrickstocoverhisrealcharactersC．asmallsampleisnotenoughtomakeageneralizedjudgementofacandidateD．thenumberofcandidateshasn’tsatisfiedtherequirementsforajobinterview3、Whatisthebesttitleforthepassage?A．HowemployeesareselectedB．WherestatisticsareavailableC．WhyjobinterviewsarepointlessD．Whenrecommendationsareneeded25．（10分）Oneday,whenIwasworkingaspsychologistinEngland,anadolescentboyshowedupinmyoffice.ItwasDavid.Hekeptwalkingupanddownrestlessly,hisfacepale,andhishandsshakingslightly.Hisheadteacherhadreferredhimtome.“Thisboyhaslosthisfamily,”hewrote.“Heisunderstandablyverysadandrefusestotalktoothers,andI’mveryworriedabouthim.Canyouhelp?”IlookedatDavidandshowedhimtoachair.HowcouldIhelphim?Thereareproblemspsychologydoesn'thavetheanswerto,andwhichnowordscandescribe.Sometimesthebestthingonecandoistolistenopenlyandsympathetically.Thefirsttwotimeswemet,Daviddidn'tsayaword.Hesatthere,onlylookinguptolookatthechildren'sdrawingsonthewallbehindme.Isuggestedweplayagameofchess.Henodded.AfterthatheplayedchesswithmeeveryWednesdayafternoon-incompletesilenceandwithoutlookingatme.It'snoteasytocheatinchess,butIadmitImadesureDavidwononceortwice.Usually,hearrivedearlierthanagreed,tookthechessboardandpiecesfromtheshelfandbegansettingthemupbeforeIevengotachancetositdown.Itseemedasifheenjoyedmycompany.Butwhydidheneverlookatme?“Perhapshesimplyneedssomeonetosharehispainwith,”Ithought.“PerhapshesensesthatIrespecthissuffering.”Somemonthslater,whenwewereplayingchess,helookedupatmesuddenly.“It'syourturn,”hesaid.Afterthatday,Davidstartedtalking.Hegotfriendsinschoolandjoinedabicycleclub.Hewrotetomeafewtimes,abouthisbikingwithsomefriends,andabouthisplantogetintouniversity.Nowhehadreallystartedtolivehisownlife.MaybeIgaveDavidsomething.ButIalsolearnedthatone-withoutanyword-canreachouttoanotherperson.Allittakesisahug,ashouldertocryon,afriendlytouch,andanearthatlistens.1、Whenhefirstmettheauthor,David________.A．feltalittleexcitedB．walkedenergeticallyC．lookedalittlenervousD．showedupwithhisteacher2、Asapsychologist,theauthor________.A．wasreadytolistentoDavidB．wasskepticalaboutpsychologyC．wasabletodescribeDavid'sproblemD．wassureofhandlingDavid'sproblem3、WhatcanbeinterredaboutDavid?A．Herecoveredaftermonthsoftreatment.B．Helikedbikingbeforehelosthisfamily.C．Hewentintouniversitysoonafterstartingtotalk.D．Hegotfriendsinschoolbeforehemettheauthor.第三部分语言知识运用（共两节）第一节（每小题1.5分，满分30分）阅读下面短文，从短文后各题所给的A、B、C和D四个选项中，选出可以填入空白处的最佳选项．26．（30分）完形填空。WhenIwasayoungboy,myparentsoftentoldmethatitwastimethatteachesamaneverything.Ididn'tunderstandandwonderedwhytimehadsuchabig1onaperson.IthoughtIcouldgrowupquicklyto2itoutasanadult.Butnow,beforeIcometoknockatthedoorof3，Ifeelanxioustoexpressmyownopiniononthis4.IknowthatI'mjustahighschoolstudentwithvery5experiences.Therearestillmanythings6meinthefuture,yetIwouldliketoexpressmyselfinachildishvoice.Ioncereadthissentence，“Tomakethisworldahappyplacetolivein,you'dbetterchangeyourselfandyourheart，7thewholeworld.”Iwas8.Itmademethinkaboutlifeitself.Therearesomanythingsaroundusthat9ourwill.Wecan'tforcelifeto10ourwishes.Theearthwon'tstopturningnomatterwhetherweacceptitornot.Whatwecandoisjusttomakeourselves11withtheworld.Ithinkwelearntoaccept12lifegivesus，whetherit'sthespringsunlight13thewintersnowfall,andtrytobehappy.Deeply14bythepopsongGrandmother,Ialwaystryto15everypleasantthinginmylife.16nowIseeIcan'tcatchallofthem.ItismorelikelythattheyslipbyandleaveyoufeelingregretfulthatI'mnotjustlivingformyselfandthatthereareothersaroundmeI17thinkof.Theyallpayattentiontomygrowingup，18it'sjustalittleprogress.Everyonehashisorherownattitudetowardslife,positiveor19.Itdoesn'tmatter,Ithink.Thereisone20thatshouldbeobeyed—tomakethisworldabetterplacetolivein.1、A．pressure B．impression C．influence D．direction2、A．put B．find C．leave D．give3、A．childhood B．neighborhood C．brotherhood D．adulthood4、A．saying B．idea C．fact D．practice5、A．respected B．valued C．limited D．admired6、A．waitingfor B．applyingfor C．dealingwith D．stickingwith7、A．exceptfor B．asfor C．insteadof D．inspiteof8、A．scared B．impressed C．annoyed D．amused9、A．gowith B．goby C．goahead D．goagainst10、A．realize B．accept C．consider D．follow11、A．fightwith B．turndown C．fitin D．laughat12、A．what B．which C．that D．how13、A．and B．or C．so D．yet14、A．worried B．confused C．concerned D．moved15、A．create B．uncover C．grasp D．achieve16、A．But B．So C．Thus D．And17、A．can B．should C．will D．need18、A．incase B．sothat C．evenif D．onlywhen19、A．relevant B．false C．negative D．unreal20、A．point B．word C．thing D．rule第二节（每小题1.5分，满分15分）阅读下面材料，在空白处填入1个适当的单词或括号内单词的正确形式。27．（15分）Onceamanwaswalkingalongabeach.Thesunwasshininganditwasabeautifulday.Inthedistancehecouldseeaperson1．(go)backandforthbetweenthesurf’sedge2．thebeach.Asthemanapproached,hecouldseetherewerehundredsofstarfishstrandedonthesandasaresultofthenatural3．(act)ofthetide.Theman4．(stick)bytheapparentuselessnessofthetask.Therewerefartoomanystarfish.Manyofthemweresuretodie.Asheapproached,thepersoncontinuedthetaskof5．(pick)upthestarfishonebyoneandthrowingthemintotheocean.Ashecameuptotheperson,hesaid,“Youmustbecrazy.Thereare6．(thousand)ofmilesofbeach7．(cover)withstarfish.Youcan’t8．(possible)makeanydifference.”Thepersonlookedattheman.Hethenbentdownandpickedupone9．(many)starfishandthrewitbackintotheocean.Heturnedbacktothemanandsaid,“Itsurelymadea10．tothatone！”第四部分写作（共两节）第一节短文改错（满分10分）28．（10分）假定英语课上老师要求同桌之间交换修改作文，请你修改你同桌写的以下作文。作文中共有10处语言错误，每句中最多有两处。每处错误仅涉及一个单词的增加、删除或修改。增加：在缺词处加一个漏字符号（∧）并在其下面写出该加的词。删除：把多余的词用斜线（\）划掉。修改：在错的词下划一横线，并在该词下面写出修改后的词。注意：1、每处错误及其修改均仅限一词；2、只允许修改10处，多者（从第11处起）不计分。Yesterday,ItookawalkinthePanzhihuaParkwithmyparents、Thebeautifulflowerswereinvariouscolor、Wewereenjoyingthesceneryaroundwhensomethingunpleasantcatchmyattention、Notfarfromus,themiddle-agedwomanwaseatingsomeorangeswhilechatwithherfriends、Inmysurprise,shethrewtheorangeskinontheground,totallyignoringthesignnearbywhichwasread“NoLittering”、Ithinkitisnotagoodbehaviorthrowrubbishsomewhere,andallofusshouldloveourenvironment、Asvisitors,youshoulddosomethingtoprotecttheparkafteritbecomesahugedustbin、第二节书面表达（满分25分）29．（25分）假定你是李华，是新华中学的一名学生，为了让更多的人了解中国优秀传统文化，学校近日准备举办中国画展(TheChinesePaintingFair)。请给你的外教Mr.Johnson写一封电子邮件，邀请他参加，邮件的内容包括：1．展会的目的、时间、地点以及参加人；2．展出内容：相关画家画作。注意：1.词数100左右；2．可以适当增加细节，以使行文连贯。____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

参考答案第一部分（共20小题，每小题1.5分，满分30分）1、D2、B3、C4、B5、D6、B7、A8、C9、D10、D11、D12、B13、C14、C15、B16、A17、D18、B19、A20、A第二部分阅读理解（满分40分）阅读下列短文，从每题所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中，选出最佳选项。21、1、D2、A3、A22、1、C2、B3、C4、D23、1、D2、A3、C24、1、D2、C3、C25、IfyouthinkthatInternetshoppingonaSundaygetsyouthebestdeals,thenthinkagain.Tuesdayisactuallythebestdayoftheweekifyouwanttogrababargainaccordingtoanexhaustiveanalysisofon-lineshopping.ThursdayisthesecondbestdayfollowedbyFriday—butSundayiswhenyouareleastlikelytomakeasaving.Thestudyalsolookedatmonthsandfoundthatthepre-ChristmasrushinNovemberiswhentherearemostbargainsaroundontheweb—andnottheJanuarysales.USretailer(零售商)reportingserviceSumAllexamined3,000companiesandhaltabilliontransactions(交易)aspartofitsreport.Itworkedouttheaveragediscount(折扣)offeredtoconsumersoneachdayoftheweekandoverdifferenttimesoftheyear.ThebestdayoftheweekwasTuesdaywheresavingswere4.81percent,followedbyThursdayon4.80percent.InthirdplacewasFridayat4.615percent,thenWednesdayat4.13percentandMondayat4.11percent.OnlythefoolishwouldshoponaSaturdaywherethediscountsweretypically3.84percent—andSundaywastheworstwith3.37percent.Theanalysisbymonthisevenmoresurprisingasmostpeoplethinkthatwaitinguntilthepost-Christmassaleswouldyieldthebiggestdiscounts.Infact,Novemberiswhenyouwillgetthelargestsavingsat5.99percentonaverage.Januarycameinsecondat4.95percent,followedbyMayat4.50percent.TheworstmonthtobuyonlinewasMarchwhereyoucouldexpecttosavejust2.76percent.Consumersandexpertshavebeenspeculatingforyearsaboutthebesttimeto