《管理学基础》 第六章 制定决策：管理者工作的本质

1、ninth editionSTEPHEN P. ROBBINSMARY COULTER 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 62 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 63 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 64 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 65 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 66 2007 Prenti

2、ce Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 67 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 68 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 69指标指标 权重权重存储量存储量 10电池寿命电池寿命 8携带重量携带重量 6保修保修 4显示质量显示质量 3 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 610 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 612 2007 Prent

3、ice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 613 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 614 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 615 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 616 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 617 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 618 2007 Prent

4、ice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 619 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 620 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 621资料来源: Based on L. A. Burke and M. K. Miller, “Taking the Mystery Out of Intuitive Decision Making,” Academy of Management Executive, October 1999, pp. 9199. 2007

5、 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 622 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 623 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 624 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 625 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 626 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 627 2007

6、 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 628 事件事件期望收入期望收入 概率概率=方案期望收入方案期望收入 大雪大雪 $850,0000.3=$255,000正常降雪正常降雪 725,0000.5= 362,500 小雪小雪 350,0000.2= 70,000 $687,500 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 629 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 630 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights

7、reserved. 631 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 632 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 633 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 634 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 635 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 636 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 637 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 638 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 639 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All rights reserved. 640 2007 Prentice Hall, Inc. All