普通高等学校招生全国统一考试（江苏卷）

普通高等学校招生全国统一考试（江苏卷）英语注意事项：1.答题前，先将自己的姓名、准考证号填写在试题卷和答题卡上，并将准考证号条形码粘贴在答题卡上的指定位置。用2B铅笔将答题卡上试卷类型A后的方框涂黑。2.选择题的作答：每小题选出答案后，用2B铅笔把答题卡上对应题目的答案标号涂黑，写在试题卷、草稿纸和答题卡上的非答题区域均无效。3.非选择题的作答：用签字笔直接答在答题卡上对应的答题区域内。写在试题卷、草稿纸和答题卡上的非答题区域均无效。4.考试结束后，请将本试题卷和答题卡一并上交。第Ⅰ卷第一部分听力（共两节，满分20分）做题时，现将答案标在试卷上，录音内容结束后，你将有两分钟的时间将试卷上的答案转涂到答题卡上。第一节（共5小题；每小题1分，满分5分）听下面5段对话，每段对话后有一个小题。从题中所给的A、B、C三个选项中选出最佳选项，并标在试卷的相应位置。听完每段对话后，你都有10秒钟的时学#科*网间来回答有关小题和阅读下一小题。每段对话仅读一遍。1.Whatdoesthewomanthinkofthemovie?A.It'samusing B.It'sexciting C.It'sdisappointing2.HowwillSusanspendmostofhertimeinFrance?A.Travelingaround.B.Studyingataschool.C.Lookingstterheraunt.3.Whatarethespeakerstalkingzbout?A.Goingout.B.Orderingdrinks.C.Preparingforaparty.4.Wherearethespeakers?A.Inaclassroom. B.Inalibrary. C.Inabookstore.5.Whatisthemangoingtodo?A.GoonInternet B.Makeaphonecall. C.Takeatraintrip.第二节（共15小题；每小题1分，满分15分）听下面5段对话或独白。每段对话或独白后有几个小题，从题中所给的A、B、C三个选项中选出最佳选项。听每段对话或独白前，你将有时间阅读各个小题，每小题秒钟；听完后，各小题将给出5秒钟的作答时间。每段对话或独白读两遍。听第6段材料，回答第6、7题。6.Whatisthewomanlookingfor?A.Aninformationoffice. B.Apolicestation C.Ashoerepairshop.7.WhatistheTownGuideaccordingtotheman?A.Abrochure. B.Anewspaper. C.Amap.听第7段材料，回答第8、9题。8.Whatdoesthemansayabouttherestaurant?A.It'sthebiggestonearound.B.Itoffersmanytastydishes.C.It'sfamounsforitsseafood.9.Whatwillthewomanprobablyorder?A.Friedfish B.Roastchicken. C.Beefsteak.听第8段材料，回答第10至12题。10.WherewillMr.Whitebeat11o'clock?A.Attheoffice B.Attheairport. C.Attherestaurant.11.WherewillMr.Whiteprobablydoatoneintheafternoon?A.Receliveaguest.B.Haveameeting.C.Readareport.12.WherewillMissWilsonseeMr.White？A.Atlunchtime.B.Lateintheafternoon.C.Thenextmorning.听第9段材料，回答第13至16题。13.WhyisBiligoingtoGermany？A.Toworkonaproject.B.TostudyGerman.C.Tostartanewcompany.14.WhatdidthewomandislikeaboutGermany？A.Theweather.B.Thefood.C.Theschools.15.WhatdoesBillhopetodoabouthisfamily？A.BringthemtoGermany.B.LeavetheminEngland.C.Visittheminafewmonths.16.Whatistheprobablerelationshipbetweenthespeakers？A.Fellow-travelers.B.Colleagues.C.Classmates.听第10段材料，回答第17至20题。17.WhendiditrainlasttimeinJuarez？A.Threedaysago.B.Amonthago.C.Ayearago.18.Whatseasonisitnowinjuarez？A.Spring.B.SummerC.Autumn.19.Whataretheelderlyadvisedtodo？A.Takeawalkinafternoon.B.Keeptheirhomescool.C.Drinkplentyofwater.20.Whatisthespeakerdoing？A.Hostingaradioprogram.B.Conductingaseminar.C.Forecastingtheweather.第二部分：英语知识运用（共两节，满分35分）第一节：单项填空（共15小题；每小题1分，满分15分）请阅读下面各题，从题中所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中，选出最佳选项，并在答题卡上将该项涂黑。例：Itisgenerallyconsideredunwisetogiveachild_________heorshewants.A.however B.whatever C.whichever D.whenever答案是B。例：Itisgenerallyconsideredunwisetogiveachild_________heorshewants.A.however B.whatever C.whichever D.whenever答案是B。21.ManyChinesebrands,__________theirreputationsovercenturies,arefacingnewchallengesfromthemodernmarket.A.havingdevelopedB.beingdevelopedC.developedD.developing22.__________notforthesupportoftheteachers,thestudentcouldnotovercomeherdifficulty.A.ItwereB.WereitC.ItwasD.Wasit23.Located_________theBeltmeetstheRoad,JiangsuwillcontributemoretotheBeltandRoadconstruction.A.whyB.whenC.whichD.where24.ThepublicationofGreatExpectations,which_________bothwidelyreviewedandhighlypraised,strengthenedDickens,statusasaleadingnovelist.A.isB.areC.wasD.were25.WorkingwiththemedicalteaminAfricahas_________thebestinherasadoctor.A.heldoutB.broughtoutC.pickedoutD.givenout26.Wechoosethishotelbecausethepriceforanighthereisdownto$20,halfof_________itusedtocharge.A.thatB.whichC.whatD.how27.Hehurriedhome,neveroncelookingbacktoseeifhe_________.A.wasbeingfollowedB.wasfollowingC.hadbeenfollowedD.followed28.In1963theUNsetuptheWorldFoodProgramme,oneof_____purposesistorelieveworldwidestarvation.A.whichB.it’sC.whoseD.whom29.OnlyfiveyearsafterSteveJobs’death,smart–phonesdefeated_________PCsinsales.A.controversialB.contractoryC.confidentialD.conventional30.Aquickreviewofsuccessesandfailuresattheendofyearwillhelp_________youryearahead.A.shapeB.switchC.stretchD.sharpen31.He’sbeeninformedthathe_________forthescholarshipbecauseofhisacademicbackground.A.hasn’tqualifiedB.hadn’tqualifiedC.doesn’tqualifyD.wasn’tqualifying32.Determiningwhereweare_________oursurroundingsremainsanessentialskillforoursurvival.A.incontrasttoB.indefenseofC.infaceofD.inrelationto33.——WhatdoesthestuffonyourT-shirtmean?——it’snothing.Justsomething_________.A.asclearasdayB.offthetopofmyheadC.undermynoseD.beyondmywildestdreams34.Thedisappearanceofdinosaursisnotnecessarilycausedbyastronomicalincidents.But_________explanationsarehardtofind.A.alternativeB.aggressiveC.ambiguousD.apparent35.——GoingtowatchtheWomen’sVolleyballMatchonWednesday?——!Willyougowithme?A.YouthereB.YoubetC.YougotmeD.Youknowbetter第二节：完形填空（共20小题；每小题1分，满分20分）请阅读下面短文，从短文后各题所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中，选出最佳选项，并在答题卡上将该项涂黑。ForalongtimeGabrieldidn’twanttobeinvolvedinmusicatall.Inhisfirstyearsofhighschool,Gabrielwouldlookpityinglyatmusicstudents,36acrossthecampuswiththeirheavyinstrumentcases.37atschoolforpracticehours38anyoneelsehadtobethere.Hesworetohimselfto39music,ashehatedgettingtoschoolextraearly.__40___，oneday，inthemusicclassthatwas__41_ofhisschool’sstandardcurriculurn，hewasplayingidly（随意地）onthepianoandfoundit____42___topickouttunes.Withasinkingfeeling,herealizedthatheactually__43__doingit.Hetriedtihidehis__44__pleasurefromthemusicteather,whohad__45__overtolisten.Hemightnothavethisparticularlywell,__46__theteachertoldGabrielthathehadagood___47__andsuggestedthatGabrielgointothemusinstore-roomtiseeifanyoftheinstrumentsthere__48__him.Therehedecidedtogivethecello（大提琴）a__49__.Whenhebeganpracticing,hetookitvery__50__.Buthequicklyfoundthathelovedplayingthisinstrurnent,andwas__51__topracticingitsothatwithinacoupleofmonthshewasplayingreasonablywell.This__52__,ofcourse,thathearrivedatschoolearlyinthemorning,__53__hisheavyinstrumentcaseacrossthecampustothe__54__looksofthenon-musicianshehadleft__55__.36.A.travellingB.marchingC.pacingD.struggling37.A.risingupB.comingupC.drivingupD.turningup38.A.beforeB.afterC.untilD.since39.A.betrayB.acceptC.avoidD.appreciate40.A.ThereforeB.HoweverC.ThusD.Moreover41.A.partB.natureC.basisD.apirit42.A.complicateB.safeC.confusingD.easy43.A.missedB.dislikedC.enioyedD.denied44.A.transparentB.obviousC.falseD.similar45.A.runB.joggedC.jumpedD.wandered46.A.becauseB.butC.thoughD.so47.A.earB.tasteC.heartD.voice48.A.occurredB.tooktoC.appealedD.heldto49.A.changeB.chanceC.missionD.function50.A.seriously B.proudly C.casually D.admitted51.A.committed B.used C.limited D.admitted52.A.proved B.showed C.stressed D.meant53.A.pushing B.dragging C.lifting D.rushing54.A.admiring B.pitying C.annoying D.teasing55.A.over B.aside C.behind D.out第三部分：阅读理解（共15小题；每小题2分，满分30分）请阅读下列短文，从短文后各题所给的A、B、C、D四个选项中，选出最佳选项，并在答题卡上将该项涂黑。ACHRONOLOGICA——TheUnbelievableYearsthatDefinedHistoryDIDYOUKNOW…In105ADpaperwasinventedinChina?WhenColumbusdiscoveredtheNewWorld?TheBritishMuseumopenedin1759?CHRONOLOGICAisafascinatingjourneythroughtime,fromthefoundationofRometothecreationoftheinternet.Alongthewayaretalesofkingsandqueens,hotairballoons…andmonkeysinspace.Travelthrough100ofthemostunbelievableyearsinworldhistoryandledrnwhybeingaRomanEmperorwasn’talwaysasgoodasitsounds,howtheHundredYears’Wardidn’tactuallylastfor100yearsandwhySpencerPercevalholdsaratherunfortunaterecord.CHRONOLOGICAisaninformativeandentertainingtourintohistory,beautifullyillustratedandfullofunbelievablefacts.WhileCHRONOLOGICAtellsthestoriesoffamouspeopleinhistorysuchasThomasEdisonandAlexandertheGreat,thisbookalsogivesabaccountofthelivesoflesser-knownindividualsincludingtheexploeerMungoParkandsculptorGutzonBorglum.Thiscompletebutbriefhistoricalcollectioniscertaintoentertainreadersyoungandold,andguaranteedtopresenteventhebiggesthistoryloverwithsomgthingnew!56.What

is

CHRONOLOGICA

according

to

the

next?

A．A

biography.

B．A

travel

guide.

C．A

history

book.

D．A

science

fiction.

57.How

does

the

writer

recommend

CHRONOLOGICA

to

readers?

A．By

giving

details

of

its

collection.

B．By

introducing

some

of

its

contents.

C．By

telling

stories

at

the

beginning.

D．By

comparing

it

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other

books.BBeforebirth,babiescantellthedifferencebetweenloudsoundsandvoices.Theycanevendistinguishtheirmother’svoicefromthatofafemalestranger.Butwhenitcomestoembryoniclearning（胎教），birdscouldruletheroost.AsrecentlyreportedinTheAuk:OrnithologicalAdrances,somemotherbirdsmayteachtheiryoungtosingevenbeforetheyhatch(孵化)。New-bornchickscanthenimitatetheirmom’scallwithinafewdaysofeneringtheworld.Thiseducationalmethodwasfirstobservedin2012bySoniaKieindorfer,abiologistatFlindersUniversityinSouthAustralia,andhercollcagues.FemakeAustraliansuperbfairywrenswerefoundtorepeatonesoundoverandoveragainwhilehatchingtheirerrs,Whentheerrswerehatched,thebabybirdsmadethesimilarchirptotheirmothers—asoundthatservedastheirregular“feedme!”call.Tofindoutifthespecialqualitywasmorewidespreadinbirds,theresearcherssoughtthered-backedfairywren,anotherspeciesofAustraliansongbird.Firsttheycollectedsounddatdfrom67nestsinfoursitesinQueenslangbeforeandafterhatching,Thentheyidentifiedbeggingcallsbyanalyzingtheorderandnumberofnotes.Acomputeranalysisblindlycomparedcallsproducedbymothersandchicks,rankingthembysimilarity.Itturnsoutthatbabyred-backedfairywrensalsoemergechirpingliketheirmoms.Andthemorefrequentlymothershadcalledtotheirerrs,themoresimilarwerethebabies’beggingcalls.Inaddition,theteamsetupaseparateexperimentthatsuggestedthatthebabybirdsthatmostcloselyimitatedtheirmom’svoicewererewardedwiththemostfood.Thisobservationhintsthateffectiveembryoniclearningcouldsignalneurological(神经系统的)strengthsofchildrentoparents.Anevolutionaryinferencecanthenbedrawn.”Asaparent,doyouinvestinqualitychildren,ordoyouinvestinchildrenthatareinneed?”Kleindorferasks.”Ourresultssuggestthattheymightbegoingforquality.”58.TheunderlinedphraseinParagraph1means“”.A.betheworstB.bethebestC.betheasbadD.bejustasgood59.WhatareKleindorfer’sfindingsbasedon?A.Similaritiesbetweenthecallsmomsandchicks.B.TheobservationoffairywrensacrossAustralia.C.ThedatacollectedfromQueensland’slocals.D.Controlledexperimentsonwrensandotherbirds.60.Embryoniclearninghelpsmotherbirdstoidentifythebabybirdswhich.A.canreceivequalitysignalsB.areinneedoftrainingC.fittheenvironmentbetterD.maketheloudestcallCAnewcommoditybringsaboutahighlyprofitable,fast-growingindustry,urgingantitrust（反垄断）regulatorstostepintocheckthosewhocontrolitsflow.Acenturyago,theresourceinquestionwasoil.Nowsimilarconcernsaresbeingraisedbythegiants（巨头）thatdealindata,theoilofthedigitalage.ThemostvaluablefirmsareGoogle,Amazon,FacebookandMicrosoft.Alllookunstoppable.Suchsituationshaveledtocallsforthetechgiantstobebrokenup.Butsizealoneisnotacrime,Thegiants'successhasbenefitedconsumers.Fewwanttolivewithoutsearchenginesoraquickdelivery,Farfromchargingconsumershighprices,manyoftheseservicesarefree(userspay,ineffect,byhandingoveryetmoredata).Andtheappearanceofnew-borngiantssuggeststhatnewcomerscanmakewaves,too. Butthereiscauseforconcern.Theinternethasmadedataabundant,all-presentandfarmorevaluable,changingthenatureofdataandcompetition.Googleinitiallyusedthedatacollectedfromuserstotargetadvertisingbetter.Butrecentlyithasdiscoveredthatdatacanbeturnedintonewservices:translationandvisualrecognition,tobesoldtoothercompanies.Internetcompanies’controlofdatagivesthemenormouspower.Sotheyhavea“God’seyeview”ofactivitiesintheirownmarketsandbeyond.Thisnatureofdatamakestheantitrustmeasuresofthepastlessuseful.BreakingupfirmslikeGoogleintofivesmalloneswouldnotstopremakingthemselves:intime,oneofthemwouldbecomegreatagain.Arethinkisrequired—andasanewapproachstartstobecomeapparent,twoideasstandout.Thefirstisthatantitrustauthoritiesneedtomoveformtheindustrialageintothe21stcentury.Whenconsideringamerger(兼并),forexample,theyhavetraditionallyusedsizetodeterminewhentostepin.Theynowneedtotakeintoaccounttheextentoffirms'dataassets(资产)whenassessingtheimpactofdeals.Thepurchasepricecouldalsobeasignalthatanestablishedcompanyisbuyinganew-bormthreat.Whenthistakesplace,especiallywhenanew-borncompanyhasnorevenuetospeakof,theregulatorsshouldraiseredflags. The

second

principle

is

to

loosen

the

control

that

providers

of

on-line

services

have

over

data

and

give

more

to

those

who

supply

them.Companies

could

be

forced

to

consumers

what

information

they

hold

and

how

many

money

they

make

form

it.Govemments

could

order

the

sharing

of

certain

kinds

of

data,with

users'

consent. Restarting

antitrust

for

the

information

age

will

not

be

easy

But

if

govemments

don't

wants

a

data

oconomy

by

a

few

giants,they

must

act

soon.

61.Whyisthereacalltobreakupgiants?A.TheyhavecontrolledthedatamarketB.TheycollectenormousprivatedataC.TheynolongerprovidefreeservicesD.Theydismissedsomenew-borngiants62.WhatdoesthetechnologicalinnovationinParagraph3indicate?A.Datagiants’technologyisveryexpensiveB.Google’sideaispopularamongdatafirmsC.Datacanstrengthengiants’controllingpositionD.Datacanbeturnedintonewservicesorproducts63.Bypayingattentiontofirms’dataassets,antitrustregulatorscould.A.killanewthreatB.avoidthesizetrapC.favourbiggerfirmsD.chargehigherprices64.Whatisthepurposeoflooseningthegiants’controlofdata?A.Bigcompaniescouldrelievedatasecuritypressure.B.Governmentscouldrelievetheirfinancialpressure.C.Consumerscouldbetterprotecttheirprivacy.D.Smallcompaniescouldgetmoreopportunities.DOldProblem，NewApproaches Whilecleanenergyisincreasinglyusedinourdailylife，globalwarningwillcontinueforsomedecadesafterCO2emissions（排放）peak.Soevenifemissionweretobegindecreasetoday，wewouldstillfacethechallengeofadaptingtoclimate.HereIwillstresssomesmarterandmorecreativeexamplesofclimateadaptation. Whenitcomestoadaptation，itisimportanttounderstandthatclimatechangeisaprocess.Wearethereforenottalkingaboutadaptingtoanewstandard，buttoaconstantlyshiftingsetofconditions.Thisiswhyinpartatleast，theUSNationalClimateAssessmentsaysthat:”thereisno‘one-sizefitall’adaptation.”Nevertheless，therearesomeactionsthatoffermuchandcarrylittleriskorcost. Aroundtheworldpeopleareadaptinginsurprisingways，especiallyinsomepoorcountries，FloodshavesomemoredamaginginBangladeshinrecentdecades.MohammedRezwansawopportunitywhereotherssawonlydisaster.Hisnot-for-profitorganizationruns100riverboatsthatserverasfloatinglibraries，scbools，andhealthclinics，andareequipmentwithsolarpanelsandothercommunicationfacilities.Rezwaniscreatingfloatingconnecticity（连体）toreplacefloodedroadsandhighways.Butheisalsoworkingatafarmorefundamentallevel：hisstaffpeoplehowtomakefloatinggardensfishpondspreventatarcationduringthewetseason.Aroundtheworld,peopleareadaptinginsurprisingways,especiallyinsomepoorcountries,FllodshavebecomemoredamaginginBangladeshinrecentdecades.MobammedRezwansawopportunilywhereotherssawonlydisaster.Hisnot-for-profitorganizationruns100riverboatsthatserveasfloatinglibraries,schoods,andhealthclinics,andareequippedwithsolarpanelsandothercommunicatingfacilities.Rezwaniscreatingfloatingconmetivity（连接）toreplacefloodedroadsandhighways.Butheisalsoworkingatafarmorefundamentallevel:hisstaffshowpeoplehowtomakefloatinggardensandfishpondstopreventstarvationduringthewetseason.ElsewhereinAsiaevenmoreastonishingactionsarebeingtaken.Chewang.NophellivesinamountaionousregioninIndia,whereheisknownastheIceMan.Thelossofglaciers(冰川)thereduetoglobalwarmingrepresentsanenormousthreattoagriculture.Withouttheglaciers,waterwillarriveintheriversattimeswhenitcandamagecrops.Norphel’sinspirationcomefromseeingthewasteofwateroverwinter,whenitwasnotneeded.Hedirectedthewastedwaterintoshallowbasinswhereitfroze,andwasstoreduntilthespring.Hisfieldsoficesupplyperfectlytimedirrigation(灌溉)water.Havingcreatedninesuchicereserves.Nophelcalculatesthathehasstoredabout200,000m3ofwater.Climatechangeisacontinuingprocess,soNorhel’sicereserveswillnotlastforever.Warmingwillovertakethem.Butheisprovidingafewyearsduringwhichthefarmerswill,perhaps,beabletofindothermeansofadapting.IncreasingEarth’sreflectivenesscancooltheplanet.InsouthernSpainthesuddenincreaseofgreenhouses(whichreflectlightbacktospace)haschangedthewarmingtrendlocally,andactuallycooledtheregion.WhileSpainasawholeisheatingupquickly,temperaturesnearthegreenhouseshavedecreased.Thisexampleshouldactasaninspirationforallcities.Bypaintingbuildingswhite,citiesmayslowdownthewarmingprocess.InPeni,localfarmersaroundamountainwithaglacierthathasalreadyfallenvictimtoclimatechangehavebegunpaintingtheentiremountainpeakwhiteinthehopethattheaddedreflectivenesswillrestorethelife-givingice.Theoutcomeisstillfarfromclear,ButtheWorldBankhasincludedtheprojectonitsof‘100ideastosavetheplanet”.Moreordinaryformsofadaptationarehappeningeverywhere.AfriendofmineownsanareaoflandinwesternVictoria.Overfivegenerationsthelandhasbeentoowetforcropping.Butduringthepastdecadedecliningrainfallhasallowshimtoplanthighlyprofitablecrops.Farmersinmanycountriesarealsoadaptinglikethis—eitherbygrowingnewproduce,orbygrowingthesamethingsdifferently.Thisiscommonsense,Butsomesuggestionsforadaptingarenot.Whenthepollutingindustriesarguethatwe’velostthebattletocontrolcarbonpollutionandhavenochoicebuttoadapt,it’sanonsensedesignedtomakethecaseforbusinessasusual.Humanbeingswillcontinuetoadapttothechangingclimateinbothordinaryandastonishingways.Butthemostsensibleformofadaptationissurelytoadaptourenergysystemstoemitlesscarbonpollution.Afterall,ifweadaptintheway,wemayavoidtheneedtochangeinsomanyothers.65.TheunderlinedpartinParagraph2implies.A.adaptationisanever-changingprocessB.thecostofadaptationvarieswithtimeC.globalwarmingaffectsadaptationformsD.adaptationtoclimatechangeischallenging66.WhatisspecialwithregardtoRezwan’sproject?A.Theprojectreceivesgovernmentsupport.B.Differentorganizationsworkwitheachother.C.Hisorganizationmakesthebestofabadsituation.D.Theprojectconnectsfloodedroadsandhighways.67.WhatdidtheIceMandotoreducetheeffectofglobalwarming?A.Storingiceforfutureuse.B.Protectingtheglaciersfrommelting.C.Changingtheirrigationtime.D.Postponingthemeltingoftheglaciers.68.WhatdowelearnfromthePeruexample?A.Whitepaintisusuallysafeforbuildings.B.Theglobalwarmingtreadcannotbestopped.C.Thiscountryisheatinguptooquickly.D.Sunlightreflectionmayrelieveglobalwarming.69.Accordingtotheauthor,pollutingindustriesshould.A.adapttocarbonpollutionB.planthighlyprofitablecropsC.leavecarbonemissionaloneD.fightagainstcarbonpollution70.What’stheauthor’spreferredsolutiontoglobalwarming?A.settingupanewstandard.B.Readucingcarbonemission.C.Adaptingtoclimatechange.D.Monitoringpollutingindustries.第四部分：任务型阅读（共10小题；每小题1分，满分10分）请阅读下面短文，并根据所读内容在文章后表格中的空格里填入一个最恰当的单词。注意：请将答案写在答题卡上相应题号的横线上。每个空格只填一个单词。PopulationChangeWhyistheworld’spopulationgrowing？Theanswerisnotwhatyoumightthink.Thereasonfortheexplosionisnotthatpeoplehavebeenreproducinglikerabbits,butthatpeoplehavestoppeddroppingdeadlikeflies.In1900,peoplediedattheaverageageof30.By2000theaverageagewas65.Butwhileincreasinghealthwasatupicalfeatureofthe20thcentury,decliningbirthratecouldbeadefiningoneofthe21st.Statisticsshowthattheaveragenumberofbirthsperwomanhasfallenfrom4.9intheearly1960sto2.5owadays.Furthermore,around50%oftheworld’spopulationliveinregionswherethefigureisnowbelowthereplacementlevel(i.e.2.1birthsperwoman)andalmostalldevelopednationsareexperiencingsub-repalanementbirthrate.Youmightthinkthatdevelopingnationswouldmakeuptheloss(especiallysince80%oftheworld’speoplenowliveinsuchnations),butyou’dbewrong,Decliningbirthrateisamajorprobleminmanydevelopingregionstoo,whichmightcausecatastrophicglobalshortagesofworkforcewithinafewdecades.AgreatdeclineinyoungworkforceislikelytooccurinChina,forinstance.Whatdoesitimply?First,Chinaneedstoundergorapideconomicdevelopmentbeforeapopulationdeclinehitsthecountry.Sencond,ifotherfactorssuchastechnologyremainconstant,economicgrowthandmaterialexpectationswillfallwellbelowrecentstandardsandthiscouldinvitetrouble.Russiaisanothercountrywithpopulationproblemsthatcouldbreakitseconomicpromise.Since1992thenumberofpeopledyinghasbeenbiggenthanthatofthosebeingbornbyamassive50%,Indeedofficialfiguressuggestthecountryhasshrunkby5%since1993andpeopleinRussialiveashorterlifenowthanthosein1961.Whyisthisoccurring?Nobodyisquitesure,butpoordietanabovealllong-timealcoholismhavemuchtodowithit.Ifcurrenttrendsdon’tbend.Russia’spopulationwillbeaboutthesizeofYemen’sbytheyear2050.Inthenorthofindia,thepopulationisboomingduetohighbirthrates,butinthesouth,wheremosteconmoicdevelopmentistakingplace,birthrateisfallingrapidly.Inafurthertwist,birthrateishighestinpoorlyeducatedruralarceasanlowestinhighlyeducatedurbanareas.Intotal,25%ofIndia’sworking-agepopulationhasnoeducation.In2030,asixthofthecountry’spotentialworkforcecouldbetotallyuneducated.Onesolutionisobviouslytoimportforeignworkersviaimmigration.AsfortheUSA,itisalmostuniqueamongdevelopednationsinhavingapopulationthatisexpectedtogrowby20%from2010-2030,Moreover,theUSAhasatrackrecordofsuccessfullyacceptingimmigrants.Asaresultit’slikelytoseeariseinthesizeofitsworking-agepopulationandtowitnessstrongeconomicgrowthoverthelongerterm.PopulationChangeThebirthrateinthe21stcenturymaybemuch71.______thanitwasinthe20thThebirthrateinthe21stcenturymaybemuch71.______thanitwasinthe20th.Itw