电信融合趋势与挑战.ppt

1、Trend and Challenges in Telecom Convergence,Ten-lee Hwang April, 2005,2,Agenda,Trend of Telecom Convergence Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN Challenges Posed to Service Operators,3,Telecom Industry (communication),main frames,desk top computing,PC-LAN,PC-WAN,Intranet/Internet,electronic publishing

2、andentertainment,Computer Industry (computer),Media Industry (content),Wireline,mobility,Wireless/Cellular,PSTN,ISDN,PC/Servers,3G/Wireless Internet,Carrier class,xDSL,Trend of Telecom Convergence - Forces from computer and media industries,4,Wireless,GSM,AM/FM,-,Fixed,ADSL, Cable Modem,PSTN,Cable T

3、V,Broadcast,Mobile,VHF/UHF,Satellite,Cordless,Trend of Telecom Convergence - Starting from traditional telecom,5,Fixed Line operator,Mobile operator,TV broadcast, Cable channels, Radio broadcast,WLAN operator,Convergence of new technologies offers opportunities and risks for communication / content

4、players.,Wireless,Mobile,Fixed,VoIP,GSM Home,Broadcast,Voice,Data,Voice,Data,Convergence,Trend of Telecom Convergence - Convergence in delivering network technologies,6,HSDPA 3G/ WCDMA EDGE GPRS GSM,Speed (bit/s),SMS,Voice,Internet Graphics,Internet Text,Medium quality video,Highquality video,Mobile

5、 office,10M,1M,384 k,115 k,56 k,10 k,1 k,Messaging,Mobile technologies are rolling out 3G and HSDPA to provide a access network with higher speeds.,Trend of Telecom Convergence - Mobile evolution,7,Wireless,Mobile,Fixed,Broadcast,Voice,Data,Voice,Data,Convergence to services and contents,Trend of Te

6、lecom Convergence - Summary,TV,Cable modem/setup box,ADSL,M-Taiwan,PC/WLAN,Celluar/Wifi handsets,Contents,3G,Convergence of new technologies actually bring convergence to services and contents,From mobile to wireless,From fixed to wireless,From analog to digital, e.g., DAB/DMB,Mobile evolution from

7、2G to 3G,8,Agenda,Trend of Telecom Convergence Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN Challenges Posed to Service Operators,9,WCDMA,1) As of Sep04, 39 W-CDMA operators launched. An additional 76 operators had either launched pre-commercial W-CDMA networks or were in the process of deploying their network

8、s at the end of the period. 2) 12 M sub worldwide and Japan,UK,Italy dominate WCDMA uptake,CDMA,CDMA2000 1X,1) Around 100 operators in 60 countries in six continents have launched CDMA2000 1X services. 2)CDMA2000 1X reach 120M sub worldwide 3)Asia-Pacific continued to be the fast-growing w/89M users

9、 and Japan & Korea remain the largest market.,1) Therere 16 operators commercial launch CDMA2000 1XEV-DO service. 2) 10 M sub worldwide,Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN - 3G WCDMA/CDMA evolution,10,Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN - 3G lessons learnt,A few things have been important seeing the 3G

10、launch.,More and more countries and operators launched 3G as the technology and handsets become much more ready, demonstrated in recent GSM events. Network readiness was found to be critical for 3G take up. Services and pricing were also found important,11,Today,ZyXEL WellTech D-Link,Yahoo e-Bay,Pch

11、ome Skype,Hinet Seednet,NCIC CHT,Nortel CISCO Alctel,99,Multiservice switching IP PBX,TDM,ATM Switch Media gateway,I.E. Internet SW download,ADSL Cable Modem,00,01,02,03,04,05,GPRS,Portal Site,Wireless,VoIP Gateway,IP Phone USB Phone,H.323 SIP,VoIP Mobile(WLAN+GSM),VoWLAN,PABX Switch,Gatekeeper,From

12、 Napa consulting groups research, 15% of all desktop phones shipped are new VoIP enabled in Y2003. 50% of all desktop phones deployed will be VoIP enabled in Y2006.,Transport,ISP/ISR,Value-add Service Application,Portal & Channel,Device,VoIP,Finally from concept to reality,Development in 3G, VOIP, a

13、nd WLAN - VOIP industry value chain,12,Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN - Rapid growth of WLANs,There are total 57,627 hotspots at 42,803 locations in 75 countries. Top 10 Cities are London (940), New York (725), Paris (692), Tokyo (472), Hong Kong (438), Singapore (365), Chicago (346), San Francis

14、co (341), Berlin (298), and Kuala Lumpur(288). Voice will be the next big thing to emerge in the hotspot market.,13,Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN - M-Taiwan status,Currently, total 19 wireless broadband application demo sites are sponsored by Industrial Development Bureau Ministry of Economic Af

15、fairs (MOEAIDB, 經濟部工業局). M-City for Taipei and Kaohsiung were BOT wireless cases in M-Taiwan Plan.,BOT: Kaohsiung City, 50% City Sub, Y2005, 90% City Area, End Y2005,Demo sites sponsored by MOEAIDB,Source from .tw, To cover 800K home subscribers and 10K public subscribers,To start fro

16、m transportation applications, MRT, Y2004,BOT: M-Taipei City,Ping-tung,Chia-ai,Yun-lin,Hsin-chu,Taoyuan,Taipei,I-lan,Hualien,Kaohsiung,Kinmen,Tai-nan,Taichung,Chang-hua,14,With convergence in mobile and wireless, customers can choose which technology to use to make voice calls.,IP world - WLAN,Cellu

17、lar world,Cellular and WLAN compete for voice and data traffic,Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN - From mobile to wireless,15,Agenda,Trend of Telecom Convergence Development in 3G, VOIP, and WLAN Challenges Posed to Service Operators,16,WLAN,Overseas,Japan,One stop service billing,Enterprise DB,Fixe

18、d line broadband,Intranet,TV conference,TV Phone,Remote access,broadband,email,WLAN service,FOMA service,3G area：high mobility、charge by usage,WLAN,3G,Intranet,TV conference,TV Phone,Remote access,broadband,email,Future service image,Similar for T-Mobile and SK Telecom,Challenges Posed to Service Operators- Linking up celluar and WLAN,The incumbent has to continue listening customer needs even if the technologies are disruptive.,17,C