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Willrobotstakeourjobs
BBC英语六分钟练起来(2023.03.9)
Transcript
Note:Thisisnotawordforwordtranscript
Neil
Helloandwelcometo6MinuteEnglish.I'mNeil...
Finn
...andI'mFinn.Hello.
Neil
Hellothere,Finn.Now,whatdoyouknowaboutrobots?
Finn
Robots?Well,(Finndoesanimpressionofarobotvoice)theytalkina
funnyway...likethat!
Neil
Yes.Yousoundquiteconvincingthereactually,Finn.
Finn
Doyoulikeit?
Neil
Yes,Ido.Isthereanythingelseyouknowaboutrobots?
Finn
Well,thereare...thereareacoupleofgoodonesintheStarWars,aren't
there?
Neil
Oh,yes.R2-D2andC-3PO.C-3POtalksincuiteahumanvoice.
Finn
Hedoes.Butofcoursethafssciencefictionnotreallife.
Neil
No.Butthingshavemovedoninreallife.Theuseofmachinestodov/ork
thatpeopledoorusedtodoiscalledautomationandthat'sthesubject
oftoday'sshow.
Finn
Butbeforewetalkmoreaboutthis,I'dlikeyou,Neil,toanswertoday's
quizquestion.Whatmakesajobmorelikelytobedonebyrobots?Isitif
ajobinvolves...
a)manipulatingsmallobjects?
b)workinginopenspaces?
Orc)socialandemotionalskills?
Neil
Hmm...OK.Well,I'mgoingtoguess.Manipulatingsmallobjects,Ithink.
Finn
Interesting.OK,we'llfindoutifyou'rerightorwronglateron.Now,two
UKacademicshavecalculatedhowsusceptibleto-thatmeanslikelyto
beaffectedby-howsusceptibletoautomationeachjobisbasedon
somekeyskills.Andtheseincludenegotiation,persuasion,caringfor
others,originality,andmanualdexterity-nowthatmeansbeinggood
withyourhands.
Neil
Sodoyouthinkintelligentmachinescouldreplaceus?
Finn
Well,maybeyou,Neil.Notme,no.Ihaveallthekeyskillsyouknow-I'm
original...persuasive...ofcourseverycaringandverygoodwithmy
handsaswell,Ithink.
Neil
WellTmverygladthatyou'resafe,Finn!
Finn
Thankyou.
Neil
However,astudyfromOxfordUniversityhassuggestedthat35%of
existingUKjobsarebeingautomatedinthenext20years.Lefslistento
MichaelOsbornefromOxfordUniversitytalkingaboutthis.
INSERT
MichaelOsborne,UniversityofOxford
Computersareincreasinglyabletolearninawaythatinshorthasbeena
reserveofhumanbeings.Sointheirabilitytolearn,computersareable
toperformamuchwiderrangeoftasksthanthey'vebeenabletodoin
thepast.Soasaresultit'snotjustmanuallabourthat'scomingunder
threatofautomation.It'sincreasinglycognitivelabour-thelabourofthe
mind.
Finn
MichaelOsborne.Andcognitivelabourmeansusingyournoggin一
that'susingorhead!Socomputersandmachinesareusingtheirnoggins
andgettingsmarter.Andofficeworkerswhodorepetitivejobssuchas
drawingupspreadsheetscouldbereplacedwithsoftware.Butsurelyjobs
likebeingadoctororalawyeraresafe,Neil?
Neil
Well,somewhite-collarjobsmaybelesssafethanyouthink.Atonecity
lawfirmjuniorstaffhavetoreadthroughcontracts,assessingthemfor
risks.Butnowanartificialintelligenceprogrammecandothatfasterand
better.
Finn
Sowhitecollarreferstoajobthatyoudoatanofficeratherthana
factory.Andartificialintelligencereferstoacomputer'sabilitytocopy
intelligenthumanbehaviour.Nowlet'slistentoMatthewWhalleyfroma
citylawfirmtofindoutwhathethinks.
INSERT
MatthewWhalley,BerwinLeigtonPaisner
Whatyou'reseeingtherobotdonow,therobotcandointhreeseconds
whatwouldtakeagroupoflawyersdaystodo.Andtheadvantageisthat
itcandohugevolumes,incrediblyreliablyinunbelievabletimes.Thereis
ahugeamountofthisworktodoandlawyershavefarbetterhigher-value
legalanalysistoworryabout.
Neil
Wellhethinksthatthereisworkforthelawyersandthecomputers.In
factitsoundslikeagooddivisionoflabour-thecomputersdotheboring
stuffandthelawyersdothemoreinterestingwork!
Finn
Yes.Well,let'skeepourfingerscrossedthatwe'vegotgoodprospects.
Youknow,Idon'twantourlistenersto(robotvoice)startlisteningtorobot
presentersanytimesoon!
Neil
Indeed,weneed!Wetalkaboutkeepingourfingerscrossedwhenwe
hopethatthingsaregoingtoturnoutinthewaywewantthemtointhe
future.
Finn
That'sright.Soshallweheartheanswertotoday'squizquestion?Neil,I
askedyou:Whatmakesajobmorelikelytobedonebyrobots?Isitifa
jobinvolves...a)manipulatingsmallobjects?b)workinginopenspaces?
Orc)socialandemotionalskills?
Neil
Well,Isaida)manipulatingsmallobjects...andI'mkeepingmyfingers
crossedthatI'vegottherightanswer.
Finn
OK.You'rekeepingthemcrossed?
Neil
Yes,Iam.
Finn
You'vegottheanswerright!Welldone!
Neil
Brilliant!I'mgladmycognitiveskillsarestillfunctioning.Now,howabout
hearingthosewordsagain?
Finn
OK,thewordsweheardtodaywere:
automation
susceptibleto
manualdexterity
cognitivelabour
noggin
whitecollar
artificialintelligence(Al)
and...keepingyourfingerscrossed
Neil
Well,thatbringsustotheendofthis6MinuteEnglish.Wehopeyou
enjoyedtheprogramme.Pleasejoinusagainsoon.
Both
Bye.
Transcript(双语版)
NeikHelloandwelcometo6MinuteEnglish.I'mNeil.
大家好,欢迎来到六分钟英语。我是尼尔。
Finn:AndI'mFinn.Hello.
我是菲恩,大家好。
NeikHellothere,Finn.Now,whatdoyouknowaboutrobots?
你好,菲恩。现在我们进入正题,你对机器人都了解些什么?
Finn:Robots?Well,(Finndoesanimpressionofarobotvoice)theytalkina
funnyway...likethat!
机器人?啊,(菲恩模仿着机器人的口音)它们说起话来很搞笑,就像这样!
NeikYes.Yousoundquiteconvincingthereactually,Finn.
是的。菲恩其实你模仿得很像。
Finn:Doyoulikeit?
你喜欢吗?
NeikYes,Ido.Isthereanythingelseyouknowaboutrobots?
喜欢。关于机器人你还知道些什么?
Finn:Well,thereare...thereareacoupleofgoodonesintheStarWars,aren't
there?
啊,在《星球大战》中有几个很棒的机器人,是吧?
NeikOh,yes.R2-D2andC-3PO.C-3POtalksinquiteahumanvoice.
哦,是的。R2-D2和C-3PO。C-3Po说起话来很像人。
Finn:Hedoes.Butofcoursethat'ssciencefictionnotreallife.
是的。但是,当然它们是科幻影片里的,而不是真实生活当中的。
NeikNo.Butthingshavemovedoninreallife.Theuseofmachinestodo
workthatpeopledoorusedtodoiscalledautomationandthat'sthesubject
oftoday'sshow.
确实。但是现实生活中机器人领域也在发展。机器做人们现在或以前做的工作被称为
自动化,这是我们节目今天的话题。
Butbeforewetalkmoreaboutthis,I'dlikeyou,Neil,toanswertoday'squiz
question.Whatmakesajobmorelikelytobedonebyrobots?Isitifajob
involvesa)manipulatingsmallobjects?b)workinginopenspaces?Orc)
socialandemotionalskills?
但在聊这个之前,菲恩,我想让你回答一下今天的一个小测试题:什么样的工作更有
可能由机器人来做?它的工作内容应当涉及a)操纵小物件?b)在户外工作?还是c)
社交与情感?
NeikHmm...OK.Well,I'mgoingtoguess,socialandemotionalskills,Ithink.
嗯……好的。啊,我要猜了。我猜社交与情感。
Finn:Interesting.OK,we'llfindoutifyou'rerightorwronglateron.Now,two
UKacademicshavecalculatedhowsusceptibleto-thatmeanslikelytobe
affectedby-howsusceptibletoautomationeachjobisbasedonsomekey
skills.Andtheseincludenegotiation,persuasion,caringforothers,originality,
andmanualdexterity-nowthatmeansbeinggoodwithyourhands.
有意思。好吧,我们稍后就会知道你的答案是对还是错。两位英国学者基于每种工作
所需的关键技能计算了它们被自动化的影响的程度(susceptible意思是受影响)这
些技能包括谈判、游说、照看他人、创造力和手工熟练度。(manualdexterity的
意思是手工熟练度)
NeikSodoyouthinkintelligentmachinescouldreplaceus?
那么,你觉得智能机器能够取代我们吗?
Finn:Well;maybeyou,Neil.Notme,no.Ihaveallthekeyskillsyouknow-
I'moriginal...persuasive...ofcourseverycaringandverygoodwithmy
handsaswell,Ithink.
啊,或许可以取代你,尼尔。我是不会被取代的。我有以上所有的技能一一我有创造
力、能言善辩,当然也很有爱心,手也很灵巧。
NeikWellI'mverygladthatyou'resafe,Finn!
你没有受到威胁我很为你感到高兴,菲恩!
Finn:Thankyou.
谢谢。
NeikHowever,astudyfromOxfordUniversityhassuggestedthat35%of
existingUKjobsarebeingautomatedinthenext20years.Let'slistento
MichaelOsbornefromOxfordUniversitytalkingaboutthis.
然而,一项牛津大学的研究表明在未来的20年里英国现有工作的35%将会实现自动
化。让我们来听听关于这项研究牛津大学的迈克尔噢斯本是怎么说的吧。
Computersareincreasinglyabletolearninawaythatinshorthasbeena
reserveofhumanbeings.Sointheirabilitytolearn,computersareableto
performamuchwiderrangeoftasksthanthey'vebeenabletodointhepast.
Soasaresultit'snotjustmanuallabourthat'scomingunderthreatof
automation.It'sincreasinglycognitivelabour-thelabourofthemind.
电脑的学习能力不但在增强,简单来说,它们就是人类能力的储备。所以由于电脑的
学习能力,它们现在能执行的任务比原来多很多。因此,不仅仅是体力劳动面临着被
自动化,脑力劳动(cognitivelabour是指脑力劳动)也逐渐加入到了这一行列。
Finn:MichaelOsborne.Andcognitivelabourmeansusingyournoggin-
that'susingorhead!Socomputersandmachinesareusingtheirnogginsand
gettingsmarter.Andofficeworkerswhodorepetitivejobssuchasdrawing
upspreadsheetscouldbereplacedwithsoftware.Butsurelyjobslikebeinga
doctororalawyeraresafe,Neil?
以上是迈克尔•奥斯本。脑力劳动是指用大脑或脑力工作。所以电脑和机器也在用它
们的大脑,而且它们的大脑越来越聪明了。办公室工作人员,比如那些绘制电子表格
的人,可以被电脑软件取代了。但当然像医生、律师这样的职业不会受到威胁,是吧
尼尔?
NeikWell,somewhite-collarjobsmaybelesssafethanyouthink.Atonecity
lawfirmjuniorstaffhavetoreadthroughcontracts,assessingthemforrisks.
Butnowanartificialintelligenceprogrammecandothatfasterandbetter.
啊,一些白领工人的工作可能不会像你想的那样有保障。在市里的一家律师事务所里
的资历较浅的员工要浏览合同、评估风险。但是现在有一个人工智能程序能把这项工
作完成地又快又好。
Finn:Sowhitecollarreferstoajobthatyoudoatanofficeratherthana
factory.Andartificialintelligencereferstoacomputer'sabilitytocopy
intelligenthumanbehaviour.Nowlet'slistentoMatthewWhalleyfromacity
lawfirmtofindoutwhathethinks.
白领指的是在办公室而不是在工厂的工作。人工智能指的是电脑模仿需要人类智能执
行的行为的能力。现在让我们来听一听在一家律师事务所工作的马修・威利是怎么说
的,以了解他的想法。
Whatyou'reseeingtherobotdonow,therobotcandointhreesecondswhat
wouldtakeagroupoflawyersdaystodo.Andtheadvantageisthatitcando
hugevolumes,incrediblyreliablyinunbelievabletimes.Thereisahuge
amountofthisworktodoandlawyershavefarbetterhigher-valuelegal
analysistoworryabout.
你现在看到电脑做的工作可以在三秒钟内被完成,而相同的工作需要一个小组的律师
花几天的时间才能完成。自动化的优势在于它可以在超短时间内完成巨大的工作量,
速度快到令人难以置信。这种工作的量很大,而律财有其他更有价值的法律分析案件
要处理。
NeikWellhethinksthatthereisworkforthelawyersandthecomputers.In
factitsoundslikeagooddivisionoflabour-thecomputersdotheboring
stuffandthelawyersdothemoreinterestingwork!
他认为律师和电脑各有各的工作要做。事实上这听起来是一项很好的劳动分工一一电
脑做枯燥的工作律师做相对有意思的工作。
Finn:Yes.Well,let'skeepourfingerscrossedthatwe'vegotgoodprospects.
Youknow,Idon'twantourlistenersto(robotvoice)startlisteningtorobot
presentersanytimesoon!
是啊。让我们祈祷我们有好的未来吧。你也知道,我不想让我们的听众(模仿机器人
语调)在将来的某一天听机器人主持节目。
Neiklndeed,weneed!Wetalkaboutkeepingourfingerscrossedwhenwe
hopethatthingsaregoingtoturnoutinthewaywewantthemtointhe
future.
我们确实需要祈祷!我们用keepingourfingerscrossed表达我们希望事情在将来
发展成我们期待的那样。
Finn:That'sright.So
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