上市公司数据分析报告

1、1043121 李星名目一、 公司简介上市公司根本状况上市公司经营范围二、 公司财务数据分析水平和速度分析长期趋势分析季节变动分析相关和回归分析三、 公司股票数据分析编制股价指数股价指数分析成交额因素分析四、 行业进展前景推测分析一、 公司简介上市公司状况维维食品饮料股份原名徐州维维食品饮料股份前身系徐州维维食品饮料。公司于 2022 年 7 月 18 日经中华人民共和国对外贸易经济合作部以(2022)外经贸资二函字第 409 号文批准由徐州维维食品饮料改制而成。2022 年 5 月 24 日， 经中国证券监视治理委员会以证监发行字202263 号文批准，本公司向社会公众公开发行每股为人民币

2、1.00 元的境内上市内资股A 股 股票 1 亿股，其中向社会公众发行的 5,000 万股已于 2022 年 6 月 30日上市交易，其余向战略投资者发行的 5,000 万股分别于 2022 年 1 月 4 日、2022 年 3 月 30 日上市交易。2022 年 8 月 19 日止，大冢中国受让公司股东维维集团股份持有的公司股份， 从而成为持有公司 4.81股份的股东，相关工商变更手续已办妥。2022 年 12 月 26 日止公司完成增资，即公司按每 10 股转增 10 股的比例，以资本公积向全体股东转增股份总额 3.3 亿股，每股面值 1 元， 计增加股本人民币 3.3 亿元。增资后公司股

3、本为人民币 6.6 亿元，经中华人民共和国商务部出具商资批20222482 号“商务部关于同意维维食品饮料股份增资的批复”批准，同时取得中华人民共和国商务部颁发的商外资资审字20220065 号批准证书。亦经上海立信长江会计师事务全部限公司验证，并出具信长会师报字2022 第 11413 号验资报告。上市公司经营范围许可经营工程：生产销售饮料蛋白饮料类、固体饮料类，方便食品其他便利食品，预包装食品、乳制品不含婴幼儿配方奶粉批发。 一般经营工程：自营和代理各类商品和技术的进出口业务国家限制的除外，食品、饮料的争辩、开发，包装材料销售。二、公司财务数据分析2022-3-312022-6-30202

4、2-9-302022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-31水平和速度分析报告序资产总计逐期增累积增环比发定基发环比增定基增期号(百万元长量长量展速度展速度长速度长速度12342653.990052820.54166.55166.55106.28%106.28%6.28%6.28%-306.6-140.162513.886189.13%94.72%-10.87%-5.28%72841.56327.681

5、87.57113.03%107.07%13.03%7.07%82978.48136.92324.49104.82%112.23%4.82%12.23%92949.55-28.93295.5699.03%111.14%-0.97%11.14%103680.36730.811026.37124.78%138.67%24.78%38.67%113472.27-208.09818.2894.35%130.83%-5.65%30.83%123632.82160.55978.83104.62%136.88%4.62%36.88%133962.75329.931308.76109.08%149.31%9.0

6、8%49.31%143893.99-68.76124098.26%146.72%-1.74%46.72%153999.86105.871345.87102.72%150.71%2.72%50.71%164840.18840.322186.19121.01%182.37%21.01%82.37%2022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302581.612376.082480.492650.792732.292804.663180.18营业收入百万元季度数据逐期增长量累积增长量环比进展速度定基进展速度环比增长速度定

7、基增长速度00175235.6395.42185030.07-205.53195134.48104.41205304.78170.3215386.2881.5225458.6572.37235834.17375.52108.17%197.27%8.17%97.27%96.07%189.53%-3.93%89.53%102.08%193.46%2.08%93.46%103.32%199.88%3.32%99.88%101.54%202.95%1.54%102.95%101.34%205.68%1.34%105.68%106.88%219.83%6.88%119.83%717.27896.3517

8、9.07179.07957.9761.62240.70870.33-87.64153.06952.7782.44235.49784.20-168.5766.92852.5068.30135.23591.79-260.71-125.48790.65198.8673.38648.28-142.38-69.00758.44110.1641.17124.97%124.97%24.97%24.97%106.88%133.56%6.88%33.56%90.85%121.34%-9.15%21.34%109.47%132.83%9.47%32.83%82.31%109.33%-17.69%9.33%108.

9、71%118.85%8.71%18.85%69.42%82.51%-30.58%-17.49%133.60%110.23%33.60%10.23%81.99%90.38%-18.01%-9.62%116.99%105.74%16.99%5.74%83.91%88.73%-16.09%-11.27%净利润百万元季度数据逐期增长量累积增长 环比进展量速度定基进展速度环比增长速度定基增长速度30.1200636.44-122.00-80.83797.83161.3980.55527.34-270.49-189.93712.77185.43-4.50801.4588.6884.181,080.8227

10、9.37363.551,167.8086.98450.531,108.12-59.68390.851,406.46298.34689.191,247.75-158.71530.481,227.53-20.22510.261,473.11245.58755.84125.36%111.23%25.36%11.23%66.10%73.52%-33.90%-26.48%135.16%99.37%35.16%-0.63%112.44%111.74%12.44%11.74%134.86%150.68%34.86%50.68%108.05%162.81%8.05%62.81%94.89%154.49%-5.

11、11%54.49%126.92%196.08%26.92%96.08%88.72%173.96%-11.28%73.96%98.38%171.14%-1.62%71.14%120.01%205.38%20.01%105.38%30.700.580.5814.53-16.17-15.59-16.21-30.74-46.3334.9951.204.8732.20-2.792.0815.86-16.33-14.25101.92%101.92%1.92%1.92%47.32%48.23%-52.68%-51.77%-111.62%-53.83%-211.62%-153.83%-215.82%116.1

12、8%-315.82%16.18%92.01%106.90%-7.99%6.90%49.27%52.67%-50.73%-47.33%35.27%18.58%-64.73%-81.42%641.54%119.18%541.54%19.18%56.50%67.34%-43.50%-32.66%40.73%27.43%-59.27%-72.57%-251.10%-68.87%-351.10%-168.87%-377.20%259.78%-477.20%159.78%39.16%101.72%-60.84%1.72%569.88%579.69%469.88%479.69%-26.22%-151.98%

13、-126.22%-251.98%-117.48%178.53%-217.48%78.53%113.51%202.66%13.51%102.66%97.29%197.16%-2.71%97.16%50.37%99.31%-49.63%-0.69%209.68%208.23%109.68%108.23%109.45%227.91%9.45%127.91%48.96%111.58%-51.04%11.58%5.59-10.27-24.5235.8930.305.7820.28-15.61-9.848.26-12.02-21.86-20.74-29.00-50.8678.2498.9848.1230.

14、63-47.600.52174.58143.95144.46-45.77-220.35-75.8953.7799.5423.6561.037.2630.9259.38-1.6529.2629.91-29.47-0.2162.7132.8032.6068.645.9338.5233.61-35.033.49营业收入百万元净利润百万元资产总计(百万元季度数据季度数据平均进展速度104.02%103.18%100.48%平均增长速度4.02%3.18%0.48%平均增长量159.009913.3934.70由上述结果可看出该企业的资产总计、营业收入和净利润的平均增长速度都大于 0，而且资产的增长速度

15、最大，为 4.02%；相对而言，净利润的增长速度要小一些，只有0.48%。而且三者的平均增长量也都为正值，其中营业收入的平均增长量最大，为 913.39 万元，净利润的最小为 34.70 万元。总的来说维维股份的各项呈正增长趋势，前景比较好。报告期序号营业收入百万元移动平均K=4二项移正平均趋势值趋势外推指数平滑a=0.4指数平滑a=0.5指数平滑a=0.62022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-312022-3-31

16、2022-6-302022-9-301717.27658.43681.61704.79727.96751.658.43681.61704.79727.96751.12896.353957.974870.33860.717.27788.90856.53862.717.27806.81882.39876.717.27824.72904.67884.3. 长期趋势分析5952.776784.207852.508591.799790.6510648.2811758.4412636.4413797.8314527.3415712.7748144053607919.889.774.774.3898.914

17、.925.3592322345629891.905.797.797.5852.849.840.3233500683863864.878.820.820.6852.850.847.9513688619475795.830.843.843.8748.721.694.3113866283617754.775.867.867.0765.756.752.7805033230106720.737.890.890.2718.702.689.8179211451479697.709.913.913.3734.730.730.2905399452998708.702.936.936.5695.683.674.4

18、587577243726710.709.959.959.7736.740.748.2535755286040680.695.982.982.9652.633.615.01139227097762022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-312022-3-312022-6-302022-9-302022-12-31报告期移动平均K=416801.45171080.82181167.80191108.12201406.46211247.75221227.53231473.11241584.032668.674.10061006.676.673.673.

19、6030.1010733797709.689.10291029.726.737.750.8522.2828624146780.745.10521052.868.909.948.6022.4646301167940.860.10751075.988.103810807165.646410.46.151039990.10981098.103610731096.5513.8282.11.29.931190111511211121.118412391282.80.17.9999.25.87.651232121111451145.120912431261.53.67.1717.65.81.7112471

20、24011681168.121612351241.47.00.3535.80.67.201338129311911191.131913541380.71.09.5353.32.39.35二项序净利润百万移趋势趋势外指数平指数平滑指数平滑号元正平值推滑a=0.a=0.均a=056.42022-3-130.1212.312.373172022-6-30230.7014.4014.4030.1230.1230.122022-9-30314.5316.4316.4330.3530.4130.462022-12-314-16.2118.4618.4624.0222.4720.902022-3-31534

21、.9914.7820.4920.497.933.13-1.372022-6-30632.2016.0015.3922.5222.5218.7519.0620.452022-9-30715.8616.3716.1924.5524.5524.1325.6327.502022-12-3185.5916.7116.5426.5826.5820.8220.7420.522022-3-31935.8922.1619.4328.6128.6114.7313.1711.562022-6-301020.2822.3922.2730.6430.6423.2024.5326.162022-9-30118.2619.

22、4120.9032.6732.6722.0322.4122.632022-12-3112-20.7417.5118.4634.7034.7016.5215.3314.012022-3-311378.2410.9214.2236.7336.731.62-2.70-6.842022-6-301430.6321.5116.2238.7638.7632.2637.7744.212022-9-3015174.5824.1022.8040.8040.8031.6134.2036.062022-12-3116-45.7765.6844.8942.8342.8388.80104.39119.172022-3-

23、311753.7759.4262.5544.8644.8634.9729.3120.212022-6-301861.0353.3056.3646.8946.8942.4941.5440.342022-9-301959.3860.9057.1048.9248.9249.9151.2952.762022-12-312029.9132.1046.5050.9550.9553.7055.3356.732022-3-312162.7151.0241.5652.9852.9844.1842.6240.642022-6-302268.6453.2652.1455.0155.0151.5952.6753.88

24、2022-9-302333.6155.1654.2157.0457.0458.4160.6562.742022-12-312459.0548.7251.9459.0759.0748.4947.1345.26营业收入百万元2022.001500.001000.00500.000.00y = 3.927x2 - 71.08x +1028R = 0.743营业收入百万元多项式(营业收入百万元)14710 13 16 19 22净利润百万元200.00100.00y = 2.030 x + 10.33R = 0.104-净利润百万元线性(净利润百13579 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 万

25、元)-100.00通过计算四项移动平均、二项移正平均、趋势值趋势外推和指数平滑，然后通过制作折线图的方法可以推测出 2022-12-31 日的营业收入为 1584.032 万元，净利润为 59.05 万元。相对而言，营业收入的折线图的点比较集中，呈二项式分布；净利润的折线图的点比较散，但总体上呈线性分布。季节变动分析营业收入分析表季度年份12342022717.27896.35957.97870.332022952.77784.20852.50591.792022790.65648.28758.44636.442022797.83527.34712.77801.4520221,080.821,

26、167.801,108.121,406.4620221,247.751,227.531,473.111,584.03同季平均931.18875.25977.15981.75季节指数98.92%92.98%103.81%104.29%总平均数941.33净利润分析表季度1234年份202230.1230.7014.53-16.21202234.9932.2015.865.59202235.8920.288.26-20.74202278.2430.63174.58-45.77202253.7761.0359.3829.91202262.7168.6433.6159.05同季平均49.2940.58

27、51.041.97季节指数137.99%113.61%142.88%5.52%总平均数35.7206223344717.27移动平均K=4年份季别序号营业收入百万元2011896.35860.4889.9957.978164919.3905.3870.335339891.3878.1952.772313864.9830.1784.2053795.3775.0852.501485754.7737.7591.798948720.8709.0790.651475697.2702.8648.289713708.4709.3758.445494710.2695.1636.445294680.0674.3

28、797.831038趋势季节指数季节调整趋势拟合趋势推测98.92640.0629.6%725.094592.98666.2656.7%964.0245103.8692.4683.81%922.8545104.2718.6710.99%834.504698.92744.8738.0%963.154692.98771.0765.1%843.4046103.8797.2792.21%821.2547104.2823.4819.39%567.434798.92849.6846.4%799.273792.98875.8873.5%697.2237103.8902.0900.61%730.6438104

29、.2928.2927.79%610.243898.92954.4954.8%806.5338Y/T值1.080.9620150726374820190821031141220113091.080.941.100.801.120.921.070.921.18214668.6 689.20.773150.964160.93201011798.921.01,092.%96021892.981.01,255.%597319103.80.91,067.1%150420104.21.11,348.9%356201112198.920.91,261.%63522292.980.91,320.%0213231

30、03.81,419.1%11424104.21,518.9%82移动527.340213709.8745.2712.775215780.6860.6801.450528940.7990.11,080.8212881039.1115.1,167.80551741190.1211.1,108.12806661232.1239.1,406.46539991247.1293.1,247.75470891338.1360.1,227.53719091,473.111383.111,584.031059.1063.23301085.1090.43401111.1117.63501137.1144.8361

31、1164.1171.03711190.1198.23811216.1225.43921242.1253.630292.98980.6981.9%567.1639103.81006.1009.1%686.648309104.21033.1036.9%768.460319年份季别序号净利润百趋势季节季节调趋势趋势平均Y/T万元值指数整拟合推测20061130.12K=4137.99%21.83-132.3212.3722113.6-117.14.4030.701%27.02703314.7815.3142.8-103.16.4314.5390.948%10.17094416.0016.1 -1.5

32、.52%-293.7-88.481137.9-73.89%25.367113.6-59.21%28.346142.8-44.68%11.1055.52%-30.0101.363137.9-15.49%26.01218.46-16.219002016.51516.372.120.490734.994219.42616.711.622.5232.203622.23722.160.724.5515.867120.94822.390.25.59026.5872018.41919.411.928.610835.896421031141214.2113.617.511.4-0.81 30.6420.282

33、1%17.85316.2142.810.920.513.80 32.678.2628%5.78122.8 -0.21.515.52%-375.728.41 34.70-20.740916201130944.8137.99%56.70113.61%26.96142.88%122.1872.255.52%-829.186.867137.9101.49%38.97724.101.743.02 36.7378.249421462.565.680.457.64 38.7630.635931556.359.423.1174.58640.79041653.3057.1 -0.42.82-45.7708020

34、1171046.560.901.144.8653.7706113.6116.01%53.728142.8130.68%41.5695.52%145.3541.831137.9159.99%45.452113.6174.51%60.413142.8189.18%23.52421861.0341.532.1061.4746.8931959.3852.151.0241.1448.9242029.9154.253.2610.5550.95201112162.7151.955.1641.2152.9822268.6452.348.72632333.6156.00 1.3155.0157.0442459.

35、055.52%1,069.75203.759.075通过用同期平均法测定季节变动，一先消退长期趋势，然后再用平均的方法再消退循环变动和不规章变动，即移动平均趋势剔除法。而从上述表格数据也可以看出营业收入相对净利润的数据而言要稳定一些。相关与回归分析年份资产总计(百万元营业收入百万元净利润百万元2022-3-31717.2730.122022-6-30896.3530.702022-9-30957.9714.532022-12-312,653.99870.33-16.212022-3-312,820.54952.7734.992022-6-302,513.88784.2032.202022-9-

36、302,841.56852.5015.862022-12-312,978.48591.795.592022-3-312,949.55790.6535.892022-6-303,680.36648.2820.282022-9-303,472.27758.448.262022-12-313,632.82636.44-20.742022-3-313,962.75797.8378.24相关系数资产总计营业收入净利回归分析函数截距173.00262022-6-303,893.99527.3430.632022-9-303,999.86712.77174.582022-12-314,840.18801.4

37、5-45.772022-3-315,235.601,080.8253.772022-6-305,030.071,167.8061.032022-9-305,134.481,108.1259.382022-12-315,304.781,406.4629.912022-3-315,386.281,247.7562.712022-6-305,458.651,227.5368.642022-9-305,834.171,473.1133.61斜率0.183479润判定系数0.543352资产总计1标注误差190.1082营业收入0.741推测值534.0888净利润0.260.191营业收入百万元2,0

38、00.001,500.001,000.00500.00营业收入百万元-0.002,0004.0,0006.0,0008.0,000.00回归统计MultipleR0.76065212R Square0.578591648AdjustedRSquare0.553802921标准误差187.7359717观测值19SUMMARY OUTPUT由上述表格和图表可以看出，营业收入和资产总计之间显著相关； 营业收入和净利润之间微弱相关；资产总计和净利润之间也是微弱相关。所以，营业收入和资产总计之间需要做回归分析。而从营业收入和资产总计之间的散点图大致可以看出两者之间为线性正相关关系。二、 公司股票数据分

39、析编制股价指数日期2022-11-3公司维维股收盘价p0交易量(万股)q0交易金额(万指数元)p0q00 份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计2022-12-1 公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计2022-12-2 公司1000.05.001146.025730.119.92335.113324.323.86701.202706.656.57313.652060.6831.85148.704736.067.022644.6918557.82收盘价交易量(万交易金额(万交易金额(万p1股)q1元)p1q1元)p0q15.061094.515538.215472.5410.2558

40、8.246029.445835.323.93697.032739.312690.527.062511.0117727.7116497.3232.01195.226248.986217.747.535086.0038283.6536713.45收盘价交易量(万交易金额(万交易金额(万p1股)q1元)p1q1元)p0q14.95630.443120.693152.2110.16195.591987.211940.273.87394.111525.221521.287.03614.204317.824035.2932.85416.1513670.4413254.2910.942250.5024621

41、.3923903.350指数1042.77指数维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计2022-12-5 公司收盘价p1交易量(万股)q1交易金额(万元)p1q1交易金额(万元)p0q11030.04指数维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计2022-12-6 公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计4.76682.483248.593412.399.54386.063683.003829.703.75493.681851.291905.606.84317.812173.852088.0432.15128.064117.154078.737.512022.0915073.88

42、15314.45984.29收盘价p1交易量(万股)q1交易金额(万元)p1q1交易金额(万指数元)p0q14.69416.371952.792081.869.90312.653095.213101.463.76233.26877.07900.406.83185.861269.401221.0832.16167.355381.995330.119.561315.4912576.4512634.90995.37收盘价交易量(万交易金额(万交易金额(万p1股)q1元)p1q1元)p0q14.70273.531285.601367.6610.12438.014432.694345.093.79246

43、.42933.91951.166.87190.801310.821253.5731.9995.103042.113028.808.851243.8611005.131005.310946.288收盘价交易量(万交易金额(万交易金额(万p1股)q1元)p1q1元)p0q14.54667.853032.043339.2510.06712.347166.177066.442022-12-7 公司指数维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计2022-12-8 公司指数维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计2022-12-9 公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计2022-12-1公

44、司2维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计3.78323.261221.911247.776.87176.831214.801161.7531.9391.612925.102917.777.891971.8915560.0115732.98989.01收盘价4.53410.801860.922054.009.49357.043388.273541.793.86405.491565.201565.206.79137.00930.24900.1031.88131.094179.124175.198.271441.4211923.7512236.28974.46p1收盘价p1交易量(万股)q1

45、交易量(万股)q1交易金额(万元)p1q1交易金额(万元)p1q1交易金额(万指数元)p0q1交易金额(万指数元)p0q12022-12-13公司指数4.36706.443080.093532.229.08279.582538.622773.473.92690.342706.122664.706.63165.081094.491084.5832.63232.847597.517415.898.202074.2817016.8217470.86974.01收盘价交易量(万交易金额(万交易金额(万p1股)q1元)p1q1元)p0q14.24744.103155.003720.528.63255.4

46、52204.552534.083.841192.514579.254603.106.40180.981158.301189.07维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业2022-12-142022-12-152022-12-162022-12-1安琪酵母合计公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计公司32.49247.578043.537885.097.302620.6219140.6419931.86960.30收盘价4.15371.121540.141855.598.15199.711627.6

47、01981.083.67691.332537.192668.546.40247.271582.541624.5832.31166.805389.465312.737.561676.2312676.9313442.52943.05p1收盘价3.98731.852912.763659.258.07182.641473.941811.833.41949.153236.613663.736.35331.442104.672177.5831.88139.764455.674451.486.072334.8514183.6515763.87899.76收盘价交易量(万交易金额(万交易金额(万指数p1股)q

48、1元)p1q1元)p0q14.07578.582354.832892.918.36155.651301.241544.063.48438.671526.571693.276.4891.32591.73599.9431.87139.024430.584427.807.271403.2410204.9511157.98914.59收盘价交易量(万交易金额(万交易金额(万指数p1交易量(万股)q1交易量(万股)q1交易金额(万元)p1q1交易金额(万元)p1q1交易金额(万指数元)p0q1交易金额(万指数元)p0q192022-12-202022-12-21维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合

49、计公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计公司维维股份上海梅林莲花味精华资实业安琪酵母合计p14.03495.131995.372475.648.66335.892908.783332.003.46326.151128.481258.946.3974.49476.01489.4230.69246.857575.927862.279.531478.5114084.5515418.26913.50收盘价4.10539.432211.662697.148.75269.782360.602676.253.64902.003283.293481.736.3946.66298.16306.5630

50、.52112.093420.913569.996.191869.9611574.6212731.67909.12p1收盘价3.92772.863029.613864.308.58225.241932.542234.353.731237.154614.584775.416.37129.88827.33853.3030.0992.922795.972959.515.372458.0513200.0214686.88898.76p1股)q1交易量(万股)q1交易量(万股)q1元)p1q1交易金额(万元)p1q1交易金额(万元)p1q1元)p0q1交易金额(万指数元)p0q1交易金额(万指数元)p0q

51、1日期股价指数分析2020202020202020202020202020202011111111111111111111111111111111-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1-1984.29995.3705.38指数110010501000950900850800指数指004230数.0.7.0074989797969489919190899.4.4.0.3.9.4.3.9.8.014601300576595012761-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-2-301011021056710891213141516192021由上述表格和图表数据可以